Downey United Football Club

Elite Academy League 2 · LA South U19 · 12 teams · Downey United Football Club (all teams)

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3rd

5-0-2 record · 7 played

2.14 points per game

+9 goal diff · 19–10

WWLLWlast 5

78% chance of top 4 · expected finish 3.4

-0.19 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 05:25 PM

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Downey United Football Club
3rd · 2.14 PPG

FC Golden State Force (2)
5th · 1.67 PPG

St. Pius X - St. Matthias Academy (PMA), Stadium ↗ · turf?

61% 16% 23%

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 3–2 (expected goals 3.2 for, 2.1 against · 1.99 expected points)

Season so far	Downey United Football Club	FC Golden State Force (2)
Position	3rd	5th
Record (W-D-L)	5-0-2	3-1-2
Points per game	2.14	1.67
Goals for / game	2.7	3.2
Goals against / game	1.4	3.0
Clean sheets	3	1
Held scoreless	1	1
Form (recent first)	W L L W W	L W D W L
Biggest win	3–0 at Total Futbol Academy - OC 2	4–0 at Pride FC
Worst loss	0–4 vs LAIFC (2)	2–7 at Culver City
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+0.76	+0.13
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-0.19	+0.08

Common opponents: Pride FC — we 3–0; they 4–0. LAIFC (2) — we 0–4; they 0–3. Autobahn SA — we 3–4; they 6–4. Los Angeles SC 2 — we 3–1; they 4–1.

Game plan

Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–4 vs LAIFC (2).
Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
Swing game — small margins
Win 61% / draw 16% / loss 23%.
Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
What a win does
LAIFC (2) sit 2nd on 2.14 PPG; we are on 2.14.
A point moves us above LAIFC (2) on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Golden State Force (2) game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Downey United Football Club – FC Golden State Force (2)) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Win · 2.25 PPG	1st▲ up 2	3rd— holds	3rd— holds
Win 2.25 PPG	1st▲ up 2	3rd— holds	3rd— holds
Draw 2.00 PPG	3rd— holds	4th▼ down 1	3rd— holds
Loss 1.88 PPG	3rd— holds	4th▼ down 1	6th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–2 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 3rd if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

8% finish 1st

78% top 4

22% below the top 4

3.4 average finish

1st 8%
2nd 18%
3rd 27%
4th 26%
5th 15%
6th 5%
7th 2%
8th <1%
9th <1%
10th
11th
12th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 2.73 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2	2.17 (+0.03)	2nd (2.11)	A point next game
2	LAIFC (2)	2.14 (+0.00)	1st (2.17)	A point next game

How the results connect

16 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link Downey United Football Club to FC Golden State Force (2) through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

7 favour us

2 even

7 favour them

+0.4 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.09 · 5th hardest of 12

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sun Oct 25 05:25 PM	FC Golden State Force (2) 5th · 3-1-2 · GD +1	Home St. Pius X - St. Matthias Academy (PMA) · turf?	●●○○○ Lean win	61%	3–2	1.99	2.12	Swing game
Sun Nov 1 03:20 PM	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 8th · 2-1-3 · GD -4	Away Glendale High School · turf?	●●●○○ Toss-up	54%	2–1	1.83	2.09	Swing game
Sat Nov 14 02:30 PM	Autobahn SA 6th · 2-2-1 · GD +1	Away Santa Monica High School	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.60	2.04	Swing game
Sun Nov 15 05:25 PM	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 1st · 4-1-1 · GD +14	Home St. Pius X - St. Matthias Academy (PMA) · turf?	●●●●○ Tough	40%	2–2	1.39	1.98	Upside
Sun Nov 22 05:25 PM	City SC Los Angeles 2 9th · 1-1-3 · GD -7	Home St. Pius X - St. Matthias Academy (PMA) · turf?	●●○○○ Lean win	71%	2–1	2.28	2.01	Bank it
Sun Mar 7 12:00 AM	Bell Gardens Football Club 7th · 2-1-2 · GD -2	Away TBD	●●●○○ Toss-up	56%	2–1	1.86	2.00	Swing game
Sat Mar 13 06:55 PM	FC Premier 12th · 0-0-3 · GD -14	Away St John Bosco High School · turf	●○○○○ Favorable	82%	3–0	2.57	2.04	Bank it
Sun Mar 14 05:25 PM	Pride FC 10th · 1-0-4 · GD -10	Home St. Pius X - St. Matthias Academy (PMA) · turf?	●○○○○ Favorable	76%	2–0	2.41	2.06	Bank it
Sun Mar 21 12:00 AM	LAIFC (2) 2nd · 5-0-2 · GD +12	Away TBD	●●●●○ Tough	27%	1–2	1.02	2.00	Upside
Sun Apr 4 05:25 PM	Culver City 4th · 2-1-1 · GD +6	Home St. Pius X - St. Matthias Academy (PMA) · turf?	●●●○○ Toss-up	42%	1–1	1.48	1.97	Swing game
Sun Apr 11 12:00 AM	Los Angeles SC 2 11th · 0-2-3 · GD -6	Away TBD	●●○○○ Lean win	62%	3–1	2.02	1.97	Swing game
Sun Apr 25 12:00 AM	FC Golden State Force (2) 5th · 3-1-2 · GD +1	Away TBD	●●●○○ Toss-up	49%	2–2	1.66	1.95	Swing game
Sun May 2 12:00 AM	City SC Los Angeles 2 9th · 1-1-3 · GD -7	Away TBD	●●○○○ Lean win	62%	2–1	2.04	1.96	Swing game
Sun May 16 05:25 PM	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 8th · 2-1-3 · GD -4	Home St. Pius X - St. Matthias Academy (PMA) · turf?	●●○○○ Lean win	63%	2–1	2.08	1.96	Swing game
Tue May 25 12:00 AM	Culver City 4th · 2-1-1 · GD +6	Away Culver City High School	●●●●○ Tough	33%	1–2	1.19	1.93	Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Total Futbol Academy - OC 2

