TableChase Clubs

Los Angeles SC 2

Elite Academy League 2 · LA South U14 · 12 teams · Los Angeles SC (all teams)

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12th
0-0-6 record · 6 played
0.00 points per game
-19 goal diff · 4–23
LLLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 11.4
+0.40 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 04:50 PM

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Los Angeles SC 2
12th · 0.00 PPG
vs
Pride FC
8th · 0.80 PPG

West Covina High School, Thyberg Field ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.1 for, 2.3 against · 0.69 expected points)

Season so farLos Angeles SC 2Pride FC
Position12th8th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-61-1-3
Points per game0.000.80
Goals for / game0.71.2
Goals against / game3.81.8
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless21
Form (recent first)L L L L LD L L L W
Biggest win—2–1 vs FC Golden State Force (2)
Worst loss0–5 at Bell Gardens Football Club1–3 at City SC Los Angeles 2
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.94-0.29
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.40+0.31

Common opponents: FC Golden State Force (2) — we 1–2; they 2–1. City SC Los Angeles 2 — we 1–3; they 1–3. Bell Gardens Football Club — we 0–5; they 2–2. Downey United Football Club — we 0–5; they 1–2.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–5 at Bell Gardens Football Club, 0–5 at Downey United Football Club.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 17%; a draw (19%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    FC Premier sit 11th on 0.33 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above FC Premier on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Pride FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Los Angeles SC 2 – Pride FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG		 12th— holds 12th— holds 12th— holds
Win
0.43 PPG		 11th▲ up 1 10th▲ up 2 12th— holds
Draw
0.14 PPG		 12th— holds 12th— holds 12th— holds
Loss
0.00 PPG		 12th— holds 12th— holds 12th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 12th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
11.4 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th 4%
  11. 11th 53%
  12. 12th 43%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 2.18 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 City SC Los Angeles 2 2.67 (+2.67) 3rd (2.02) 59 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection
2 Bell Gardens Football Club 2.20 (+2.20) 2nd (2.06) 49 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection
3 Autobahn SA 2.17 (+2.17) 1st (2.20) 48 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 49 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 2.17 (+2.17) 4th (1.99) 48 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection
5 Downey United Football Club 2.00 (+2.00) 5th (1.88) 44 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection
6 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 2.00 (+2.00) 6th (1.67) 44 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
7 Culver City 1.00 (+1.00) 7th (1.32) 22 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
8 Pride FC 0.80 (+0.80) 8th (1.15) 18 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
9 LAIFC (2) 0.67 (+0.67) 10th (0.83) 15 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
10 FC Golden State Force (2) 0.50 (+0.50) 12th (0.34) 11 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 8 for their projection
11 FC Premier 0.33 (+0.33) 9th (1.15) A point next game

How the results connect

13 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Los Angeles SC 2 to Pride FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
2 even
10 favour them
-2.5 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–3 3–1 1–2 1–2 0–5 2–1 0–5 2–2 2–1 1–0 1–3 2–0 1–3 1–5 1–1 0–0 1–3 11–0 Los Angeles SC 2 12th City SC Los Angeles… 1st FC Golden State For… 10th Downey United Footb… 5th Bell Gardens Footba… 2nd Sporting So-Cal Soc… 6th Autobahn SA 3rd Total Futbol Academ… 4th Pride FC 8th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 6 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.08 · 3rd hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
04:50 PM		 Pride FC
8th · 1-1-3 · GD -3		 Home
West Covina High School		 ●●●●● Very tough
17%		 1–2 0.69 0.10 Upside
Sun Nov 1
10:35 AM		 FC Premier
11th · 0-1-2 · GD -4		 Away
Fullerton High School · turf		 ●●●●● Very tough
11%		 1–3 0.46 0.14 Upside
Sun Nov 8
12:15 PM		 LAIFC (2)
9th · 1-1-4 · GD -8		 Away
Silverlakes Sports Complex		 ●●●●● Very tough
20%		 1–2 0.79 0.22 Upside
Sat Nov 14
04:50 PM		 Culver City
7th · 2-0-4 · GD +0		 Away
Culver City High School		 ●●●●● Very tough
9%		 0–2 0.39 0.23 Upside
Sun Nov 15
04:50 PM		 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
6th · 4-0-2 · GD +5		 Home
West Covina High School		 ●●●●● Very tough
9%		 0–2 0.39 0.25 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM		 Autobahn SA
3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +17		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
1%		 0–5 0.05 0.23 Upside
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM		 FC Golden State Force (2)
10th · 1-0-5 · GD -22		 Away
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
44%		 1–1 1.54 0.33 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM		 City SC Los Angeles 2
1st · 5-1-0 · GD +8		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
3%		 0–3 0.16 0.32 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM		 Bell Gardens Football Club
2nd · 3-2-0 · GD +10		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
4%		 0–3 0.19 0.31 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM		 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +8		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
3%		 0–3 0.15 0.30 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM		 Downey United Football Club
5th · 4-2-1 · GD +8		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
6%		 0–3 0.26 0.30 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM		 Pride FC
8th · 1-1-3 · GD -3		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
12%		 0–2 0.50 0.31 Upside
Sat May 1
12:00 AM		 FC Premier
11th · 0-1-2 · GD -4		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
16%		 1–2 0.66 0.33 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM		 LAIFC (2)
9th · 1-1-4 · GD -8		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
27%		 1–1 1.02 0.36 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM		 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +8		 Home
West Covina High School		 ●●●●● Very tough
5%		 0–3 0.24 0.36 Upside
Thu May 27
04:50 PM		 Culver City
7th · 2-0-4 · GD +0		 Home
West Covina High School		 ●●●●● Very tough
13%		 0–2 0.55 0.37 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 City SC Los Angeles 2 6510 146+8 162.67 WWWWD -0.30 -0.01 77% 3.2
2 Bell Gardens Football Club 5320 122+10 112.20 WDWWD -0.36 -0.04 84% 2.9
3 Autobahn SA 6411 236+17 132.17 WLWDW -0.34 -0.09 96% 2.0
4 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 6411 146+8 132.17 LWWWD +0.25 -0.24 72% 3.4
5 Downey United Football Club 7421 168+8 142.00 WWWDW +0.02 -0.14 54% 4.2
6 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 6402 127+5 122.00 WWWLL -0.36 +0.10 16% 5.7
7 Culver City 6204 88+0 61.00 WLLLW +0.07 -0.07 1% 7.4
8 Pride FC 5113 69-3 40.80 WLLLD +0.31 -0.05 0% 8.3
9 LAIFC (2) 6114 513-8 40.67 LLLLD +0.14 +0.06 0% 9.7
10 FC Golden State Force (2) 6105 325-22 30.50 LWLLL -0.12 +0.35 0% 11.5
11 FC Premier 3012 48-4 10.33 LLD +0.94 -0.12 0% 8.3
12 Los Angeles SC 2 6006 423-19 00.00 LLLLL +0.40 +0.08 0% 11.4

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.75 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.