NWI Lions United Pre
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Lake Michigan BU12 · 13 teams · NWI Lions United (all teams)
Next game — Sat Nov 7, 03:30 PM
East Side Sports Complex, field 11 ↗ far trip
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.8 for, 1.6 against · 1.53 expected points)
| Season so far | NWI Lions United Pre | Chicago Soccer Academy Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 9th | 11th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-0-5 | 1-1-7 |
| Points per game | 1.13 | 0.44 |
| Goals for / game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals against / game | 3.1 | 2.8 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 4 | 4 |
| Form (recent first) | L W W L L | L D L L L |
| Biggest win | 5–1 at Force Pre | 2–1 vs Chicago City SC Pre |
| Worst loss | 0–8 vs Rockford Raptors FC Pre | 2–6 at FC Wisconsin Pre |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -1.18 | -1.42 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.19 | +0.16 |
Common opponents: Roadrunners SC Pre — we 0–4; they 0–1. Chicago Inter Pre — we 2–0; they 1–1. Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre — we 0–4; they 0–4. FC 1974 Libertyville Pre — we 0–4; they 0–4. Rockford Raptors FC Pre — we 0–8; they 0–2. FC Wisconsin Pre — we 2–1; they 2–6. Force Pre — we 5–1; they 1–2.
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Chicago Soccer Academy Pre average 0.8 goals/game (league avg 2.3); blanked in 4 of 9.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 4 time(s): 0–4 vs Roadrunners SC Pre, 0–4 vs Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre, 0–4 at FC 1974 Libertyville Pre, 0–8 vs Rockford Raptors FC Pre.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 44% / draw 22% / loss 34%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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Away game
Kickoff 03:30 PM at East Side Sports Complex.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
Chicago Inter Pre sit 8th on 1.25 PPG; we are on 1.13.A point moves us above Chicago Inter Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Chicago Soccer Academy Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (NWI Lions United Pre – Chicago Soccer Academy Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.11 PPG |
9th— holds | 8th▲ up 1 | 9th— holds |
| Win 1.33 PPG |
8th▲ up 1 | 8th▲ up 1 | 9th— holds |
| Draw 1.11 PPG |
9th— holds | 8th▲ up 1 | 9th— holds |
| Loss 1.00 PPG |
9th— holds | 9th— holds | 10th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 9th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th <1%
- 7th 2%
- 8th 31%
- 9th 31%
- 10th 23%
- 11th 10%
- 12th 4%
- 13th 1%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 2.38 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bloomingdale Lightning Pre | 2.63 (+1.50) | 1st (2.33) | 55 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 47 for their projection |
| 2 | Roadrunners SC Pre | 2.63 (+1.50) | 2nd (2.29) | 55 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection |
| 3 | Rockford Raptors FC Pre | 2.27 (+1.14) | 3rd (2.28) | 46 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection |
| 4 | Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre | 2.17 (+1.04) | 4th (2.00) | 44 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection |
| 5 | FC 1974 Libertyville Pre | 2.00 (+0.87) | 5th (1.82) | 39 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection |
| 6 | Indiana Elite FC Pre | 1.70 (+0.57) | 7th (1.57) | 32 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection |
| 7 | Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre | 1.33 (+0.20) | 6th (1.73) | A point next game |
| 8 | Chicago Inter Pre | 1.25 (+0.12) | 8th (1.01) | A point next game |
How the results connect
46 chains · 11 teams
Paths of results that link NWI Lions United Pre to Chicago Soccer Academy Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
17 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.00 · 6th hardest of 13
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Nov 7 03:30 PM |
Chicago Soccer Academy Pre 11th · 1-1-7 · GD -18 |
Away far trip
East Side Sports Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 44% |
1–1 | 1.53 | 1.17 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 8 03:30 PM |
Chicago City SC Pre 13th · 0-0-7 · GD -23 |
Away far trip
British School of Chicago - South Loop |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 46% |
2–2 | 1.54 | 1.21 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 14 01:30 PM |
Bloomingdale Lightning Pre 1st · 7-0-1 · GD +26 |
Away far trip
Camera Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 3% |
1–5 | 0.14 | 1.11 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 15 01:15 PM |
Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre 7th · 2-2-2 · GD +1 |
Away far trip
Heritage Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 12% |
1–3 | 0.49 | 1.06 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 14 TBD |
Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre 4th · 4-1-1 · GD +11 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 7% |
1–3 | 0.32 | 1.00 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre 7th · 2-2-2 · GD +1 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
1–3 | 0.72 | 0.98 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 21 TBD |
Chicago City SC Pre 13th · 0-0-7 · GD -23 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 57% |
3–2 | 1.88 | 1.04 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 3 TBD |
Indiana Elite FC Pre 6th · 5-2-3 · GD +1 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 24% |
2–3 | 0.89 | 1.03 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 03:00 PM |
