Rockford Raptors FC Pre
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Lake Michigan BU12 · 13 teams · Rockford Raptors FC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 12:00 PM
FC Wisconsin Soccer Park, Hegarty #02 ↗ far trip
●○○○○ Favorable to win
Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.3 for, 1.2 against · 2.45 expected points)
| Season so far | Rockford Raptors FC Pre | FC Wisconsin Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 11th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 7-1-2 | 1-0-6 |
| Points per game | 2.20 | 0.43 |
| Goals for / game | 3.5 | 1.6 |
| Goals against / game | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W L W W W | L L L L L |
| Biggest win | 8–0 at NWI Lions United Pre | 6–2 vs Chicago Soccer Academy Pre |
| Worst loss | 1–3 vs Roadrunners SC Pre | 2–5 at Indiana Elite FC Pre |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.78 | -0.70 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.05 | +0.10 |
Common opponents: Chicago Soccer Academy Pre — we 2–0; they 6–2. FC 1974 Libertyville Pre — we 2–1; they 0–1. Bloomingdale Lightning Pre — we 2–3; they 1–3. NWI Lions United Pre — we 8–0; they 1–2. Indiana Elite FC Pre — we 7–2; they 2–5. Roadrunners SC Pre — we 1–3; they 1–3. Chicago Inter Pre — we 6–0; they 0–2.
Game plan
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Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 77% chance; likely score 3–1.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
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Confidence is low on their side
FC Wisconsin Pre have lost 6 straight (form: LLLLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
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Away game
Kickoff 12:00 PM at FC Wisconsin Soccer Park.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the FC Wisconsin Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Rockford Raptors FC Pre – FC Wisconsin Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.27 PPG |
3rd— holds | 3rd— holds | 4th▼ down 1 |
| Win 2.27 PPG |
3rd— holds | 3rd— holds | 4th▼ down 1 |
| Draw 2.09 PPG |
4th▼ down 1 | 3rd— holds | 5th▼ down 2 |
| Loss 2.00 PPG |
4th▼ down 1 | 3rd— holds | 5th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–1 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 4th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 25%
- 2nd 35%
- 3rd 29%
- 4th 9%
- 5th 2%
- 6th <1%
- 7th
- 8th
- 9th
- 10th
- 11th
- 12th
- 13th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 14 remaining known games (max 2.67 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bloomingdale Lightning Pre | 2.63 (+0.43) | 1st (2.33) | 42 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection |
| 2 | Roadrunners SC Pre | 2.63 (+0.43) | 2nd (2.29) | 42 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection |
How the results connect
43 chains · 11 teams
Paths of results that link Rockford Raptors FC Pre to FC Wisconsin Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
16 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.36 · 12th hardest of 13
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Sep 19 11:30 AM no score posted |
Chicago City SC Pre 13th · 0-0-7 · GD -23 |
Home Mercyhealth Sportscore Two |
●○○○○ Favorable | 96% |
6–1 | 2.90 | 2.26 | Bank it |
| Sat Oct 24 12:00 PM |
FC Wisconsin Pre 11th · 1-0-6 · GD -7 |
Away far trip
FC Wisconsin Soccer Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 77% |
3–1 | 2.45 | 2.28 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
Force Pre 12th · 0-1-5 · GD -18 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 89% |
4–0 | 2.75 | 2.31 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 21 TBD |
Chicago Soccer Academy Pre 10th · 1-1-6 · GD -17 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 86% |
3–0 | 2.66 | 2.34 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 3 11:30 AM |
FC Wisconsin Pre 11th · 1-0-6 · GD -7 |
Home Mercyhealth Sportscore Two |
●○○○○ Favorable | 85% |
3–1 | 2.63 | 2.36 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 10 11:30 AM |
FC 1974 Libertyville Pre 5th · 5-1-2 · GD +12 |
Home Mercyhealth Sportscore Two |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 56% |
2–1 | 1.88 | 2.33 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 11 11:30 AM |
Bloomingdale Lightning Pre 1st · 7-0-1 · GD +26 |
Home Mercyhealth Sportscore Two |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.59 | 2.29 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
Chicago City SC Pre 13th · 0-0-7 · GD -23 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 92% |
5–1 | 2.81 | 2.31 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 18 TBD |
Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre 7th · 2-2-2 · GD +1 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 61% |
3–1 | 2.00 | 2.30 | Swing game |
| Sat May 8 04:30 PM |
NWI Lions United Pre 8th · 3-0-4 · GD -13 |
Home Mercyhealth Sportscore Two |
●○○○○ Favorable | 90% |
4–1 | 2.77 | 2.32 | Bank it |
| Sun May 9 11:30 AM |
