TableChase Clubs

City SC Los Angeles 2

Elite Academy League 2 · LA South U14 · 12 teams · City SC Los Angeles (all teams)

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1st
5-1-0 record · 6 played
2.67 points per game
+8 goal diff · 14–6
WWWWDlast 5
74% chance of top 4 · expected finish 3.3
-0.30 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 01:30 PM

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City SC Los Angeles 2
1st · 2.67 PPG
at
Autobahn SA
3rd · 2.17 PPG

Lincoln Middle Schol, Lincoln Middle School ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.5 for, 2.5 against · 0.85 expected points)

Season so farCity SC Los Angeles 2Autobahn SA
Position1st3rd
Record (W-D-L)5-1-04-1-1
Points per game2.672.17
Goals for / game2.33.8
Goals against / game1.01.0
Clean sheets02
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)D W W W WW D W L W
Biggest win3–1 vs Pride FC11–0 at FC Golden State Force (2)
Worst loss—1–3 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.80+1.73
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.30-0.34

Common opponents: Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 — we 2–1; they 1–3. Los Angeles SC 2 — we 3–1; they 5–1. Culver City — we 2–1; they 3–0. Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club — we 3–1; they 2–1.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Autobahn SA score 3.8/game — well above the league's 1.8.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 22%; a draw (19%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:30 PM at Lincoln Middle Schol.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Autobahn SA game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (City SC Los Angeles 2 – Autobahn SA) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 2.29 PPG
2nd▼ down 1 2nd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 2
Win
2.71 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Draw
2.43 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Loss
2.29 PPG
2nd▼ down 1 2nd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 1st even if every rival loses, and as low as 3rd if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

13% finish 1st
74% top 4
26% below the top 4
3.3 average finish
  1. 1st 13%
  2. 2nd 22%
  3. 3rd 19%
  4. 4th 20%
  5. 5th 18%
  6. 6th 7%
  7. 7th 1%
  8. 8th <1%
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

21 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link City SC Los Angeles 2 to Autobahn SA through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

5 favour us
2 even
14 favour them
-2.2 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–1 1–2 2–1 0–3 3–1 1–5 2–1 3–1 3–1 1–0 1–1 0–3 3–1 1–2 1–1 0–5 0–1 City SC Los Angeles… 1st Sporting So-Cal Soc… 6th Culver City 7th Los Angeles SC 2 12th Total Futbol Academ… 4th LAIFC (2) 9th Pride FC 8th Downey United Footb… 5th Autobahn SA 3rd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 6 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.01 · 5th hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
01:30 PM
Autobahn SA
3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +17
Away
Lincoln Middle Schol
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–2 0.85 2.41 Upside
Sat Nov 7
04:15 PM
Bell Gardens Football Club
2nd · 3-2-0 · GD +10
Home
Lawndale High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–1 1.21 2.26 Upside
Sat Nov 14
11:35 AM
FC Premier
11th · 0-1-2 · GD -4
Away
Fullerton High School · turf
●●○○○ Lean win
60%
2–1 1.98 2.23 Swing game
Sun Nov 22
10:25 AM
Downey United Football Club
5th · 4-2-1 · GD +8
Away
St. Pius X - St. Matthias Academy (PMA) · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
34%
1–1 1.25 2.13 Upside
Sun Feb 28
10:45 AM
FC Premier
11th · 0-1-2 · GD -4
Home
Lawndale High School · turf?
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
2–1 2.23 2.14 Swing game
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +8
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
40%
1–1 1.43 2.08 Upside
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
Pride FC
8th · 1-1-3 · GD -3
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
1–1 1.90 2.07 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
Los Angeles SC 2
12th · 0-0-6 · GD -19
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
90%
3–0 2.77 2.12 Bank it
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Culver City
7th · 2-0-4 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
1–1 1.67 2.09 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force (2)
10th · 1-0-5 · GD -22
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
90%
3–0 2.77 2.13 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
6th · 4-0-2 · GD +5
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
41%
1–1 1.47 2.09 Upside
Sat Apr 17
12:00 AM
LAIFC (2)
9th · 1-1-4 · GD -8
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
76%
2–0 2.42 2.11 Bank it
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
Bell Gardens Football Club
2nd · 3-2-0 · GD +10
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
25%
1–1 0.98 2.05 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
Autobahn SA
3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +17
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–2 1.12 2.00 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
Downey United Football Club
5th · 4-2-1 · GD +8
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
1–1 1.52 1.98 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force (2)
10th · 1-0-5 · GD -22
Home
Lawndale High School · turf?
●○○○○ Favorable
94%
4–0 2.86 2.02 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 City SC Los Angeles 2 6510 146+8 162.67 WWWWD -0.30 -0.01 74% 3.3
2 Bell Gardens Football Club 5320 122+10 112.20 WDWWD -0.36 -0.04 84% 2.9
3 Autobahn SA 6411 236+17 132.17 WLWDW -0.34 -0.09 96% 1.9
4 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 6411 146+8 132.17 LWWWD +0.25 -0.24 74% 3.5
5 Downey United Football Club 7421 168+8 142.00 WWWDW +0.02 -0.14 53% 4.2
6 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 6402 127+5 122.00 WWWLL -0.36 +0.10 18% 5.5
7 Culver City 6204 88+0 61.00 WLLLW +0.07 -0.07 1% 7.4
8 Pride FC 5113 69-3 40.80 WLLLD +0.31 -0.05 0% 8.3
9 LAIFC (2) 6114 513-8 40.67 LLLLD +0.14 +0.06 0% 9.7
10 FC Golden State Force (2) 6105 325-22 30.50 LWLLL -0.12 +0.35 0% 11.5
11 FC Premier 3012 48-4 10.33 LLD +0.94 -0.12 0% 8.3
12 Los Angeles SC 2 6006 423-19 00.00 LLLLL +0.40 +0.08 0% 11.4

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.75 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.