Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Lake Michigan BU12 · 13 teams · Chicago Magic Soccer Club (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 03:45 PM
HERITAGE PARK SOCCER BASIN, field 8 ↗
●○○○○ Favorable to win
Most likely score 5–1 (expected goals 5.1 for, 1.8 against · 2.66 expected points)
| Season so far | Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre | Chicago City SC Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 7th | 13th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-2-2 | 0-0-7 |
| Points per game | 1.33 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 2.7 | 1.6 |
| Goals against / game | 2.5 | 4.9 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | D L W W L | L L L L L |
| Biggest win | 6–1 vs Chicago Inter Pre | — |
| Worst loss | 2–5 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre | 1–8 vs Roadrunners SC Pre |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.47 | -2.10 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +1.02 | +0.49 |
Common opponents: Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre — we 2–5; they 3–5. Chicago Inter Pre — we 6–1; they 2–4. Roadrunners SC Pre — we 3–1; they 1–8. Bloomingdale Lightning Pre — we 1–4; they 0–6. FC 1974 Libertyville Pre — we 1–1; they 2–3.
Game plan
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They leak goals — be greedy
Chicago City SC Pre concede 4.9/game; worst result 1–8 vs Roadrunners SC Pre.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
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Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 86% chance; likely score 5–1.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
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Confidence is low on their side
Chicago City SC Pre have lost 7 straight (form: LLLLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Chicago City SC Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre – Chicago City SC Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 1.57 PPG |
7th— holds | 7th— holds | 7th— holds |
| Win 1.57 PPG |
7th— holds | 7th— holds | 7th— holds |
| Draw 1.29 PPG |
7th— holds | 7th— holds | 8th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 1.14 PPG |
8th▼ down 1 | 7th— holds | 8th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 5–1 win we finish as high as 6th if every rival drops points, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st <1%
- 2nd 1%
- 3rd 2%
- 4th 11%
- 5th 27%
- 6th 36%
- 7th 22%
- 8th 1%
- 9th <1%
- 10th
- 11th
- 12th
- 13th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.58 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bloomingdale Lightning Pre | 2.63 (+1.30) | 1st (2.33) | 56 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection |
| 2 | Roadrunners SC Pre | 2.63 (+1.30) | 2nd (2.29) | 56 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 47 for their projection |
| 3 | Rockford Raptors FC Pre | 2.27 (+0.94) | 3rd (2.28) | 47 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 47 for their projection |
| 4 | Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre | 2.17 (+0.84) | 4th (2.00) | 45 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection |
| 5 | FC 1974 Libertyville Pre | 2.00 (+0.67) | 5th (1.82) | 40 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection |
| 6 | Indiana Elite FC Pre | 1.70 (+0.37) | 7th (1.57) | 33 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection |
How the results connect
24 chains · 10 teams
Paths of results that link Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre to Chicago City SC Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
17 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.42 · 13th hardest of 13
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Sep 20 05:15 PM no score posted |
Indiana Elite FC Pre 6th · 5-2-3 · GD +1 |
Home HERITAGE PARK SOCCER BASIN |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 55% |
3–2 | 1.82 | 1.40 | Swing game |
| Sat Oct 24 03:45 PM |
Chicago City SC Pre 13th · 0-0-7 · GD -23 |
Home HERITAGE PARK SOCCER BASIN |
●○○○○ Favorable | 86% |
5–1 | 2.66 | 1.56 | Bank it |
| Sun Oct 25 04:45 PM |
FC Wisconsin Pre 12th · 1-0-7 · GD -9 |
Away far trip
FC Wisconsin Soccer Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 58% |
2–1 | 1.91 | 1.60 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 1 03:30 PM |
Chicago Soccer Academy Pre 11th · 1-1-7 · GD -18 |
Away far trip
East Side Sports Complex |
●●○○○ Lean win | 72% |
2–1 | 2.30 | 1.67 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 8 12:00 PM |
Force Pre 10th · 1-1-5 · GD -17 |
Away Lippold Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 72% |
3–1 | 2.30 | 1.73 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 15 01:15 PM |
NWI Lions United Pre 9th · 3-0-5 · GD -14 |
Home Heritage Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 76% |
3–1 | 2.39 | 1.78 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 7 TBD |
Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre 4th · 4-1-1 · GD +11 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 33% |
2–2 | 1.17 | 1.74 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
NWI Lions United Pre 9th · 3-0-5 · GD -14 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 66% |
3–1 | 2.13 | 1.76 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 21 TBD |
Indiana Elite FC Pre 6th · 5-2-3 · GD +1 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 43% |
2–2 | 1.47 | 1.74 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 3 TBD |
Chicago City SC Pre 13th · 0-0-7 · GD -23 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 78% |
4–1 | 2.45 | 1.79 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
