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Legends FC Del Mar

ECNL Boys · Southwest BU17 · 13 teams · Legends FC - Del Mar (all teams)

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12th
1-1-4 record · 6 played
0.67 points per game
-7 goal diff · 9–16
LLWDLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.9
+0.25 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 04:00 PM

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Legends FC Del Mar
12th · 0.67 PPG
vs
LAFC
2nd · 2.50 PPG

Canyon Crest Academy, Stadium ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–2 (expected goals 1.0 for, 2.9 against · 0.43 expected points)

Season so farLegends FC Del MarLAFC
Position12th2nd
Record (W-D-L)1-1-43-1-0
Points per game0.672.50
Goals for / game1.53.0
Goals against / game2.70.3
Clean sheets03
Held scoreless21
Form (recent first)L D W L LW D W W
Biggest win4–1 vs LV Heat Surf SC5–0 vs West Coast FC
Worst loss1–4 at LAFC—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.75+1.36
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.25-0.50

Already played this season: Sat Sep 19 1–4 at LAFC (L)

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    LAFC score 3.0/game — well above the league's 1.9.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    LAFC concede only 0.2/game with 3 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–3 vs CDA Slammers FC, 0–2 at LA Breakers FC.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 10%; a draw (14%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    LV Heat Surf SC sit 11th on 0.75 PPG; we are on 0.67.

    A point moves us above LV Heat Surf SC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the LAFC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Legends FC Del Mar – LAFC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.57 PPG
12th— holds 13th▼ down 1 13th▼ down 1
Win
1.00 PPG
9th▲ up 3 9th▲ up 3 11th▲ up 1
Draw
0.71 PPG
12th— holds 9th▲ up 3 12th— holds
Loss
0.57 PPG
12th— holds 13th▼ down 1 13th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–2 loss we stay 12th even if every rival loses, and as low as 13th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
10.9 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th 1%
  8. 8th 2%
  9. 9th 7%
  10. 10th 19%
  11. 11th 46%
  12. 12th 19%
  13. 13th 6%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.42 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Beach Futbol Club 3.00 (+2.33) 2nd (2.11) 68 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 47 for their projection
2 LAFC 2.50 (+1.83) 1st (2.21) 56 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 49 for their projection
3 Sporting California USA 2.50 (+1.83) 4th (1.66) 56 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
4 CDA Slammers FC 2.33 (+1.66) 3rd (1.82) 52 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection
5 Legends FC 1.75 (+1.08) 6th (1.55) 38 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
6 LA Breakers FC 1.67 (+1.00) 5th (1.61) 37 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
7 Rebels SC 1.25 (+0.58) 7th (1.46) 26 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
8 Pateadores Soccer Club 1.17 (+0.50) 8th (1.40) 25 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
9 SDSC Surf 0.80 (+0.13) 10th (1.19) A point next game
10 San Diego Surf 0.75 (+0.08) 9th (1.20) A point next game
11 LV Heat Surf SC 0.75 (+0.08) 13th (0.55) A point next game

How the results connect

10 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Legends FC Del Mar to LAFC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
9 favour them
-3.5 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–4 4–1 2–1 0–5 2–1 0–3 0–2 2–3 0–0 3–3 3–1 1–3 3–2 0–3 3–2 1–1 4–4 Legends FC Del Mar 12th LV Heat Surf SC 11th LA Breakers FC 6th Sporting California… 3rd CDA Slammers FC 4th West Coast FC 13th SDSC Surf 9th Rebels SC 7th LAFC 2nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

