Sporting California USA

ECNL Boys · Southwest BU14 · 13 teams · Sporting California USA (all teams)

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5th

2-0-1 record · 3 played

2.00 points per game

+4 goal diff · 7–3

WLWlast 3

4% chance of top 4 · expected finish 7.3

-1.55 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:00 AM

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Sporting California USA
5th · 2.00 PPG

San Diego Surf
1st · 3.00 PPG

San Bernardino Valley College, Grass ↗ · grass

14% 16% 70%

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.2 for, 2.7 against · 0.58 expected points)

Season so far	Sporting California USA	San Diego Surf
Position	5th	1st
Record (W-D-L)	2-0-1	4-0-0
Points per game	2.00	3.00
Goals for / game	2.3	5.0
Goals against / game	1.0	0.3
Clean sheets	2	3
Held scoreless	1	0
Form (recent first)	W L W	W W W W
Biggest win	4–0 vs West Coast FC	10–0 at LV Heat Surf SC
Worst loss	0–3 at West Coast FC	—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+0.31	+2.40
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-1.55	-1.07

Game plan

Respect their attack
San Diego Surf score 5.0/game — well above the league's 2.1.
Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
Hard to break down
San Diego Surf concede only 0.2/game with 3 clean sheet(s).
Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–3 at West Coast FC.
Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 14%; a draw (16%) would be a good result.
Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
They arrive in form
San Diego Surf have won 4 straight.
Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
Grass field
Venue listed as "Grass" at San Bernardino Valley College.
If the team trains on turf: the ball will be slower and bounce less true. Weight passes harder, favour early crosses in the final third, and bring FG/SG cleats. Warm up on the field, not the track.
What a win does
SDSC Surf sit 4th on 2.00 PPG; we are on 2.00.
A point moves us above SDSC Surf on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the San Diego Surf game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sporting California USA – San Diego Surf) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Loss · 1.50 PPG	7th▼ down 2	7th▼ down 2	10th▼ down 5
Win 2.25 PPG	3rd▲ up 2	3rd▲ up 2	4th▲ up 1
Draw 1.75 PPG	7th▼ down 2	6th▼ down 1	9th▼ down 4
Loss 1.50 PPG	7th▼ down 2	7th▼ down 2	10th▼ down 5

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 5th even if every rival loses, and as low as 10th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st

4% top 4

96% below the top 4

7.3 average finish

1st
2nd <1%
3rd 1%
4th 2%
5th 5%
6th 11%
7th 36%
8th 27%
9th 12%
10th 4%
11th <1%
12th
13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 21 remaining known games (max 2.88 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	San Diego Surf	3.00 (+1.00)	1st (2.47)	66 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 54 for their projection
2	Pateadores Soccer Club	3.00 (+1.00)	2nd (2.05)	66 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection
3	LA Breakers FC	2.00 (+0.00)	6th (1.88)	A point next game
4	SDSC Surf	2.00 (+0.00)	5th (1.91)	A point next game

How the results connect

3 chains · 5 teams

Paths of results that link Sporting California USA to San Diego Surf through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us