Chicago Soccer Academy Pre 11th · 1-1-7 · GD -18 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 80% |
3–1 | 2.51 | 1.83 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 11 TBD |
Force Pre 10th · 1-1-5 · GD -17 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 81% |
3–1 | 2.52 | 1.87 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
FC Wisconsin Pre 12th · 1-0-7 · GD -9 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 69% |
3–1 | 2.21 | 1.89 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 18 TBD |
Rockford Raptors FC Pre 3rd · 8-1-2 · GD +25 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 23% |
1–3 | 0.85 | 1.83 | Upside |
| Sat May 8 TBD |
Chicago Inter Pre 8th · 3-1-4 · GD -13 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 65% |
3–1 | 2.11 | 1.85 | Swing game |
| Sun May 9 TBD |
Roadrunners SC Pre 2nd · 7-0-1 · GD +18 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 17% |
1–3 | 0.66 | 1.79 | Upside |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
Bloomingdale Lightning Pre 1st · 7-0-1 · GD +26 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 22% |
2–3 | 0.81 | 1.75 | Upside |
| Sun May 16 TBD |
FC 1974 Libertyville Pre 5th · 5-1-2 · GD +12 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
1–2 | 1.23 | 1.73 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Bloomingdale Lightning Pre | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 38 | 12 | +26 | 21 | 2.63 | WWWWW | -0.63 | -0.01 | 98% | 2.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC 1974 Libertyville Pre · Sat Oct 31 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre · Sun Nov 1 at Roadrunners SC Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Roadrunners SC Pre | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 8 | +18 | 21 | 2.63 | WWLWW | -0.54 | +0.07 | 96% | 2.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Chicago Inter Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Bloomingdale Lightning Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Rockford Raptors FC Pre | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 39 | 14 | +25 | 25 | 2.27 | WWLWW | -0.01 | -0.32 | 98% | 2.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 19 vs Chicago City SC Pre · Sat Mar 20 at Force Pre · Sun Mar 21 at Chicago Soccer Academy Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | +11 | 13 | 2.17 | WWWWL | -0.37 | -0.02 | 66% | 4.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 at Force Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs Roadrunners SC Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs Bloomingdale Lightning Pre See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | FC 1974 Libertyville Pre | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 8 | +12 | 16 | 2.00 | WLWWD | -0.59 | +0.15 | 26% | 5.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Aug 30 at Chicago Inter Pre · Sat Oct 10 at Force Pre · Sat Oct 24 at Bloomingdale Lightning Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Indiana Elite FC Pre | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 26 | +1 | 17 | 1.70 | WWLDW | +0.04 | -0.09 | 3% | 6.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 at Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Chicago Soccer Academy Pre · Sat Mar 13 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 8 | 1.33 | LWWLD | +1.02 | -0.42 | 14% | 5.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 vs Indiana Elite FC Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs Chicago City SC Pre · Sun Oct 25 at FC Wisconsin Pre See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Chicago Inter Pre | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 | 1.25 | WLWLD | -0.11 | +0.17 | 0% | 9.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Aug 30 vs FC 1974 Libertyville Pre · Sun Sep 20 vs Force Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs Roadrunners SC Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | NWI Lions United Pre | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 9 | 1.13 | LLWWL | +0.19 | -0.00 | 0% | 9.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at Chicago Soccer Academy Pre · Sun Nov 8 at Chicago City SC Pre · Sat Nov 14 at Bloomingdale Lightning Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Force Pre | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 24 | -17 | 4 | 0.57 | LLLDW | +0.46 | -0.07 | 0% | 11.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 at Chicago Inter Pre · Sun Sep 27 vs Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre · Sat Oct 10 vs FC 1974 Libertyville Pre See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Chicago Soccer Academy Pre | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 25 | -18 | 4 | 0.44 | LLLDL | +0.16 | +0.03 | 0% | 11.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Indiana Elite FC Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs NWI Lions United Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | FC Wisconsin Pre | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 3 | 0.38 | LLLLL | +0.35 | -0.10 | 0% | 9.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs Force Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Chicago City SC Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | Chicago City SC Pre | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 34 | -23 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.49 | +0.04 | 0% | 12.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 19 at Rockford Raptors FC Pre · Sat Oct 24 at Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre · Sun Nov 1 at FC Wisconsin Pre See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.31 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.