Chicago Soccer Academy Pre 11th · 1-1-7 · GD -18 |
Home NWI Clinic Field |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 53% |
2–1 | 1.81 | 1.08 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
Roadrunners SC Pre 2nd · 7-0-1 · GD +18 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 5% |
0–3 | 0.23 | 1.03 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 TBD |
Chicago Inter Pre 8th · 3-1-4 · GD -13 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
1–2 | 1.23 | 1.04 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
FC 1974 Libertyville Pre 5th · 5-1-2 · GD +12 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 14% |
1–2 | 0.57 | 1.02 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 TBD |
Bloomingdale Lightning Pre 1st · 7-0-1 · GD +26 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 6% |
1–4 | 0.25 | 0.98 | Upside |
| Sat May 8 04:30 PM |
Rockford Raptors FC Pre 3rd · 8-1-2 · GD +25 |
Away far trip
Mercyhealth Sportscore Two |
●●●●● Very tough | 4% |
1–4 | 0.18 | 0.94 | Upside |
| Sun May 9 TBD |
FC Wisconsin Pre 12th · 1-0-7 · GD -9 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 28% |
1–2 | 1.04 | 0.95 | Upside |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
Force Pre 10th · 1-1-5 · GD -17 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 52% |
2–1 | 1.77 | 0.98 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Bloomingdale Lightning Pre | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 38 | 12 | +26 | 21 | 2.63 | WWWWW | -0.63 | -0.01 | 98% | 2.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC 1974 Libertyville Pre · Sat Oct 31 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre · Sun Nov 1 at Roadrunners SC Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Roadrunners SC Pre | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 8 | +18 | 21 | 2.63 | WWLWW | -0.54 | +0.07 | 96% | 2.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Chicago Inter Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Bloomingdale Lightning Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Rockford Raptors FC Pre | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 39 | 14 | +25 | 25 | 2.27 | WWLWW | -0.01 | -0.32 | 98% | 2.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 19 vs Chicago City SC Pre · Sat Mar 20 at Force Pre · Sun Mar 21 at Chicago Soccer Academy Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | +11 | 13 | 2.17 | WWWWL | -0.37 | -0.02 | 66% | 4.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 at Force Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs Roadrunners SC Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs Bloomingdale Lightning Pre See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | FC 1974 Libertyville Pre | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 8 | +12 | 16 | 2.00 | WLWWD | -0.59 | +0.15 | 26% | 5.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Aug 30 at Chicago Inter Pre · Sat Oct 10 at Force Pre · Sat Oct 24 at Bloomingdale Lightning Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Indiana Elite FC Pre | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 26 | +1 | 17 | 1.70 | WWLDW | +0.04 | -0.09 | 3% | 6.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 at Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Chicago Soccer Academy Pre · Sat Mar 13 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 8 | 1.33 | LWWLD | +1.02 | -0.42 | 14% | 5.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 vs Indiana Elite FC Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs Chicago City SC Pre · Sun Oct 25 at FC Wisconsin Pre See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Chicago Inter Pre | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 | 1.25 | WLWLD | -0.11 | +0.17 | 0% | 9.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Aug 30 vs FC 1974 Libertyville Pre · Sun Sep 20 vs Force Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs Roadrunners SC Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | NWI Lions United Pre | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 9 | 1.13 | LLWWL | +0.19 | -0.00 | 0% | 9.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at Chicago Soccer Academy Pre · Sun Nov 8 at Chicago City SC Pre · Sat Nov 14 at Bloomingdale Lightning Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Force Pre | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 24 | -17 | 4 | 0.57 | LLLDW | +0.46 | -0.07 | 0% | 11.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 at Chicago Inter Pre · Sun Sep 27 vs Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre · Sat Oct 10 vs FC 1974 Libertyville Pre See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Chicago Soccer Academy Pre | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 25 | -18 | 4 | 0.44 | LLLDL | +0.16 | +0.03 | 0% | 11.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Indiana Elite FC Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs NWI Lions United Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | FC Wisconsin Pre | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 3 | 0.38 | LLLLL | +0.35 | -0.10 | 0% | 9.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs Force Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Chicago City SC Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | Chicago City SC Pre | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 34 | -23 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.49 | +0.04 | 0% | 12.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 19 at Rockford Raptors FC Pre · Sat Oct 24 at Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre · Sun Nov 1 at FC Wisconsin Pre See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.31 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.