TableChase Clubs

Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club

Elite Academy League 2 · LA South U14 · 12 teams · Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (all teams)

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6th
4-0-2 record · 6 played
2.00 points per game
+5 goal diff · 12–7
WWWLLlast 5
19% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.5
-0.36 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 10:35 AM

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Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
6th · 2.00 PPG
at
FC Premier
11th · 0.33 PPG

Ocean View High School, Stadium Turf ↗ · turf

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.0 for, 1.5 against · 1.73 expected points)

Season so farSporting So-Cal Soccer ClubFC Premier
Position6th11th
Record (W-D-L)4-0-20-1-2
Points per game2.000.33
Goals for / game2.01.3
Goals against / game1.22.7
Clean sheets20
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)L L W W WD L L
Biggest win4–1 at LAIFC (2)—
Worst loss1–3 at City SC Los Angeles 20–3 vs Bell Gardens Football Club
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.41-0.37
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.36+0.94

Game plan

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    FC Premier concede 2.7/game; worst result 0–3 vs Bell Gardens Football Club.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 51% / draw 21% / loss 28%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff 10:35 AM at Ocean View High School.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Downey United Football Club sit 5th on 2.00 PPG; we are on 2.00.

    A point moves us above Downey United Football Club on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Premier game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club – FC Premier) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.14 PPG
5th▲ up 1 5th▲ up 1 5th▲ up 1
Win
2.14 PPG
5th▲ up 1 5th▲ up 1 5th▲ up 1
Draw
1.86 PPG
6th— holds 6th— holds 6th— holds
Loss
1.71 PPG
6th— holds 6th— holds 6th— holds

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 3rd if every rival drops points, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

1% finish 1st
19% top 4
81% below the top 4
5.5 average finish
  1. 1st 1%
  2. 2nd 2%
  3. 3rd 5%
  4. 4th 10%
  5. 5th 19%
  6. 6th 46%
  7. 7th 13%
  8. 8th 3%
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 2.73 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 City SC Los Angeles 2 2.67 (+0.67) 3rd (2.02) 47 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
2 Bell Gardens Football Club 2.20 (+0.20) 2nd (2.06) 37 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
3 Autobahn SA 2.17 (+0.17) 1st (2.20) 36 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
4 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 2.17 (+0.17) 4th (1.99) 36 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
5 Downey United Football Club 2.00 (+0.00) 5th (1.88) A point next game

How the results connect

8 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club to FC Premier through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
4 even
3 favour them
-0.5 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–2 1–1 3–2 4–1 0–4 0–3 2–2 3–1 0–5 3–0 1–3 2–1 1–0 0–2 0–5 1–3 Sporting So-Cal Soc… 6th Autobahn SA 3rd LAIFC (2) 9th Los Angeles SC 2 12th City SC Los Angeles… 1st Culver City 7th Downey United Footb… 5th Total Futbol Academ… 4th Bell Gardens Footba… 2nd FC Premier 11th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

8 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 6 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.10 · 2nd hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
10:35 AM
FC Premier
11th · 0-1-2 · GD -4
Away
Ocean View High School · turf
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%
2–1 1.73 1.96 Swing game
Sun Oct 25
07:10 PM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +8
Home
Glendale High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–1 1.21 1.87 Upside
Sun Nov 1
07:20 PM
Downey United Football Club
5th · 4-2-1 · GD +8
Home
Glendale High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–1 1.29 1.80 Upside
Sat Nov 7
06:20 PM
Pride FC
8th · 1-1-3 · GD -3
Home
John Ferraro Athletic Fields · turf
●●●○○ Toss-up
57%
1–1 1.92 1.82 Swing game
Sun Nov 15
04:50 PM
Los Angeles SC 2
12th · 0-0-6 · GD -19
Away
West Covina High School
●○○○○ Favorable
78%
2–0 2.48 1.88 Bank it
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
Pride FC
8th · 1-1-3 · GD -3
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
1–1 1.68 1.86 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
Culver City
7th · 2-0-4 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
1–1 1.70 1.85 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force (2)
10th · 1-0-5 · GD -22
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
90%
3–0 2.77 1.91 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
Bell Gardens Football Club
2nd · 3-2-0 · GD +10
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
19%
0–1 0.81 1.84 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles 2
1st · 5-1-0 · GD +8
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–1 1.29 1.81 Upside
Sat Apr 17
12:00 AM
Autobahn SA
3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +17
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–2 0.67 1.74 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
FC Premier
11th · 0-1-2 · GD -4
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
60%
2–1 2.00 1.75 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +8
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
25%
1–1 0.97 1.71 Upside
Sun May 9
11:00 AM
LAIFC (2)
9th · 1-1-4 · GD -8
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
68%
2–0 2.23 1.74 Swing game
Sun May 16
10:25 AM
Downey United Football Club
5th · 4-2-1 · GD +8
Away
St. Pius X - St. Matthias Academy (PMA) · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
27%
1–1 1.04 1.70 Upside
Sun May 23
05:20 PM
Bell Gardens Football Club
2nd · 3-2-0 · GD +10
Home
Glendale High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
26%
1–1 1.02 1.67 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 City SC Los Angeles 2 6510 146+8 162.67 WWWWD -0.30 -0.01 74% 3.4
2 Bell Gardens Football Club 5320 122+10 112.20 WDWWD -0.36 -0.04 83% 2.9
3 Autobahn SA 6411 236+17 132.17 WLWDW -0.34 -0.09 95% 2.0
4 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 6411 146+8 132.17 LWWWD +0.25 -0.24 75% 3.4
5 Downey United Football Club 7421 168+8 142.00 WWWDW +0.02 -0.14 53% 4.2
6 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 6402 127+5 122.00 WWWLL -0.36 +0.10 19% 5.5
7 Culver City 6204 88+0 61.00 WLLLW +0.07 -0.07 1% 7.4
8 Pride FC 5113 69-3 40.80 WLLLD +0.31 -0.05 0% 8.3
9 LAIFC (2) 6114 513-8 40.67 LLLLD +0.14 +0.06 0% 9.7
10 FC Golden State Force (2) 6105 325-22 30.50 LWLLL -0.12 +0.35 0% 11.6
11 FC Premier 3012 48-4 10.33 LLD +0.94 -0.12 0% 8.3
12 Los Angeles SC 2 6006 423-19 00.00 LLLLL +0.40 +0.08 0% 11.4

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.75 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.