BOCA OC (2)
Elite Academy League 2 · SD / OC / IE U14 · 13 teams · BOCA OC (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 08:00 AM
Eastvale Community Park, Full Size Field 13 ↗
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.2 for, 3.1 against · 0.46 expected points)
| Season so far | BOCA OC (2) | EMPIRE SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 11th | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-1-2 | 1-3-1 |
| Points per game | 0.33 | 1.20 |
| Goals for / game | 0.7 | 1.8 |
| Goals against / game | 4.0 | 1.6 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | D L L | D W D D L |
| Biggest win | — | 5–2 vs Elite FC 2 |
| Worst loss | 0–8 vs Crusaders SC | 0–2 at Zeta Academy |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -1.64 | +0.26 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.32 | +0.43 |
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–8 vs Crusaders SC, 0–2 at Rangers FC 2.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 11%; a draw (13%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 08:00 AM at Eastvale Community Park.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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Early kickoff
Game time 08:00 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
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What a win does
Rangers FC 2 sit 10th on 0.50 PPG; we are on 0.33.A point moves us above Rangers FC 2 on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the EMPIRE SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (BOCA OC (2) – EMPIRE SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.25 PPG |
12th▼ down 1 | 12th▼ down 1 | 13th▼ down 2 |
| Win 1.00 PPG |
9th▲ up 2 | 8th▲ up 3 | 9th▲ up 2 |
| Draw 0.50 PPG |
10th▲ up 1 | 10th▲ up 1 | 12th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 0.25 PPG |
12th▼ down 1 | 12th▼ down 1 | 13th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we fall to at least 12th even if every rival loses, and as low as 13th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th <1%
- 8th 4%
- 9th 17%
- 10th 24%
- 11th 23%
- 12th 21%
- 13th 12%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 21 remaining known games (max 2.67 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AC Brea (2) | 3.00 (+2.67) | 2nd (2.48) | 71 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 59 for their projection |
| 2 | Crusaders SC | 2.63 (+2.30) | 1st (2.54) | 63 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 60 for their projection |
| 3 | Zeta Academy | 2.50 (+2.17) | 3rd (2.36) | 59 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 56 for their projection |
| 4 | Elite FC 2 | 2.50 (+2.17) | 4th (2.18) | 59 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 52 for their projection |
| 5 | Reds FC 2 | 1.67 (+1.34) | 6th (1.55) | 40 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection |
| 6 | Chula Vista FC 2 | 1.57 (+1.24) | 7th (1.49) | 37 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection |
| 7 | EMPIRE SC | 1.20 (+0.87) | 5th (1.56) | 28 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection |
| 8 | Rayados Academy San Diego | 1.14 (+0.81) | 8th (1.15) | 27 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection |
| 9 | ALBION SC San Diego (1) | 0.57 (+0.24) | 9th (0.83) | A point next game |
| 10 | Rangers FC 2 | 0.50 (+0.17) | 10th (0.69) | A point next game |
How the results connect
9 chains · 10 teams
Paths of results that link BOCA OC (2) to EMPIRE SC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
11 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.18 · 1st hardest of 13
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 08:00 AM |
EMPIRE SC 7th · 1-3-1 · GD +1 |
Away Eastvale Community Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 11% |
1–3 | 0.46 | 0.36 | Upside |
| Sat Oct 31 09:00 AM |
Zeta Academy 3rd · 5-0-1 · GD +18 |
Away Portola Springs Community Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 2% |
0–4 | 0.10 | 0.31 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 7 03:30 PM |
Elite FC 2 4th · 5-0-1 · GD +13 |
Home El Rancho Charter School (Track Field) |
●●●●● Very tough | 6% |
1–3 | 0.28 | 0.31 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 10:45 AM |
ALBION SC San Diego (1) 9th · 1-1-5 · GD -13 |
Away Madison High School · turf? |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
1–1 | 1.14 | 0.43 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 15 02:00 PM |
Rayados Academy San Diego 8th · 2-2-3 · GD -11 |
Away SONIA SOTOMAYOR ELEMENTARY SCHOOL |
●●●●● Very tough | 20% |
2–3 | 0.74 | 0.46 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 12:00 AM |
Crusaders SC 2nd · 7-0-1 · GD +34 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 1% |
0–5 | 0.04 | 0.42 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 7 03:50 PM |
Rangers FC 2 10th · 1-0-5 · GD -14 |
Home El Rancho Charter School (Track Field) |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 46% |
1–1 | 1.60 | 0.54 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 14 03:30 PM |
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 12th · 0-2-4 · GD -22 |
Home El Rancho Charter School (Upper) |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 53% |
2–1 | 1.79 | 0.65 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 20 12:00 AM |
Chula Vista FC 2 6th · 3-2-2 · GD +2 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 11% |
1–3 | 0.46 | 0.63 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 21 12:00 AM |
AC Brea (2) 1st · 2-0-0 · GD +17 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 1% |
0–6 | 0.04 | 0.59 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 03:30 PM |
Rayados Academy San Diego 8th · 2-2-3 · GD -11 |
Home El Rancho Charter School (Track Field) |
●●●●○ Tough | 30% |
2–3 | 1.05 | 0.62 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 12:00 AM |
