TableChase Clubs

Beach Futbol Club

ECNL Boys · Southwest BU17 · 13 teams · Beach Futbol Club (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 19 minutes ago.
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1st
4-0-0 record · 4 played
3.00 points per game
+6 goal diff · 8–2
WWWWlast 4
96% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.1
+0.02 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 12:30 PM

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Beach Futbol Club
1st · 3.00 PPG
at
Rebels SC
7th · 1.25 PPG

Monte Vista High School, Stadium ↗ · turf? far trip

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.7 for, 1.1 against · 1.76 expected points)

Season so farBeach Futbol ClubRebels SC
Position1st7th
Record (W-D-L)4-0-01-2-1
Points per game3.001.25
Goals for / game2.01.5
Goals against / game0.51.8
Clean sheets21
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)W W W WD L D W
Biggest win3–1 vs Rebels SC3–2 at LA Breakers FC
Worst loss—1–3 at Beach Futbol Club
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.88+0.06
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.02+0.74

Already played this season: Sat Sep 26 3–1 vs Rebels SC (W)

Game plan

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 51% / draw 24% / loss 25%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff 12:30 PM at Monte Vista High School.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Rebels SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Beach Futbol Club – Rebels SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 2.60 PPG
1st— holds 2nd▼ down 1 2nd▼ down 1
Win
3.00 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Draw
2.60 PPG
1st— holds 2nd▼ down 1 2nd▼ down 1
Loss
2.40 PPG
3rd▼ down 2 4th▼ down 3 4th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 1st even if every rival loses, and as low as 2nd if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

33% finish 1st
96% top 4
4% below the top 4
2.1 average finish
  1. 1st 33%
  2. 2nd 41%
  3. 3rd 17%
  4. 4th 5%
  5. 5th 2%
  6. 6th 1%
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

5 chains · 6 teams

Paths of results that link Beach Futbol Club to Rebels SC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
2 even
2 favour them
-0.2 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–1 2–0 2–4 2–2 2–1 1–1 2–3 1–0 2–5 Beach Futbol Club 1st San Diego Surf 10th Pateadores Soccer C… 8th Legends FC 5th LA Breakers FC 6th Rebels SC 7th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

5 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 5 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.05 · 12th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 4
09:00 AM
no score posted
SDSC Surf
9th · 1-1-3 · GD -2
Home
El Camino College
●●○○○ Lean win
66%
2–1 2.15 2.83 Swing game
Sat Oct 24
12:30 PM
Rebels SC
7th · 1-2-1 · GD -1
Away far trip
Monte Vista High School · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%
1–1 1.76 2.65 Swing game
Sat Oct 31
09:00 AM
Legends FC Del Mar
12th · 1-1-4 · GD -7
Home
Long Beach City College - Liberal Arts Campus
●○○○○ Favorable
75%
2–0 2.40 2.62 Bank it
Sun Nov 1
09:00 AM
LAFC
2nd · 3-1-0 · GD +11
Home
El Camino College
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–1 1.23 2.44 Upside
Sat Nov 7
10:30 AM
West Coast FC
13th · 0-1-4 · GD -9
Away far trip
Lake Forest Sports Park
●●○○○ Lean win
73%
2–1 2.34 2.43 Bank it
Sun Nov 8
03:15 PM
SDSC Surf
9th · 1-1-3 · GD -2
Away far trip
Westview High School · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
57%
2–1 1.92 2.38 Swing game
Sat Nov 14
09:00 AM
Pateadores Soccer Club
8th · 2-1-3 · GD +3
Home
El Camino College
●●●○○ Toss-up
57%
1–1 1.93 2.34 Swing game
Sun Nov 15
01:00 PM
LA Breakers FC
6th · 3-1-2 · GD +6
Home
El Camino College
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
1–1 1.75 2.29 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
TBD
LV Heat Surf SC
11th · 2-0-6 · GD -19
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
81%
2–0 2.56 2.31 Bank it
Sat Apr 3
08:00 AM
West Coast FC
13th · 0-1-4 · GD -9
Home
El Camino College
●○○○○ Favorable
81%
3–0 2.53 2.33 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
02:00 PM
Legends FC Del Mar
12th · 1-1-4 · GD -7
Away far trip
San Dieguito Academy
●●○○○ Lean win
67%
2–1 2.19 2.32 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
TBD
CDA Slammers FC
4th · 4-2-0 · GD +7
Away
●●●●○ Tough
41%
1–1 1.49 2.27 Upside
Sat Apr 17
TBD
LAFC
2nd · 3-1-0 · GD +11
Away
●●●●○ Tough
25%
1–1 1.01 2.19 Upside
Sun Apr 18
09:00 AM
Legends FC
5th · 2-1-1 · GD +2
Away far trip
Silverlakes Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
2–1 1.78 2.17 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
09:00 AM
LV Heat Surf SC
11th · 2-0-6 · GD -19
Home
El Camino College
●○○○○ Favorable
87%
3–0 2.70 2.20 Bank it
Sat May 1
TBD
Sporting California USA
3rd · 3-1-0 · GD +4
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
1–1 1.66 2.17 Swing game
Sat May 8
09:00 AM
CDA Slammers FC
4th · 4-2-0 · GD +7
Home
El Camino College
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
1–1 1.74 2.15 Swing game
Sat May 15
TBD
LA Breakers FC
6th · 3-1-2 · GD +6
Away
●●●●○ Tough
42%
1–1 1.51 2.12 Upside
Sat May 22
09:00 AM
Legends FC
5th · 2-1-1 · GD +2
Home
El Camino College
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
2–1 2.06 2.12 Swing game
Sat May 29
09:00 AM
Sporting California USA
3rd · 3-1-0 · GD +4
Home
El Camino College
●●●○○ Toss-up
57%
2–1 1.92 2.11 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Beach Futbol Club 4400 82+6 123.00 WWWW +0.02 -0.05 96% 2.1
2 LAFC 4310 121+11 102.50 WWDW -0.50 +0.01 98% 1.6
3 Sporting California USA 4310 117+4 102.50 WWDW -0.69 +0.14 42% 5.1
4 CDA Slammers FC 6420 158+7 142.33 DWWDW -0.55 +0.17 71% 3.8
5 Legends FC 4211 1311+2 71.75 WLWD +0.01 +0.01 27% 5.9
6 LA Breakers FC 6312 137+6 101.67 WLDWL -0.35 +0.12 38% 5.3
7 Rebels SC 4121 67-1 51.25 WDLD +0.74 -0.12 16% 6.8
8 Pateadores Soccer Club 6213 1310+3 71.17 DLLWW -0.29 +0.10 9% 7.3
9 SDSC Surf 5113 911-2 40.80 LLLWD +0.23 +0.00 1% 8.9
10 San Diego Surf 4103 67-1 30.75 LLWL +0.09 +0.04 2% 8.8
11 LV Heat Surf SC 8206 726-19 60.75 LLLLL -0.05 +0.31 0% 12.6
12 Legends FC Del Mar 6114 916-7 40.67 LLWDL +0.25 +0.04 0% 10.9
13 West Coast FC 5014 817-9 10.20 LLDLL +0.22 +0.11 0% 11.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.91 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.