TableChase Clubs

Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Lake Michigan BU12 · 13 teams · Chicago Magic Soccer Club (all teams)

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7th
2-2-2 record · 6 played
1.33 points per game
+1 goal diff · 16–15
LWWLDlast 5
14% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.7
+1.02 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 03:45 PM

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Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre
7th · 1.33 PPG
vs
Chicago City SC Pre
13th · 0.00 PPG

HERITAGE PARK SOCCER BASIN, field 8 ↗

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 5–1 (expected goals 5.1 for, 1.8 against · 2.66 expected points)

Season so farChicago Magic Soccer Club PreChicago City SC Pre
Position7th13th
Record (W-D-L)2-2-20-0-7
Points per game1.330.00
Goals for / game2.71.6
Goals against / game2.54.9
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)D L W W LL L L L L
Biggest win6–1 vs Chicago Inter Pre—
Worst loss2–5 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre1–8 vs Roadrunners SC Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.47-2.10
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+1.02+0.49

Common opponents: Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre — we 2–5; they 3–5. Chicago Inter Pre — we 6–1; they 2–4. Roadrunners SC Pre — we 3–1; they 1–8. Bloomingdale Lightning Pre — we 1–4; they 0–6. FC 1974 Libertyville Pre — we 1–1; they 2–3.

Game plan

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    Chicago City SC Pre concede 4.9/game; worst result 1–8 vs Roadrunners SC Pre.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 86% chance; likely score 5–1.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

  • Confidence is low on their side
    Chicago City SC Pre have lost 7 straight (form: LLLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Chicago City SC Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre – Chicago City SC Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 1.57 PPG
7th— holds 7th— holds 7th— holds
Win
1.57 PPG
7th— holds 7th— holds 7th— holds
Draw
1.29 PPG
7th— holds 7th— holds 8th▼ down 1
Loss
1.14 PPG
8th▼ down 1 7th— holds 8th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 5–1 win we finish as high as 6th if every rival drops points, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
14% top 4
86% below the top 4
5.7 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd 1%
  3. 3rd 2%
  4. 4th 11%
  5. 5th 27%
  6. 6th 36%
  7. 7th 22%
  8. 8th 1%
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.58 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Bloomingdale Lightning Pre 2.63 (+1.30) 1st (2.33) 56 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection
2 Roadrunners SC Pre 2.63 (+1.30) 2nd (2.29) 56 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 47 for their projection
3 Rockford Raptors FC Pre 2.27 (+0.94) 3rd (2.28) 47 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 47 for their projection
4 Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre 2.17 (+0.84) 4th (2.00) 45 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection
5 FC 1974 Libertyville Pre 2.00 (+0.67) 5th (1.82) 40 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
6 Indiana Elite FC Pre 1.70 (+0.37) 7th (1.57) 33 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection

How the results connect

24 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre to Chicago City SC Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

22 favour us
1 even
1 favour them
+4.4 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–1 3–2 2–5 5–3 1–4 6–0 6–1 4–2 3–1 8–1 5–6 6–2 4–1 2–1 1–1 4–0 3–3 2–1 1–2 2–0 Chicago Magic Socce… 7th FC 1974 Libertyvill… 5th Eclipse Select Socc… 4th Bloomingdale Lightn… 1st Chicago Inter Pre 8th Roadrunners SC Pre 2nd Rockford Raptors FC… 3rd Indiana Elite FC Pre 6th Chicago Soccer Acad… 11th Chicago City SC Pre 13th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

17 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 21 Sep 12 Sep 20 Oct 4 Oct 14 Oct 21 Oct 24

