TableChase Clubs

LAIFC (2)

Elite Academy League 2 · LA South U19 · 12 teams · LAIFC (all teams)

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2nd
5-0-2 record · 7 played
2.14 points per game
+12 goal diff · 21–9
WLWLWlast 5
97% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.0
+0.25 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 07:00 PM

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LAIFC (2)
2nd · 2.14 PPG
at
Autobahn SA
6th · 1.60 PPG

Lincoln Middle Schol, Lincoln Middle School ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 3–2 (expected goals 3.3 for, 2.3 against · 1.88 expected points)

Season so farLAIFC (2)Autobahn SA
Position2nd6th
Record (W-D-L)5-0-22-2-1
Points per game2.141.60
Goals for / game3.03.6
Goals against / game1.33.4
Clean sheets41
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)W L W L WW W L D D
Biggest win4–0 at Downey United Football Club2–0 at Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
Worst loss2–3 vs Bell Gardens Football Club4–6 at FC Golden State Force (2)
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.24+0.30
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.25+0.26

Common opponents: FC Golden State Force (2) — we 3–0; they 4–6. Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club — we 2–0; they 2–0. Downey United Football Club — we 4–0; they 4–3. Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 — we 4–5; they 4–4.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Autobahn SA score 3.6/game — well above the league's 2.4.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 57% / draw 16% / loss 27%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff 07:00 PM at Lincoln Middle Schol.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 sit 1st on 2.17 PPG; we are on 2.14.

    A point moves us above Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Autobahn SA game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (LAIFC (2) – Autobahn SA) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.25 PPG
1st▲ up 1 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Win
2.25 PPG
1st▲ up 1 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Draw
2.00 PPG
3rd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 1
Loss
1.88 PPG
3rd▼ down 1 5th▼ down 3 6th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–2 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 2nd if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

45% finish 1st
97% top 4
3% below the top 4
2.0 average finish
  1. 1st 45%
  2. 2nd 29%
  3. 3rd 15%
  4. 4th 7%
  5. 5th 3%
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 2.73 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 2.17 (+0.03) 2nd (2.11) A point next game

How the results connect

17 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link LAIFC (2) to Autobahn SA through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

11 favour us
2 even
4 favour them
+1.9 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–0 0–2 4–5 4–4 4–0 3–4 3–0 6–4 4–0 1–5 1–2 2–3 4–4 4–4 2–1 2–0 3–3 3–2 0–3 LAIFC (2) 2nd Sporting So-Cal Soc… 8th Total Futbol Academ… 1st Downey United Footb… 3rd FC Golden State For… 5th City SC Los Angeles… 9th Bell Gardens Footba… 7th Culver City 4th Los Angeles SC 2 11th Autobahn SA 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 6 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.36 · 12th hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
07:00 PM
Autobahn SA
6th · 2-2-1 · GD +1
Away
Lincoln Middle Schol
●●●○○ Toss-up
57%
3–2 1.88 2.11 Swing game
Sun Oct 25
08:30 AM
Pride FC
10th · 1-0-4 · GD -10
Home
Silverlakes Sports Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
82%
3–0 2.57 2.16 Bank it
Sun Nov 8
08:30 AM
Los Angeles SC 2
11th · 0-2-3 · GD -6
Home
Silverlakes Sports Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
80%
3–1 2.50 2.19 Bank it
Sun Nov 15
08:30 AM
FC Golden State Force (2)
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +1
Home
Silverlakes Sports Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
70%
3–1 2.24 2.20 Bank it
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
Culver City
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +6
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
41%
2–1 1.43 2.14 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
Bell Gardens Football Club
7th · 2-1-2 · GD -2
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
2–1 2.11 2.13 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Downey United Football Club
3rd · 5-0-2 · GD +9
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%
2–1 1.78 2.11 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
FC Premier
12th · 0-0-3 · GD -14
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
92%
4–0 2.82 2.15 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
1st · 4-1-1 · GD +14
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
2–2 1.67 2.12 Swing game
Sat Apr 17
12:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles 2
9th · 1-1-3 · GD -7
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
70%
2–1 2.25 2.13 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
Autobahn SA
6th · 2-2-1 · GD +1
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
3–2 2.20 2.14 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
Pride FC
10th · 1-0-4 · GD -10
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
75%
2–0 2.39 2.15 Bank it
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
Los Angeles SC 2
11th · 0-2-3 · GD -6
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
71%
3–1 2.26 2.15 Bank it
Sun May 9
07:00 PM
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
8th · 2-1-3 · GD -4
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
62%
2–1 2.04 2.15 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
FC Premier
12th · 0-0-3 · GD -14
Away
Fullerton High School · turf
●○○○○ Favorable
88%
3–0 2.71 2.17 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 6411 2612+14 132.17 WDWWW -0.31 -0.15 95% 2.3
2 LAIFC (2) 7502 219+12 152.14 WLWLW +0.25 -0.36 97% 2.0
3 Downey United Football Club 7502 1910+9 152.14 WWLLW -0.19 -0.09 79% 3.4
4 Culver City 4211 115+6 71.75 LWDW +0.05 -0.18 77% 3.4
5 FC Golden State Force (2) 6312 1918+1 101.67 LWDWL +0.08 -0.11 17% 5.7
6 Autobahn SA 5221 1817+1 81.60 DDLWW +0.26 -0.18 31% 5.1
7 Bell Gardens Football Club 5212 1113-2 71.40 WLWDL -0.38 +0.09 2% 7.7
8 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 6213 812-4 71.17 LLDWL +0.18 -0.10 2% 7.7
9 City SC Los Angeles 2 5113 512-7 40.80 LWDLL +0.44 -0.10 0% 9.3
10 Pride FC 5104 313-10 30.60 LLLLW +0.24 -0.01 0% 10.4
11 Los Angeles SC 2 5023 1218-6 20.40 LDLDL +0.11 -0.01 0% 9.3
12 FC Premier 3003 014-14 00.00 LLL +0.68 +0.07 0% 11.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.36 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.