West Coast FC
ECNL Boys · Southwest BU17 · 13 teams · West Coast F.C. (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, TBD
Venue TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.5 for, 1.8 against · 1.75 expected points)
| Season so far | West Coast FC | LV Heat Surf SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 13th | 11th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-1-4 | 2-0-6 |
| Points per game | 0.20 | 0.75 |
| Goals for / game | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| Goals against / game | 3.4 | 3.3 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | L L D L L | L L L L L |
| Biggest win | — | 2–1 at West Coast FC |
| Worst loss | 0–5 at LAFC | 0–6 vs Pateadores Soccer Club |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -1.11 | -1.74 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.22 | -0.05 |
Already played this season: Sat Sep 12 1–2 vs LV Heat Surf SC (L)
Common opponents: CDA Slammers FC — we 4–4; they 1–3.
Game plan
-
They struggle to score
LV Heat Surf SC average 0.9 goals/game (league avg 1.9); blanked in 3 of 8.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
-
They leak goals — be greedy
LV Heat Surf SC concede 3.2/game; worst result 0–6 vs Pateadores Soccer Club.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
-
Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–5 at LAFC.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 52% / draw 19% / loss 29%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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Confidence is low on their side
LV Heat Surf SC have lost 5 straight (form: LLLLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
-
Away game
Kickoff TBD at TBD.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the LV Heat Surf SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (West Coast FC – LV Heat Surf SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 0.67 PPG |
12th▲ up 1 | 9th▲ up 4 | 12th▲ up 1 |
| Win 0.67 PPG |
12th▲ up 1 | 9th▲ up 4 | 12th▲ up 1 |
| Draw 0.33 PPG |
13th— holds | 13th— holds | 13th— holds |
| Loss 0.17 PPG |
13th— holds | 13th— holds | 13th— holds |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 9th if every rival drops points, and as low as 12th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th <1%
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th <1%
- 9th 1%
- 10th 5%
- 11th 19%
- 12th 47%
- 13th 28%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 19 remaining known games (max 2.42 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beach Futbol Club | 3.00 (+2.80) | 2nd (2.11) | 71 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 50 for their projection |
| 2 | LAFC | 2.50 (+2.30) | 1st (2.21) | 59 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 52 for their projection |
| 3 | Sporting California USA | 2.50 (+2.30) | 4th (1.66) | 59 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection |
| 4 | CDA Slammers FC | 2.33 (+2.13) | 3rd (1.82) | 55 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection |
| 5 | Legends FC | 1.75 (+1.55) | 6th (1.55) | 41 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection |
| 6 | LA Breakers FC | 1.67 (+1.47) | 5th (1.61) | 40 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection |
| 7 | Rebels SC | 1.25 (+1.05) | 7th (1.46) | 29 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection |
| 8 | Pateadores Soccer Club | 1.17 (+0.97) | 8th (1.40) | 28 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection |
| 9 | SDSC Surf | 0.80 (+0.60) | 10th (1.19) | 19 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection |
| 10 | San Diego Surf | 0.75 (+0.55) | 9th (1.20) | 17 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection |
| 11 | LV Heat Surf SC | 0.75 (+0.55) | 13th (0.55) | 17 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection |
| 12 | Legends FC Del Mar | 0.67 (+0.47) | 11th (0.89) | 16 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection |
How the results connect
14 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link West Coast FC to LV Heat Surf SC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
12 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.11 · 5th hardest of 13
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 TBD |
LV Heat Surf SC 11th · 2-0-6 · GD -19 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 52% |
2–1 | 1.75 | 0.46 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 7 10:30 AM |
Beach Futbol Club 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +6 |
Home Lake Forest Sports Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 12% |
1–2 | 0.51 | 0.47 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 01:00 PM |
Legends FC 5th · 2-1-1 · GD +2 |
Away far trip
Silverlakes Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 13% |
2–4 | 0.51 | 0.47 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 TBD |
CDA Slammers FC 4th · 4-2-0 · GD +7 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 11% |
1–3 | 0.44 | 0.47 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 13 TBD |
SDSC Surf 9th · 1-1-3 · GD -2 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 29% |
1–2 | 1.07 | 0.53 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 02:00 PM |
Legends FC Del Mar 12th · 1-1-4 · GD -7 |
Away far trip
San Dieguito Academy |
●●●●○ Tough | 30% |
2–2 | 1.09 | 0.58 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 21 12:00 PM |
Legends FC 5th · 2-1-1 · GD +2 |
Home Lake Forest Sports Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 21% |
2–3 | 0.77 | 0.60 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 08:00 AM |
Beach Futbol Club 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +6 |
Away far trip
El Camino College |
●●●●● Very tough | 8% |
0–3 | 0.35 | 0.58 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 TBD |
