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DKSC WHITE NTX

ECNL Regional League Boys · North Texas BU14 · 24 teams · DKSC (all teams)

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10th
3-1-1 record · 5 played
2.00 points per game
+6 goal diff · 12–6
DWLWWlast 5
5% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.6
-0.37 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 05:10 PM

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DKSC WHITE NTX
10th · 2.00 PPG
at
Sting WTX NTX
18th · 0.80 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 4 ↗

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.9 for, 1.2 against · 2.30 expected points)

Season so farDKSC WHITE NTXSting WTX NTX
Position10th18th
Record (W-D-L)3-1-11-1-3
Points per game2.000.80
Goals for / game2.41.0
Goals against / game1.24.0
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless12
Form (recent first)W W L W DW D L L L
Biggest win6–1 vs FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX3–0 at FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX
Worst loss0–1 vs SOLAR BLUE NTX0–8 vs SOLAR RED NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.61-1.52
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.37+0.85

Common opponents: FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX — we 6–1; they 3–0.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    Sting WTX NTX average 1.0 goals/game (league avg 2.3); blanked in 2 of 5.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    Sting WTX NTX concede 4.0/game; worst result 0–8 vs SOLAR RED NTX.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–1 vs SOLAR BLUE NTX.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 72% chance; likely score 2–1.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 05:10 PM at Dallas Soccer Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    FC Dallas Youth NTX sit 9th on 2.00 PPG; we are on 2.00.

    A point moves us above FC Dallas Youth NTX on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Sting WTX NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (DKSC WHITE NTX – Sting WTX NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 11 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.17 PPG
6th▲ up 4 5th▲ up 5 8th▲ up 2
Win
2.17 PPG
6th▲ up 4 5th▲ up 5 8th▲ up 2
Draw
1.83 PPG
11th▼ down 1 9th▲ up 1 12th▼ down 2
Loss
1.67 PPG
12th▼ down 2 15th▼ down 5 15th▼ down 5

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 4th if every rival drops points, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
5% top 4
95% below the top 4
10.6 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd 1%
  3. 3rd 1%
  4. 4th 3%
  5. 5th 4%
  6. 6th 4%
  7. 7th 6%
  8. 8th 8%
  9. 9th 9%
  10. 10th 9%
  11. 11th 12%
  12. 12th 12%
  13. 13th 11%
  14. 14th 12%
  15. 15th 8%
  16. 16th 1%
  17. 17th <1%
  18. 18th <1%
  19. 19th
  20. 20th
  21. 21st
  22. 22nd
  23. 23rd
  24. 24th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 10 remaining known games (max 2.67 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 3.00 (+1.00) 1st (2.71) 35 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 2.60 (+0.60) 5th (2.03) 29 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
3 NTX Celtic FC NTX 2.40 (+0.40) 3rd (2.12) 26 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
4 Atlético Dallas Youth Blue NTX 2.25 (+0.25) 2nd (2.21) 24 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
5 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 2.25 (+0.25) 7th (1.94) 24 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
6 Nido Dallas White NTX 2.17 (+0.17) 4th (2.10) 23 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
7 Kernow Storm FC NTX 2.00 (+0.00) 9th (1.81) A point next game
8 SOLAR RED NTX 2.00 (+0.00) 6th (2.01) A point next game
9 FC Dallas Youth NTX 2.00 (+0.00) 8th (1.92) A point next game

How the results connect

6 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link DKSC WHITE NTX to Sting WTX NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

4 favour us
1 even
1 favour them
+2.2 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
6–1 0–3 2–1 4–2 0–1 1–2 3–0 3–2 2–5 1–1 2–3 1–5 8–0 DKSC WHITE NTX 10th FC Dallas Youth Nav… 22nd Kernow Storm FC NTX 7th SOLAR BLUE NTX 15th Dallas Texans Red N… 21st Nido Dallas White N… 6th Fever United FC NTX 11th SOLAR RED NTX 8th Sting WTX NTX 18th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

6 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 12th 24th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.13 · 9th hardest of 24