+14

2.17

WDWWW

-0.31

-0.15

95%

2.3

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	FC Premier (12th)	8–0
W	Sun Oct 11	vs	LAIFC (2) (2nd)	5–4
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	Pride FC (10th)	4–0
D	Sun Sep 20	at	Autobahn SA (6th)	4–4
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	City SC Los Angeles 2 (9th)	5–1
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Downey United Football Club (3rd)	0–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC Golden State Force (2) · Sun Oct 25 at Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club · Sun Nov 1 vs Culver City See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	FC Golden State Force (2) (5th)	4–2	59%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (8th)	2–1	64%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Culver City (4th)	2–2	51%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Bell Gardens Football Club (7th)	4–1	77%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Downey United Football Club (3rd)	2–2	41%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Bell Gardens Football Club (7th)	3–2	66%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	City SC Los Angeles 2 (9th)	3–1	72%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Autobahn SA (6th)	4–2	70%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Pride FC (10th)	3–1	78%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Los Angeles SC 2 (11th)	5–2	82%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	LAIFC (2) (2nd)	2–2	33%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	FC Premier (12th)	4–1	91%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	FC Golden State Force (2) (5th)	4–2	72%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (8th)	3–1	74%
·	Sat May 1	at	Culver City (4th)	2–2	39%
·	Tue May 25	at	Los Angeles SC 2 (11th)	4–2	72%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

LAIFC (2)

+12

2.14

WLWLW

+0.25

-0.36

97%

1.9

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	City SC Los Angeles 2 (9th)	4–0
L	Sun Oct 11	at	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (1st)	4–5
W	Sun Sep 27	at	Downey United Football Club (3rd)	4–0
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Bell Gardens Football Club (7th)	2–3
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (8th)	2–0
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	Culver City (4th)	2–1
W	Sat Sep 12	at	FC Golden State Force (2) (5th)	3–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Autobahn SA · Sun Oct 25 vs Pride FC · Sun Nov 8 vs Los Angeles SC 2 See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Autobahn SA (6th)	3–2	57%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Pride FC (10th)	3–0	82%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Los Angeles SC 2 (11th)	3–1	80%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	FC Golden State Force (2) (5th)	3–1	70%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Culver City (4th)	2–1	41%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Bell Gardens Football Club (7th)	2–1	65%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Downey United Football Club (3rd)	2–1	52%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	FC Premier (12th)	4–0	92%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (1st)	2–2	50%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	City SC Los Angeles 2 (9th)	2–1	70%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Autobahn SA (6th)	3–2	69%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Pride FC (10th)	2–0	75%
·	Sun May 2	at	Los Angeles SC 2 (11th)	3–1	71%
·	Sun May 9	at	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (8th)	2–1	62%
·	Tue May 25	at	FC Premier (12th)	3–0	88%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Downey United Football Club

2.14

WWLLW

-0.19

-0.09

78%

3.4

W	Sun Oct 11	vs	Los Angeles SC 2 (11th)	3–1
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	Autobahn SA (6th)	3–4
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	LAIFC (2) (2nd)	0–4
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Pride FC (10th)	3–0
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	FC Premier (12th)	3–0
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	Bell Gardens Football Club (7th)	4–1
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (1st)	3–0

