Pateadores Soccer Club
ECNL Boys · Southwest BU14 · 13 teams · Pateadores Soccer Club (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 03:15 PM
Santiago High School, Stadium ↗ · turf? far trip
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.2 for, 1.6 against · 1.72 expected points)
| Season so far | Pateadores Soccer Club | CDA Slammers FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 10th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-0-0 | 2-2-2 |
| Points per game | 3.00 | 1.33 |
| Goals for / game | 3.8 | 2.0 |
| Goals against / game | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W | L D W W D |
| Biggest win | 8–2 vs LV Heat Surf SC | 4–0 vs LV Heat Surf SC |
| Worst loss | — | 1–3 vs SDSC Surf |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.17 | +0.22 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.81 | -0.42 |
Common opponents: LA Breakers FC — we 3–1; they 1–3. LV Heat Surf SC — we 2–1, 8–2; they 4–0.
Game plan
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Swing game — small margins
Win 50% / draw 21% / loss 29%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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Away game
Kickoff 03:15 PM at Santiago High School.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
San Diego Surf sit 1st on 3.00 PPG; we are on 3.00.A win moves us above San Diego Surf on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the CDA Slammers FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Pateadores Soccer Club – CDA Slammers FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 3.00 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Draw 2.60 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Loss 2.40 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 2nd if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 5%
- 2nd 28%
- 3rd 22%
- 4th 17%
- 5th 14%
- 6th 11%
- 7th 2%
- 8th 1%
- 9th <1%
- 10th <1%
- 11th
- 12th
- 13th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 20 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Diego Surf | 3.00 (+0.00) | 1st (2.47) | Win next game |
How the results connect
18 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link Pateadores Soccer Club to CDA Slammers FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
11 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.09 · 7th hardest of 13
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Jan 1 TBD no score posted |
Sporting California USA 5th · 2-0-1 · GD +4 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 49% |
2–1 | 1.67 | 2.73 | Swing game |
| Sat Oct 24 03:15 PM |
CDA Slammers FC 10th · 2-2-2 · GD +3 |
Away far trip
Santiago High School · turf? |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 50% |
2–1 | 1.72 | 2.56 | Swing game |
| Sat Oct 31 11:00 AM |
Sporting California USA 5th · 2-0-1 · GD +4 |
Home Great Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 59% |
2–1 | 1.95 | 2.48 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 7 05:00 PM |
LAFC 6th · 3-0-2 · GD +12 |
Home Great Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 39% |
1–1 | 1.39 | 2.34 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 01:00 PM |
Beach Futbol Club 12th · 0-0-3 · GD -10 |
Away far trip
El Camino College · turf? |
●○○○○ Favorable | 80% |
3–1 | 2.50 | 2.36 | Bank it |
| Sat Jan 30 TBD |
Legends FC 7th · 3-0-2 · GD +6 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 42% |
1–1 | 1.48 | 2.27 | Swing game |
| Sat Feb 6 10:30 AM |
LA Breakers FC 3rd · 4-0-2 · GD +17 |
Away far trip
Bell Gardens Sports Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
1–2 | 1.12 | 2.17 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 10:30 AM |
Beach Futbol Club 12th · 0-0-3 · GD -10 |
Home Vanguard University · turf? |
●○○○○ Favorable | 86% |
3–0 | 2.67 | 2.21 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 13 TBD |
Legends FC Del Mar 13th · 0-0-6 · GD -29 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 98% |
5–0 | 2.95 | 2.26 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
Rebels SC 8th · 2-0-2 · GD -5 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 76% |
3–1 | 2.41 | 2.28 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 3 TBD |
LAFC 6th · 3-0-2 · GD +12 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 30% |
1–2 | 1.10 | 2.20 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 TBD |
CDA Slammers FC 10th · 2-2-2 · GD +3 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 60% |
2–1 | 1.99 | 2.18 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 10 01:00 PM |
SDSC Surf 4th · 3-1-1 · GD +9 |
Away far trip
Maranatha Christian School |
●●●●○ Tough | 36% |
2–2 | 1.28 | 2.13 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 10:30 AM |
Legends FC Del Mar 13th · 0-0-6 · GD -29 |
Away far trip
San Dieguito Academy |
●○○○○ Favorable | 96% |
5–0 | 2.90 | 2.17 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
West Coast FC 9th · 2-1-2 · GD -5 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 78% |
3–1 | 2.47 | 2.19 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 24 09:00 AM |
