FC Wisconsin Pre
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Lake Michigan BU12 · 13 teams · FC Wisconsin Boys (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 12:00 PM
FC Wisconsin Soccer Park, Hegarty #02 ↗
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.2 for, 3.3 against · 0.43 expected points)
| Season so far | FC Wisconsin Pre | Rockford Raptors FC Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 11th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-0-6 | 7-1-2 |
| Points per game | 0.43 | 2.20 |
| Goals for / game | 1.6 | 3.5 |
| Goals against / game | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 5 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L L L | W L W W W |
| Biggest win | 6–2 vs Chicago Soccer Academy Pre | 8–0 at NWI Lions United Pre |
| Worst loss | 2–5 at Indiana Elite FC Pre | 1–3 vs Roadrunners SC Pre |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.70 | +1.78 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.10 | +0.05 |
Common opponents: Chicago Soccer Academy Pre — we 6–2; they 2–0. Bloomingdale Lightning Pre — we 1–3; they 2–3. FC 1974 Libertyville Pre — we 0–1; they 2–1. Indiana Elite FC Pre — we 2–5; they 7–2. NWI Lions United Pre — we 1–2; they 8–0. Chicago Inter Pre — we 0–2; they 6–0. Roadrunners SC Pre — we 1–3; they 1–3.
Game plan
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Respect their attack
Rockford Raptors FC Pre score 3.5/game — well above the league's 2.3.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–1 at FC 1974 Libertyville Pre, 0–2 vs Chicago Inter Pre.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 10%; a draw (12%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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What a win does
Chicago Soccer Academy Pre sit 10th on 0.50 PPG; we are on 0.43.A point moves us above Chicago Soccer Academy Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Rockford Raptors FC Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Wisconsin Pre – Rockford Raptors FC Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.38 PPG |
11th— holds | 11th— holds | 12th▼ down 1 |
| Win 0.75 PPG |
10th▲ up 1 | 10th▲ up 1 | 11th— holds |
| Draw 0.50 PPG |
10th▲ up 1 | 10th▲ up 1 | 12th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 0.38 PPG |
11th— holds | 11th— holds | 12th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we stay 11th even if every rival loses, and as low as 12th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th 2%
- 8th 21%
- 9th 26%
- 10th 30%
- 11th 13%
- 12th 6%
- 13th 2%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.25 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bloomingdale Lightning Pre | 2.63 (+2.20) | 1st (2.33) | 61 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 53 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Roadrunners SC Pre | 2.63 (+2.20) | 2nd (2.29) | 61 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 52 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | Rockford Raptors FC Pre | 2.20 (+1.77) | 3rd (2.27) | 50 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 52 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre | 2.17 (+1.74) | 4th (2.00) | 50 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection |
| 5 | FC 1974 Libertyville Pre | 2.00 (+1.57) | 5th (1.82) | 45 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection |
| 6 | Indiana Elite FC Pre | 1.56 (+1.13) | 7th (1.54) | 35 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection |
| 7 | Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre | 1.33 (+0.90) | 6th (1.74) | 29 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection |
| 8 | NWI Lions United Pre | 1.29 (+0.86) | 9th (0.99) | 28 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection |
| 9 | Chicago Inter Pre | 1.25 (+0.82) | 8th (1.02) | 27 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection |
| 10 | Chicago Soccer Academy Pre | 0.50 (+0.07) | 11th (0.67) | A point next game |
How the results connect
43 chains · 11 teams
Paths of results that link FC Wisconsin Pre to Rockford Raptors FC Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
16 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.01 · 6th hardest of 13
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 12:00 PM |
Rockford Raptors FC Pre 3rd · 7-1-2 · GD +23 |
Home FC Wisconsin Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 10% |
1–3 | 0.43 | 0.43 | Upside |
| Sun Oct 25 04:45 PM |
Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre 7th · 2-2-2 · GD +1 |
Home FC Wisconsin Soccer Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 25% |
1–2 | 0.93 | 0.48 | Upside |
| Sat Oct 31 10:30 AM |
Force Pre 12th · 0-1-5 · GD -18 |
Home FC Wisconsin Soccer Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 63% |
2–1 | 2.06 | 0.64 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 1 01:30 PM |
Chicago City SC Pre 13th · 0-0-7 · GD -23 |
Home FC Wisconsin Soccer Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 65% |
3–1 | 2.10 | 0.77 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 8 10:45 AM |
Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre 4th · 4-1-1 · GD +11 |
Home FC Wisconsin Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 16% |
1–2 | 0.66 | 0.76 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
Chicago Soccer Academy Pre 10th · 1-1-6 · GD -17 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 49% |
1–1 | 1.70 | 0.84 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 21 TBD |
Force Pre 12th · 0-1-5 · GD -18 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 53% |
2–1 | 1.79 | 0.90 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 3 11:30 AM |
Rockford Raptors FC Pre 3rd · 7-1-2 · GD +23 |
Away far trip
Mercyhealth Sportscore Two |
●●●●● Very tough | 6% |
1–3 | 0.28 | 0.86 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