10 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 5 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.04 · 7th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
04:00 PM
LAFC
2nd · 3-1-0 · GD +11
Home
Canyon Crest Academy · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
10%
0–2 0.43 0.63 Upside
Sat Oct 31
09:00 AM
Beach Futbol Club
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +6
Away far trip
Long Beach City College - Liberal Arts Campus
●●●●● Very tough
10%
0–2 0.45 0.61 Upside
Sun Nov 1
TBD
CDA Slammers FC
4th · 4-2-0 · GD +7
Away
●●●●● Very tough
14%
1–2 0.56 0.61 Upside
Sat Nov 7
09:00 AM
Sporting California USA
3rd · 3-1-0 · GD +4
Away far trip
Ontario Sports Empire
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–3 0.66 0.61 Upside
Sat Nov 14
02:00 PM
Legends FC
5th · 2-1-1 · GD +2
Home
San Dieguito Academy
●●●●○ Tough
26%
2–3 0.94 0.64 Upside
Sat Mar 13
TBD
Pateadores Soccer Club
8th · 2-1-3 · GD +3
Away
●●●●● Very tough
18%
1–2 0.72 0.65 Upside
Sun Mar 14
09:00 AM
San Diego Surf
10th · 1-0-3 · GD -1
Away
Surf Sports Park
●●●●● Very tough
25%
1–2 0.94 0.67 Upside
Sat Mar 20
02:00 PM
West Coast FC
13th · 0-1-4 · GD -9
Home
San Dieguito Academy
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%
2–2 1.72 0.75 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
05:00 PM
Legends FC
5th · 2-1-1 · GD +2
Away far trip
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–3 0.66 0.74 Upside
Sun Apr 4
02:00 PM
Beach Futbol Club
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +6
Home
San Dieguito Academy
●●●●● Very tough
15%
1–2 0.63 0.73 Upside
Sat Apr 10
03:30 PM
Rebels SC
7th · 1-2-1 · GD -1
Away
El Cajon Valley High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–2 0.83 0.74 Upside
Sun Apr 11
03:00 PM
Pateadores Soccer Club
8th · 2-1-3 · GD +3
Home
San Dieguito Academy
●●●●○ Tough
26%
1–2 0.97 0.75 Upside
Sat Apr 24
03:00 PM
SDSC Surf
9th · 1-1-3 · GD -2
Home
San Dieguito Academy
●●●●○ Tough
34%
1–2 1.22 0.78 Upside
Sat May 1
TBD
West Coast FC
13th · 0-1-4 · GD -9
Away
●●●●○ Tough
40%
2–2 1.40 0.81 Upside
Sat May 8
03:00 PM
Rebels SC
7th · 1-2-1 · GD -1
Home
San Dieguito Academy
●●●●○ Tough
29%
1–2 1.09 0.82 Upside
Sun May 9
03:00 PM
San Diego Surf
10th · 1-0-3 · GD -1
Home
San Dieguito Academy
●●●●○ Tough
33%
1–2 1.20 0.84 Upside
Sat May 22
11:00 AM
SDSC Surf
9th · 1-1-3 · GD -2
Away far trip
Maranatha Christian School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
25%
1–2 0.94 0.84 Upside
Sat May 29
TBD
LV Heat Surf SC
11th · 2-0-6 · GD -19
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
2–1 1.87 0.89 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Beach Futbol Club 4400 82+6 123.00 WWWW +0.02 -0.05 96% 2.1
2 LAFC 4310 121+11 102.50 WWDW -0.50 +0.01 98% 1.6
3 Sporting California USA 4310 117+4 102.50 WWDW -0.69 +0.14 42% 5.1
4 CDA Slammers FC 6420 158+7 142.33 DWWDW -0.55 +0.17 69% 3.9
5 Legends FC 4211 1311+2 71.75 WLWD +0.01 +0.01 27% 5.9
6 LA Breakers FC 6312 137+6 101.67 WLDWL -0.35 +0.12 38% 5.3
7 Rebels SC 4121 67-1 51.25 WDLD +0.74 -0.12 15% 6.8
8 Pateadores Soccer Club 6213 1310+3 71.17 DLLWW -0.29 +0.10 11% 7.1
9 SDSC Surf 5113 911-2 40.80 LLLWD +0.23 +0.00 2% 9.0
10 San Diego Surf 4103 67-1 30.75 LLWL +0.09 +0.04 2% 8.8
11 LV Heat Surf SC 8206 726-19 60.75 LLLLL -0.05 +0.31 0% 12.6
12 Legends FC Del Mar 6114 916-7 40.67 LLWDL +0.25 +0.04 0% 10.9
13 West Coast FC 5014 817-9 10.20 LLDLL +0.22 +0.11 0% 11.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.91 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.