TableChase Clubs

Los Angeles SC 2

Elite Academy League 2 · LA South U19 · 12 teams · Los Angeles SC (all teams)

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11th
0-2-3 record · 5 played
0.40 points per game
-6 goal diff · 12–18
LDLDLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.3
+0.11 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 01:00 PM

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Los Angeles SC 2
11th · 0.40 PPG
vs
Pride FC
10th · 0.60 PPG

West Covina High School, Thyberg Field ↗

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.6 for, 1.6 against · 1.95 expected points)

Season so farLos Angeles SC 2Pride FC
Position11th10th
Record (W-D-L)0-2-31-0-4
Points per game0.400.60
Goals for / game2.40.6
Goals against / game3.62.6
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless04
Form (recent first)L D L D LW L L L L
Biggest win—3–0 at Bell Gardens Football Club
Worst loss1–4 vs FC Golden State Force (2)0–4 vs FC Golden State Force (2)
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.68-1.09
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.11+0.24

Common opponents: FC Golden State Force (2) — we 1–4; they 0–4. Bell Gardens Football Club — we 4–4; they 3–0. Downey United Football Club — we 1–3; they 0–3.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    Pride FC average 0.6 goals/game (league avg 2.4); blanked in 4 of 5.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 59% / draw 18% / loss 23%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • What a win does
    Pride FC sit 10th on 0.60 PPG; we are on 0.40.

    A point moves us above Pride FC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Pride FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Los Angeles SC 2 – Pride FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 0.83 PPG
9th▲ up 2 9th▲ up 2 12th▼ down 1
Win
0.83 PPG
9th▲ up 2 9th▲ up 2 12th▼ down 1
Draw
0.50 PPG
11th— holds 11th— holds 12th▼ down 1
Loss
0.33 PPG
11th— holds 11th— holds 12th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 9th if every rival drops points, and as low as 12th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
9.3 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th 1%
  6. 6th 2%
  7. 7th 8%
  8. 8th 16%
  9. 9th 28%
  10. 10th 27%
  11. 11th 17%
  12. 12th 2%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.41 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 2.17 (+1.77) 2nd (2.11) 46 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection
2 LAIFC (2) 2.14 (+1.74) 1st (2.17) 46 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection
3 Downey United Football Club 2.14 (+1.74) 3rd (1.93) 46 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection
4 Culver City 1.75 (+1.35) 4th (1.92) 37 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection
5 FC Golden State Force (2) 1.67 (+1.27) 6th (1.58) 35 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
6 Autobahn SA 1.60 (+1.20) 5th (1.66) 34 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
7 Bell Gardens Football Club 1.40 (+1.00) 7th (1.26) 29 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
8 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 1.17 (+0.77) 8th (1.25) 24 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
9 City SC Los Angeles 2 0.80 (+0.40) 10th (0.98) A point next game
10 Pride FC 0.60 (+0.20) 11th (0.79) A point next game

How the results connect

11 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Los Angeles SC 2 to Pride FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

8 favour us
1 even
2 favour them
+1.5 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–3 3–0 1–4 4–0 4–4 0–3 1–4 4–4 4–6 2–3 2–1 2–0 3–3 4–4 4–0 4–3 3–0 Los Angeles SC 2 11th Downey United Footb… 3rd FC Golden State For… 5th Bell Gardens Footba… 7th Autobahn SA 6th Sporting So-Cal Soc… 8th City SC Los Angeles… 9th Total Futbol Academ… 1st Pride FC 10th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

11 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 6 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.01 · 4th hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
01:00 PM
Pride FC
10th · 1-0-4 · GD -10
Home
West Covina High School
●●○○○ Lean win
59%
2–1 1.95 0.66 Swing game
Sun Nov 1
05:55 PM
FC Premier
12th · 0-0-3 · GD -14
Away
Fullerton High School · turf
●●○○○ Lean win
67%
3–1 2.15 0.87 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
08:30 AM
LAIFC (2)
2nd · 5-0-2 · GD +12
Away
Silverlakes Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–3 0.40 0.81 Upside
Sat Nov 14
09:00 AM
Culver City
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +6
Away
Culver City High School
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–3 0.51 0.78 Upside
Sun Nov 15
09:00 AM
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
8th · 2-1-3 · GD -4
Home
West Covina High School
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
2–2 1.48 0.85 Swing game
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
Autobahn SA
6th · 2-2-1 · GD +1
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
21%
2–4 0.75 0.84 Upside
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force (2)
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +1
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
23%
2–4 0.82 0.84 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles 2
9th · 1-1-3 · GD -7
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
41%
2–2 1.41 0.88 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Bell Gardens Football Club
7th · 2-1-2 · GD -2
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
42%
2–2 1.45 0.92 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
1st · 4-1-1 · GD +14
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
9%
2–5 0.36 0.89 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
Downey United Football Club
3rd · 5-0-2 · GD +9
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–3 0.82 0.88 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
Pride FC
10th · 1-0-4 · GD -10
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
2–1 1.66 0.93 Swing game
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
FC Premier
12th · 0-0-3 · GD -14
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
76%
3–1 2.41 1.01 Bank it
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
LAIFC (2)
2nd · 5-0-2 · GD +12
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–3 0.60 0.99 Upside
Tue May 25
09:00 AM
Culver City
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +6
Home
West Covina High School
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–3 0.76 0.98 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
1st · 4-1-1 · GD +14
Home
West Covina High School
●●●●● Very tough
16%
2–4 0.59 0.96 Upside
Thu May 27
09:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles 2
9th · 1-1-3 · GD -7
Home
West Covina High School
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%
2–1 1.73 0.99 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 6411 2612+14 132.17 WDWWW -0.31 -0.15 96% 2.2
2 LAIFC (2) 7502 219+12 152.14 WLWLW +0.25 -0.36 97% 1.9
3 Downey United Football Club 7502 1910+9 152.14 WWLLW -0.19 -0.09 78% 3.5
4 Culver City 4211 115+6 71.75 LWDW +0.05 -0.18 77% 3.5
5 FC Golden State Force (2) 6312 1918+1 101.67 LWDWL +0.08 -0.11 18% 5.7
6 Autobahn SA 5221 1817+1 81.60 DDLWW +0.26 -0.18 32% 5.0
7 Bell Gardens Football Club 5212 1113-2 71.40 WLWDL -0.38 +0.09 1% 7.7
8 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 6213 812-4 71.17 LLDWL +0.18 -0.10 2% 7.7
9 City SC Los Angeles 2 5113 512-7 40.80 LWDLL +0.44 -0.10 0% 9.4
10 Pride FC 5104 313-10 30.60 LLLLW +0.24 -0.01 0% 10.4
11 Los Angeles SC 2 5023 1218-6 20.40 LDLDL +0.11 -0.01 0% 9.3
12 FC Premier 3003 014-14 00.00 LLL +0.68 +0.07 0% 11.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.36 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.