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.42 · 13th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Sep 20
05:15 PM
no score posted
Indiana Elite FC Pre
6th · 5-2-3 · GD +1
Home
HERITAGE PARK SOCCER BASIN
●●●○○ Toss-up
55%
3–2 1.82 1.40 Swing game
Sat Oct 24
03:45 PM
Chicago City SC Pre
13th · 0-0-7 · GD -23
Home
HERITAGE PARK SOCCER BASIN
●○○○○ Favorable
86%
5–1 2.66 1.56 Bank it
Sun Oct 25
04:45 PM
FC Wisconsin Pre
12th · 1-0-7 · GD -9
Away far trip
FC Wisconsin Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
58%
2–1 1.91 1.60 Swing game
Sun Nov 1
03:30 PM
Chicago Soccer Academy Pre
11th · 1-1-7 · GD -18
Away far trip
East Side Sports Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
72%
2–1 2.30 1.67 Bank it
Sun Nov 8
12:00 PM
Force Pre
10th · 1-1-5 · GD -17
Away
Lippold Park
●●○○○ Lean win
72%
3–1 2.30 1.73 Bank it
Sun Nov 15
01:15 PM
NWI Lions United Pre
9th · 3-0-5 · GD -14
Home
Heritage Park
●○○○○ Favorable
76%
3–1 2.39 1.78 Bank it
Sun Mar 7
TBD
Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +11
Home
●●●●○ Tough
33%
2–2 1.17 1.74 Upside
Sat Mar 20
TBD
NWI Lions United Pre
9th · 3-0-5 · GD -14
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
66%
3–1 2.13 1.76 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
TBD
Indiana Elite FC Pre
6th · 5-2-3 · GD +1
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
2–2 1.47 1.74 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
TBD
Chicago City SC Pre
13th · 0-0-7 · GD -23
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
78%
4–1 2.45 1.79 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
TBD
Chicago Soccer Academy Pre
11th · 1-1-7 · GD -18
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
80%
3–1 2.51 1.83 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
TBD
Force Pre
10th · 1-1-5 · GD -17
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
81%
3–1 2.52 1.87 Bank it
Sat Apr 17
TBD
FC Wisconsin Pre
12th · 1-0-7 · GD -9
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
3–1 2.21 1.89 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
TBD
Rockford Raptors FC Pre
3rd · 8-1-2 · GD +25
Home
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–3 0.85 1.83 Upside
Sat May 8
TBD
Chicago Inter Pre
8th · 3-1-4 · GD -13
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
3–1 2.11 1.85 Swing game
Sun May 9
TBD
Roadrunners SC Pre
2nd · 7-0-1 · GD +18
Away
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–3 0.66 1.79 Upside
Sat May 15
TBD
Bloomingdale Lightning Pre
1st · 7-0-1 · GD +26
Home
●●●●● Very tough
22%
2–3 0.81 1.75 Upside
Sun May 16
TBD
FC 1974 Libertyville Pre
5th · 5-1-2 · GD +12
Home
●●●●○ Tough
34%
1–2 1.23 1.73 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Bloomingdale Lightning Pre 8701 3812+26 212.63 WWWWW -0.63 -0.01 98% 2.1
2 Roadrunners SC Pre 8701 268+18 212.63 WWLWW -0.54 +0.07 96% 2.3
3 Rockford Raptors FC Pre 11812 3914+25 252.27 WWLWW -0.01 -0.32 98% 2.3
4 Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre 6411 198+11 132.17 WWWWL -0.37 -0.02 66% 4.1
5 FC 1974 Libertyville Pre 8512 208+12 162.00 WLWWD -0.59 +0.15 26% 5.2
6 Indiana Elite FC Pre 10523 2726+1 171.70 WWLDW +0.04 -0.09 3% 6.5
7 Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre 6222 1615+1 81.33 LWWLD +1.02 -0.42 14% 5.7
8 Chicago Inter Pre 8314 1225-13 101.25 WLWLD -0.11 +0.17 0% 9.0
9 NWI Lions United Pre 8305 1125-14 91.13 LLWWL +0.19 -0.00 0% 9.2
10 Force Pre 7115 724-17 40.57 LLLDW +0.46 -0.07 0% 11.0
11 Chicago Soccer Academy Pre 9117 725-18 40.44 LLLDL +0.16 +0.03 0% 11.7
12 FC Wisconsin Pre 8107 1322-9 30.38 LLLLL +0.35 -0.10 0% 9.7
13 Chicago City SC Pre 7007 1134-23 00.00 LLLLL +0.49 +0.04 0% 12.4

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.31 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.