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ALBION SC Santa Ana 2

Elite Academy League 2 · SD / OC / IE U14 · 13 teams · ALBION SC Santa Ana (all teams)

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12th
0-2-4 record · 6 played
0.33 points per game
-22 goal diff · 5–27
LDLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 11.4
+0.84 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 09:35 AM

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ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
12th · 0.33 PPG
vs

Saint Jeanne De Lestonnac School, Field 1 ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.4 for, 2.0 against · 1.62 expected points)

Season so farALBION SC Santa Ana 2FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
Position12th13th
Record (W-D-L)0-2-40-0-3
Points per game0.330.00
Goals for / game0.80.3
Goals against / game4.55.7
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless22
Form (recent first)L L L D LL L L
Biggest win——
Worst loss0–8 at AC Brea (2)1–11 at Crusaders SC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-2.08-2.35
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.84+1.03

Common opponents: Crusaders SC — we 0–6; they 1–11. Chula Vista FC 2 — we 1–5; they 0–2.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) average 0.3 goals/game (league avg 2.3); blanked in 2 of 3.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) concede 5.7/game; worst result 1–11 at Crusaders SC.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–6 at Crusaders SC, 0–8 at AC Brea (2).

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 48% / draw 19% / loss 33%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Confidence is low on their side
    FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) have lost 3 straight (form: LLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:35 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    BOCA OC (2) sit 11th on 0.33 PPG; we are on 0.33.

    A point moves us above BOCA OC (2) on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 – FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 0.71 PPG
9th▲ up 3 9th▲ up 3 12th— holds
Win
0.71 PPG
9th▲ up 3 9th▲ up 3 12th— holds
Draw
0.43 PPG
11th▲ up 1 11th▲ up 1 12th— holds
Loss
0.29 PPG
13th▼ down 1 12th— holds 13th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 9th if every rival drops points, and as low as 12th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
11.4 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th 2%
  9. 9th 8%
  10. 10th 16%
  11. 11th 21%
  12. 12th 27%
  13. 13th 27%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.33 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 AC Brea (2) 3.00 (+2.67) 2nd (2.48) 70 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 58 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Crusaders SC 2.63 (+2.30) 1st (2.54) 62 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 59 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Zeta Academy 2.50 (+2.17) 3rd (2.36) 58 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 55 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Elite FC 2 2.50 (+2.17) 4th (2.18) 58 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection
5 Reds FC 2 1.67 (+1.34) 6th (1.55) 39 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
6 Chula Vista FC 2 1.57 (+1.24) 7th (1.49) 36 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
7 EMPIRE SC 1.20 (+0.87) 5th (1.56) 27 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
8 Rayados Academy San Diego 1.14 (+0.81) 8th (1.15) 26 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
9 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 0.57 (+0.24) 9th (0.83) A point next game
10 Rangers FC 2 0.50 (+0.17) 10th (0.69) A point next game
11 BOCA OC (2) 0.33 (+0.00) 11th (0.69) Already ahead

How the results connect

7 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 to FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

4 favour us
2 even
1 favour them
+2.0 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–5 2–0 0–6 11–1 3–1 4–0 1–5 2–0 2–2 0–8 1–1 5–5 2–0 ALBION SC Santa Ana… 12th Chula Vista FC 2 6th Crusaders SC 2nd Elite FC 2 4th BOCA OC (2) 11th Rayados Academy San… 8th Reds FC 2 5th FLYTE SC- Inland Em… 13th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

7 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.04 · 7th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 1
09:35 AM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -16
Home
Saint Jeanne De Lestonnac School
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
2–1 1.62 0.52 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
09:35 AM
ALBION SC San Diego (1)
9th · 1-1-5 · GD -13
Home
Saint Jeanne De Lestonnac School
●●●●○ Tough
33%
1–1 1.20 0.60 Upside
Sat Nov 14
09:00 AM
Zeta Academy
3rd · 5-0-1 · GD +18
Away
Portola Springs Community Park
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–5 0.07 0.54 Upside
Sat Nov 21
12:35 PM
Rangers FC 2
10th · 1-0-5 · GD -14
Away
Fullerton College · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–2 1.11 0.60 Upside
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
Rayados Academy San Diego
8th · 2-2-3 · GD -11
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
22%
2–3 0.81 0.62 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
Elite FC 2
4th · 5-0-1 · GD +13
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
4%
0–4 0.20 0.58 Upside
Sat Mar 13
09:35 AM
EMPIRE SC
7th · 1-3-1 · GD +1
Home
Saint Jeanne De Lestonnac School
●●●●● Very tough
12%
1–2 0.51 0.58 Upside
Sun Mar 14
03:30 PM
BOCA OC (2)
11th · 0-1-2 · GD -10
Away
El Rancho Charter School (Upper)
●●●●○ Tough
28%
1–2 1.02 0.61 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
Crusaders SC
2nd · 7-0-1 · GD +34
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–5 0.05 0.57 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Reds FC 2
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +1
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–3 0.53 0.57 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
Chula Vista FC 2
6th · 3-2-2 · GD +2
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–3 0.52 0.57 Upside
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
EMPIRE SC
7th · 1-3-1 · GD +1
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
8%
1–3 0.34 0.55 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
AC Brea (2)
1st · 2-0-0 · GD +17
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–6 0.05 0.53 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -16
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
37%
2–2 1.31 0.57 Upside
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
ALBION SC San Diego (1)
9th · 1-1-5 · GD -13
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
25%
1–2 0.94 0.58 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
Zeta Academy
3rd · 5-0-1 · GD +18
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–4 0.12 0.56 Upside
Sat May 8
12:00 PM
Rangers FC 2
10th · 1-0-5 · GD -14
Home
Saint Jeanne De Lestonnac School
●●●●○ Tough
39%
1–1 1.38 0.60 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
Reds FC 2
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +1
Away
Portola Springs Park
●●●●● Very tough
8%
1–3 0.35 0.59 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 AC Brea (2) 2200 170+17 63.00 WW -1.54 -0.14 100% 2.0
2 Crusaders SC 8701 384+34 212.63 WWWWL -0.63 -0.05 100% 1.7
3 Zeta Academy 6501 224+18 152.50 WLWWW +0.15 -0.30 100% 2.8
4 Elite FC 2 6501 207+13 152.50 WLWWW -0.15 -0.10 97% 3.6
5 Reds FC 2 6312 1312+1 101.67 WDWLW +0.02 -0.04 2% 6.0
6 Chula Vista FC 2 7322 1816+2 111.57 DLWLD -0.38 +0.14 1% 6.3
7 EMPIRE SC 5131 98+1 61.20 LDDWD +0.43 -0.17 1% 5.9
8 Rayados Academy San Diego 7223 1829-11 81.14 LWLLD +0.32 +0.00 0% 8.0
9 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 7115 619-13 40.57 LWLLD +0.39 -0.05 0% 9.8
10 Rangers FC 2 6105 418-14 30.50 WLLLL +0.13 +0.11 0% 10.8
11 BOCA OC (2) 3012 212-10 10.33 LLD -0.32 +0.18 0% 10.7
12 ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 6024 527-22 20.33 LDLLL +0.84 -0.04 0% 11.4
13 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 3003 117-16 00.00 LLL +1.03 +0.06 0% 12.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.35 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.