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Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club

Elite Academy League 2 · LA South U19 · 12 teams · Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (all teams)

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8th
2-1-3 record · 6 played
1.17 points per game
-4 goal diff · 8–12
LLDWLlast 5
1% chance of top 4 · expected finish 7.8
+0.18 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 05:55 PM

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Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
8th · 1.17 PPG
at
FC Premier
12th · 0.00 PPG

Ocean View High School, Stadium Turf ↗ · turf

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.3 for, 1.1 against · 2.07 expected points)

Season so farSporting So-Cal Soccer ClubFC Premier
Position8th12th
Record (W-D-L)2-1-30-0-3
Points per game1.170.00
Goals for / game1.30.0
Goals against / game2.04.7
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless33
Form (recent first)L W D L LL L L
Biggest win3–2 vs Los Angeles SC 2—
Worst loss0–2 at LAIFC (2)0–8 at Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.35-2.11
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.18+0.68

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    FC Premier average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.4); blanked in 3 of 3.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    FC Premier concede 4.7/game; worst result 0–8 at Total Futbol Academy - OC 2.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–2 at LAIFC (2), 0–2 at Culver City, 0–2 vs Autobahn SA.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 63% / draw 19% / loss 18%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Confidence is low on their side
    FC Premier have lost 3 straight (form: LLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 05:55 PM at Ocean View High School.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Bell Gardens Football Club sit 7th on 1.40 PPG; we are on 1.17.

    A point moves us above Bell Gardens Football Club on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Premier game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club – FC Premier) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 1.43 PPG
7th▲ up 1 6th▲ up 2 7th▲ up 1
Win
1.43 PPG
7th▲ up 1 6th▲ up 2 7th▲ up 1
Draw
1.14 PPG
8th— holds 8th— holds 10th▼ down 2
Loss
1.00 PPG
8th— holds 8th— holds 11th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 4th if every rival drops points, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
1% top 4
99% below the top 4
7.8 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th 1%
  5. 5th 4%
  6. 6th 11%
  7. 7th 30%
  8. 8th 26%
  9. 9th 17%
  10. 10th 9%
  11. 11th 3%
  12. 12th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 2.50 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 2.17 (+1.00) 2nd (2.11) 41 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection
2 LAIFC (2) 2.14 (+0.97) 1st (2.17) 41 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection
3 Downey United Football Club 2.14 (+0.97) 3rd (1.93) 41 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
4 Culver City 1.75 (+0.58) 4th (1.92) 32 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
5 FC Golden State Force (2) 1.67 (+0.50) 6th (1.58) 30 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
6 Autobahn SA 1.60 (+0.43) 5th (1.66) 29 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
7 Bell Gardens Football Club 1.40 (+0.23) 7th (1.26) A point next game

How the results connect

8 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club to FC Premier through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

7 favour us
1 even
0 favour them
+3.6 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–2 2–3 3–0 0–2 4–3 3–0 3–2 1–3 4–4 2–1 1–5 8–0 4–0 4–5 4–4 Sporting So-Cal Soc… 8th LAIFC (2) 2nd Autobahn SA 6th Los Angeles SC 2 11th City SC Los Angeles… 9th Bell Gardens Footba… 7th Downey United Footb… 3rd Total Futbol Academ… 1st FC Premier 12th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

8 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 6 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.10 · 6th hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
05:55 PM
FC Premier
12th · 0-0-3 · GD -14
Away
Ocean View High School · turf
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
2–1 2.07 1.30 Swing game
Sun Oct 25
01:10 PM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
1st · 4-1-1 · GD +14
Home
Glendale High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–2 0.76 1.23 Upside
Sun Nov 1
03:20 PM
Downey United Football Club
3rd · 5-0-2 · GD +9
Home
Glendale High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
25%
1–2 0.96 1.20 Upside
Sat Nov 7
05:40 PM
Pride FC
10th · 1-0-4 · GD -10
Home
Glendale High School · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
55%
1–1 1.89 1.27 Swing game
Sun Nov 15
09:00 AM
Los Angeles SC 2
11th · 0-2-3 · GD -6
Away
West Covina High School
●●●●○ Tough
37%
2–2 1.32 1.27 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
Pride FC
10th · 1-0-4 · GD -10
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
1–1 1.65 1.30 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
Culver City
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +6
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–2 0.90 1.27 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force (2)
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +1
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
36%
2–2 1.27 1.27 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
Bell Gardens Football Club
7th · 2-1-2 · GD -2
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
33%
1–2 1.21 1.27 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles 2
9th · 1-1-3 · GD -7
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
1–1 1.71 1.30 Swing game
Sat Apr 17
12:00 AM
Autobahn SA
6th · 2-2-1 · GD +1
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–2 0.91 1.27 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
FC Premier
12th · 0-0-3 · GD -14
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
71%
2–1 2.29 1.33 Bank it
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
1st · 4-1-1 · GD +14
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–3 0.53 1.29 Upside
Sun May 9
07:00 PM
LAIFC (2)
2nd · 5-0-2 · GD +12
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–2 0.76 1.26 Upside
Sun May 16
05:25 PM
Downey United Football Club
3rd · 5-0-2 · GD +9
Away
St. Pius X - St. Matthias Academy (PMA) · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
18%
1–2 0.73 1.24 Upside
Sun May 23
03:20 PM
Bell Gardens Football Club
7th · 2-1-2 · GD -2
Home
Glendale High School · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
1–1 1.49 1.25 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 6411 2612+14 132.17 WDWWW -0.31 -0.15 94% 2.3
2 LAIFC (2) 7502 219+12 152.14 WLWLW +0.25 -0.36 97% 2.0
3 Downey United Football Club 7502 1910+9 152.14 WWLLW -0.19 -0.09 79% 3.4
4 Culver City 4211 115+6 71.75 LWDW +0.05 -0.18 77% 3.4
5 FC Golden State Force (2) 6312 1918+1 101.67 LWDWL +0.08 -0.11 18% 5.6
6 Autobahn SA 5221 1817+1 81.60 DDLWW +0.26 -0.18 32% 5.1
7 Bell Gardens Football Club 5212 1113-2 71.40 WLWDL -0.38 +0.09 2% 7.7
8 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 6213 812-4 71.17 LLDWL +0.18 -0.10 1% 7.8
9 City SC Los Angeles 2 5113 512-7 40.80 LWDLL +0.44 -0.10 0% 9.3
10 Pride FC 5104 313-10 30.60 LLLLW +0.24 -0.01 0% 10.4
11 Los Angeles SC 2 5023 1218-6 20.40 LDLDL +0.11 -0.01 0% 9.3
12 FC Premier 3003 014-14 00.00 LLL +0.68 +0.07 0% 11.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.36 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.