3 favour them

-8.3 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

3 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.25 · 3rd hardest of 13

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Mon Jan 1 TBD no score posted	Pateadores Soccer Club 2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +10	Home	●●●●○ Tough	31%	1–2	1.13	1.78	Upside
Sat Oct 24 11:00 AM	San Diego Surf 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +19	Home San Bernardino Valley College · grass	●●●●● Very tough	14%	1–2	0.58	1.54	Upside
Sat Oct 31 11:00 AM	Pateadores Soccer Club 2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +10	Away far trip Great Park	●●●●● Very tough	22%	1–2	0.86	1.43	Upside
Sun Nov 1 10:15 AM	Rebels SC 8th · 2-0-2 · GD -5	Away far trip Monte Vista High School · turf?	●●●○○ Toss-up	50%	2–1	1.73	1.47	Swing game
Sat Nov 7 01:00 PM	Legends FC Del Mar 13th · 0-0-6 · GD -29	Home Ontario Sports Empire	●○○○○ Favorable	93%	4–0	2.83	1.64	Bank it
Sat Nov 14 10:45 AM	SDSC Surf 4th · 3-1-1 · GD +9	Away far trip Maranatha Christian School	●●●●● Very tough	23%	1–2	0.89	1.56	Upside
Sun Nov 15 11:00 AM	SDSC Surf 4th · 3-1-1 · GD +9	Home San Bernardino Valley College · grass	●●●●○ Tough	32%	1–2	1.16	1.52	Upside
Sat Mar 13 TBD	CDA Slammers FC 10th · 2-2-2 · GD +3	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	44%	1–1	1.56	1.52	Swing game
Sun Mar 14 TBD	LA Breakers FC 3rd · 4-0-2 · GD +17	Home	●●●●○ Tough	27%	1–2	1.01	1.48	Upside
Sat Mar 20 TBD	Legends FC 7th · 3-0-2 · GD +6	Home	●●●●○ Tough	29%	1–1	1.10	1.45	Upside
Sat Apr 3 TBD	Rebels SC 8th · 2-0-2 · GD -5	Home	●●○○○ Lean win	60%	2–1	1.99	1.49	Swing game
Sun Apr 4 09:00 AM	San Diego Surf 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +19	Away far trip Surf Sports Park	●●●●● Very tough	9%	1–3	0.40	1.42	Upside
Sat Apr 10 TBD	LV Heat Surf SC 11th · 1-0-7 · GD -31	Away	●○○○○ Favorable	81%	3–1	2.53	1.48	Bank it
Sat Apr 17 TBD	LA Breakers FC 3rd · 4-0-2 · GD +17	Away	●●●●● Very tough	19%	1–2	0.76	1.44	Upside
Sat Apr 24 TBD	LAFC 6th · 3-0-2 · GD +12	Home	●●●●○ Tough	26%	1–2	1.00	1.42	Upside
Sat May 1 TBD	Beach Futbol Club 12th · 0-0-3 · GD -10	Home	●●○○○ Lean win	73%	2–1	2.34	1.47	Bank it
Sun May 2 TBD	CDA Slammers FC 10th · 2-2-2 · GD +3	Away	●●●●○ Tough	36%	1–1	1.30	1.46	Upside
Sun May 9 11:00 AM	Legends FC 7th · 3-0-2 · GD +6	Away far trip Silverlakes Complex	●●●●● Very tough	22%	1–2	0.86	1.43	Upside
Sat May 15 TBD	LV Heat Surf SC 11th · 1-0-7 · GD -31	Home	●○○○○ Favorable	87%	4–1	2.70	1.49	Bank it
Sat May 22 TBD	LAFC 6th · 3-0-2 · GD +12	Away	●●●●● Very tough	19%	1–2	0.77	1.46	Upside
Sat May 29 01:00 PM	Beach Futbol Club 12th · 0-0-3 · GD -10	Away far trip El Camino College · turf?	●●○○○ Lean win	65%	2–1	2.12	1.48	Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

San Diego Surf

+19

3.00

WWWW

-1.07

+0.03

99%

1.2

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Beach Futbol Club (12th)	2–0
W	Sat Sep 26	at	LV Heat Surf SC (11th)	10–0
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Legends FC (7th)	2–1
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Beach Futbol Club (12th)	6–0

Next: Sat Oct 3 at CDA Slammers FC · Sat Oct 24 at Sporting California USA · Sat Oct 31 at Legends FC See all 20 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 3 (no score yet)	at	CDA Slammers FC (10th)	2–1	71%
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Sporting California USA (5th)	2–1	70%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Legends FC (7th)	2–1	54%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	CDA Slammers FC (10th)	3–0	79%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	LA Breakers FC (3rd)	2–1	64%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	LAFC (6th)	2–1	52%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	LA Breakers FC (3rd)	2–1	54%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Rebels SC (8th)	3–1	84%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Legends FC Del Mar (13th)	7–0	99%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	SDSC Surf (4th)	2–1	60%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	LV Heat Surf SC (11th)	7–0	99%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Sporting California USA (5th)	3–1	78%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	West Coast FC (9th)	3–1	86%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Rebels SC (8th)	4–0	90%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Pateadores Soccer Club (2nd)	2–1	69%
·	Sun May 2	vs	LAFC (6th)	2–1	62%
·	Sun May 9	at	Legends FC Del Mar (13th)	6–0	99%
·	Sat May 15	vs	SDSC Surf (4th)	3–1	70%
·	Sat May 22	at	Pateadores Soccer Club (2nd)	2–1	59%
·	Sat May 29	vs	West Coast FC (9th)	4–0	91%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Pateadores Soccer Club

