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Pride FC

Elite Academy League 2 · LA South U19 · 12 teams · SoCal Pride FC (all teams)

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10th
1-0-4 record · 5 played
0.60 points per game
-10 goal diff · 3–13
LLLLWlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.4
+0.24 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 01:00 PM

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Pride FC
10th · 0.60 PPG
at
Los Angeles SC 2
11th · 0.40 PPG

West Covina High School, Thyberg Field ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.6 for, 2.6 against · 0.87 expected points)

Season so farPride FCLos Angeles SC 2
Position10th11th
Record (W-D-L)1-0-40-2-3
Points per game0.600.40
Goals for / game0.62.4
Goals against / game2.63.6
Clean sheets10
Held scoreless40
Form (recent first)W L L L LL D L D L
Biggest win3–0 at Bell Gardens Football Club—
Worst loss0–4 vs FC Golden State Force (2)1–4 vs FC Golden State Force (2)
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.09-0.68
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.24+0.11

Common opponents: FC Golden State Force (2) — we 0–4; they 1–4. Downey United Football Club — we 0–3; they 1–3. Bell Gardens Football Club — we 3–0; they 4–4.

Game plan

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    Los Angeles SC 2 concede 3.6/game; worst result 1–4 vs FC Golden State Force (2).

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 4 time(s): 0–4 vs FC Golden State Force (2), 0–2 at City SC Los Angeles 2, 0–3 vs Downey United Football Club, 0–4 at Total Futbol Academy - OC 2.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 23%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:00 PM at West Covina High School.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    City SC Los Angeles 2 sit 9th on 0.80 PPG; we are on 0.60.

    A point moves us above City SC Los Angeles 2 on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Los Angeles SC 2 game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Pride FC – Los Angeles SC 2) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.50 PPG
11th▼ down 1 11th▼ down 1 12th▼ down 2
Win
1.00 PPG
9th▲ up 1 9th▲ up 1 11th▼ down 1
Draw
0.67 PPG
10th— holds 10th— holds 11th▼ down 1
Loss
0.50 PPG
11th▼ down 1 11th▼ down 1 12th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we fall to at least 11th even if every rival loses, and as low as 12th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
10.4 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th 1%
  8. 8th 4%
  9. 9th 12%
  10. 10th 24%
  11. 11th 49%
  12. 12th 9%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.45 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 2.17 (+1.57) 2nd (2.11) 45 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection
2 LAIFC (2) 2.14 (+1.54) 1st (2.17) 45 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection
3 Downey United Football Club 2.14 (+1.54) 3rd (1.93) 45 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection
4 Culver City 1.75 (+1.15) 4th (1.92) 36 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection
5 FC Golden State Force (2) 1.67 (+1.07) 6th (1.58) 34 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
6 Autobahn SA 1.60 (+1.00) 5th (1.66) 33 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
7 Bell Gardens Football Club 1.40 (+0.80) 7th (1.26) 28 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
8 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 1.17 (+0.57) 8th (1.25) 23 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
9 City SC Los Angeles 2 0.80 (+0.20) 10th (0.98) A point next game

How the results connect

11 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Pride FC to Los Angeles SC 2 through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
1 even
8 favour them
-1.5 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–3 3–1 0–4 4–1 3–0 4–4 4–1 0–2 1–2 3–2 6–4 4–4 3–3 0–4 4–4 3–4 0–3 Pride FC 10th Downey United Footb… 3rd FC Golden State For… 5th Bell Gardens Footba… 7th City SC Los Angeles… 9th Total Futbol Academ… 1st Sporting So-Cal Soc… 8th Autobahn SA 6th Los Angeles SC 2 11th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

11 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 6 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.01 · 3rd hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 11
03:35 PM
no score posted
FC Premier
12th · 0-0-3 · GD -14
Home
Borchard Community Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
2–1 1.90 0.82 Swing game
Sat Oct 24
01:00 PM
Los Angeles SC 2
11th · 0-2-3 · GD -6
Away
West Covina High School
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–2 0.87 0.82 Upside
Sun Oct 25
08:30 AM
LAIFC (2)
2nd · 5-0-2 · GD +12
Away
Silverlakes Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
7%
0–3 0.32 0.76 Upside
Sun Nov 1
05:25 PM
Autobahn SA
6th · 2-2-1 · GD +1
Home
Borchard Community Park
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–3 0.75 0.76 Upside
Sat Nov 7
05:40 PM
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
8th · 2-1-3 · GD -4
Away
Glendale High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–1 0.88 0.77 Upside
Sun Nov 8
03:35 PM
Culver City
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +6
Home
Borchard Community Park
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–2 0.57 0.75 Upside
Sat Nov 14
05:00 PM
FC Golden State Force (2)
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +1
Away
Rio Hondo College · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
14%
1–3 0.57 0.74 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
8th · 2-1-3 · GD -4
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
29%
1–1 1.11 0.77 Upside
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles 2
9th · 1-1-3 · GD -7
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–1 1.29 0.80 Upside
Sun Mar 14
05:25 PM
Downey United Football Club
3rd · 5-0-2 · GD +9
Away
St. Pius X - St. Matthias Academy (PMA) · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
10%
0–2 0.44 0.78 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
1st · 4-1-1 · GD +14
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–3 0.42 0.76 Upside
Sun Apr 11
05:55 PM
FC Premier
12th · 0-0-3 · GD -14
Away
St John Bosco High School · turf
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
1–1 1.65 0.81 Swing game
Sat Apr 17
12:00 AM
Bell Gardens Football Club
7th · 2-1-2 · GD -2
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
28%
1–2 1.04 0.82 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
Los Angeles SC 2
11th · 0-2-3 · GD -6
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–2 1.14 0.84 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
LAIFC (2)
2nd · 5-0-2 · GD +12
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
11%
0–2 0.46 0.82 Upside
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
Autobahn SA
6th · 2-2-1 · GD +1
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–3 0.51 0.81 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
Culver City
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +6
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
9%
0–2 0.40 0.79 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 6411 2612+14 132.17 WDWWW -0.31 -0.15 95% 2.3
2 LAIFC (2) 7502 219+12 152.14 WLWLW +0.25 -0.36 97% 2.0
3 Downey United Football Club 7502 1910+9 152.14 WWLLW -0.19 -0.09 79% 3.4
4 Culver City 4211 115+6 71.75 LWDW +0.05 -0.18 77% 3.4
5 FC Golden State Force (2) 6312 1918+1 101.67 LWDWL +0.08 -0.11 17% 5.7
6 Autobahn SA 5221 1817+1 81.60 DDLWW +0.26 -0.18 31% 5.1
7 Bell Gardens Football Club 5212 1113-2 71.40 WLWDL -0.38 +0.09 2% 7.7
8 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 6213 812-4 71.17 LLDWL +0.18 -0.10 2% 7.7
9 City SC Los Angeles 2 5113 512-7 40.80 LWDLL +0.44 -0.10 0% 9.3
10 Pride FC 5104 313-10 30.60 LLLLW +0.24 -0.01 0% 10.4
11 Los Angeles SC 2 5023 1218-6 20.40 LDLDL +0.11 -0.01 0% 9.3
12 FC Premier 3003 014-14 00.00 LLL +0.68 +0.07 0% 11.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.36 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.