TableChase Clubs

BOCA OC (2)

Elite Academy League 2 · SD / OC / IE U14 · 13 teams · BOCA OC (all teams)

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11th
0-1-2 record · 3 played
0.33 points per game
-10 goal diff · 2–12
LLDlast 3
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.8
-0.32 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 08:00 AM

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BOCA OC (2)
11th · 0.33 PPG
at
EMPIRE SC
7th · 1.20 PPG

Eastvale Community Park, Full Size Field 13 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.2 for, 3.1 against · 0.46 expected points)

Season so farBOCA OC (2)EMPIRE SC
Position11th7th
Record (W-D-L)0-1-21-3-1
Points per game0.331.20
Goals for / game0.71.8
Goals against / game4.01.6
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless21
Form (recent first)D L LD W D D L
Biggest win—5–2 vs Elite FC 2
Worst loss0–8 vs Crusaders SC0–2 at Zeta Academy
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.64+0.26
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.32+0.43

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–8 vs Crusaders SC, 0–2 at Rangers FC 2.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 11%; a draw (13%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 08:00 AM at Eastvale Community Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 08:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Rangers FC 2 sit 10th on 0.50 PPG; we are on 0.33.

    A point moves us above Rangers FC 2 on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the EMPIRE SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (BOCA OC (2) – EMPIRE SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.25 PPG
12th▼ down 1 12th▼ down 1 13th▼ down 2
Win
1.00 PPG
9th▲ up 2 8th▲ up 3 9th▲ up 2
Draw
0.50 PPG
10th▲ up 1 10th▲ up 1 12th▼ down 1
Loss
0.25 PPG
12th▼ down 1 12th▼ down 1 13th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we fall to at least 12th even if every rival loses, and as low as 13th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
10.8 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th 4%
  9. 9th 17%
  10. 10th 24%
  11. 11th 23%
  12. 12th 21%
  13. 13th 12%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 21 remaining known games (max 2.67 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 AC Brea (2) 3.00 (+2.67) 2nd (2.48) 71 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 59 for their projection
2 Crusaders SC 2.63 (+2.30) 1st (2.54) 63 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 60 for their projection
3 Zeta Academy 2.50 (+2.17) 3rd (2.36) 59 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 56 for their projection
4 Elite FC 2 2.50 (+2.17) 4th (2.18) 59 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 52 for their projection
5 Reds FC 2 1.67 (+1.34) 6th (1.55) 40 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
6 Chula Vista FC 2 1.57 (+1.24) 7th (1.49) 37 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
7 EMPIRE SC 1.20 (+0.87) 5th (1.56) 28 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
8 Rayados Academy San Diego 1.14 (+0.81) 8th (1.15) 27 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
9 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 0.57 (+0.24) 9th (0.83) A point next game
10 Rangers FC 2 0.50 (+0.17) 10th (0.69) A point next game

How the results connect

9 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link BOCA OC (2) to EMPIRE SC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
9 favour them
-5.9 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–2 0–1 1–1 0–8 3–0 2–0 2–2 1–5 2–2 4–0 2–5 1–1 3–1 1–5 2–5 0–3 0–2 BOCA OC (2) 11th Rangers FC 2 10th Crusaders SC 2nd ALBION SC Santa Ana… 12th ALBION SC San Diego… 9th Zeta Academy 3rd Chula Vista FC 2 6th Reds FC 2 5th Elite FC 2 4th EMPIRE SC 7th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

