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Rangers FC 2

Elite Academy League 2 · SD / OC / IE U14 · 13 teams · Rangers FC (all teams)

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10th
1-0-5 record · 6 played
0.50 points per game
-14 goal diff · 4–18
WLLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.8
+0.13 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 12:35 PM

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Rangers FC 2
10th · 0.50 PPG
vs
EMPIRE SC
7th · 1.20 PPG

Fullerton College, Sherbeck Stadium ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.1 for, 2.4 against · 0.66 expected points)

Season so farRangers FC 2EMPIRE SC
Position10th7th
Record (W-D-L)1-0-51-3-1
Points per game0.501.20
Goals for / game0.71.8
Goals against / game3.01.6
Clean sheets10
Held scoreless41
Form (recent first)L L L L WD W D D L
Biggest win2–0 vs BOCA OC (2)5–2 vs Elite FC 2
Worst loss0–6 at Rayados Academy San Diego0–2 at Zeta Academy
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.50+0.26
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.13+0.43

Common opponents: Elite FC 2 — we 0–3; they 5–2. ALBION SC San Diego (1) — we 0–1; they 1–1. Reds FC 2 — we 2–5; they 1–1.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 4 time(s): 0–3 vs Elite FC 2, 0–1 at ALBION SC San Diego (1), 0–6 at Rayados Academy San Diego, 0–3 vs Crusaders SC.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 16%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    ALBION SC San Diego (1) sit 9th on 0.57 PPG; we are on 0.50.

    A point moves us above ALBION SC San Diego (1) on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the EMPIRE SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Rangers FC 2 – EMPIRE SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.43 PPG
10th— holds 11th▼ down 1 13th▼ down 3
Win
0.86 PPG
9th▲ up 1 9th▲ up 1 11th▼ down 1
Draw
0.57 PPG
10th— holds 10th— holds 13th▼ down 3
Loss
0.43 PPG
10th— holds 11th▼ down 1 13th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 10th even if every rival loses, and as low as 13th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
10.8 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th 3%
  9. 9th 16%
  10. 10th 26%
  11. 11th 24%
  12. 12th 20%
  13. 13th 12%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.38 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 AC Brea (2) 3.00 (+2.50) 2nd (2.48) 69 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 57 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Crusaders SC 2.63 (+2.13) 1st (2.54) 61 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 58 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Zeta Academy 2.50 (+2.00) 3rd (2.36) 57 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 54 for their projection
4 Elite FC 2 2.50 (+2.00) 4th (2.18) 57 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 50 for their projection
5 Reds FC 2 1.67 (+1.17) 6th (1.55) 38 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
6 Chula Vista FC 2 1.57 (+1.07) 7th (1.49) 35 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
7 EMPIRE SC 1.20 (+0.70) 5th (1.56) 26 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
8 Rayados Academy San Diego 1.14 (+0.64) 8th (1.15) 25 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
9 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 0.57 (+0.07) 9th (0.83) Already ahead

How the results connect

17 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Rangers FC 2 to EMPIRE SC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
15 favour them
-3.9 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–1 1–1 2–5 1–1 0–3 2–5 2–0 0–3 4–0 3–1 2–0 2–2 3–0 2–0 2–3 0–6 5–2 0–4 Rangers FC 2 10th ALBION SC San Diego… 9th Reds FC 2 5th Elite FC 2 4th Crusaders SC 2nd Rayados Academy San… 8th Chula Vista FC 2 6th Zeta Academy 3rd EMPIRE SC 7th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.11 · 3rd hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 1
12:35 PM
EMPIRE SC
7th · 1-3-1 · GD +1
Home
Fullerton College · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–2 0.66 0.52 Upside
Sat Nov 7
12:35 PM
Zeta Academy
3rd · 5-0-1 · GD +18
Home
Fullerton College · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
4%
0–3 0.20 0.48 Upside
Sun Nov 8
10:45 AM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -16
Away
RJRSP
●●●●○ Tough
42%
1–1 1.46 0.59 Upside
Sat Nov 21
12:35 PM
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
12th · 0-2-4 · GD -22
Home
Fullerton College · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
2–1 1.67 0.70 Swing game
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
Elite FC 2
4th · 5-0-1 · GD +13
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
4%
0–3 0.19 0.65 Upside
Sun Mar 7
03:50 PM
BOCA OC (2)
11th · 0-1-2 · GD -10
Away
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–1 1.18 0.70 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
ALBION SC San Diego (1)
9th · 1-1-5 · GD -13
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
36%
1–1 1.34 0.75 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
Rayados Academy San Diego
8th · 2-2-3 · GD -11
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
27%
2–2 1.00 0.76 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Chula Vista FC 2
6th · 3-2-2 · GD +2
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–2 0.68 0.76 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
Crusaders SC
2nd · 7-0-1 · GD +34
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–4 0.05 0.71 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
Reds FC 2
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +1
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–2 0.69 0.71 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
AC Brea (2)
1st · 2-0-0 · GD +17
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–4 0.10 0.68 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
EMPIRE SC
7th · 1-3-1 · GD +1
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
11%
0–2 0.48 0.67 Upside
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
Zeta Academy
3rd · 5-0-1 · GD +18
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–4 0.12 0.64 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -16
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%
2–1 1.75 0.69 Swing game
Sat May 8
12:00 PM
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
12th · 0-2-4 · GD -22
Away
Saint Jeanne De Lestonnac School
●●●●○ Tough
39%
1–1 1.40 0.73 Upside
Sun May 23
10:45 AM
AC Brea (2)
1st · 2-0-0 · GD +17
Away
Grass - Whittier College · grass
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–5 0.05 0.70 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
Chula Vista FC 2
6th · 3-2-2 · GD +2
Away
Castle Park High School
●●●●● Very tough
11%
1–3 0.48 0.69 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 AC Brea (2) 2200 170+17 63.00 WW -1.54 -0.14 100% 2.0
2 Crusaders SC 8701 384+34 212.63 WWWWL -0.63 -0.05 100% 1.7
3 Zeta Academy 6501 224+18 152.50 WLWWW +0.15 -0.30 100% 2.8
4 Elite FC 2 6501 207+13 152.50 WLWWW -0.15 -0.10 97% 3.6
5 Reds FC 2 6312 1312+1 101.67 WDWLW +0.02 -0.04 1% 6.0
6 Chula Vista FC 2 7322 1816+2 111.57 DLWLD -0.38 +0.14 1% 6.3
7 EMPIRE SC 5131 98+1 61.20 LDDWD +0.43 -0.17 1% 6.0
8 Rayados Academy San Diego 7223 1829-11 81.14 LWLLD +0.32 +0.00 0% 8.0
9 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 7115 619-13 40.57 LWLLD +0.39 -0.05 0% 9.7
10 Rangers FC 2 6105 418-14 30.50 WLLLL +0.13 +0.11 0% 10.8
11 BOCA OC (2) 3012 212-10 10.33 LLD -0.32 +0.18 0% 10.8
12 ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 6024 527-22 20.33 LDLLL +0.84 -0.04 0% 11.5
13 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 3003 117-16 00.00 LLL +1.03 +0.06 0% 12.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.35 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.