Culver City
Elite Academy League 2 · LA South U14 · 12 teams · Culver City Football Club (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 04:50 PM
Culver City High School, Helms Field ↗
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.9 for, 1.3 against · 1.75 expected points)
| Season so far | Culver City | FC Premier |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 7th | 11th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-0-4 | 0-1-2 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.33 |
| Goals for / game | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals against / game | 1.3 | 2.7 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W L L L W | D L L |
| Biggest win | 6–0 vs FC Golden State Force (2) | — |
| Worst loss | 0–3 at Autobahn SA | 0–3 vs Bell Gardens Football Club |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.05 | -0.37 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.07 | +0.94 |
Common opponents: Bell Gardens Football Club — we 0–2; they 0–3.
Game plan
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They leak goals — be greedy
FC Premier concede 2.7/game; worst result 0–3 vs Bell Gardens Football Club.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–3 at Autobahn SA, 0–1 vs Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club, 0–2 at Bell Gardens Football Club.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 51% / draw 22% / loss 27%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the FC Premier game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Culver City – FC Premier) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.00 PPG |
7th— holds | 8th▼ down 1 | 10th▼ down 3 |
| Win 1.29 PPG |
7th— holds | 7th— holds | 8th▼ down 1 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
7th— holds | 8th▼ down 1 | 10th▼ down 3 |
| Loss 0.86 PPG |
8th▼ down 1 | 8th▼ down 1 | 11th▼ down 4 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 7th even if every rival loses, and as low as 10th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd <1%
- 4th 1%
- 5th 2%
- 6th 11%
- 7th 43%
- 8th 26%
- 9th 14%
- 10th 2%
- 11th
- 12th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 2.45 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | City SC Los Angeles 2 | 2.67 (+1.67) | 3rd (2.02) | 53 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection |
| 2 | Bell Gardens Football Club | 2.20 (+1.20) | 2nd (2.06) | 43 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection |
| 3 | Autobahn SA | 2.17 (+1.17) | 1st (2.20) | 42 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection |
| 4 | Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 | 2.17 (+1.17) | 4th (1.99) | 42 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection |
| 5 | Downey United Football Club | 2.00 (+1.00) | 5th (1.88) | 38 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection |
| 6 | Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club | 2.00 (+1.00) | 6th (1.67) | 38 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection |
How the results connect
7 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link Culver City to FC Premier through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
10 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.07 · 8th hardest of 12
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 04:50 PM |
FC Premier 11th · 0-1-2 · GD -4 |
Home Culver City High School |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 51% |
1–1 | 1.75 | 1.11 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 1 01:45 PM |
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 4th · 4-1-1 · GD +8 |
Away Glendale Sports Complex · turf |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
0–1 | 0.80 | 1.07 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 01:45 PM |
Pride FC 8th · 1-1-3 · GD -3 |
Away Borchard Community Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 40% |
1–1 | 1.45 | 1.11 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 04:50 PM |
Los Angeles SC 2 12th · 0-0-6 · GD -19 |
Home Culver City High School |
●○○○○ Favorable | 78% |
2–0 | 2.47 | 1.25 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 15 04:50 PM |
Autobahn SA 3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +17 |
Home Culver City High School |
●●●●● Very tough | 18% |
1–2 | 0.72 | 1.20 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 7 12:00 AM |
LAIFC (2) 9th · 1-1-4 · GD -8 |
Home TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 60% |
1–0 | 2.01 | 1.27 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 13 12:00 AM |
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 6th · 4-0-2 · GD +5 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 27% |
1–1 | 1.06 | 1.25 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 21 12:00 AM |
City SC Los Angeles 2 1st · 5-1-0 · GD +8 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 28% |
1–1 | 1.08 | 1.24 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 10:25 AM |
Downey United Football Club 5th · 4-2-1 · GD +8 |
Away St. Pius X - St. Matthias Academy (PMA) · turf? |
●●●●● Very tough | 21% |
