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FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)

Elite Academy League 2 · SD / OC / IE U14 · 13 teams · FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (all teams)

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13th
0-0-3 record · 3 played
0.00 points per game
-16 goal diff · 1–17
LLLlast 3
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 12.0
+1.03 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 11:00 AM

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FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
13th · 0.00 PPG
at

Hickman Fields, Hickman #2 11 v 11 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.4 for, 2.3 against · 0.88 expected points)

Season so farFLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)ALBION SC San Diego (1)
Position13th9th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-31-1-5
Points per game0.000.57
Goals for / game0.30.9
Goals against / game5.72.7
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless23
Form (recent first)L L LD L L W L
Biggest win—1–0 vs Rangers FC 2
Worst loss1–11 at Crusaders SC0–4 at Crusaders SC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-2.35-1.14
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+1.03+0.39

Common opponents: Reds FC 2 — we 0–4; they 0–2. Chula Vista FC 2 — we 0–2; they 2–3. Crusaders SC — we 1–11; they 0–4.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    ALBION SC San Diego (1) average 0.9 goals/game (league avg 2.3); blanked in 3 of 7.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–4 vs Reds FC 2, 0–2 vs Chula Vista FC 2.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 23%; a draw (19%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 11:00 AM at Hickman Fields.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 sit 12th on 0.33 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the ALBION SC San Diego (1) game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) – ALBION SC San Diego (1)) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
13th— holds 13th— holds 13th— holds
Win
0.75 PPG
9th▲ up 4 9th▲ up 4 10th▲ up 3
Draw
0.25 PPG
13th— holds 13th— holds 13th— holds
Loss
0.00 PPG
13th— holds 13th— holds 13th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 13th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
12.0 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th 1%
  9. 9th 3%
  10. 10th 10%
  11. 11th 14%
  12. 12th 25%
  13. 13th 48%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 21 remaining known games (max 2.63 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 AC Brea (2) 3.00 (+3.00) 2nd (2.48) 72 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 60 for their projection
2 Crusaders SC 2.63 (+2.63) 1st (2.54) 64 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 61 for their projection
3 Zeta Academy 2.50 (+2.50) 3rd (2.36) 60 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 57 for their projection
4 Elite FC 2 2.50 (+2.50) 4th (2.18) 60 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 53 for their projection
5 Reds FC 2 1.67 (+1.67) 6th (1.55) 41 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection
6 Chula Vista FC 2 1.57 (+1.57) 7th (1.49) 38 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
7 EMPIRE SC 1.20 (+1.20) 5th (1.56) 29 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection
8 Rayados Academy San Diego 1.14 (+1.14) 8th (1.15) 28 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
9 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 0.57 (+0.57) 9th (0.83) A point next game
10 Rangers FC 2 0.50 (+0.50) 10th (0.69) A point next game
11 BOCA OC (2) 0.33 (+0.33) 11th (0.69) A point next game
12 ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 0.33 (+0.33) 12th (0.59) A point next game