+10

3.00

WWWW

-0.81

+0.09

75%

3.4

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	LV Heat Surf SC (11th)	8–2
W	Sat Oct 17	at	LV Heat Surf SC (11th)	2–1
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	LA Breakers FC (3rd)	3–1
W	Thu Sep 24	at	Legends FC (7th)	2–1

Next: Mon Jan 1 at Sporting California USA · Sat Oct 24 at CDA Slammers FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Sporting California USA See all 20 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Mon Jan 1 (no score yet)	at	Sporting California USA (5th)	2–1	49%
·	Sat Oct 24	at	CDA Slammers FC (10th)	2–1	50%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Sporting California USA (5th)	2–1	59%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	LAFC (6th)	1–1	39%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Beach Futbol Club (12th)	3–1	80%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	Legends FC (7th)	1–1	42%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	LA Breakers FC (3rd)	1–2	31%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Beach Futbol Club (12th)	3–0	86%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Legends FC Del Mar (13th)	5–0	98%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Rebels SC (8th)	3–1	76%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	LAFC (6th)	1–2	30%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	CDA Slammers FC (10th)	2–1	60%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	SDSC Surf (4th)	2–2	36%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Legends FC Del Mar (13th)	5–0	96%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	West Coast FC (9th)	3–1	78%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	San Diego Surf (1st)	1–2	16%
·	Sat May 15	at	Rebels SC (8th)	2–1	67%
·	Sun May 16	at	West Coast FC (9th)	3–1	70%
·	Sat May 22	vs	San Diego Surf (1st)	1–2	23%
·	Sun May 30	vs	SDSC Surf (4th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

LA Breakers FC

+17

2.00

WLLWW

-1.31

+0.37

48%

4.5

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	CDA Slammers FC (10th)	3–1
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Legends FC Del Mar (13th)	8–0
L	Sun Sep 27	at	Pateadores Soccer Club (2nd)	1–3
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Rebels SC (8th)	1–2
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	LV Heat Surf SC (11th)	3–0
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Legends FC Del Mar (13th)	7–0

Next: Sat Nov 7 at SDSC Surf · Sun Nov 8 at San Diego Surf · Sun Nov 22 at Beach Futbol Club See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Nov 7	at	SDSC Surf (4th)	2–2	41%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	San Diego Surf (1st)	1–2	19%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Beach Futbol Club (12th)	3–1	82%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	LAFC (6th)	2–1	43%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Pateadores Soccer Club (2nd)	2–1	50%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	San Diego Surf (1st)	1–2	27%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Sporting California USA (5th)	2–1	53%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	CDA Slammers FC (10th)	2–1	54%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	SDSC Surf (4th)	2–1	51%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Sporting California USA (5th)	2–1	63%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Rebels SC (8th)	2–1	71%
·	Sat May 1	at	LAFC (6th)	1–2	34%
·	Sun May 2	vs	West Coast FC (9th)	3–1	81%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Legends FC (7th)	1–1	46%
·	Sun May 9	at	West Coast FC (9th)	3–1	73%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Beach Futbol Club (12th)	3–0	88%
·	Sun May 16	at	Legends FC (7th)	1–1	37%
·	Sat May 22	at	LV Heat Surf SC (11th)	5–1	93%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