9 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.18 · 1st hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
08:00 AM
EMPIRE SC
7th · 1-3-1 · GD +1
Away
Eastvale Community Park
●●●●● Very tough
11%
1–3 0.46 0.36 Upside
Sat Oct 31
09:00 AM
Zeta Academy
3rd · 5-0-1 · GD +18
Away
Portola Springs Community Park
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–4 0.10 0.31 Upside
Sat Nov 7
03:30 PM
Elite FC 2
4th · 5-0-1 · GD +13
Home
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●●●● Very tough
6%
1–3 0.28 0.31 Upside
Sun Nov 8
10:45 AM
ALBION SC San Diego (1)
9th · 1-1-5 · GD -13
Away
Madison High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–1 1.14 0.43 Upside
Sun Nov 15
02:00 PM
Rayados Academy San Diego
8th · 2-2-3 · GD -11
Away
SONIA SOTOMAYOR ELEMENTARY SCHOOL
●●●●● Very tough
20%
2–3 0.74 0.46 Upside
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
Crusaders SC
2nd · 7-0-1 · GD +34
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–5 0.04 0.42 Upside
Sun Mar 7
03:50 PM
Rangers FC 2
10th · 1-0-5 · GD -14
Home
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%
1–1 1.60 0.54 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
03:30 PM
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
12th · 0-2-4 · GD -22
Home
El Rancho Charter School (Upper)
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
2–1 1.79 0.65 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
Chula Vista FC 2
6th · 3-2-2 · GD +2
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
11%
1–3 0.46 0.63 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
AC Brea (2)
1st · 2-0-0 · GD +17
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–6 0.04 0.59 Upside
Sat Apr 3
03:30 PM
Rayados Academy San Diego
8th · 2-2-3 · GD -11
Home
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●●●○ Tough
30%
2–3 1.05 0.62 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
Reds FC 2
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +1
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
12%
1–3 0.48 0.61 Upside
Sat Apr 10
03:30 PM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -16
Home
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
2–1 1.86 0.69 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
03:30 PM
EMPIRE SC
7th · 1-3-1 · GD +1
Home
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–2 0.66 0.69 Upside
Sat Apr 24
10:45 AM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -16
Away
RJRSP
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–2 1.55 0.74 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
03:30 PM
Zeta Academy
3rd · 5-0-1 · GD +18
Home
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●●●● Very tough
4%
0–4 0.18 0.71 Upside
Sat May 1
10:30 AM
Chula Vista FC 2
6th · 3-2-2 · GD +2
Home
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●●●● Very tough
18%
1–3 0.68 0.71 Upside
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
Elite FC 2
4th · 5-0-1 · GD +13
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
4%
0–4 0.17 0.68 Upside
Sun May 2
03:30 PM
ALBION SC San Diego (1)
9th · 1-1-5 · GD -13
Home
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●●●○ Tough
40%
1–1 1.41 0.71 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
AC Brea (2)
1st · 2-0-0 · GD +17
Home
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●●●● Very tough
2%
1–5 0.08 0.69 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
Reds FC 2
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +1
Home
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●●●● Very tough
18%
1–2 0.69 0.69 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 AC Brea (2) 2200 170+17 63.00 WW -1.54 -0.14 100% 2.0
2 Crusaders SC 8701 384+34 212.63 WWWWL -0.63 -0.05 100% 1.7
3 Zeta Academy 6501 224+18 152.50 WLWWW +0.15 -0.30 100% 2.8
4 Elite FC 2 6501 207+13 152.50 WLWWW -0.15 -0.10 97% 3.6
5 Reds FC 2 6312 1312+1 101.67 WDWLW +0.02 -0.04 1% 6.0
6 Chula Vista FC 2 7322 1816+2 111.57 DLWLD -0.38 +0.14 1% 6.3
7 EMPIRE SC 5131 98+1 61.20 LDDWD +0.43 -0.17 1% 6.0
8 Rayados Academy San Diego 7223 1829-11 81.14 LWLLD +0.32 +0.00 0% 8.0
9 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 7115 619-13 40.57 LWLLD +0.39 -0.05 0% 9.7
10 Rangers FC 2 6105 418-14 30.50 WLLLL +0.13 +0.11 0% 10.7
11 BOCA OC (2) 3012 212-10 10.33 LLD -0.32 +0.18 0% 10.8
12 ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 6024 527-22 20.33 LDLLL +0.84 -0.04 0% 11.5
13 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 3003 117-16 00.00 LLL +1.03 +0.06 0% 12.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.35 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.