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Fever United FC NTX

ECNL Regional League Boys · North Texas BU14 · 24 teams · Fever United (all teams)

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11th
3-2-1 record · 6 played
1.83 points per game
+15 goal diff · 24–9
DWWDLlast 5
8% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.5
-0.61 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:40 AM

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Fever United FC NTX
11th · 1.83 PPG
at
FC Dallas Youth Red NTX
5th · 2.25 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 6 ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.2 for, 2.1 against · 1.46 expected points)

Season so farFever United FC NTXFC Dallas Youth Red NTX
Position11th5th
Record (W-D-L)3-2-13-0-1
Points per game1.832.25
Goals for / game4.02.8
Goals against / game1.51.3
Clean sheets21
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)L D W W DL W W W
Biggest win7–0 vs Sting NTX5–0 at FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX
Worst loss3–4 at SOLAR RED NTX1–3 at SOLAR RED NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.40+0.82
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.61-0.08

Common opponents: Dallas Texans Red NTX — we 5–2; they 3–1. SOLAR RED NTX — we 3–4; they 1–3.

Game plan

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 42% / draw 20% / loss 38%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff 11:40 AM at Dallas Soccer Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    DKSC WHITE NTX sit 10th on 2.00 PPG; we are on 1.83.

    A win moves us above DKSC WHITE NTX on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Dallas Youth Red NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Fever United FC NTX – FC Dallas Youth Red NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 11 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.71 PPG		 11th— holds 13th▼ down 2 15th▼ down 4
Win
2.00 PPG		 6th▲ up 5 7th▲ up 4 10th▲ up 1
Draw
1.71 PPG		 11th— holds 13th▼ down 2 15th▼ down 4
Loss
1.57 PPG		 13th▼ down 2 15th▼ down 4 15th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 6th if every rival drops points, and as low as 15th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
8% top 4
92% below the top 4
9.5 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd 1%
  3. 3rd 3%
  4. 4th 4%
  5. 5th 6%
  6. 6th 7%
  7. 7th 8%
  8. 8th 9%
  9. 9th 10%
  10. 10th 11%
  11. 11th 11%
  12. 12th 10%
  13. 13th 8%
  14. 14th 7%
  15. 15th 5%
  16. 16th 1%
  17. 17th <1%
  18. 18th <1%
  19. 19th
  20. 20th
  21. 21st
  22. 22nd
  23. 23rd
  24. 24th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 9 remaining known games (max 2.53 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 3.00 (+1.17) 1st (2.71) 34 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 2.60 (+0.77) 5th (2.03) 28 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
3 NTX Celtic FC NTX 2.40 (+0.57) 3rd (2.12) 25 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
4 Atlético Dallas Youth Blue NTX 2.25 (+0.42) 2nd (2.21) 23 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
5 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 2.25 (+0.42) 7th (1.94) 23 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
6 Nido Dallas White NTX 2.17 (+0.34) 4th (2.10) 22 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
7 Kernow Storm FC NTX 2.00 (+0.17) 9th (1.81) Win next game
8 SOLAR RED NTX 2.00 (+0.17) 6th (2.01) Win next game
9 FC Dallas Youth NTX 2.00 (+0.17) 8th (1.92) Win next game
10 DKSC WHITE NTX 2.00 (+0.17) 11th (1.71) Win next game

How the results connect

6 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link Fever United FC NTX to FC Dallas Youth Red NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us
3 favour them
-0.8 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–4 3–1 5–2 1–3 5–1 0–5 1–1 3–0 2–2 2–1 0–8 Fever United FC NTX 11th SOLAR RED NTX 8th Dallas Texans Red N… 21st Sting WTX NTX 18th Nido Dallas White N… 6th FC Dallas Youth Nav… 22nd FC Dallas Youth Red… 5th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

6 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 12th 24th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.77 · 1st hardest of 24