San Diego Surf 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +19 |
Away far trip
Surf Sports Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 16% |
1–2 | 0.63 | 2.11 | Upside |
| Sat May 15 02:45 PM |
Rebels SC 8th · 2-0-2 · GD -5 |
Away far trip
El Cajon Valley High School · turf? |
●●○○○ Lean win | 67% |
2–1 | 2.17 | 2.11 | Swing game |
| Sun May 16 TBD |
West Coast FC 9th · 2-1-2 · GD -5 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 70% |
3–1 | 2.23 | 2.12 | Swing game |
| Sat May 22 TBD |
San Diego Surf 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +19 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 23% |
1–2 | 0.87 | 2.06 | Upside |
| Sun May 30 TBD |
SDSC Surf 4th · 3-1-1 · GD +9 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.60 | 2.05 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | San Diego Surf | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | +19 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | -1.07 | +0.03 | 100% | 1.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 at CDA Slammers FC · Sat Oct 24 at Sporting California USA · Sat Oct 31 at Legends FC See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Pateadores Soccer Club | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 5 | +10 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | -0.81 | +0.09 | 72% | 3.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 at Sporting California USA · Sat Oct 24 at CDA Slammers FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Sporting California USA See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | LA Breakers FC | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 6 | +17 | 12 | 2.00 | WLLWW | -1.31 | +0.37 | 50% | 4.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at SDSC Surf · Sun Nov 8 at San Diego Surf · Sun Nov 22 at Beach Futbol Club See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | SDSC Surf | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 10 | 2.00 | WWWLD | +0.04 | -0.06 | 51% | 4.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at Beach Futbol Club · Sat Oct 24 at Legends FC · Sun Oct 25 vs LAFC See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Sporting California USA | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 6 | 2.00 | WLW | -1.55 | +0.25 | 4% | 7.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 vs Pateadores Soccer Club · Sat Oct 24 vs San Diego Surf · Sat Oct 31 at Pateadores Soccer Club See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | LAFC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 4 | +12 | 9 | 1.80 | LWWWL | -0.41 | +0.05 | 54% | 4.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Legends FC Del Mar · Sun Oct 25 at SDSC Surf · Sun Nov 1 at Beach Futbol Club See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Legends FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 9 | 1.80 | LLWWW | +1.04 | -0.33 | 68% | 3.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs SDSC Surf · Sat Oct 31 vs San Diego Surf · Sun Nov 8 vs West Coast FC See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Rebels SC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 | 1.50 | WLWL | +0.60 | +0.00 | 0% | 8.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Beach Futbol Club · Sun Oct 25 at CDA Slammers FC · Sun Nov 1 vs Sporting California USA See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | West Coast FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 7 | 1.40 | WLDLW | -0.05 | +0.16 | 0% | 9.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at LV Heat Surf SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Beach Futbol Club · Sun Nov 8 at Legends FC See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | CDA Slammers FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 8 | 1.33 | DWWDL | -0.42 | +0.20 | 1% | 7.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 vs San Diego Surf · Sat Oct 24 vs Pateadores Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 vs Rebels SC See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | LV Heat Surf SC | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 40 | -31 | 3 | 0.38 | LWLLL | +0.46 | +0.18 | 0% | 11.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs West Coast FC · Sat Nov 14 vs Rebels SC · Sun Mar 14 at Legends FC See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Beach Futbol Club | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -10 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +1.44 | -0.02 | 0% | 11.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs SDSC Surf · Sat Oct 24 at Rebels SC · Sat Oct 31 vs Legends FC Del Mar See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | Legends FC Del Mar | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 30 | -29 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.31 | +0.31 | 0% | 12.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs LAFC · Sat Oct 31 at Beach Futbol Club · Sun Nov 1 at CDA Slammers FC See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.10 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.