Bloomingdale Lightning Pre 1st · 7-0-1 · GD +26 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 9% |
1–3 | 0.38 | 0.83 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 TBD |
FC 1974 Libertyville Pre 5th · 5-1-2 · GD +12 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 18% |
1–2 | 0.74 | 0.83 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre 7th · 2-2-2 · GD +1 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 17% |
1–3 | 0.67 | 0.82 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 TBD |
Chicago City SC Pre 13th · 0-0-7 · GD -23 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 54% |
2–2 | 1.79 | 0.87 | Swing game |
| Sat May 8 TBD |
Indiana Elite FC Pre 6th · 4-2-3 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 32% |
2–2 | 1.13 | 0.88 | Upside |
| Sun May 9 TBD |
NWI Lions United Pre 8th · 3-0-4 · GD -13 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 54% |
2–1 | 1.81 | 0.93 | Swing game |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
Chicago Inter Pre 9th · 3-1-4 · GD -13 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 42% |
2–1 | 1.46 | 0.95 | Upside |
| Sun May 16 TBD |
Roadrunners SC Pre 2nd · 7-0-1 · GD +18 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 8% |
1–3 | 0.34 | 0.92 | Upside |
| Sat May 22 TBD |
Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre 4th · 4-1-1 · GD +11 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 11% |
1–3 | 0.45 | 0.90 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Bloomingdale Lightning Pre | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 38 | 12 | +26 | 21 | 2.63 | WWWWW | -0.65 | -0.02 | 98% | 2.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC 1974 Libertyville Pre · Sat Oct 31 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre · Sun Nov 1 at Roadrunners SC Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Roadrunners SC Pre | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 8 | +18 | 21 | 2.63 | WWLWW | -0.56 | +0.06 | 97% | 2.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Chicago Inter Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Bloomingdale Lightning Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Rockford Raptors FC Pre | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 35 | 12 | +23 | 22 | 2.20 | WWWLW | +0.05 | -0.36 | 98% | 2.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 19 vs Chicago City SC Pre · Sat Oct 24 at FC Wisconsin Pre · Sat Mar 20 at Force Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | +11 | 13 | 2.17 | WWWWL | -0.38 | -0.03 | 65% | 4.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 at Force Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs Roadrunners SC Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs Bloomingdale Lightning Pre See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | FC 1974 Libertyville Pre | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 8 | +12 | 16 | 2.00 | WLWWD | -0.61 | +0.15 | 26% | 5.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Aug 30 at Chicago Inter Pre · Sat Oct 10 at Force Pre · Sat Oct 24 at Bloomingdale Lightning Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Indiana Elite FC Pre | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 24 | +0 | 14 | 1.56 | WWWLD | +0.18 | -0.17 | 2% | 6.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 at Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs NWI Lions United Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Chicago Soccer Academy Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 8 | 1.33 | LWWLD | +1.03 | -0.44 | 15% | 5.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 vs Indiana Elite FC Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs Chicago City SC Pre · Sun Oct 25 at FC Wisconsin Pre See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | NWI Lions United Pre | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 9 | 1.29 | LLLWW | +0.19 | -0.00 | 0% | 9.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Indiana Elite FC Pre · Sat Nov 7 at Chicago Soccer Academy Pre · Sun Nov 8 at Chicago City SC Pre See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Chicago Inter Pre | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 | 1.25 | WLWLD | -0.11 | +0.15 | 0% | 9.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Aug 30 vs FC 1974 Libertyville Pre · Sun Sep 20 vs Force Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs Roadrunners SC Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Chicago Soccer Academy Pre | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 23 | -17 | 4 | 0.50 | LLLLD | +0.42 | -0.09 | 0% | 11.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Force Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs Indiana Elite FC Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | FC Wisconsin Pre | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 3 | 0.43 | LLLLL | +0.10 | -0.01 | 0% | 9.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Rockford Raptors FC Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs Force Pre See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Force Pre | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 1 | 0.17 | LLLLD | +0.80 | -0.14 | 0% | 11.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 at Chicago Inter Pre · Sun Sep 27 vs Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre · Sat Oct 10 vs FC 1974 Libertyville Pre See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | Chicago City SC Pre | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 34 | -23 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.50 | +0.02 | 0% | 12.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 19 at Rockford Raptors FC Pre · Sat Oct 24 at Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre · Sun Nov 1 at FC Wisconsin Pre See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.30 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.