SDSC Surf

2.00

WWWLD

+0.04

-0.06

53%

4.3

D	Sat Oct 17	vs	CDA Slammers FC (10th)	2–2
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	Legends FC (7th)	1–2
W	Sat Sep 19	at	LV Heat Surf SC (11th)	8–1
W	Sun Sep 13	at	CDA Slammers FC (10th)	3–1
W	Sat Sep 12	at	LAFC (6th)	2–1

Next: Sun Oct 4 at Beach Futbol Club · Sat Oct 24 at Legends FC · Sun Oct 25 vs LAFC See all 19 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 4 (no score yet)	at	Beach Futbol Club (12th)	3–1	79%
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Legends FC (7th)	1–2	32%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	LAFC (6th)	1–2	38%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	LA Breakers FC (3rd)	2–2	40%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Beach Futbol Club (12th)	3–1	86%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Sporting California USA (5th)	2–1	58%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Sporting California USA (5th)	2–1	48%
·	Tue Nov 24	at	Rebels SC (8th)	2–1	66%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	West Coast FC (9th)	3–1	69%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	San Diego Surf (1st)	1–2	22%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	LA Breakers FC (3rd)	1–2	30%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	LV Heat Surf SC (11th)	5–1	95%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Pateadores Soccer Club (2nd)	2–2	45%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Legends FC Del Mar (13th)	5–0	96%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Rebels SC (8th)	3–1	75%
·	Sat May 8	vs	West Coast FC (9th)	3–1	78%
·	Sat May 15	at	San Diego Surf (1st)	1–3	15%
·	Sat May 22	vs	Legends FC Del Mar (13th)	5–0	98%
·	Sun May 30	at	Pateadores Soccer Club (2nd)	2–2	34%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Sporting California USA

2.00

WLW

-1.55

+0.25

7.3

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Legends FC Del Mar (13th)	3–0
L	Sat Oct 17	at	West Coast FC (9th)	0–3
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	West Coast FC (9th)	4–0

Next: Mon Jan 1 vs Pateadores Soccer Club · Sat Oct 24 vs San Diego Surf · Sat Oct 31 at Pateadores Soccer Club See all 21 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Mon Jan 1 (no score yet)	vs	Pateadores Soccer Club (2nd)	1–2	31%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	San Diego Surf (1st)	1–2	14%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Pateadores Soccer Club (2nd)	1–2	22%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Rebels SC (8th)	2–1	50%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Legends FC Del Mar (13th)	4–0	93%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	SDSC Surf (4th)	1–2	23%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	SDSC Surf (4th)	1–2	32%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	CDA Slammers FC (10th)	1–1	44%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	LA Breakers FC (3rd)	1–2	27%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Legends FC (7th)	1–1	29%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Rebels SC (8th)	2–1	60%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	San Diego Surf (1st)	1–3	9%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	LV Heat Surf SC (11th)	3–1	81%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	LA Breakers FC (3rd)	1–2	19%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	LAFC (6th)	1–2	26%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Beach Futbol Club (12th)	2–1	73%
·	Sun May 2	at	CDA Slammers FC (10th)	1–1	36%
·	Sun May 9	at	Legends FC (7th)	1–2	22%
·	Sat May 15	vs	LV Heat Surf SC (11th)	4–1	87%
·	Sat May 22	at	LAFC (6th)	1–2	19%
·	Sat May 29	at	Beach Futbol Club (12th)	2–1	65%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

LAFC

+12

1.80

LWWWL

-0.41

+0.05

55%

4.3

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Legends FC (7th)	0–2
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	West Coast FC (9th)	5–0
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Rebels SC (8th)	3–0
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Legends FC Del Mar (13th)	7–0
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	SDSC Surf (4th)	1–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Legends FC Del Mar · Sun Oct 25 at SDSC Surf · Sun Nov 1 at Beach Futbol Club See all 19 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Legends FC Del Mar (13th)	4–0	96%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	SDSC Surf (4th)	2–1	41%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Beach Futbol Club (12th)	3–0	81%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Pateadores Soccer Club (2nd)	1–1	40%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	San Diego Surf (1st)	1–2	27%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	LA Breakers FC (3rd)	1–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Rebels SC (8th)	3–1	77%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	CDA Slammers FC (10th)	2–1	63%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Pateadores Soccer Club (2nd)	2–1	50%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	West Coast FC (9th)	2–1	72%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	CDA Slammers FC (10th)	2–1	54%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Beach Futbol Club (12th)	3–0	87%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Sporting California USA (5th)	2–1	52%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	LV Heat Surf SC (11th)	5–0	96%
·	Sat May 1	vs	LA Breakers FC (3rd)	2–1	45%
·	Sun May 2	at	San Diego Surf (1st)	1–2	20%
·	Sat May 8	at	LV Heat Surf SC (11th)	4–0	92%
·	Sat May 15	at	Legends FC (7th)	1–1	37%
·	Sat May 22	vs	Sporting California USA (5th)	2–1	61%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Legends FC