Reds FC 2 5th · 3-1-2 · GD +1 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 12% |
1–3 | 0.48 | 0.61 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 03:30 PM |
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 13th · 0-0-3 · GD -16 |
Home El Rancho Charter School (Track Field) |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 56% |
2–1 | 1.86 | 0.69 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 18 03:30 PM |
EMPIRE SC 7th · 1-3-1 · GD +1 |
Home El Rancho Charter School (Track Field) |
●●●●● Very tough | 16% |
1–2 | 0.66 | 0.69 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 24 10:45 AM |
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 13th · 0-0-3 · GD -16 |
Away RJRSP |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
2–2 | 1.55 | 0.74 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 25 03:30 PM |
Zeta Academy 3rd · 5-0-1 · GD +18 |
Home El Rancho Charter School (Track Field) |
●●●●● Very tough | 4% |
0–4 | 0.18 | 0.71 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 10:30 AM |
Chula Vista FC 2 6th · 3-2-2 · GD +2 |
Home El Rancho Charter School (Track Field) |
●●●●● Very tough | 18% |
1–3 | 0.68 | 0.71 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 12:00 AM |
Elite FC 2 4th · 5-0-1 · GD +13 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 4% |
0–4 | 0.17 | 0.68 | Upside |
| Sun May 2 03:30 PM |
ALBION SC San Diego (1) 9th · 1-1-5 · GD -13 |
Home El Rancho Charter School (Track Field) |
●●●●○ Tough | 40% |
1–1 | 1.41 | 0.71 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
AC Brea (2) 1st · 2-0-0 · GD +17 |
Home El Rancho Charter School (Track Field) |
●●●●● Very tough | 2% |
1–5 | 0.08 | 0.69 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
Reds FC 2 5th · 3-1-2 · GD +1 |
Home El Rancho Charter School (Track Field) |
●●●●● Very tough | 18% |
1–2 | 0.69 | 0.69 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | AC Brea (2) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | +17 | 6 | 3.00 | WW | -1.54 | -0.14 | 100% | 2.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Rangers FC 2 · Sat Oct 31 at Crusaders SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Reds FC 2 See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Crusaders SC | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 38 | 4 | +34 | 21 | 2.63 | WWWWL | -0.63 | -0.05 | 100% | 1.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Chula Vista FC 2 · Sat Oct 31 vs AC Brea (2) · Sat Nov 7 vs EMPIRE SC See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Zeta Academy | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 4 | +18 | 15 | 2.50 | WLWWW | +0.15 | -0.30 | 100% | 2.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Elite FC 2 · Sat Oct 31 vs BOCA OC (2) · Sat Nov 7 at Rangers FC 2 See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Elite FC 2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 7 | +13 | 15 | 2.50 | WLWWW | -0.15 | -0.10 | 97% | 3.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Zeta Academy · Sun Nov 1 vs ALBION SC San Diego (1) · Sat Nov 7 at BOCA OC (2) See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Reds FC 2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 10 | 1.67 | WDWLW | +0.02 | -0.04 | 1% | 6.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Rayados Academy San Diego · Sun Nov 1 at Chula Vista FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at AC Brea (2) See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Chula Vista FC 2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 11 | 1.57 | DLWLD | -0.38 | +0.14 | 1% | 6.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Crusaders SC · Sun Nov 1 vs Reds FC 2 · Sun Nov 8 at AC Brea (2) See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | EMPIRE SC | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 6 | 1.20 | LDDWD | +0.43 | -0.17 | 1% | 6.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs BOCA OC (2) · Sun Nov 1 at Rangers FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at Crusaders SC See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Rayados Academy San Diego | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 8 | 1.14 | LWLLD | +0.32 | +0.00 | 0% | 8.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Reds FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) · Sun Nov 8 vs EMPIRE SC See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | ALBION SC San Diego (1) | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 4 | 0.57 | LWLLD | +0.39 | -0.05 | 0% | 9.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) · Sun Nov 1 at Elite FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Rangers FC 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 18 | -14 | 3 | 0.50 | WLLLL | +0.13 | +0.11 | 0% | 10.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at AC Brea (2) · Sun Nov 1 vs EMPIRE SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Zeta Academy See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | BOCA OC (2) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 1 | 0.33 | LLD | -0.32 | +0.18 | 0% | 10.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at EMPIRE SC · Sat Oct 31 at Zeta Academy · Sat Nov 7 vs Elite FC 2 See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 27 | -22 | 2 | 0.33 | LDLLL | +0.84 | -0.04 | 0% | 11.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC San Diego (1) · Sat Nov 14 at Zeta Academy See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 17 | -16 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +1.03 | +0.06 | 0% | 12.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at ALBION SC San Diego (1) · Sun Nov 1 at ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 · Sat Nov 7 vs Rayados Academy San Diego See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.35 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.