1–1 | 0.86 | 1.21 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 12:00 AM |
Bell Gardens Football Club 2nd · 3-2-0 · GD +10 |
Home TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 20% |
0–1 | 0.85 | 1.19 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 12:00 AM |
FC Golden State Force (2) 10th · 1-0-5 · GD -22 |
Away TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 78% |
2–0 | 2.47 | 1.27 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 25 10:35 AM |
FC Premier 11th · 0-1-2 · GD -4 |
Away St John Bosco High School · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 42% |
1–1 | 1.49 | 1.28 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 12:00 AM |
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 4th · 4-1-1 · GD +8 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 26% |
1–1 | 1.02 | 1.27 | Upside |
| Sun May 2 12:00 AM |
Pride FC 8th · 1-1-3 · GD -3 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 48% |
1–1 | 1.69 | 1.29 | Swing game |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
Downey United Football Club 5th · 4-2-1 · GD +8 |
Home Culver City High School |
●●●●○ Tough | 28% |
1–1 | 1.08 | 1.28 | Upside |
| Thu May 27 04:50 PM |
Los Angeles SC 2 12th · 0-0-6 · GD -19 |
Away West Covina High School |
●●○○○ Lean win | 70% |
2–0 | 2.28 | 1.32 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | City SC Los Angeles 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 16 | 2.67 | WWWWD | -0.30 | -0.01 | 77% | 3.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Autobahn SA · Sat Nov 7 vs Bell Gardens Football Club · Sat Nov 14 at FC Premier See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Bell Gardens Football Club | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 2 | +10 | 11 | 2.20 | WDWWD | -0.36 | -0.04 | 84% | 2.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 at LAIFC (2) · Sun Nov 1 vs FC Golden State Force (2) · Sat Nov 7 at City SC Los Angeles 2 See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Autobahn SA | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 6 | +17 | 13 | 2.17 | WLWDW | -0.34 | -0.09 | 96% | 2.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs LAIFC (2) · Sun Oct 25 vs City SC Los Angeles 2 · Sun Nov 1 at Pride FC See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 13 | 2.17 | LWWWD | +0.25 | -0.24 | 72% | 3.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC Golden State Force (2) · Sun Oct 25 at Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club · Sun Nov 1 vs Culver City See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Downey United Football Club | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 8 | +8 | 14 | 2.00 | WWWDW | +0.02 | -0.14 | 54% | 4.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FC Golden State Force (2) · Sun Nov 1 at Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club · Sat Nov 14 at Autobahn SA See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 12 | 2.00 | WWWLL | -0.36 | +0.10 | 16% | 5.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC Premier · Sun Oct 25 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 · Sun Nov 1 vs Downey United Football Club See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Culver City | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 8 | +0 | 6 | 1.00 | WLLLW | +0.07 | -0.07 | 1% | 7.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FC Premier · Sun Nov 1 at Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 · Sun Nov 8 at Pride FC See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Pride FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 | 0.80 | WLLLD | +0.31 | -0.05 | 0% | 8.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 11 vs FC Premier · Sat Oct 24 at Los Angeles SC 2 · Sun Oct 25 at LAIFC (2) See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | LAIFC (2) | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 4 | 0.67 | LLLLD | +0.14 | +0.06 | 0% | 9.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 vs Bell Gardens Football Club · Sat Oct 24 at Autobahn SA · Sun Oct 25 vs Pride FC See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | FC Golden State Force (2) | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 25 | -22 | 3 | 0.50 | LWLLL | -0.12 | +0.35 | 0% | 11.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 · Sun Oct 25 at Downey United Football Club · Sun Nov 1 at Bell Gardens Football Club See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | FC Premier | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 1 | 0.33 | LLD | +0.94 | -0.12 | 0% | 8.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 11 at Pride FC · Sat Oct 24 vs Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 at Culver City See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Los Angeles SC 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 23 | -19 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.40 | +0.08 | 0% | 11.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Pride FC · Sun Nov 1 at FC Premier · Sun Nov 8 at LAIFC (2) See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.75 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.