1.80

LLWWW

+1.04

-0.33

65%

3.9

W	Sun Oct 18	at	LAFC (6th)	2–0
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Rebels SC (8th)	5–0
W	Sun Sep 27	at	SDSC Surf (4th)	2–1
L	Thu Sep 24	vs	Pateadores Soccer Club (2nd)	1–2
L	Sat Sep 19	at	San Diego Surf (1st)	1–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs SDSC Surf · Sat Oct 31 vs San Diego Surf · Sun Nov 8 vs West Coast FC See all 19 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	SDSC Surf (4th)	2–1	47%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	San Diego Surf (1st)	1–2	25%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	West Coast FC (9th)	2–1	76%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Legends FC Del Mar (13th)	4–0	94%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	Pateadores Soccer Club (2nd)	1–1	36%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	LV Heat Surf SC (11th)	4–0	94%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Sporting California USA (5th)	1–1	48%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	West Coast FC (9th)	2–1	67%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Legends FC Del Mar (13th)	4–0	96%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Beach Futbol Club (12th)	3–0	83%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	CDA Slammers FC (10th)	1–1	49%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Rebels SC (8th)	2–1	65%
·	Sat May 1	at	LV Heat Surf SC (11th)	4–0	90%
·	Sat May 8	at	LA Breakers FC (3rd)	1–1	32%
·	Sun May 9	vs	Sporting California USA (5th)	2–1	57%
·	Sat May 15	vs	LAFC (6th)	1–1	40%
·	Sun May 16	vs	LA Breakers FC (3rd)	1–1	41%
·	Sat May 22	at	Beach Futbol Club (12th)	2–0	77%
·	Sun May 30	vs	CDA Slammers FC (10th)	2–1	58%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Rebels SC

-5

1.50

WLWL

+0.60

+0.00

8.9

L	Sat Oct 17	at	Legends FC (7th)	0–5
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Beach Futbol Club (12th)	3–1
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	LAFC (6th)	0–3
W	Sat Sep 19	at	LA Breakers FC (3rd)	2–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Beach Futbol Club · Sun Oct 25 at CDA Slammers FC · Sun Nov 1 vs Sporting California USA See all 20 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Beach Futbol Club (12th)	2–1	59%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	CDA Slammers FC (10th)	1–2	22%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Sporting California USA (5th)	1–2	28%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	CDA Slammers FC (10th)	1–1	30%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	LV Heat Surf SC (11th)	3–1	67%
·	Tue Nov 24	vs	SDSC Surf (4th)	1–2	18%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	LAFC (6th)	1–3	10%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	San Diego Surf (1st)	1–3	6%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Pateadores Soccer Club (2nd)	1–3	11%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Sporting California USA (5th)	1–2	21%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Legends FC Del Mar (13th)	3–0	86%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	San Diego Surf (1st)	0–4	4%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	LA Breakers FC (3rd)	1–2	14%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	West Coast FC (9th)	2–1	46%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Legends FC (7th)	1–2	17%
·	Sat May 1	at	SDSC Surf (4th)	1–3	12%
·	Sat May 8	at	Legends FC Del Mar (13th)	3–0	79%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Pateadores Soccer Club (2nd)	1–2	17%
·	Sun May 16	vs	LV Heat Surf SC (11th)	3–1	76%
·	Sat May 22	at	West Coast FC (9th)	1–2	36%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