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
11:40 AM		 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX
5th · 3-0-1 · GD +6		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
42%		 2–2 1.46 1.78 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
03:20 PM		 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX
2nd · 4-1-0 · GD +13		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
44%		 2–1 1.51 1.75 Swing game
Sat Feb 6
09:50 AM		 NTX Celtic FC NTX
3rd · 4-0-1 · GD +15		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
33%		 2–2 1.17 1.68 Upside
Sat Feb 20
08:00 AM		 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +28		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
21%		 2–3 0.77 1.59 Upside
Sun Feb 21
03:20 PM		 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX
22nd · 0-1-6 · GD -23		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●○○○○ Favorable
89%		 4–1 2.74 1.70 Bank it
Sat Feb 27
01:30 PM		 Dallas Legends NTX
14th · 2-0-2 · GD +1		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
56%		 2–1 1.85 1.71 Swing game
Sat Mar 6
11:40 AM		 DKSC WHITE NTX
10th · 3-1-1 · GD +6		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
56%		 2–1 1.86 1.72 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
03:20 PM		 Kernow Storm FC NTX
7th · 4-0-2 · GD +15		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
50%		 2–2 1.66 1.72 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
03:20 PM		 SOLAR BLUE NTX
15th · 2-0-2 · GD +1		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●○○○ Lean win
62%		 2–1 2.04 1.74 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 5500 313+28 153.00 WWWWW -0.76 -0.21 100% 1.2
2 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 5410 163+13 132.60 WWWWD -1.68 +0.50 34% 6.4
3 NTX Celtic FC NTX 5401 205+15 122.40 WWLWW -1.43 +0.30 52% 4.9
4 Atlético Dallas Youth Blue NTX 4301 152+13 92.25 WWWL -0.26 +0.01 68% 4.0
5 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 4301 115+6 92.25 WWWL -0.08 +0.01 25% 7.4
6 Nido Dallas White NTX 6411 138+5 132.17 LWWWW +0.76 -0.84 41% 5.6
7 Kernow Storm FC NTX 6402 2510+15 122.00 LLWWW -0.87 +0.45 11% 8.8
8 SOLAR RED NTX 6402 2411+13 122.00 WWLWW +0.04 -0.39 34% 6.1
9 FC Dallas Youth NTX 5311 186+12 102.00 LWWWD -0.72 +0.26 19% 7.4
10 DKSC WHITE NTX 5311 126+6 102.00 DWLWW -0.37 +0.13 6% 10.4
11 Fever United FC NTX 6321 249+15 111.83 DWWDL -0.61 +0.77 8% 9.5
12 Nido Dallas Blue NTX 6312 1611+5 101.67 LLWDW -0.34 +0.19 1% 12.2
13 Dallas Texans NTX 5221 87+1 81.60 DLWWD +0.23 -0.08 1% 12.2
14 Dallas Legends NTX 4202 87+1 61.50 LWWL +0.10 -0.31 1% 12.0
15 SOLAR BLUE NTX 4202 76+1 61.50 WLWL +0.67 +0.13 1% 12.6
16 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 5203 413-9 61.20 LWLWL +0.14 +0.08 0% 17.3
17 SOLAR WHITE NTX 5113 822-14 40.80 LLLDW -0.38 +0.00 0% 18.6
18 Sting WTX NTX 5113 520-15 40.80 LLLDW +0.85 +0.12 0% 19.7
19 Sting NTX 4103 417-13 30.75 WLLL +0.53 -0.21 0% 19.2
20 DKSC NTX 5104 1426-12 30.60 LLWLL +0.91 -0.26 0% 18.0
21 Dallas Texans Red NTX 6105 921-12 30.50 LLLLL +0.74 -0.29 0% 18.4
22 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX 7016 730-23 10.14 LDLLL +0.72 +0.15 0% 22.4
23 Sting Brave NTX 6006 120-19 00.00 LLLLL +0.43 -0.01 0% 22.7
24 Sting Bold NTX 5005 234-32 00.00 LLLLL +0.72 +0.02 0% 23.2

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.32 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.