TableChase Clubs

Sting Brave NTX

ECNL Regional League Boys · North Texas BU14 · 24 teams · Sting Soccer Club (all teams)

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23rd
0-0-6 record · 6 played
0.00 points per game
-19 goal diff · 1–20
LLLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 22.8
+0.43 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 08:00 AM

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Sting Brave NTX
23rd · 0.00 PPG
at

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 4 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–3 (expected goals 0.5 for, 3.9 against · 0.10 expected points)

Season so farSting Brave NTXAtlético Dallas Youth Blue NTX
Position23rd4th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-63-0-1
Points per game0.002.25
Goals for / game0.23.8
Goals against / game3.30.5
Clean sheets02
Held scoreless51
Form (recent first)L L L L LL W W W
Biggest win—9–0 vs Sting Bold NTX
Worst loss0–7 vs Nido Dallas Blue NTX0–1 at FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.95+1.67
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.43-0.26

Common opponents: FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX — we 0–5; they 0–1.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Atlético Dallas Youth Blue NTX score 3.8/game — well above the league's 2.3.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    Atlético Dallas Youth Blue NTX concede only 0.5/game with 2 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 5 time(s): 0–5 at FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX, 0–2 at Dallas Legends NTX, 0–7 vs Nido Dallas Blue NTX, 0–1 vs FC Dallas Youth White NTX, 0–2 vs NTX Celtic FC NTX.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 2%; a draw (5%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 08:00 AM at Dallas Soccer Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 08:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX sit 22nd on 0.14 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Atlético Dallas Youth Blue NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sting Brave NTX – Atlético Dallas Youth Blue NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 11 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
23rd— holds 23rd— holds 24th▼ down 1
Win
0.43 PPG
22nd▲ up 1 22nd▲ up 1 23rd— holds
Draw
0.14 PPG
22nd▲ up 1 22nd▲ up 1 23rd— holds
Loss
0.00 PPG
23rd— holds 23rd— holds 24th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–3 loss we stay 23rd even if every rival loses, and as low as 24th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
22.8 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th <1%
  17. 17th <1%
  18. 18th 1%
  19. 19th 1%
  20. 20th 3%
  21. 21st 8%
  22. 22nd 26%
  23. 23rd 32%
  24. 24th 31%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 9 remaining known games (max 1.80 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.71) 45 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 2.60 (+2.60) 5th (2.03) 39 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 NTX Celtic FC NTX 2.40 (+2.40) 3rd (2.12) 36 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Atlético Dallas Youth Blue NTX 2.25 (+2.25) 2nd (2.21) 34 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 2.25 (+2.25) 7th (1.94) 34 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
6 Nido Dallas White NTX 2.17 (+2.17) 4th (2.10) 33 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
7 Kernow Storm FC NTX 2.00 (+2.00) 9th (1.81) 30 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
8 SOLAR RED NTX 2.00 (+2.00) 6th (2.01) 30 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
9 FC Dallas Youth NTX 2.00 (+2.00) 8th (1.92) 30 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
10 DKSC WHITE NTX 2.00 (+2.00) 11th (1.71) 30 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
11 Fever United FC NTX 1.83 (+1.83) 10th (1.74) 28 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
12 Nido Dallas Blue NTX 1.67 (+1.67) 14th (1.56) 26 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
13 Dallas Texans NTX 1.60 (+1.60) 13th (1.56) 24 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
14 Dallas Legends NTX 1.50 (+1.50) 12th (1.58) 23 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
15 SOLAR BLUE NTX 1.50 (+1.50) 15th (1.52) 23 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
16 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 1.20 (+1.20) 16th (0.98) 18 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection
17 SOLAR WHITE NTX 0.80 (+0.80) 18th (0.86) 12 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection
18 Sting WTX NTX 0.80 (+0.80) 21st (0.71) 12 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection
19 Sting NTX 0.75 (+0.75) 20th (0.78) 12 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection
20 DKSC NTX 0.60 (+0.60) 17th (0.91) 9 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection
21 Dallas Texans Red NTX 0.50 (+0.50) 19th (0.84) 8 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection
22 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX 0.14 (+0.14) 22nd (0.35) Already ahead

