TableChase Clubs

FC Golden State Force (2)

Elite Academy League 2 · LA South U14 · 12 teams · FC Golden State Force (all teams)

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10th
1-0-5 record · 6 played
0.50 points per game
-22 goal diff · 3–25
LWLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 11.6
-0.12 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 02:00 PM

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FC Golden State Force (2)
10th · 0.50 PPG
vs

Bishop Mora Salesian High School, Keegan Stadium ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–3 (expected goals 0.7 for, 4.0 against · 0.14 expected points)

Season so farFC Golden State Force (2)Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
Position10th4th
Record (W-D-L)1-0-54-1-1
Points per game0.502.17
Goals for / game0.52.3
Goals against / game4.21.0
Clean sheets02
Held scoreless40
Form (recent first)L L L W LD W W W L
Biggest win2–1 at Los Angeles SC 24–1 vs Downey United Football Club
Worst loss0–11 vs Autobahn SA1–2 vs City SC Los Angeles 2
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-2.50+0.91
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.12+0.25

Common opponents: Pride FC — we 1–2; they 1–0. LAIFC (2) — we 0–3; they 3–0. Autobahn SA — we 0–11; they 3–1.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 4 time(s): 0–3 vs LAIFC (2), 0–2 vs Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club, 0–11 vs Autobahn SA, 0–6 at Culver City.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 3%; a draw (6%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    LAIFC (2) sit 9th on 0.67 PPG; we are on 0.50.

    A point moves us above LAIFC (2) on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Golden State Force (2) – Total Futbol Academy - OC 2) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.43 PPG
10th— holds 10th— holds 12th▼ down 2
Win
0.86 PPG
8th▲ up 2 9th▲ up 1 11th▼ down 1
Draw
0.57 PPG
10th— holds 10th— holds 11th▼ down 1
Loss
0.43 PPG
10th— holds 10th— holds 12th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–3 loss we stay 10th even if every rival loses, and as low as 12th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
11.6 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th 2%
  11. 11th 41%
  12. 12th 57%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 2.32 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 City SC Los Angeles 2 2.67 (+2.17) 3rd (2.02) 56 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection
2 Bell Gardens Football Club 2.20 (+1.70) 2nd (2.06) 46 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection
3 Autobahn SA 2.17 (+1.67) 1st (2.20) 45 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection
4 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 2.17 (+1.67) 4th (1.99) 45 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection
5 Downey United Football Club 2.00 (+1.50) 5th (1.88) 41 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
6 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 2.00 (+1.50) 6th (1.67) 41 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
7 Culver City 1.00 (+0.50) 7th (1.32) 19 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
8 Pride FC 0.80 (+0.30) 8th (1.15) A point next game
9 LAIFC (2) 0.67 (+0.17) 10th (0.83) A point next game

How the results connect

17 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link FC Golden State Force (2) to Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
1 even
16 favour them
-5.9 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–2 0–1 0–3 0–3 0–11 1–3 2–1 1–3 2–1 0–2 4–1 1–1 1–3 1–3 1–2 1–5 1–2 1–4 0–6 1–2 FC Golden State For… 10th Pride FC 8th LAIFC (2) 9th Autobahn SA 3rd Los Angeles SC 2 12th Sporting So-Cal Soc… 6th Culver City 7th City SC Los Angeles… 1st Downey United Footb… 5th Total Futbol Academ… 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 6 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.35 · 1st hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
02:00 PM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +8
Home
Bishop Mora Salesian High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
3%
0–3 0.14 0.45 Upside
Sun Oct 25
10:25 AM
Downey United Football Club
5th · 4-2-1 · GD +8
Away
St. Pius X - St. Matthias Academy (PMA) · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–4 0.10 0.41 Upside
Sun Nov 1
09:55 AM
Bell Gardens Football Club
2nd · 3-2-0 · GD +10
Away
JW NORTH Stadium · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–4 0.07 0.37 Upside
Sun Nov 8
10:35 AM
FC Premier
11th · 0-1-2 · GD -4
Away
Fullerton High School · turf
●●●●● Very tough
7%
1–3 0.30 0.36 Upside
Sat Nov 14
12:00 AM
Pride FC
8th · 1-1-3 · GD -3
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
11%
0–2 0.50 0.37 Upside
Sun Nov 15
12:15 PM
LAIFC (2)
9th · 1-1-4 · GD -8
Away
Silverlakes Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
14%
1–2 0.59 0.39 Upside
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
Los Angeles SC 2
12th · 0-0-6 · GD -19
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
34%
1–1 1.25 0.46 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
6th · 4-0-2 · GD +5
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
3%
0–3 0.16 0.44 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Autobahn SA
3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +17
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
0%
0–6 0.02 0.41 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles 2
1st · 5-1-0 · GD +8
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
3%
0–3 0.16 0.39 Upside
Sat Apr 17
12:00 AM
Culver City
7th · 2-0-4 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
8%
0–2 0.39 0.39 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +8
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–4 0.08 0.38 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
Downey United Football Club
5th · 4-2-1 · GD +8
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
3%
0–3 0.16 0.36 Upside
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
Bell Gardens Football Club
2nd · 3-2-0 · GD +10
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–3 0.12 0.35 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
FC Premier
11th · 0-1-2 · GD -4
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
11%
1–3 0.45 0.36 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles 2
1st · 5-1-0 · GD +8
Away
Lawndale High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–4 0.09 0.34 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 City SC Los Angeles 2 6510 146+8 162.67 WWWWD -0.30 -0.01 75% 3.3
2 Bell Gardens Football Club 5320 122+10 112.20 WDWWD -0.36 -0.04 84% 2.9
3 Autobahn SA 6411 236+17 132.17 WLWDW -0.34 -0.09 95% 1.9
4 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 6411 146+8 132.17 LWWWD +0.25 -0.24 73% 3.5
5 Downey United Football Club 7421 168+8 142.00 WWWDW +0.02 -0.14 54% 4.2
6 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 6402 127+5 122.00 WWWLL -0.36 +0.10 18% 5.6
7 Culver City 6204 88+0 61.00 WLLLW +0.07 -0.07 1% 7.4
8 Pride FC 5113 69-3 40.80 WLLLD +0.31 -0.05 0% 8.3
9 LAIFC (2) 6114 513-8 40.67 LLLLD +0.14 +0.06 0% 9.7
10 FC Golden State Force (2) 6105 325-22 30.50 LWLLL -0.12 +0.35 0% 11.6
11 FC Premier 3012 48-4 10.33 LLD +0.94 -0.12 0% 8.3
12 Los Angeles SC 2 6006 423-19 00.00 LLLLL +0.40 +0.08 0% 11.4

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.75 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.