LAFC 2nd · 3-1-0 · GD +11 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 7% |
0–3 | 0.33 | 0.56 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
San Diego Surf 10th · 1-0-3 · GD -1 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 29% |
1–2 | 1.06 | 0.59 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
Pateadores Soccer Club 8th · 2-1-3 · GD +3 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 15% |
1–3 | 0.58 | 0.59 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 24 03:15 PM |
Rebels SC 7th · 1-2-1 · GD -1 |
Away far trip
El Cajon Valley High School · turf? |
●●●●● Very tough | 18% |
1–2 | 0.69 | 0.60 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 TBD |
Legends FC Del Mar 12th · 1-1-4 · GD -7 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
2–2 | 1.41 | 0.64 | Upside |
| Sun May 2 09:00 AM |
LA Breakers FC 6th · 3-1-2 · GD +6 |
Away far trip
Bell Gardens Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 12% |
1–3 | 0.49 | 0.63 | Upside |
| Sat May 8 11:00 AM |
SDSC Surf 9th · 1-1-3 · GD -2 |
Away far trip
Maranatha Christian School · turf? |
●●●●● Very tough | 21% |
1–2 | 0.79 | 0.64 | Upside |
| Sun May 9 02:00 PM |
LA Breakers FC 6th · 3-1-2 · GD +6 |
Home Saddleback College |
●●●●● Very tough | 18% |
1–2 | 0.70 | 0.65 | Upside |
| Sun May 16 TBD |
Pateadores Soccer Club 8th · 2-1-3 · GD +3 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 22% |
1–2 | 0.82 | 0.65 | Upside |
| Sat May 22 TBD |
Rebels SC 7th · 1-2-1 · GD -1 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 25% |
1–2 | 0.94 | 0.67 | Upside |
| Sat May 29 09:00 AM |
San Diego Surf 10th · 1-0-3 · GD -1 |
Away far trip
Surf Sports Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 21% |
1–2 | 0.80 | 0.67 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Beach Futbol Club | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | +0.02 | -0.05 | 96% | 2.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs SDSC Surf · Sat Oct 24 at Rebels SC · Sat Oct 31 vs Legends FC Del Mar See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | LAFC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 1 | +11 | 10 | 2.50 | WWDW | -0.50 | +0.01 | 98% | 1.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Legends FC Del Mar · Sun Oct 25 at SDSC Surf · Sat Oct 31 vs Rebels SC See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Sporting California USA | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 10 | 2.50 | WWDW | -0.69 | +0.14 | 42% | 5.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs San Diego Surf · Sat Oct 31 at Pateadores Soccer Club · Sun Nov 1 at Rebels SC See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | CDA Slammers FC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 14 | 2.33 | DWWDW | -0.55 | +0.17 | 69% | 3.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 vs San Diego Surf · Sat Oct 24 vs Pateadores Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 vs Rebels SC See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Legends FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 7 | 1.75 | WLWD | +0.01 | +0.01 | 27% | 5.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Wed Oct 21 at Pateadores Soccer Club · Sat Oct 24 vs SDSC Surf · Sat Oct 31 vs San Diego Surf See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | LA Breakers FC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 10 | 1.67 | WLDWL | -0.35 | +0.12 | 38% | 5.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at SDSC Surf · Sun Nov 8 at San Diego Surf · Sun Nov 15 at Beach Futbol Club See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Rebels SC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 5 | 1.25 | WDLD | +0.74 | -0.12 | 15% | 6.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Beach Futbol Club · Sun Oct 25 at CDA Slammers FC · Sat Oct 31 at LAFC See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Pateadores Soccer Club | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 7 | 1.17 | DLLWW | -0.29 | +0.10 | 11% | 7.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Wed Oct 21 vs Legends FC · Sat Oct 24 at CDA Slammers FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Sporting California USA See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | SDSC Surf | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 4 | 0.80 | LLLWD | +0.23 | +0.00 | 2% | 9.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at Beach Futbol Club · Sat Oct 24 at Legends FC · Sun Oct 25 vs LAFC See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | San Diego Surf | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | 0.75 | LLWL | +0.09 | +0.04 | 2% | 8.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 at CDA Slammers FC · Sat Oct 24 at Sporting California USA · Sat Oct 31 at Legends FC See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | LV Heat Surf SC | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 26 | -19 | 6 | 0.75 | LLLLL | -0.05 | +0.31 | 0% | 12.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs West Coast FC · Sat Nov 14 vs Rebels SC · Sun Mar 14 at Legends FC See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Legends FC Del Mar | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 4 | 0.67 | LLWDL | +0.25 | +0.04 | 0% | 10.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs LAFC · Sat Oct 31 at Beach Futbol Club · Sun Nov 1 at CDA Slammers FC See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | West Coast FC | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 1 | 0.20 | LLDLL | +0.22 | +0.11 | 0% | 11.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at LV Heat Surf SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Beach Futbol Club · Sun Nov 8 at Legends FC See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.91 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.