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FC Golden State Force (2) · Sun Nov 1 at Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club · Sat Nov 14 at Autobahn SA See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	FC Golden State Force (2) (5th)	3–2	61%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (8th)	2–1	54%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Autobahn SA (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (1st)	2–2	40%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	City SC Los Angeles 2 (9th)	2–1	71%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Bell Gardens Football Club (7th)	2–1	56%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	FC Premier (12th)	3–0	82%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Pride FC (10th)	2–0	76%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	LAIFC (2) (2nd)	1–2	27%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Culver City (4th)	1–1	42%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Los Angeles SC 2 (11th)	3–1	62%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	FC Golden State Force (2) (5th)	2–2	49%
·	Sun May 2	at	City SC Los Angeles 2 (9th)	2–1	62%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (8th)	2–1	63%
·	Tue May 25	at	Culver City (4th)	1–2	33%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Culver City

1.75

LWDW

+0.05

-0.18

78%

3.4

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	FC Golden State Force (2) (5th)	7–2
D	Sun Sep 27	at	City SC Los Angeles 2 (9th)	1–1
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (8th)	2–0
L	Sun Sep 13	at	LAIFC (2) (2nd)	1–2

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FC Premier · Sat Oct 31 at Autobahn SA · Sun Nov 1 at Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	FC Premier (12th)	4–0	90%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Autobahn SA (6th)	3–2	50%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (1st)	2–2	32%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Pride FC (10th)	2–1	70%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Los Angeles SC 2 (11th)	3–1	75%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Autobahn SA (6th)	3–2	62%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Bell Gardens Football Club (7th)	2–1	59%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	LAIFC (2) (2nd)	1–2	38%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (8th)	2–1	56%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	City SC Los Angeles 2 (9th)	2–1	73%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Downey United Football Club (3rd)	1–1	37%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Bell Gardens Football Club (7th)	3–1	69%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	FC Golden State Force (2) (5th)	3–2	52%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	FC Premier (12th)	3–0	84%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (1st)	2–2	43%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Pride FC (10th)	2–0	78%
·	Tue May 25	at	Los Angeles SC 2 (11th)	3–1	65%
·	Tue May 25	vs	Downey United Football Club (3rd)	2–1	46%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Golden State Force (2)

1.67

LWDWL

+0.08

-0.11

17%

5.7

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Culver City (4th)	2–7
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	Autobahn SA (6th)	6–4
D	Sat Sep 26	vs	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (8th)	3–3
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Los Angeles SC 2 (11th)	4–1
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	LAIFC (2) (2nd)	0–3
W	Sun Sep 6	at	Pride FC (10th)	4–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 · Sun Oct 25 at Downey United Football Club · Sun Nov 1 at Bell Gardens Football Club See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (1st)	2–4	27%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Downey United Football Club (3rd)	2–3	23%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Bell Gardens Football Club (7th)	3–2	45%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	FC Premier (12th)	3–1	79%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Pride FC (10th)	3–1	71%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	LAIFC (2) (2nd)	1–3	16%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Los Angeles SC 2 (11th)	4–2	63%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (8th)	2–2	45%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Autobahn SA (6th)	3–4	33%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	City SC Los Angeles 2 (9th)	3–1	65%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Culver City (4th)	2–3	31%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (1st)	2–4	17%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Downey United Football Club (3rd)	2–2	33%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Bell Gardens Football Club (7th)	3–2	57%
·	Sun May 2	vs	FC Premier (12th)	4–1	86%
·	Tue May 25	at	City SC Los Angeles 2 (9th)	2–2	54%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Autobahn SA

1.60

DDLWW

+0.26

-0.18

32%

5.1

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (8th)	2–0
W	Sat Oct 10	at	Downey United Football Club (3rd)	4–3
L	Sun Sep 27	at	FC Golden State Force (2) (5th)	4–6
D	Sun Sep 20	vs	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (1st)	4–4
D	Sun Sep 13	at	Los Angeles SC 2 (11th)	4–4

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs LAIFC (2) · Sun Oct 25 vs City SC Los Angeles 2 · Sat Oct 31 vs Culver City See all 17 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	LAIFC (2) (2nd)	2–3	27%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	City SC Los Angeles 2 (9th)	3–1	68%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Culver City (4th)	2–3	33%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Pride FC (10th)	3–1	64%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Bell Gardens Football Club (7th)	3–2	60%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Downey United Football Club (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Culver City (4th)	2–3	23%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	FC Premier (12th)	4–1	88%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Los Angeles SC 2 (11th)	4–2	66%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (1st)	2–4	18%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	FC Premier (12th)	4–1	81%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	FC Golden State Force (2) (5th)	4–3	52%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (8th)	2–1	58%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	LAIFC (2) (2nd)	2–3	18%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	City SC Los Angeles 2 (9th)	2–2	57%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Pride FC (10th)	3–1	74%
·	Sun May 2	at	Bell Gardens Football Club (7th)	3–2	48%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Bell Gardens Football Club

