TableChase Clubs

LAIFC (2)

Elite Academy League 2 · LA South U14 · 12 teams · LAIFC (all teams)

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9th
1-1-4 record · 6 played
0.67 points per game
-8 goal diff · 5–13
LLLLDlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.7
+0.14 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 05:00 PM

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LAIFC (2)
9th · 0.67 PPG
at
Autobahn SA
3rd · 2.17 PPG

Lincoln Middle Schol, Lincoln Middle School ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–3 (expected goals 0.8 for, 3.7 against · 0.20 expected points)

Season so farLAIFC (2)Autobahn SA
Position9th3rd
Record (W-D-L)1-1-44-1-1
Points per game0.672.17
Goals for / game0.83.8
Goals against / game2.21.0
Clean sheets12
Held scoreless30
Form (recent first)D L L L LW D W L W
Biggest win3–0 at FC Golden State Force (2)11–0 at FC Golden State Force (2)
Worst loss0–4 at Downey United Football Club1–3 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.85+1.73
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.14-0.34

Common opponents: FC Golden State Force (2) — we 3–0; they 11–0. Culver City — we 0–1; they 3–0. Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club — we 1–4; they 2–1. Downey United Football Club — we 0–4; they 1–1. Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 — we 0–3; they 1–3.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Autobahn SA score 3.8/game — well above the league's 1.8.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–1 vs Culver City, 0–4 at Downey United Football Club, 0–3 at Total Futbol Academy - OC 2.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 4%; a draw (8%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 05:00 PM at Lincoln Middle Schol.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Pride FC sit 8th on 0.80 PPG; we are on 0.67.

    A point moves us above Pride FC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Autobahn SA game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (LAIFC (2) – Autobahn SA) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.57 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 11th▼ down 2
Win
1.00 PPG
8th▲ up 1 9th— holds 11th▼ down 2
Draw
0.71 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 11th▼ down 2
Loss
0.57 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 11th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–3 loss we stay 9th even if every rival loses, and as low as 11th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
9.7 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th 2%
  8. 8th 6%
  9. 9th 18%
  10. 10th 68%
  11. 11th 5%
  12. 12th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 2.36 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 City SC Los Angeles 2 2.67 (+2.00) 3rd (2.02) 55 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection
2 Bell Gardens Football Club 2.20 (+1.53) 2nd (2.06) 45 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection
3 Autobahn SA 2.17 (+1.50) 1st (2.20) 44 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection
4 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 2.17 (+1.50) 4th (1.99) 44 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection
5 Downey United Football Club 2.00 (+1.33) 5th (1.88) 40 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection
6 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 2.00 (+1.33) 6th (1.67) 40 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
7 Culver City 1.00 (+0.33) 7th (1.32) Win next game
8 Pride FC 0.80 (+0.13) 8th (1.15) A point next game

How the results connect

20 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link LAIFC (2) to Autobahn SA through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
3 even
15 favour them
-3.3 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–3 3–1 0–4 1–1 1–4 1–2 0–1 0–3 3–0 0–11 4–1 2–1 1–5 0–2 1–1 3–1 3–1 2–1 2–1 LAIFC (2) 9th Total Futbol Academ… 4th Downey United Footb… 5th Sporting So-Cal Soc… 6th Culver City 7th FC Golden State For… 10th City SC Los Angeles… 1st Los Angeles SC 2 12th Autobahn SA 3rd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 6 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.06 · 4th hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Sep 26
12:15 PM
no score posted
Bell Gardens Football Club
2nd · 3-2-0 · GD +10
Home
Silverlakes Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
10%
0–2 0.45 0.64 Upside
Sat Oct 24
05:00 PM
Autobahn SA
3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +17
Away
Lincoln Middle Schol
●●●●● Very tough
4%
0–3 0.20 0.58 Upside
Sun Oct 25
12:15 PM
Pride FC
8th · 1-1-3 · GD -3
Home
Silverlakes Sports Complex
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–1 1.15 0.64 Upside
Sun Nov 8
12:15 PM
Los Angeles SC 2
12th · 0-0-6 · GD -19
Home
Silverlakes Sports Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
60%
2–1 2.00 0.78 Swing game
Sun Nov 15
12:15 PM
FC Golden State Force (2)
10th · 1-0-5 · GD -22
Home
Silverlakes Sports Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
2–1 2.24 0.91 Swing game
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
Culver City
7th · 2-0-4 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
18%
0–1 0.76 0.90 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
Bell Gardens Football Club
2nd · 3-2-0 · GD +10
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
6%
0–2 0.33 0.86 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Downey United Football Club
5th · 4-2-1 · GD +8
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
14%
0–2 0.60 0.84 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
FC Premier
11th · 0-1-2 · GD -4
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–1 1.15 0.86 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +8
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
12%
0–2 0.55 0.84 Upside
Sat Apr 17
12:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles 2
1st · 5-1-0 · GD +8
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
9%
0–2 0.43 0.82 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
Autobahn SA
3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +17
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
7%
0–3 0.31 0.79 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
Pride FC
8th · 1-1-3 · GD -3
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–1 0.92 0.79 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
Los Angeles SC 2
12th · 0-0-6 · GD -19
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%
1–1 1.75 0.84 Swing game
Sun May 9
11:00 AM
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
6th · 4-0-2 · GD +5
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
13%
0–2 0.58 0.83 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
FC Premier
11th · 0-1-2 · GD -4
Away
Fullerton High School · turf
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–2 0.90 0.83 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 City SC Los Angeles 2 6510 146+8 162.67 WWWWD -0.30 -0.01 76% 3.3
2 Bell Gardens Football Club 5320 122+10 112.20 WDWWD -0.36 -0.04 84% 2.9
3 Autobahn SA 6411 236+17 132.17 WLWDW -0.34 -0.09 95% 2.0
4 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 6411 146+8 132.17 LWWWD +0.25 -0.24 73% 3.5
5 Downey United Football Club 7421 168+8 142.00 WWWDW +0.02 -0.14 55% 4.1
6 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 6402 127+5 122.00 WWWLL -0.36 +0.10 16% 5.6
7 Culver City 6204 88+0 61.00 WLLLW +0.07 -0.07 1% 7.4
8 Pride FC 5113 69-3 40.80 WLLLD +0.31 -0.05 0% 8.3
9 LAIFC (2) 6114 513-8 40.67 LLLLD +0.14 +0.06 0% 9.7
10 FC Golden State Force (2) 6105 325-22 30.50 LWLLL -0.12 +0.35 0% 11.6
11 FC Premier 3012 48-4 10.33 LLD +0.94 -0.12 0% 8.3
12 Los Angeles SC 2 6006 423-19 00.00 LLLLL +0.40 +0.08 0% 11.4

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.75 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.