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CDA Slammers FC

ECNL Boys · Southwest BU14 · 13 teams · CDA Slammers FC (all teams)

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10th
2-2-2 record · 6 played
1.33 points per game
+3 goal diff · 12–9
DWWDLlast 5
1% chance of top 4 · expected finish 7.8
-0.42 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 03:15 PM

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CDA Slammers FC
10th · 1.33 PPG
vs
Pateadores Soccer Club
2nd · 3.00 PPG

Santiago High School, Stadium ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.6 for, 2.2 against · 1.08 expected points)

Season so farCDA Slammers FCPateadores Soccer Club
Position10th2nd
Record (W-D-L)2-2-24-0-0
Points per game1.333.00
Goals for / game2.03.8
Goals against / game1.51.3
Clean sheets20
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)L D W W DW W W W
Biggest win4–0 vs LV Heat Surf SC8–2 vs LV Heat Surf SC
Worst loss1–3 vs SDSC Surf—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.22+1.17
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.42-0.81

Common opponents: LV Heat Surf SC — we 4–0; they 2–1, 8–2. LA Breakers FC — we 1–3; they 3–1.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Pateadores Soccer Club score 3.8/game — well above the league's 2.1.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 29%; a draw (21%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    Pateadores Soccer Club have won 4 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • What a win does
    West Coast FC sit 9th on 1.40 PPG; we are on 1.33.

    A point moves us above West Coast FC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Pateadores Soccer Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (CDA Slammers FC – Pateadores Soccer Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.14 PPG
10th— holds 10th— holds 10th— holds
Win
1.57 PPG
8th▲ up 2 8th▲ up 2 10th— holds
Draw
1.29 PPG
10th— holds 10th— holds 10th— holds
Loss
1.14 PPG
10th— holds 10th— holds 10th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 10th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
1% top 4
99% below the top 4
7.8 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th 1%
  5. 5th 2%
  6. 6th 6%
  7. 7th 28%
  8. 8th 37%
  9. 9th 20%
  10. 10th 6%
  11. 11th 1%
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.58 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 San Diego Surf 3.00 (+1.67) 1st (2.47) 64 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 52 for their projection
2 Pateadores Soccer Club 3.00 (+1.67) 2nd (2.05) 64 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection
3 LA Breakers FC 2.00 (+0.67) 6th (1.88) 40 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection
4 SDSC Surf 2.00 (+0.67) 5th (1.91) 40 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection
5 Sporting California USA 2.00 (+0.67) 7th (1.48) 40 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
6 LAFC 1.80 (+0.47) 4th (1.91) 36 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection
7 Legends FC 1.80 (+0.47) 3rd (1.97) 36 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection
8 Rebels SC 1.50 (+0.17) 9th (1.20) A point next game
9 West Coast FC 1.40 (+0.07) 10th (1.10) A point next game

How the results connect

18 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link CDA Slammers FC to Pateadores Soccer Club through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

5 favour us
2 even
11 favour them
-1.4 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
4–0 2–8 1–2 1–3 1–3 3–0 1–1 4–3 2–2 8–1 3–0 1–2 1–3 1–2 1–2 CDA Slammers FC 10th LV Heat Surf SC 11th LA Breakers FC 3rd West Coast FC 9th SDSC Surf 4th Legends FC Del Mar 13th Legends FC 7th Pateadores Soccer C… 2nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 24 Sep 27 Oct 4 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.20 · 4th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 3
05:00 PM
no score posted
San Diego Surf
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +19
Home
Santiago High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–2 0.55 1.22 Upside
Sat Oct 24
03:15 PM
Pateadores Soccer Club
2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +10
Home
Santiago High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
29%
1–2 1.08 1.20 Upside
Sun Oct 25
05:00 PM
Rebels SC
8th · 2-0-2 · GD -5
Home
Santiago High School · turf?
●●○○○ Lean win
58%
2–1 1.94 1.29 Swing game
Sun Nov 1
TBD
Legends FC Del Mar
13th · 0-0-6 · GD -29
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
92%
3–0 2.81 1.44 Bank it
Sat Nov 7
09:00 AM
San Diego Surf
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +19
Away far trip
Surf Sports Park
●●●●● Very tough
9%
0–3 0.38 1.34 Upside
Sun Nov 8
08:30 AM
Rebels SC
8th · 2-0-2 · GD -5
Away far trip
Monte Vista High School · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
1–1 1.67 1.37 Swing game
Sat Nov 14
TBD
West Coast FC
9th · 2-1-2 · GD -5
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
60%
2–1 2.00 1.42 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
TBD
Sporting California USA
5th · 2-0-1 · GD +4
Away
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–1 1.21 1.40 Upside
Sun Mar 14
TBD
LAFC
6th · 3-0-2 · GD +12
Away
●●●●● Very tough
18%
1–2 0.74 1.36 Upside
Sat Mar 20
TBD
LA Breakers FC
3rd · 4-0-2 · GD +17
Home
●●●●○ Tough
25%
1–2 0.97 1.33 Upside
Sun Apr 4
TBD
Pateadores Soccer Club
2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +10
Away
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–2 0.82 1.30 Upside
Sat Apr 10
TBD
Beach Futbol Club
12th · 0-0-3 · GD -10
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
71%
2–1 2.30 1.36 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
TBD
LAFC
6th · 3-0-2 · GD +12
Home
●●●●● Very tough
25%
1–2 0.96 1.34 Upside
Sat Apr 17
TBD
LV Heat Surf SC
11th · 1-0-7 · GD -31
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
79%
3–1 2.48 1.40 Bank it
Sat Apr 24
TBD
Legends FC
7th · 3-0-2 · GD +6
Home
●●●●○ Tough
27%
1–1 1.06 1.38 Upside
Sun May 2
TBD
Sporting California USA
5th · 2-0-1 · GD +4
Home
●●●●○ Tough
41%
1–1 1.47 1.38 Upside
Sat May 8
01:00 PM
Beach Futbol Club
12th · 0-0-3 · GD -10
Away far trip
El Camino College · turf?
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
2–1 2.07 1.41 Swing game
Sun May 30
01:00 PM
Legends FC
7th · 3-0-2 · GD +6
Away
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–2 0.83 1.39 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 San Diego Surf 4400 201+19 123.00 WWWW -1.07 +0.03 100% 1.2
2 Pateadores Soccer Club 4400 155+10 123.00 WWWW -0.81 +0.09 74% 3.5
3 LA Breakers FC 6402 236+17 122.00 WLLWW -1.31 +0.37 46% 4.5
4 SDSC Surf 5311 167+9 102.00 WWWLD +0.04 -0.06 55% 4.3
5 Sporting California USA 3201 73+4 62.00 WLW -1.55 +0.25 3% 7.3
6 LAFC 5302 164+12 91.80 LWWWL -0.41 +0.05 55% 4.2
7 Legends FC 5302 115+6 91.80 LLWWW +1.04 -0.33 66% 3.8
8 Rebels SC 4202 510-5 61.50 WLWL +0.60 +0.00 0% 9.0
9 West Coast FC 5212 813-5 71.40 WLDLW -0.05 +0.16 0% 9.5
10 CDA Slammers FC 6222 129+3 81.33 DWWDL -0.42 +0.20 1% 7.8
11 LV Heat Surf SC 8107 940-31 30.38 LWLLL +0.46 +0.18 0% 11.9
12 Beach Futbol Club 3003 111-10 00.00 LLL +1.44 -0.02 0% 11.0
13 Legends FC Del Mar 6006 130-29 00.00 LLLLL +0.31 +0.31 0% 12.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.10 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.