-2

1.40

WLWDL

-0.38

+0.09

7.6

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Pride FC (10th)	0–3
D	Sun Sep 27	vs	Los Angeles SC 2 (11th)	4–4
W	Sat Sep 26	at	LAIFC (2) (2nd)	3–2
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Downey United Football Club (3rd)	1–4
W	Sat Sep 12	at	FC Premier (12th)	3–0

Next: Sun Nov 1 vs FC Golden State Force (2) · Sat Nov 7 at City SC Los Angeles 2 · Sun Nov 8 at Autobahn SA See all 17 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	FC Golden State Force (2) (5th)	2–3	39%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	City SC Los Angeles 2 (9th)	2–1	44%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Autobahn SA (6th)	2–3	25%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (1st)	1–4	12%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	FC Premier (12th)	3–1	78%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Culver City (4th)	1–2	24%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (1st)	2–3	20%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Downey United Football Club (3rd)	1–2	26%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	LAIFC (2) (2nd)	1–2	19%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Los Angeles SC 2 (11th)	2–2	40%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (8th)	2–1	46%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Culver City (4th)	1–3	16%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Pride FC (10th)	2–1	52%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	City SC Los Angeles 2 (9th)	2–1	54%
·	Sat May 1	at	FC Golden State Force (2) (5th)	2–3	27%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Autobahn SA (6th)	2–3	36%
·	Sun May 23	at	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (8th)	1–1	36%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club

-4

1.17

LLDWL

+0.18

-0.10

7.7

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Autobahn SA (6th)	0–2
W	Sun Oct 11	at	City SC Los Angeles 2 (9th)	2–1
D	Sat Sep 26	at	FC Golden State Force (2) (5th)	3–3
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Culver City (4th)	0–2
L	Sat Sep 19	at	LAIFC (2) (2nd)	0–2
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Los Angeles SC 2 (11th)	3–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC Premier · Sun Oct 25 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 · Sun Nov 1 vs Downey United Football Club See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	FC Premier (12th)	2–1	63%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (1st)	1–2	20%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Downey United Football Club (3rd)	1–2	25%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Pride FC (10th)	1–1	55%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Los Angeles SC 2 (11th)	2–2	37%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Pride FC (10th)	1–1	47%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Culver City (4th)	1–2	23%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	FC Golden State Force (2) (5th)	2–2	36%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Bell Gardens Football Club (7th)	1–2	33%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	City SC Los Angeles 2 (9th)	1–1	49%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Autobahn SA (6th)	1–2	24%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	FC Premier (12th)	2–1	71%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (1st)	1–3	13%
·	Sun May 9	vs	LAIFC (2) (2nd)	1–2	19%
·	Sun May 16	at	Downey United Football Club (3rd)	1–2	18%
·	Sun May 23	vs	Bell Gardens Football Club (7th)	1–1	43%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

City SC Los Angeles 2

-7

0.80

LWDLL

+0.44

-0.10

9.3

L	Sun Oct 18	at	LAIFC (2) (2nd)	0–4
L	Sun Oct 11	vs	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (8th)	1–2
D	Sun Sep 27	vs	Culver City (4th)	1–1
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Pride FC (10th)	2–0
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (1st)	1–5

Next: Sun Oct 25 at Autobahn SA · Sat Nov 7 vs Bell Gardens Football Club · Sat Nov 14 at FC Premier See all 17 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Autobahn SA (6th)	1–3	18%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Bell Gardens Football Club (7th)	1–2	35%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	FC Premier (12th)	2–1	56%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Downey United Football Club (3rd)	1–2	13%
·	Sun Feb 28	vs	FC Premier (12th)	2–1	65%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (1st)	1–3	14%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Pride FC (10th)	1–1	40%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Los Angeles SC 2 (11th)	2–2	40%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Culver City (4th)	1–2	12%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	FC Golden State Force (2) (5th)	1–3	20%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (8th)	1–1	28%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	LAIFC (2) (2nd)	1–2	14%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Bell Gardens Football Club (7th)	1–2	26%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Autobahn SA (6th)	2–2	26%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Downey United Football Club (3rd)	1–2	19%
·	Tue May 25	vs	FC Golden State Force (2) (5th)	2–2	28%
·	Thu May 27	at	Los Angeles SC 2 (11th)	1–2	30%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Pride FC