Indiana Elite FC Pre 6th · 4-2-3 · GD +0 |
Home Mercyhealth Sportscore Two |
●○○○○ Favorable | 78% |
3–1 | 2.46 | 2.33 | Bank it |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
Roadrunners SC Pre 2nd · 7-0-1 · GD +18 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
1–1 | 1.32 | 2.28 | Upside |
| Sun May 16 TBD |
Chicago Inter Pre 9th · 3-1-4 · GD -13 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 83% |
3–1 | 2.60 | 2.30 | Bank it |
| Sun May 23 TBD |
Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre 4th · 4-1-1 · GD +11 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 46% |
2–1 | 1.59 | 2.27 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Bloomingdale Lightning Pre | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 38 | 12 | +26 | 21 | 2.63 | WWWWW | -0.65 | -0.02 | 98% | 2.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC 1974 Libertyville Pre · Sat Oct 31 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre · Sun Nov 1 at Roadrunners SC Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Roadrunners SC Pre | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 8 | +18 | 21 | 2.63 | WWLWW | -0.56 | +0.06 | 96% | 2.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Chicago Inter Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Bloomingdale Lightning Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Rockford Raptors FC Pre | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 35 | 12 | +23 | 22 | 2.20 | WWWLW | +0.05 | -0.36 | 98% | 2.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 19 vs Chicago City SC Pre · Sat Oct 24 at FC Wisconsin Pre · Sat Mar 20 at Force Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | +11 | 13 | 2.17 | WWWWL | -0.38 | -0.03 | 66% | 4.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 at Force Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs Roadrunners SC Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs Bloomingdale Lightning Pre See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | FC 1974 Libertyville Pre | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 8 | +12 | 16 | 2.00 | WLWWD | -0.61 | +0.15 | 27% | 5.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Aug 30 at Chicago Inter Pre · Sat Oct 10 at Force Pre · Sat Oct 24 at Bloomingdale Lightning Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Indiana Elite FC Pre | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 24 | +0 | 14 | 1.56 | WWWLD | +0.18 | -0.17 | 2% | 6.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 at Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs NWI Lions United Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Chicago Soccer Academy Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 8 | 1.33 | LWWLD | +1.03 | -0.44 | 13% | 5.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 vs Indiana Elite FC Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs Chicago City SC Pre · Sun Oct 25 at FC Wisconsin Pre See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | NWI Lions United Pre | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 9 | 1.29 | LLLWW | +0.19 | -0.00 | 0% | 9.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Indiana Elite FC Pre · Sat Nov 7 at Chicago Soccer Academy Pre · Sun Nov 8 at Chicago City SC Pre See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Chicago Inter Pre | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 | 1.25 | WLWLD | -0.11 | +0.15 | 0% | 9.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Aug 30 vs FC 1974 Libertyville Pre · Sun Sep 20 vs Force Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs Roadrunners SC Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Chicago Soccer Academy Pre | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 23 | -17 | 4 | 0.50 | LLLLD | +0.42 | -0.09 | 0% | 11.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Force Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs Indiana Elite FC Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | FC Wisconsin Pre | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 3 | 0.43 | LLLLL | +0.10 | -0.01 | 0% | 9.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Rockford Raptors FC Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs Force Pre See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Force Pre | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 1 | 0.17 | LLLLD | +0.80 | -0.14 | 0% | 11.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 at Chicago Inter Pre · Sun Sep 27 vs Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre · Sat Oct 10 vs FC 1974 Libertyville Pre See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | Chicago City SC Pre | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 34 | -23 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.50 | +0.02 | 0% | 12.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 19 at Rockford Raptors FC Pre · Sat Oct 24 at Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre · Sun Nov 1 at FC Wisconsin Pre See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.30 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.