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FC Premier

Elite Academy League 2 · LA South U19 · 12 teams · FC Premier (all teams)

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12th
0-0-3 record · 3 played
0.00 points per game
-14 goal diff · 0–14
LLLlast 3
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 11.8
+0.68 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 05:55 PM

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FC Premier
12th · 0.00 PPG
vs

Ocean View High School, Stadium Turf ↗ · turf

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.1 for, 2.3 against · 0.74 expected points)

Season so farFC PremierSporting So-Cal Soccer Club
Position12th8th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-32-1-3
Points per game0.001.17
Goals for / game0.01.3
Goals against / game4.72.0
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless33
Form (recent first)L L LL W D L L
Biggest win—3–2 vs Los Angeles SC 2
Worst loss0–8 at Total Futbol Academy - OC 20–2 at LAIFC (2)
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-2.11-0.35
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.68+0.18

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–3 vs Bell Gardens Football Club, 0–3 at Downey United Football Club, 0–8 at Total Futbol Academy - OC 2.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 18%; a draw (19%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    Los Angeles SC 2 sit 11th on 0.40 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above Los Angeles SC 2 on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Premier – Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
12th— holds 12th— holds 12th— holds
Win
0.75 PPG
10th▲ up 2 10th▲ up 2 12th— holds
Draw
0.25 PPG
12th— holds 12th— holds 12th— holds
Loss
0.00 PPG
12th— holds 12th— holds 12th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 12th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
11.8 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th <1%
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th 2%
  11. 11th 10%
  12. 12th 88%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 19 remaining known games (max 2.59 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 2.17 (+2.17) 2nd (2.11) 48 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 47 for their projection
2 LAIFC (2) 2.14 (+2.14) 1st (2.17) 48 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection
3 Downey United Football Club 2.14 (+2.14) 3rd (1.93) 48 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection
4 Culver City 1.75 (+1.75) 4th (1.92) 39 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection
5 FC Golden State Force (2) 1.67 (+1.67) 6th (1.58) 37 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
6 Autobahn SA 1.60 (+1.60) 5th (1.66) 36 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
7 Bell Gardens Football Club 1.40 (+1.40) 7th (1.26) 31 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
8 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 1.17 (+1.17) 8th (1.25) 26 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
9 City SC Los Angeles 2 0.80 (+0.80) 10th (0.98) 18 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
10 Pride FC 0.60 (+0.60) 11th (0.79) A point next game
11 Los Angeles SC 2 0.40 (+0.40) 9th (0.99) A point next game

How the results connect

8 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link FC Premier to Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
1 even
7 favour them
-3.6 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–3 3–2 2–0 0–3 3–4 2–0 3–1 2–3 4–4 0–8 5–1 1–2 5–4 0–4 4–4 FC Premier 12th Bell Gardens Footba… 7th Downey United Footb… 3rd Total Futbol Academ… 1st LAIFC (2) 2nd Autobahn SA 6th Los Angeles SC 2 11th City SC Los Angeles… 9th Sporting So-Cal Soc… 8th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

8 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 6 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.07 · 2nd hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 11
03:35 PM
no score posted
Pride FC
10th · 1-0-4 · GD -10
Away
Borchard Community Park
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–2 0.88 0.22 Upside
Sat Oct 24
05:55 PM
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
8th · 2-1-3 · GD -4
Home
Ocean View High School · turf
●●●●● Very tough
18%
1–2 0.74 0.32 Upside
Sun Oct 25
09:00 AM
Culver City
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +6
Away
Culver City High School
●●●●● Very tough
4%
0–4 0.18 0.30 Upside
Sun Nov 1
05:55 PM
Los Angeles SC 2
11th · 0-2-3 · GD -6
Home
Fullerton High School · turf
●●●●● Very tough
18%
1–3 0.70 0.36 Upside
Sun Nov 8
05:55 PM
FC Golden State Force (2)
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +1
Home
Fullerton High School · turf
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–3 0.42 0.36 Upside
Sat Nov 14
06:55 PM
City SC Los Angeles 2
9th · 1-1-3 · GD -7
Home
Fullerton High School · turf
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–2 0.90 0.42 Upside
Sun Nov 15
12:00 AM
Bell Gardens Football Club
7th · 2-1-2 · GD -2
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–3 0.43 0.42 Upside
Sun Feb 28
06:15 PM
City SC Los Angeles 2
9th · 1-1-3 · GD -7
Away
Lawndale High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–2 0.68 0.45 Upside
Sat Mar 6
05:30 PM
Autobahn SA
6th · 2-2-1 · GD +1
Away
Lincoln Middle Schol
●●●●● Very tough
5%
1–4 0.22 0.43 Upside
Sat Mar 13
06:55 PM
Downey United Football Club
3rd · 5-0-2 · GD +9
Home
St John Bosco High School · turf
●●●●● Very tough
7%
0–3 0.32 0.42 Upside
Sun Mar 14
05:55 PM
Autobahn SA
6th · 2-2-1 · GD +1
Home
St John Bosco High School · turf
●●●●● Very tough
9%
1–4 0.37 0.42 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
LAIFC (2)
2nd · 5-0-2 · GD +12
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
3%
0–4 0.13 0.40 Upside
Sun Apr 11
05:55 PM
Pride FC
10th · 1-0-4 · GD -10
Home
St John Bosco High School · turf
●●●●○ Tough
29%
1–1 1.12 0.44 Upside
Sat Apr 17
06:55 PM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
1st · 4-1-1 · GD +14
Home
St John Bosco High School · turf
●●●●● Very tough
4%
1–4 0.17 0.43 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
8th · 2-1-3 · GD -4
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–2 0.54 0.43 Upside
Sun Apr 25
05:55 PM
Culver City
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +6
Home
St John Bosco High School · turf
●●●●● Very tough
6%
0–3 0.28 0.43 Upside
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
Los Angeles SC 2
11th · 0-2-3 · GD -6
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
12%
1–3 0.47 0.43 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force (2)
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +1
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
6%
1–4 0.26 0.42 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
LAIFC (2)
2nd · 5-0-2 · GD +12
Home
Fullerton High School · turf
●●●●● Very tough
5%
0–3 0.22 0.41 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 6411 2612+14 132.17 WDWWW -0.31 -0.15 95% 2.2
2 LAIFC (2) 7502 219+12 152.14 WLWLW +0.25 -0.36 97% 1.9
3 Downey United Football Club 7502 1910+9 152.14 WWLLW -0.19 -0.09 78% 3.4
4 Culver City 4211 115+6 71.75 LWDW +0.05 -0.18 78% 3.4
5 FC Golden State Force (2) 6312 1918+1 101.67 LWDWL +0.08 -0.11 18% 5.7
6 Autobahn SA 5221 1817+1 81.60 DDLWW +0.26 -0.18 32% 5.1
7 Bell Gardens Football Club 5212 1113-2 71.40 WLWDL -0.38 +0.09 2% 7.7
8 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 6213 812-4 71.17 LLDWL +0.18 -0.10 1% 7.7
9 City SC Los Angeles 2 5113 512-7 40.80 LWDLL +0.44 -0.10 0% 9.3
10 Pride FC 5104 313-10 30.60 LLLLW +0.24 -0.01 0% 10.4
11 Los Angeles SC 2 5023 1218-6 20.40 LDLDL +0.11 -0.01 0% 9.3
12 FC Premier 3003 014-14 00.00 LLL +0.68 +0.07 0% 11.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.36 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.