-10

0.60

LLLLW

+0.24

-0.01

10.4

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Bell Gardens Football Club (7th)	3–0
L	Sun Sep 27	at	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (1st)	0–4
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Downey United Football Club (3rd)	0–3
L	Sun Sep 20	at	City SC Los Angeles 2 (9th)	0–2
L	Sun Sep 6	vs	FC Golden State Force (2) (5th)	0–4

Next: Sun Oct 11 vs FC Premier · Sat Oct 24 at Los Angeles SC 2 · Sun Oct 25 at LAIFC (2) See all 17 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 11 (no score yet)	vs	FC Premier (12th)	2–1	56%
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Los Angeles SC 2 (11th)	1–2	23%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	LAIFC (2) (2nd)	0–3	7%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Autobahn SA (6th)	1–3	20%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (8th)	1–1	22%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Culver City (4th)	1–2	13%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	FC Golden State Force (2) (5th)	1–3	14%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (8th)	1–1	29%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	City SC Los Angeles 2 (9th)	1–1	35%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Downey United Football Club (3rd)	0–2	10%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (1st)	1–3	10%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	FC Premier (12th)	1–1	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Bell Gardens Football Club (7th)	1–2	28%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Los Angeles SC 2 (11th)	1–2	31%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	LAIFC (2) (2nd)	0–2	11%
·	Sat May 1	at	Autobahn SA (6th)	1–3	13%
·	Sun May 2	at	Culver City (4th)	0–2	9%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Los Angeles SC 2

-6

0.40

LDLDL

+0.11

-0.01

9.3

L	Sun Oct 11	at	Downey United Football Club (3rd)	1–3
D	Sun Sep 27	at	Bell Gardens Football Club (7th)	4–4
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	FC Golden State Force (2) (5th)	1–4
D	Sun Sep 13	vs	Autobahn SA (6th)	4–4
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (8th)	2–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Pride FC · Sun Nov 1 at FC Premier · Sun Nov 8 at LAIFC (2) See all 17 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Pride FC (10th)	2–1	59%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	FC Premier (12th)	3–1	67%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	LAIFC (2) (2nd)	1–3	10%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Culver City (4th)	1–3	13%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (8th)	2–2	43%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Autobahn SA (6th)	2–4	21%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	FC Golden State Force (2) (5th)	2–4	23%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	City SC Los Angeles 2 (9th)	2–2	41%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Bell Gardens Football Club (7th)	2–2	42%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (1st)	2–5	9%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Downey United Football Club (3rd)	1–3	22%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Pride FC (10th)	2–1	49%
·	Sat May 1	vs	FC Premier (12th)	3–1	76%
·	Sun May 2	vs	LAIFC (2) (2nd)	1–3	16%
·	Tue May 25	vs	Culver City (4th)	1–3	20%
·	Tue May 25	vs	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (1st)	2–4	16%
·	Thu May 27	vs	City SC Los Angeles 2 (9th)	2–1	51%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Premier

-14

0.00

LLL

+0.68

+0.07

11.8

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (1st)	0–8
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Downey United Football Club (3rd)	0–3
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Bell Gardens Football Club (7th)	0–3

Next: Sun Oct 11 at Pride FC · Sat Oct 24 vs Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 at Culver City See all 19 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 11 (no score yet)	at	Pride FC (10th)	1–2	22%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (8th)	1–2	18%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Culver City (4th)	0–4	4%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Los Angeles SC 2 (11th)	1–3	18%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	FC Golden State Force (2) (5th)	1–3	10%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	City SC Los Angeles 2 (9th)	1–2	23%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Bell Gardens Football Club (7th)	1–3	10%
·	Sun Feb 28	at	City SC Los Angeles 2 (9th)	1–2	17%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Autobahn SA (6th)	1–4	5%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Downey United Football Club (3rd)	0–3	7%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Autobahn SA (6th)	1–4	9%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	LAIFC (2) (2nd)	0–4	3%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Pride FC (10th)	1–1	29%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (1st)	1–4	4%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (8th)	1–2	13%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Culver City (4th)	0–3	6%
·	Sat May 1	at	Los Angeles SC 2 (11th)	1–3	12%
·	Sun May 2	at	FC Golden State Force (2) (5th)	1–4	6%
·	Tue May 25	vs	LAIFC (2) (2nd)	0–3	5%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.36 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.