TableChase Clubs

Chula Vista FC 2

Elite Academy League 2 · SD / OC / IE U14 · 13 teams · Chula Vista FC (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 56 minutes ago.
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6th
3-2-2 record · 7 played
1.57 points per game
+2 goal diff · 18–16
DLWLDlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 6.3
-0.38 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 01:00 PM

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Chula Vista FC 2
6th · 1.57 PPG
vs
Crusaders SC
2nd · 2.63 PPG

O'Farrell Charter High School, Stadium ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.2 for, 3.7 against · 0.35 expected points)

Season so farChula Vista FC 2Crusaders SC
Position6th2nd
Record (W-D-L)3-2-27-0-1
Points per game1.572.63
Goals for / game2.64.8
Goals against / game2.30.5
Clean sheets15
Held scoreless11
Form (recent first)D L W L DL W W W W
Biggest win5–1 vs ALBION SC Santa Ana 211–1 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
Worst loss1–4 at Zeta Academy0–2 vs Elite FC 2
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.10+2.80
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.38-0.63

Common opponents: ALBION SC San Diego (1) — we 3–2; they 4–0. FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) — we 2–0; they 11–1. Zeta Academy — we 1–4; they 3–0. ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 — we 5–1; they 6–0. Elite FC 2 — we 0–2; they 0–2.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Crusaders SC score 4.8/game — well above the league's 2.3.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    Crusaders SC concede only 0.5/game with 5 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–2 at Elite FC 2.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 8%; a draw (10%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    Reds FC 2 sit 5th on 1.67 PPG; we are on 1.57.

    A point moves us above Reds FC 2 on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Crusaders SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Chula Vista FC 2 – Crusaders SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.38 PPG
6th— holds 7th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 1
Win
1.75 PPG
5th▲ up 1 6th— holds 6th— holds
Draw
1.50 PPG
6th— holds 7th▼ down 1 6th— holds
Loss
1.38 PPG
6th— holds 7th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we stay 6th even if every rival loses, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
6.3 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th 24%
  6. 6th 30%
  7. 7th 37%
  8. 8th 7%
  9. 9th 1%
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.58 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 AC Brea (2) 3.00 (+1.43) 2nd (2.48) 61 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 49 for their projection
2 Crusaders SC 2.63 (+1.06) 1st (2.54) 53 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 50 for their projection
3 Zeta Academy 2.50 (+0.93) 3rd (2.36) 49 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection
4 Elite FC 2 2.50 (+0.93) 4th (2.18) 49 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection
5 Reds FC 2 1.67 (+0.10) 6th (1.55) A point next game

How the results connect

24 chains · 11 teams

Paths of results that link Chula Vista FC 2 to Crusaders SC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

4 favour us
1 even
19 favour them
-2.7 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–2 2–0 5–1 0–6 3–2 0–4 1–4 0–3 2–0 1–11 5–5 5–2 6–0 1–3 1–0 0–3 3–0 1–5 2–2 1–1 6–0 Chula Vista FC 2 6th Elite FC 2 4th ALBION SC Santa Ana… 12th ALBION SC San Diego… 9th Zeta Academy 3rd FLYTE SC- Inland Em… 13th Rayados Academy San… 8th EMPIRE SC 7th Reds FC 2 5th Rangers FC 2 10th Crusaders SC 2nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.14 · 2nd hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
01:00 PM
Crusaders SC
2nd · 7-0-1 · GD +34
Home
O'Farrell Charter High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
8%
1–3 0.35 1.42 Upside
Sun Nov 1
11:00 AM
Reds FC 2
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +1
Home
Hoover High School · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–2 1.55 1.43 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
11:05 AM
AC Brea (2)
1st · 2-0-0 · GD +17
Away
Grass - Whittier College · grass
●●●●● Very tough
6%
1–4 0.24 1.31 Upside
Sun Nov 15
11:00 AM
Zeta Academy
3rd · 5-0-1 · GD +18
Home
Castle Park High School
●●●●● Very tough
15%
1–3 0.59 1.25 Upside
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
ALBION SC San Diego (1)
9th · 1-1-5 · GD -13
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
2–1 2.23 1.33 Swing game
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -16
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
85%
4–1 2.63 1.43 Bank it
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
EMPIRE SC
7th · 1-3-1 · GD +1
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–2 1.15 1.41 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
BOCA OC (2)
11th · 0-1-2 · GD -10
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
76%
3–1 2.41 1.48 Bank it
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Rangers FC 2
10th · 1-0-5 · GD -14
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
66%
2–1 2.16 1.52 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
12th · 0-2-4 · GD -22
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
74%
3–1 2.35 1.57 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
Elite FC 2
4th · 5-0-1 · GD +13
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–2 0.85 1.53 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
Rayados Academy San Diego
8th · 2-2-3 · GD -11
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
3–2 1.76 1.54 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
Crusaders SC
2nd · 7-0-1 · GD +34
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
5%
1–4 0.21 1.47 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
Reds FC 2
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +1
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.23 1.46 Upside
Sat May 1
10:30 AM
BOCA OC (2)
11th · 0-1-2 · GD -10
Away
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●○○○ Lean win
67%
3–1 2.16 1.49 Swing game
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
AC Brea (2)
1st · 2-0-0 · GD +17
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–4 0.40 1.45 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
Rangers FC 2
10th · 1-0-5 · GD -14
Home
Castle Park High School
●○○○○ Favorable
75%
3–1 2.39 1.49 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 AC Brea (2) 2200 170+17 63.00 WW -1.54 -0.14 100% 2.0
2 Crusaders SC 8701 384+34 212.63 WWWWL -0.63 -0.05 100% 1.7
3 Zeta Academy 6501 224+18 152.50 WLWWW +0.15 -0.30 100% 2.8
4 Elite FC 2 6501 207+13 152.50 WLWWW -0.15 -0.10 98% 3.6
5 Reds FC 2 6312 1312+1 101.67 WDWLW +0.02 -0.04 1% 6.0
6 Chula Vista FC 2 7322 1816+2 111.57 DLWLD -0.38 +0.14 0% 6.3
7 EMPIRE SC 5131 98+1 61.20 LDDWD +0.43 -0.17 1% 6.0
8 Rayados Academy San Diego 7223 1829-11 81.14 LWLLD +0.32 +0.00 0% 8.0
9 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 7115 619-13 40.57 LWLLD +0.39 -0.05 0% 9.8
10 Rangers FC 2 6105 418-14 30.50 WLLLL +0.13 +0.11 0% 10.7
11 BOCA OC (2) 3012 212-10 10.33 LLD -0.32 +0.18 0% 10.7
12 ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 6024 527-22 20.33 LDLLL +0.84 -0.04 0% 11.5
13 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 3003 117-16 00.00 LLL +1.03 +0.06 0% 12.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.35 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.