How the results connect

13 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) to ALBION SC San Diego (1) through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
12 favour them
-3.2 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–2 3–2 0–4 2–0 1–11 4–0 1–4 4–0 5–5 5–2 2–2 1–1 1–3 5–2 0–1 3–0 1–1 0–6 FLYTE SC- Inland Em… 13th Chula Vista FC 2 6th Reds FC 2 5th Crusaders SC 2nd Zeta Academy 3rd Rayados Academy San… 8th EMPIRE SC 7th Rangers FC 2 10th ALBION SC San Diego… 9th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.06 · 4th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
11:00 AM
ALBION SC San Diego (1)
9th · 1-1-5 · GD -13
Away
Hickman Fields
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–2 0.88 0.22 Upside
Sun Nov 1
09:35 AM
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
12th · 0-2-4 · GD -22
Away
Saint Jeanne De Lestonnac School
●●●●○ Tough
33%
1–2 1.18 0.41 Upside
Sat Nov 7
10:30 AM
Rayados Academy San Diego
8th · 2-2-3 · GD -11
Home
South Fontana
●●●●● Very tough
20%
2–3 0.73 0.47 Upside
Sun Nov 8
10:45 AM
Rangers FC 2
10th · 1-0-5 · GD -14
Home
RJRSP
●●●●○ Tough
37%
1–1 1.32 0.59 Upside
Sun Nov 15
11:00 AM
Reds FC 2
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +1
Away
Portola Springs Park
●●●●● Very tough
7%
1–3 0.30 0.55 Upside
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
AC Brea (2)
1st · 2-0-0 · GD +17
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
0%
0–7 0.02 0.49 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
Chula Vista FC 2
6th · 3-2-2 · GD +2
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
7%
1–4 0.29 0.47 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
Crusaders SC
2nd · 7-0-1 · GD +34
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–5 0.04 0.43 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Elite FC 2
4th · 5-0-1 · GD +13
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–5 0.09 0.40 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
EMPIRE SC
7th · 1-3-1 · GD +1
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
11%
1–3 0.45 0.41 Upside
Sat Apr 10
03:30 PM
BOCA OC (2)
11th · 0-1-2 · GD -10
Away
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●●●○ Tough
26%
1–2 0.96 0.45 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
Zeta Academy
3rd · 5-0-1 · GD +18
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–5 0.05 0.42 Upside
Sat Apr 17
10:45 AM
Zeta Academy
3rd · 5-0-1 · GD +18
Home
RJRSP
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–4 0.09 0.40 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
ALBION SC San Diego (1)
9th · 1-1-5 · GD -13
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–2 1.14 0.44 Upside
Sat Apr 24
10:45 AM
BOCA OC (2)
11th · 0-1-2 · GD -10
Home
RJRSP
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.25 0.49 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
12th · 0-2-4 · GD -22
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
2–2 1.49 0.54 Swing game
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
Rayados Academy San Diego
8th · 2-2-3 · GD -11
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
12%
2–4 0.47 0.54 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
Rangers FC 2
10th · 1-0-5 · GD -14
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
28%
1–2 1.05 0.56 Upside
Tue May 25
09:30 AM
Elite FC 2
4th · 5-0-1 · GD +13
Home
South Fontana
●●●●● Very tough
3%
1–4 0.16 0.54 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
EMPIRE SC
7th · 1-3-1 · GD +1
Away
Eastvale Community Park
●●●●● Very tough
7%
1–3 0.29 0.53 Upside
Sat May 29
10:45 AM
AC Brea (2)
1st · 2-0-0 · GD +17
Home
RJRSP
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–6 0.04 0.51 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 AC Brea (2) 2200 170+17 63.00 WW -1.54 -0.14 100% 2.0
2 Crusaders SC 8701 384+34 212.63 WWWWL -0.63 -0.05 100% 1.7
3 Zeta Academy 6501 224+18 152.50 WLWWW +0.15 -0.30 100% 2.8
4 Elite FC 2 6501 207+13 152.50 WLWWW -0.15 -0.10 97% 3.6
5 Reds FC 2 6312 1312+1 101.67 WDWLW +0.02 -0.04 2% 6.0
6 Chula Vista FC 2 7322 1816+2 111.57 DLWLD -0.38 +0.14 1% 6.3
7 EMPIRE SC 5131 98+1 61.20 LDDWD +0.43 -0.17 1% 5.9
8 Rayados Academy San Diego 7223 1829-11 81.14 LWLLD +0.32 +0.00 0% 8.0
9 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 7115 619-13 40.57 LWLLD +0.39 -0.05 0% 9.8
10 Rangers FC 2 6105 418-14 30.50 WLLLL +0.13 +0.11 0% 10.8
11 BOCA OC (2) 3012 212-10 10.33 LLD -0.32 +0.18 0% 10.7
12 ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 6024 527-22 20.33 LDLLL +0.84 -0.04 0% 11.4
13 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 3003 117-16 00.00 LLL +1.03 +0.06 0% 12.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.35 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.