How the results connect

4 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Sting Brave NTX to Atlético Dallas Youth Blue NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
4 favour them
-5.8 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–5 1–0 0–2 9–0 0–9 0–1 0–6 0–7 2–2 0–4 Sting Brave NTX 23rd FC Dallas Youth Blu… 1st NTX Celtic FC NTX 3rd FC Dallas Youth Whi… 16th Nido Dallas Blue NTX 12th Sting Bold NTX 24th SOLAR WHITE NTX 17th Atlético Dallas You… 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

4 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 12th 24th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.01 · 16th hardest of 24

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
08:00 AM
Atlético Dallas Youth Blue NTX
4th · 3-0-1 · GD +13
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–3 0.10 0.01 Upside
Sat Oct 31
09:50 AM
DKSC NTX
20th · 1-0-4 · GD -12
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
18%
1–3 0.69 0.10 Upside
Sat Nov 7
09:50 AM
FC Dallas Youth NTX
9th · 3-1-1 · GD +12
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
4%
0–3 0.20 0.11 Upside
Sat Feb 6
01:30 PM
SOLAR RED NTX
8th · 4-0-2 · GD +13
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
4%
0–4 0.18 0.12 Upside
Sun Feb 7
09:50 AM
Nido Dallas White NTX
6th · 4-1-1 · GD +5
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
4%
0–3 0.22 0.13 Upside
Sat Feb 27
01:30 PM
Atletico Dallas Youth NTX
2nd · 4-1-0 · GD +13
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
5%
0–2 0.25 0.14 Upside
Sat Mar 6
08:00 AM
SOLAR WHITE NTX
17th · 1-1-3 · GD -14
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–2 0.77 0.18 Upside
Sat Apr 3
09:50 AM
Sting Bold NTX
24th · 0-0-5 · GD -32
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
1–1 1.51 0.28 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
09:50 AM
Dallas Texans NTX
13th · 2-2-1 · GD +1
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
7%
0–2 0.36 0.29 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 5500 313+28 153.00 WWWWW -0.76 -0.21 100% 1.1
2 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 5410 163+13 132.60 WWWWD -1.68 +0.50 35% 6.3
3 NTX Celtic FC NTX 5401 205+15 122.40 WWLWW -1.43 +0.30 52% 5.0
4 Atlético Dallas Youth Blue NTX 4301 152+13 92.25 WWWL -0.26 +0.01 65% 4.1
5 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 4301 115+6 92.25 WWWL -0.08 +0.01 24% 7.4
6 Nido Dallas White NTX 6411 138+5 132.17 LWWWW +0.76 -0.84 43% 5.4
7 Kernow Storm FC NTX 6402 2510+15 122.00 LLWWW -0.87 +0.45 12% 8.7
8 SOLAR RED NTX 6402 2411+13 122.00 WWLWW +0.04 -0.39 33% 6.1
9 FC Dallas Youth NTX 5311 186+12 102.00 LWWWD -0.72 +0.26 20% 7.5
10 DKSC WHITE NTX 5311 126+6 102.00 DWLWW -0.37 +0.13 6% 10.4
11 Fever United FC NTX 6321 249+15 111.83 DWWDL -0.61 +0.77 6% 9.7
12 Nido Dallas Blue NTX 6312 1611+5 101.67 LLWDW -0.34 +0.19 1% 12.2
13 Dallas Texans NTX 5221 87+1 81.60 DLWWD +0.23 -0.08 1% 12.1
14 Dallas Legends NTX 4202 87+1 61.50 LWWL +0.10 -0.31 2% 11.9
15 SOLAR BLUE NTX 4202 76+1 61.50 WLWL +0.67 +0.13 1% 12.5
16 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 5203 413-9 61.20 LWLWL +0.14 +0.08 0% 17.4
17 SOLAR WHITE NTX 5113 822-14 40.80 LLLDW -0.38 +0.00 0% 18.5
18 Sting WTX NTX 5113 520-15 40.80 LLLDW +0.85 +0.12 0% 19.7
19 Sting NTX 4103 417-13 30.75 WLLL +0.53 -0.21 0% 19.1
20 DKSC NTX 5104 1426-12 30.60 LLWLL +0.91 -0.26 0% 17.9
21 Dallas Texans Red NTX 6105 921-12 30.50 LLLLL +0.74 -0.29 0% 18.5
22 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX 7016 730-23 10.14 LDLLL +0.72 +0.15 0% 22.4
23 Sting Brave NTX 6006 120-19 00.00 LLLLL +0.43 -0.01 0% 22.8
24 Sting Bold NTX 5005 234-32 00.00 LLLLL +0.72 +0.02 0% 23.2

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.32 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.