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
05:10 PM
Sting WTX NTX
18th · 1-1-3 · GD -15
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
72%
2–1 2.30 2.05 Bank it
Sat Oct 31
03:20 PM
SOLAR RED NTX
8th · 4-0-2 · GD +13
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
27%
1–2 0.98 1.90 Upside
Sat Nov 7
03:20 PM
FC Dallas Youth Red NTX
5th · 3-0-1 · GD +6
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–1 1.16 1.80 Upside
Sat Feb 6
09:50 AM
DKSC NTX
20th · 1-0-4 · GD -12
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
67%
3–2 2.15 1.84 Swing game
Sat Feb 20
11:40 AM
FC Dallas Youth NTX
9th · 3-1-1 · GD +12
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
34%
1–2 1.23 1.78 Upside
Sun Feb 21
09:50 AM
Sting NTX
19th · 1-0-3 · GD -13
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●○○○○ Favorable
83%
3–1 2.58 1.85 Bank it
Sat Feb 27
01:30 PM
FC Dallas Youth White NTX
16th · 2-0-3 · GD -9
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
64%
2–1 2.11 1.88 Swing game
Sat Mar 6
11:40 AM
Fever United FC NTX
11th · 3-2-1 · GD +15
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
26%
1–2 0.95 1.80 Upside
Sat Apr 3
03:20 PM
Atletico Dallas Youth NTX
2nd · 4-1-0 · GD +13
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
25%
1–1 0.97 1.74 Upside
Sun Apr 4
11:40 AM
Nido Dallas White NTX
6th · 4-1-1 · GD +5
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–1 1.17 1.71 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 5500 313+28 153.00 WWWWW -0.76 -0.21 99% 1.2
2 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 5410 163+13 132.60 WWWWD -1.68 +0.50 33% 6.3
3 NTX Celtic FC NTX 5401 205+15 122.40 WWLWW -1.43 +0.30 52% 4.9
4 Atlético Dallas Youth Blue NTX 4301 152+13 92.25 WWWL -0.26 +0.01 66% 4.2
5 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 4301 115+6 92.25 WWWL -0.08 +0.01 24% 7.4
6 Nido Dallas White NTX 6411 138+5 132.17 LWWWW +0.76 -0.84 43% 5.5
7 Kernow Storm FC NTX 6402 2510+15 122.00 LLWWW -0.87 +0.45 11% 8.8
8 SOLAR RED NTX 6402 2411+13 122.00 WWLWW +0.04 -0.39 36% 5.9
9 FC Dallas Youth NTX 5311 186+12 102.00 LWWWD -0.72 +0.26 20% 7.3
10 DKSC WHITE NTX 5311 126+6 102.00 DWLWW -0.37 +0.13 5% 10.6
11 Fever United FC NTX 6321 249+15 111.83 DWWDL -0.61 +0.77 8% 9.6
12 Nido Dallas Blue NTX 6312 1611+5 101.67 LLWDW -0.34 +0.19 1% 12.1
13 Dallas Texans NTX 5221 87+1 81.60 DLWWD +0.23 -0.08 1% 12.2
14 Dallas Legends NTX 4202 87+1 61.50 LWWL +0.10 -0.31 1% 12.0
15 SOLAR BLUE NTX 4202 76+1 61.50 WLWL +0.67 +0.13 1% 12.6
16 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 5203 413-9 61.20 LWLWL +0.14 +0.08 0% 17.3
17 SOLAR WHITE NTX 5113 822-14 40.80 LLLDW -0.38 +0.00 0% 18.5
18 Sting WTX NTX 5113 520-15 40.80 LLLDW +0.85 +0.12 0% 19.7
19 Sting NTX 4103 417-13 30.75 WLLL +0.53 -0.21 0% 19.1
20 DKSC NTX 5104 1426-12 30.60 LLWLL +0.91 -0.26 0% 17.9
21 Dallas Texans Red NTX 6105 921-12 30.50 LLLLL +0.74 -0.29 0% 18.5
22 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX 7016 730-23 10.14 LDLLL +0.72 +0.15 0% 22.4
23 Sting Brave NTX 6006 120-19 00.00 LLLLL +0.43 -0.01 0% 22.7
24 Sting Bold NTX 5005 234-32 00.00 LLLLL +0.72 +0.02 0% 23.2

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.32 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.