TableChase Clubs

EMPIRE SC

Elite Academy League 2 · SD / OC / IE U14 · 13 teams · EMPIRE SC (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 15 minutes ago.
Add schedule to calendar
7th
1-3-1 record · 5 played
1.20 points per game
+1 goal diff · 9–8
LDDWDlast 5
2% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.9
+0.43 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 08:00 AM

Open the match preview →

EMPIRE SC
7th · 1.20 PPG
vs
BOCA OC (2)
11th · 0.33 PPG

Eastvale Community Park, Full Size Field 13 ↗

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.1 for, 1.2 against · 2.41 expected points)

Season so farEMPIRE SCBOCA OC (2)
Position7th11th
Record (W-D-L)1-3-10-1-2
Points per game1.200.33
Goals for / game1.80.7
Goals against / game1.64.0
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless12
Form (recent first)D W D D LD L L
Biggest win5–2 vs Elite FC 2—
Worst loss0–2 at Zeta Academy0–8 vs Crusaders SC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.26-1.64
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.43-0.32

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    BOCA OC (2) average 0.7 goals/game (league avg 2.3); blanked in 2 of 3.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    BOCA OC (2) concede 4.0/game; worst result 0–8 vs Crusaders SC.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–2 at Zeta Academy.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 76% chance; likely score 3–1.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 08:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the BOCA OC (2) game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (EMPIRE SC – BOCA OC (2)) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 1.50 PPG
7th— holds 6th▲ up 1 7th— holds
Win
1.50 PPG
7th— holds 6th▲ up 1 7th— holds
Draw
1.17 PPG
7th— holds 7th— holds 8th▼ down 1
Loss
1.00 PPG
8th▼ down 1 7th— holds 8th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–1 win we finish as high as 5th if every rival drops points, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
2% top 4
98% below the top 4
5.9 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th 2%
  5. 5th 38%
  6. 6th 32%
  7. 7th 22%
  8. 8th 6%
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 19 remaining known games (max 2.63 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 AC Brea (2) 3.00 (+1.80) 2nd (2.48) 66 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 54 for their projection
2 Crusaders SC 2.63 (+1.43) 1st (2.54) 58 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 55 for their projection
3 Zeta Academy 2.50 (+1.30) 3rd (2.36) 54 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection
4 Elite FC 2 2.50 (+1.30) 4th (2.18) 54 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 47 for their projection
5 Reds FC 2 1.67 (+0.47) 6th (1.55) 35 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
6 Chula Vista FC 2 1.57 (+0.37) 7th (1.49) 32 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection

How the results connect

9 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link EMPIRE SC to BOCA OC (2) through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

9 favour us
0 favour them
+5.9 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–1 1–0 2–0 0–2 0–3 8–0 0–4 2–2 5–1 2–2 1–1 5–2 1–3 5–2 5–1 3–0 2–0 EMPIRE SC 7th ALBION SC San Diego… 9th Zeta Academy 3rd Chula Vista FC 2 6th Reds FC 2 5th Elite FC 2 4th Rangers FC 2 10th Crusaders SC 2nd ALBION SC Santa Ana… 12th BOCA OC (2) 11th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

9 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.17 · 12th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
08:00 AM
BOCA OC (2)
11th · 0-1-2 · GD -10
Home
Eastvale Community Park
●○○○○ Favorable
76%
3–1 2.41 1.40 Bank it
Sun Nov 1
12:35 PM
Rangers FC 2
10th · 1-0-5 · GD -14
Away
Fullerton College · turf?
●●○○○ Lean win
66%
2–1 2.16 1.51 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
12:45 PM
Crusaders SC
2nd · 7-0-1 · GD +34
Away
Pershing Middle School
●●●●● Very tough
7%
0–3 0.31 1.36 Upside
Sun Nov 8
10:40 AM
Rayados Academy San Diego
8th · 2-2-3 · GD -11
Away
MEADOW PARK
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
3–2 1.84 1.41 Swing game
Sun Nov 15
12:00 PM
AC Brea (2)
1st · 2-0-0 · GD +17
Home
Eastvale Community Park
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–3 0.53 1.33 Upside
Sun Nov 22
01:00 PM
AC Brea (2)
1st · 2-0-0 · GD +17
Away
Grass - Whittier College · grass
●●●●● Very tough
8%
1–3 0.35 1.24 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
Reds FC 2
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +1
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
2–1 1.62 1.27 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
09:35 AM
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
12th · 0-2-4 · GD -22
Away
Saint Jeanne De Lestonnac School
●●○○○ Lean win
74%
2–1 2.35 1.35 Bank it
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
Chula Vista FC 2
6th · 3-2-2 · GD +2
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
2–1 1.65 1.37 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
Elite FC 2
4th · 5-0-1 · GD +13
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–2 0.74 1.33 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Zeta Academy
3rd · 5-0-1 · GD +18
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
18%
1–2 0.72 1.29 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -16
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
76%
3–1 2.42 1.36 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
12th · 0-2-4 · GD -22
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
81%
3–1 2.55 1.43 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
ALBION SC San Diego (1)
9th · 1-1-5 · GD -13
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
60%
2–1 2.00 1.46 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
03:30 PM
BOCA OC (2)
11th · 0-1-2 · GD -10
Away
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●○○○ Lean win
67%
2–1 2.18 1.49 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
Rangers FC 2
10th · 1-0-5 · GD -14
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
74%
2–0 2.37 1.53 Bank it
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
Crusaders SC
2nd · 7-0-1 · GD +34
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
11%
1–2 0.47 1.49 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
Rayados Academy San Diego
8th · 2-2-3 · GD -11
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
67%
3–1 2.15 1.51 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -16
Home
Eastvale Community Park
●○○○○ Favorable
84%
3–1 2.61 1.56 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 AC Brea (2) 2200 170+17 63.00 WW -1.54 -0.14 100% 2.0
2 Crusaders SC 8701 384+34 212.63 WWWWL -0.63 -0.05 100% 1.7
3 Zeta Academy 6501 224+18 152.50 WLWWW +0.15 -0.30 100% 2.7
4 Elite FC 2 6501 207+13 152.50 WLWWW -0.15 -0.10 97% 3.6
5 Reds FC 2 6312 1312+1 101.67 WDWLW +0.02 -0.04 1% 6.1
6 Chula Vista FC 2 7322 1816+2 111.57 DLWLD -0.38 +0.14 1% 6.3
7 EMPIRE SC 5131 98+1 61.20 LDDWD +0.43 -0.17 2% 5.9
8 Rayados Academy San Diego 7223 1829-11 81.14 LWLLD +0.32 +0.00 0% 8.0
9 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 7115 619-13 40.57 LWLLD +0.39 -0.05 0% 9.8
10 Rangers FC 2 6105 418-14 30.50 WLLLL +0.13 +0.11 0% 10.8
11 BOCA OC (2) 3012 212-10 10.33 LLD -0.32 +0.18 0% 10.7
12 ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 6024 527-22 20.33 LDLLL +0.84 -0.04 0% 11.5
13 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 3003 117-16 00.00 LLL +1.03 +0.06 0% 11.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.35 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.