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City SC Los Angeles 2

Elite Academy League 2 · LA South U19 · 12 teams · City SC Los Angeles (all teams)

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9th
1-1-3 record · 5 played
0.80 points per game
-7 goal diff · 5–12
LWDLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.4
+0.44 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 03:30 PM

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City SC Los Angeles 2
9th · 0.80 PPG
at
Autobahn SA
6th · 1.60 PPG

Lincoln Middle Schol, Lincoln Middle School ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.8 for, 3.4 against · 0.68 expected points)

Season so farCity SC Los Angeles 2Autobahn SA
Position9th6th
Record (W-D-L)1-1-32-2-1
Points per game0.801.60
Goals for / game1.03.6
Goals against / game2.43.4
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)L L D W LW W L D D
Biggest win2–0 vs Pride FC2–0 at Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
Worst loss1–5 at Total Futbol Academy - OC 24–6 at FC Golden State Force (2)
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.76+0.30
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.44+0.26

Common opponents: Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 — we 1–5; they 4–4. Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club — we 1–2; they 2–0.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Autobahn SA score 3.6/game — well above the league's 2.4.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–4 at LAIFC (2).

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 18%; a draw (15%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 03:30 PM at Lincoln Middle Schol.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Autobahn SA game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (City SC Los Angeles 2 – Autobahn SA) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.67 PPG
9th— holds 10th▼ down 1 12th▼ down 3
Win
1.17 PPG
9th— holds 8th▲ up 1 11th▼ down 2
Draw
0.83 PPG
9th— holds 10th▼ down 1 12th▼ down 3
Loss
0.67 PPG
9th— holds 10th▼ down 1 12th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we stay 9th even if every rival loses, and as low as 12th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
9.4 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th 1%
  6. 6th 3%
  7. 7th 7%
  8. 8th 15%
  9. 9th 23%
  10. 10th 31%
  11. 11th 19%
  12. 12th 2%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.50 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 2.17 (+1.37) 2nd (2.11) 44 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection
2 LAIFC (2) 2.14 (+1.34) 1st (2.17) 44 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection
3 Downey United Football Club 2.14 (+1.34) 3rd (1.93) 44 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
4 Culver City 1.75 (+0.95) 4th (1.92) 35 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
5 FC Golden State Force (2) 1.67 (+0.87) 6th (1.58) 33 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
6 Autobahn SA 1.60 (+0.80) 5th (1.66) 32 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
7 Bell Gardens Football Club 1.40 (+0.60) 7th (1.26) 27 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
8 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 1.17 (+0.37) 8th (1.25) 22 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection

How the results connect

14 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link City SC Los Angeles 2 to Autobahn SA through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us
3 even
8 favour them
-1.4 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–2 0–2 1–5 4–4 3–2 4–4 1–1 2–0 2–0 0–4 6–4 0–4 3–0 4–0 3–4 3–3 0–3 0–4 2–0 4–5 City SC Los Angeles… 9th Sporting So-Cal Soc… 8th Total Futbol Academ… 1st Culver City 4th Pride FC 10th LAIFC (2) 2nd Los Angeles SC 2 11th FC Golden State For… 5th Downey United Footb… 3rd Autobahn SA 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 6 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.10 · 7th hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
03:30 PM
Autobahn SA
6th · 2-2-1 · GD +1
Away
Lincoln Middle Schol
●●●●● Very tough
18%
1–3 0.68 0.78 Upside
Sat Nov 7
06:15 PM
Bell Gardens Football Club
7th · 2-1-2 · GD -2
Home
Lawndale High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.26 0.85 Upside
Sat Nov 14
06:55 PM
FC Premier
12th · 0-0-3 · GD -14
Away
Fullerton High School · turf
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
2–1 1.89 0.98 Swing game
Sun Nov 22
05:25 PM
Downey United Football Club
3rd · 5-0-2 · GD +9
Away
St. Pius X - St. Matthias Academy (PMA) · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–2 0.56 0.93 Upside
Sun Feb 28
06:15 PM
FC Premier
12th · 0-0-3 · GD -14
Home
Lawndale High School · turf?
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
2–1 2.14 1.05 Swing game
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
1st · 4-1-1 · GD +14
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
14%
1–3 0.56 1.01 Upside
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
Pride FC
10th · 1-0-4 · GD -10
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
40%
1–1 1.46 1.05 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
Los Angeles SC 2
11th · 0-2-3 · GD -6
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
40%
2–2 1.39 1.07 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Culver City
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +6
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
12%
1–2 0.51 1.03 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force (2)
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +1
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–3 0.74 1.01 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
8th · 2-1-3 · GD -4
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
28%
1–1 1.06 1.02 Upside
Sat Apr 17
12:00 AM
LAIFC (2)
2nd · 5-0-2 · GD +12
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
14%
1–2 0.59 0.99 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
Bell Gardens Football Club
7th · 2-1-2 · GD -2
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
26%
1–2 0.98 0.99 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
Autobahn SA
6th · 2-2-1 · GD +1
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
26%
2–2 0.96 0.99 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
Downey United Football Club
3rd · 5-0-2 · GD +9
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–2 0.77 0.98 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force (2)
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +1
Home
Lawndale High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
28%
2–2 1.03 0.98 Upside
Thu May 27
09:00 AM
Los Angeles SC 2
11th · 0-2-3 · GD -6
Away
West Covina High School
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–2 1.08 0.98 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 6411 2612+14 132.17 WDWWW -0.31 -0.15 95% 2.2
2 LAIFC (2) 7502 219+12 152.14 WLWLW +0.25 -0.36 97% 2.0
3 Downey United Football Club 7502 1910+9 152.14 WWLLW -0.19 -0.09 79% 3.5
4 Culver City 4211 115+6 71.75 LWDW +0.05 -0.18 77% 3.5
5 FC Golden State Force (2) 6312 1918+1 101.67 LWDWL +0.08 -0.11 18% 5.7
6 Autobahn SA 5221 1817+1 81.60 DDLWW +0.26 -0.18 32% 5.0
7 Bell Gardens Football Club 5212 1113-2 71.40 WLWDL -0.38 +0.09 2% 7.7
8 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 6213 812-4 71.17 LLDWL +0.18 -0.10 1% 7.6
9 City SC Los Angeles 2 5113 512-7 40.80 LWDLL +0.44 -0.10 0% 9.4
10 Pride FC 5104 313-10 30.60 LLLLW +0.24 -0.01 0% 10.4
11 Los Angeles SC 2 5023 1218-6 20.40 LDLDL +0.11 -0.01 0% 9.3
12 FC Premier 3003 014-14 00.00 LLL +0.68 +0.07 0% 11.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.36 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.