West Coast FC

-5

1.40

WLDLW

-0.05

+0.16

9.5

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Sporting California USA (5th)	3–0
L	Sat Sep 26	at	LAFC (6th)	0–5
D	Sat Sep 19	vs	CDA Slammers FC (10th)	1–1
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Sporting California USA (5th)	0–4
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	LV Heat Surf SC (11th)	4–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 at LV Heat Surf SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Beach Futbol Club · Sun Nov 8 at Legends FC See all 19 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	LV Heat Surf SC (11th)	3–1	66%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Beach Futbol Club (12th)	2–1	58%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Legends FC (7th)	1–2	10%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	CDA Slammers FC (10th)	1–2	21%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	SDSC Surf (4th)	1–3	16%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Legends FC Del Mar (13th)	3–1	79%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Legends FC (7th)	1–2	16%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Beach Futbol Club (12th)	2–1	48%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	LAFC (6th)	1–2	13%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	San Diego Surf (1st)	1–3	5%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Pateadores Soccer Club (2nd)	1–3	10%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Rebels SC (8th)	1–2	33%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Legends FC Del Mar (13th)	3–0	86%
·	Sun May 2	at	LA Breakers FC (3rd)	1–3	8%
·	Sat May 8	at	SDSC Surf (4th)	1–3	10%
·	Sun May 9	vs	LA Breakers FC (3rd)	1–3	13%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Pateadores Soccer Club (2nd)	1–3	16%
·	Sat May 22	vs	Rebels SC (8th)	2–1	43%
·	Sat May 29	at	San Diego Surf (1st)	0–4	3%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

CDA Slammers FC

1.33

DWWDL

-0.42

+0.20

7.9

L	Sun Oct 18	at	LA Breakers FC (3rd)	1–3
D	Sat Oct 17	at	SDSC Surf (4th)	2–2
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	LV Heat Surf SC (11th)	4–0
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Legends FC Del Mar (13th)	3–0
D	Sat Sep 19	at	West Coast FC (9th)	1–1
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	SDSC Surf (4th)	1–3

Next: Sat Oct 3 vs San Diego Surf · Sat Oct 24 vs Pateadores Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 vs Rebels SC See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 3 (no score yet)	vs	San Diego Surf (1st)	1–2	13%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Pateadores Soccer Club (2nd)	1–2	29%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Rebels SC (8th)	2–1	58%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Legends FC Del Mar (13th)	3–0	92%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	San Diego Surf (1st)	0–3	9%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Rebels SC (8th)	1–1	48%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	West Coast FC (9th)	2–1	60%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Sporting California USA (5th)	1–1	32%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	LAFC (6th)	1–2	18%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	LA Breakers FC (3rd)	1–2	25%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Pateadores Soccer Club (2nd)	1–2	21%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Beach Futbol Club (12th)	2–1	71%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	LAFC (6th)	1–2	25%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	LV Heat Surf SC (11th)	3–1	79%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Legends FC (7th)	1–1	27%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Sporting California USA (5th)	1–1	41%
·	Sat May 8	at	Beach Futbol Club (12th)	2–1	63%
·	Sun May 30	at	Legends FC (7th)	1–2	21%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

LV Heat Surf SC

-31

0.38

LWLLL

+0.46

+0.18

11.9

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Pateadores Soccer Club (2nd)	2–8
L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Pateadores Soccer Club (2nd)	1–2
L	Sun Oct 4	at	CDA Slammers FC (10th)	0–4
W	Sat Oct 3	at	Legends FC Del Mar (13th)	2–1
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	San Diego Surf (1st)	0–10
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	SDSC Surf (4th)	1–8
L	Sun Sep 13	at	LA Breakers FC (3rd)	0–3
L	Sat Sep 12	at	West Coast FC (9th)	3–4

