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Legends FC

ECNL Boys · Southwest BU17 · 13 teams · Legends FC (CA) (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 9 minutes ago.
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5th
2-1-1 record · 4 played
1.75 points per game
+2 goal diff · 13–11
WLWDlast 4
29% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.8
+0.01 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 07:00 PM

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Legends FC
5th · 1.75 PPG
vs
SDSC Surf
9th · 0.80 PPG

Silverlakes Complex, Field 2 ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 3–2 (expected goals 3.1 for, 2.2 against · 1.86 expected points)

Season so farLegends FCSDSC Surf
Position5th9th
Record (W-D-L)2-1-11-1-3
Points per game1.750.80
Goals for / game3.31.8
Goals against / game2.82.2
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)D W L WD W L L L
Biggest win5–2 vs Pateadores Soccer Club5–2 vs Legends FC
Worst loss2–5 at SDSC Surf0–3 at LAFC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.30-0.18
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.01+0.23

Already played this season: Sun Sep 27 2–5 at SDSC Surf (L)

Game plan

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 56% / draw 17% / loss 27%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the SDSC Surf game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Legends FC – SDSC Surf) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.00 PPG
5th— holds 5th— holds 5th— holds
Win
2.00 PPG
5th— holds 5th— holds 5th— holds
Draw
1.60 PPG
6th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 2
Loss
1.40 PPG
6th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 1 9th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–2 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

1% finish 1st
29% top 4
71% below the top 4
5.8 average finish
  1. 1st 1%
  2. 2nd 4%
  3. 3rd 11%
  4. 4th 14%
  5. 5th 18%
  6. 6th 16%
  7. 7th 16%
  8. 8th 12%
  9. 9th 6%
  10. 10th 3%
  11. 11th 1%
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 20 remaining known games (max 2.79 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Beach Futbol Club 3.00 (+1.25) 2nd (2.11) 65 of 60 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection
2 LAFC 2.50 (+0.75) 1st (2.21) 53 of 60 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection
3 Sporting California USA 2.50 (+0.75) 4th (1.66) 53 of 60 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
4 CDA Slammers FC 2.33 (+0.58) 3rd (1.82) 49 of 60 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection

How the results connect

5 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link Legends FC to SDSC Surf through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

4 favour us
1 favour them
+4.6 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–5 2–2 0–0 3–0 5–2 2–0 2–1 4–2 4–0 6–0 Legends FC 5th Rebels SC 7th Pateadores Soccer C… 8th San Diego Surf 10th LAFC 2nd LV Heat Surf SC 11th SDSC Surf 9th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

5 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 5 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.01 · 9th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Wed Oct 21
06:00 PM
no score posted
Pateadores Soccer Club
8th · 2-1-3 · GD +3
Away far trip
Great Park
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.22 1.64 Upside
Sat Oct 24
07:00 PM
SDSC Surf
9th · 1-1-3 · GD -2
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
3–2 1.86 1.68 Swing game
Sat Oct 31
11:00 AM
San Diego Surf
10th · 1-0-3 · GD -1
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
2–1 1.81 1.70 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
01:00 PM
West Coast FC
13th · 0-1-4 · GD -9
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
76%
4–2 2.38 1.78 Bank it
Mon Nov 9
07:15 PM
LAFC
2nd · 3-1-0 · GD +11
Away far trip
El Camino Real Charter High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–3 0.52 1.64 Upside
Sat Nov 14
02:00 PM
Legends FC Del Mar
12th · 1-1-4 · GD -7
Away far trip
San Dieguito Academy
●●●○○ Toss-up
58%
3–2 1.90 1.67 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
09:00 AM
LV Heat Surf SC
11th · 2-0-6 · GD -19
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
86%
4–1 2.66 1.76 Bank it
Sat Mar 20
TBD
Sporting California USA
3rd · 3-1-0 · GD +4
Away
●●●●○ Tough
33%
2–2 1.16 1.71 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 PM
West Coast FC
13th · 0-1-4 · GD -9
Away far trip
Lake Forest Sports Park
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
3–2 2.09 1.74 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
05:00 PM
Legends FC Del Mar
12th · 1-1-4 · GD -7
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
3–1 2.21 1.77 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
11:00 AM
LA Breakers FC
6th · 3-1-2 · GD +6
Home
Ontario Sports Empire
●●●●○ Tough
38%
2–2 1.34 1.74 Upside
Sun Apr 18
09:00 AM
Beach Futbol Club
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +6
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●○ Tough
28%
1–2 1.03 1.70 Upside
Sat Apr 24
TBD
CDA Slammers FC
4th · 4-2-0 · GD +7
Away
●●●●○ Tough
27%
2–2 0.99 1.66 Upside
Sun Apr 25
05:45 PM
Rebels SC
7th · 1-2-1 · GD -1
Away far trip
El Cajon Valley High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
39%
2–2 1.35 1.64 Upside
Sat May 1
TBD
LV Heat Surf SC
11th · 2-0-6 · GD -19
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
78%
3–1 2.46 1.68 Bank it
Sat May 8
TBD
LA Breakers FC
6th · 3-1-2 · GD +6
Away
●●●●○ Tough
28%
1–2 1.04 1.65 Upside
Sun May 9
11:00 AM
Sporting California USA
3rd · 3-1-0 · GD +4
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
2–2 1.51 1.64 Swing game
Sat May 15
01:00 PM
LAFC
2nd · 3-1-0 · GD +11
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–2 0.74 1.60 Upside
Sat May 22
09:00 AM
Beach Futbol Club
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +6
Away far trip
El Camino College
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–2 0.77 1.57 Upside
Sun May 30
11:00 AM
CDA Slammers FC
4th · 4-2-0 · GD +7
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●○ Tough
37%
2–2 1.30 1.55 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Beach Futbol Club 4400 82+6 123.00 WWWW +0.02 -0.05 95% 2.1
2 LAFC 4310 121+11 102.50 WWDW -0.50 +0.01 99% 1.6
3 Sporting California USA 4310 117+4 102.50 WWDW -0.69 +0.14 42% 5.2
4 CDA Slammers FC 6420 158+7 142.33 DWWDW -0.55 +0.17 70% 3.9
5 Legends FC 4211 1311+2 71.75 WLWD +0.01 +0.01 29% 5.8
6 LA Breakers FC 6312 137+6 101.67 WLDWL -0.35 +0.12 35% 5.4
7 Rebels SC 4121 67-1 51.25 WDLD +0.74 -0.12 15% 6.8
8 Pateadores Soccer Club 6213 1310+3 71.17 DLLWW -0.29 +0.10 11% 7.2
9 SDSC Surf 5113 911-2 40.80 LLLWD +0.23 +0.00 2% 8.9
10 San Diego Surf 4103 67-1 30.75 LLWL +0.09 +0.04 3% 8.8
11 LV Heat Surf SC 8206 726-19 60.75 LLLLL -0.05 +0.31 0% 12.6
12 Legends FC Del Mar 6114 916-7 40.67 LLWDL +0.25 +0.04 0% 10.9
13 West Coast FC 5014 817-9 10.20 LLDLL +0.22 +0.11 0% 11.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.91 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.