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Legends FC

ECNL Boys · Southwest BU14 · 13 teams · Legends FC (CA) (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 34 minutes ago.
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7th
3-0-2 record · 5 played
1.80 points per game
+6 goal diff · 11–5
LLWWWlast 5
65% chance of top 4 · expected finish 3.9
+1.04 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 05:00 PM

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Legends FC
7th · 1.80 PPG
vs
SDSC Surf
4th · 2.00 PPG

Silverlakes Complex, Field 1 ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.0 for, 1.7 against · 1.62 expected points)

Season so farLegends FCSDSC Surf
Position7th4th
Record (W-D-L)3-0-23-1-1
Points per game1.802.00
Goals for / game2.23.2
Goals against / game1.01.4
Clean sheets20
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)W W W L LD L W W W
Biggest win5–0 vs Rebels SC8–1 at LV Heat Surf SC
Worst loss1–2 at San Diego Surf1–2 vs Legends FC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.03+1.12
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+1.04+0.04

Already played this season: Sun Sep 27 2–1 at SDSC Surf (W)

Common opponents: LAFC — we 2–0; they 2–1.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    SDSC Surf score 3.2/game — well above the league's 2.1.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 47% / draw 21% / loss 32%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • What a win does
    LAFC sit 6th on 1.80 PPG; we are on 1.80.

    A point moves us above LAFC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the SDSC Surf game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Legends FC – SDSC Surf) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.00 PPG
4th▲ up 3 5th▲ up 2 6th▲ up 1
Win
2.00 PPG
4th▲ up 3 5th▲ up 2 6th▲ up 1
Draw
1.67 PPG
7th— holds 5th▲ up 2 9th▼ down 2
Loss
1.50 PPG
7th— holds 7th— holds 10th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 4th if every rival drops points, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

3% finish 1st
65% top 4
35% below the top 4
3.9 average finish
  1. 1st 3%
  2. 2nd 20%
  3. 3rd 23%
  4. 4th 19%
  5. 5th 18%
  6. 6th 12%
  7. 7th 4%
  8. 8th <1%
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 19 remaining known games (max 2.75 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 San Diego Surf 3.00 (+1.20) 1st (2.47) 63 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection
2 Pateadores Soccer Club 3.00 (+1.20) 2nd (2.05) 63 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection
3 LA Breakers FC 2.00 (+0.20) 6th (1.88) Win next game
4 SDSC Surf 2.00 (+0.20) 5th (1.91) Win next game
5 Sporting California USA 2.00 (+0.20) 7th (1.48) Win next game
6 LAFC 1.80 (+0.00) 4th (1.91) A point next game

How the results connect

6 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link Legends FC to SDSC Surf through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

4 favour us
2 favour them
-0.7 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–1 2–0 1–2 5–0 0–3 1–2 8–2 1–8 1–2 10–0 2–1 Legends FC 7th LAFC 6th Rebels SC 8th Pateadores Soccer C… 2nd San Diego Surf 1st LV Heat Surf SC 11th SDSC Surf 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

6 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 24 Sep 27 Oct 4 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.33 · 13th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
05:00 PM
SDSC Surf
4th · 3-1-1 · GD +9
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
2–1 1.62 1.77 Swing game
Sat Oct 31
11:00 AM
San Diego Surf
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +19
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●● Very tough
25%
1–2 0.95 1.65 Upside
Sun Nov 8
11:00 AM
West Coast FC
9th · 2-1-2 · GD -5
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
76%
2–1 2.41 1.75 Bank it
Sat Nov 14
09:30 AM
Legends FC Del Mar
13th · 0-0-6 · GD -29
Away far trip
San Dieguito Academy
●○○○○ Favorable
94%
4–0 2.86 1.87 Bank it
Sat Jan 30
TBD
Pateadores Soccer Club
2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +10
Away
●●●●○ Tough
36%
1–1 1.30 1.81 Upside
Sun Mar 14
11:00 AM
LV Heat Surf SC
11th · 1-0-7 · GD -31
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
94%
4–0 2.86 1.91 Bank it
Sat Mar 20
TBD
Sporting California USA
5th · 2-0-1 · GD +4
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
1–1 1.67 1.89 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
12:00 PM
West Coast FC
9th · 2-1-2 · GD -5
Away far trip
Lake Forest Sports Park
●●○○○ Lean win
67%
2–1 2.19 1.91 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
03:00 PM
Legends FC Del Mar
13th · 0-0-6 · GD -29
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
96%
4–0 2.92 1.98 Bank it
Sun Apr 18
11:00 AM
Beach Futbol Club
12th · 0-0-3 · GD -10
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
83%
3–0 2.61 2.03 Bank it
Sat Apr 24
TBD
CDA Slammers FC
10th · 2-2-2 · GD +3
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
1–1 1.71 2.01 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
09:00 AM
Rebels SC
8th · 2-0-2 · GD -5
Away far trip
Monte Vista High School · turf?
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
2–1 2.13 2.01 Swing game
Sat May 1
TBD
LV Heat Surf SC
11th · 1-0-7 · GD -31
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
90%
4–0 2.76 2.05 Bank it
Sat May 8
TBD
LA Breakers FC
3rd · 4-0-2 · GD +17
Away
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–1 1.18 2.01 Upside
Sun May 9
11:00 AM
Sporting California USA
5th · 2-0-1 · GD +4
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
57%
2–1 1.93 2.00 Swing game
Sat May 15
11:00 AM
LAFC
6th · 3-0-2 · GD +12
Home
Ontario Sports Empire
●●●●○ Tough
40%
1–1 1.42 1.98 Upside
Sun May 16
11:00 AM
LA Breakers FC
3rd · 4-0-2 · GD +17
Home
Ontario Sports Empire
●●●●○ Tough
41%
1–1 1.46 1.95 Upside
Sat May 22
01:00 PM
Beach Futbol Club
12th · 0-0-3 · GD -10
Away far trip
El Camino College · turf?
●○○○○ Favorable
77%
2–0 2.44 1.97 Bank it
Sun May 30
01:00 PM
CDA Slammers FC
10th · 2-2-2 · GD +3
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
58%
2–1 1.96 1.97 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 San Diego Surf 4400 201+19 123.00 WWWW -1.07 +0.03 100% 1.2
2 Pateadores Soccer Club 4400 155+10 123.00 WWWW -0.81 +0.09 75% 3.4
3 LA Breakers FC 6402 236+17 122.00 WLLWW -1.31 +0.37 48% 4.5
4 SDSC Surf 5311 167+9 102.00 WWWLD +0.04 -0.06 53% 4.3
5 Sporting California USA 3201 73+4 62.00 WLW -1.55 +0.25 4% 7.3
6 LAFC 5302 164+12 91.80 LWWWL -0.41 +0.05 55% 4.3
7 Legends FC 5302 115+6 91.80 LLWWW +1.04 -0.33 65% 3.9
8 Rebels SC 4202 510-5 61.50 WLWL +0.60 +0.00 0% 8.9
9 West Coast FC 5212 813-5 71.40 WLDLW -0.05 +0.16 0% 9.5
10 CDA Slammers FC 6222 129+3 81.33 DWWDL -0.42 +0.20 1% 7.9
11 LV Heat Surf SC 8107 940-31 30.38 LWLLL +0.46 +0.18 0% 11.9
12 Beach Futbol Club 3003 111-10 00.00 LLL +1.44 -0.02 0% 11.0
13 Legends FC Del Mar 6006 130-29 00.00 LLLLL +0.31 +0.31 0% 12.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.10 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.