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs West Coast FC · Sat Nov 14 vs Rebels SC · Sun Mar 14 at Legends FC See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	West Coast FC (9th)	1–3	19%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Rebels SC (8th)	1–3	18%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Legends FC (7th)	0–4	2%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Beach Futbol Club (12th)	1–2	32%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	San Diego Surf (1st)	0–7	0%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	SDSC Surf (4th)	1–5	2%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Sporting California USA (5th)	1–3	9%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	CDA Slammers FC (10th)	1–3	10%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Beach Futbol Club (12th)	1–2	23%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	LAFC (6th)	0–5	1%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Legends FC (7th)	0–4	4%
·	Sat May 8	vs	LAFC (6th)	0–4	3%
·	Sat May 15	at	Sporting California USA (5th)	1–4	5%
·	Sun May 16	at	Rebels SC (8th)	1–3	12%
·	Sat May 22	vs	LA Breakers FC (3rd)	1–5	2%
·	Sat May 29	vs	Legends FC Del Mar (13th)	2–1	67%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Beach Futbol Club

-10

0.00

LLL

+1.44

-0.02

11.0

L	Sat Oct 17	at	San Diego Surf (1st)	0–2
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Rebels SC (8th)	1–3
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	San Diego Surf (1st)	0–6

Next: Sun Oct 4 vs SDSC Surf · Sat Oct 24 at Rebels SC · Sat Oct 31 vs Legends FC Del Mar See all 21 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 4 (no score yet)	vs	SDSC Surf (4th)	1–3	9%
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Rebels SC (8th)	1–2	21%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Legends FC Del Mar (13th)	2–0	73%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	LAFC (6th)	0–3	8%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	West Coast FC (9th)	1–2	23%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	SDSC Surf (4th)	1–3	6%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Pateadores Soccer Club (2nd)	1–3	9%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	LA Breakers FC (3rd)	1–3	7%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Pateadores Soccer Club (2nd)	0–3	5%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	LV Heat Surf SC (11th)	2–1	49%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	West Coast FC (9th)	1–2	31%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Legends FC Del Mar (13th)	2–1	65%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	CDA Slammers FC (10th)	1–2	13%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	LAFC (6th)	0–3	5%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Legends FC (7th)	0–3	6%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	LV Heat Surf SC (11th)	2–1	59%
·	Sat May 1	at	Sporting California USA (5th)	1–2	12%
·	Sat May 8	vs	CDA Slammers FC (10th)	1–2	18%
·	Sat May 15	at	LA Breakers FC (3rd)	0–3	4%
·	Sat May 22	vs	Legends FC (7th)	0–2	9%
·	Sat May 29	vs	Sporting California USA (5th)	1–2	17%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Legends FC Del Mar

-29

0.00

LLLLL

+0.31

12.9

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Sporting California USA (5th)	0–3
L	Sat Oct 17	at	LA Breakers FC (3rd)	0–8
L	Sat Oct 3	vs	LV Heat Surf SC (11th)	1–2
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	CDA Slammers FC (10th)	0–3
L	Sat Sep 19	at	LAFC (6th)	0–7
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	LA Breakers FC (3rd)	0–7

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs LAFC · Sat Oct 31 at Beach Futbol Club · Sun Nov 1 at CDA Slammers FC See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	LAFC (6th)	0–4	1%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Beach Futbol Club (12th)	0–2	11%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	CDA Slammers FC (10th)	0–3	3%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Sporting California USA (5th)	0–4	2%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Legends FC (7th)	0–4	2%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Pateadores Soccer Club (2nd)	0–5	1%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	San Diego Surf (1st)	0–7	0%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	West Coast FC (9th)	1–3	9%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Legends FC (7th)	0–4	1%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Beach Futbol Club (12th)	1–2	16%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Rebels SC (8th)	0–3	5%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Pateadores Soccer Club (2nd)	0–5	1%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	SDSC Surf (4th)	0–5	1%
·	Sat May 1	at	West Coast FC (9th)	0–3	5%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Rebels SC (8th)	0–3	8%
·	Sun May 9	vs	San Diego Surf (1st)	0–6	0%
·	Sat May 22	at	SDSC Surf (4th)	0–5	1%
·	Sat May 29	at	LV Heat Surf SC (11th)	1–2	17%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.10 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.