TableChase Clubs

Chicago Soccer Academy Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Lake Michigan BU12 · 13 teams · Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) (all teams)

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10th
1-1-6 record · 8 played
0.50 points per game
-17 goal diff · 6–23
LLLLDlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 11.2
+0.42 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:30 AM

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Chicago Soccer Academy Pre
10th · 0.50 PPG
vs
Force Pre
12th · 0.17 PPG

East Side Sports Complex, field 11 ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.8 for, 1.5 against · 1.57 expected points)

Season so farChicago Soccer Academy PreForce Pre
Position10th12th
Record (W-D-L)1-1-60-1-5
Points per game0.500.17
Goals for / game0.80.8
Goals against / game2.93.8
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless42
Form (recent first)D L L L LD L L L L
Biggest win2–1 vs Chicago City SC Pre—
Worst loss2–6 at FC Wisconsin Pre1–7 vs Bloomingdale Lightning Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.40-1.72
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.42+0.80

Common opponents: Rockford Raptors FC Pre — we 0–2; they 0–2. Roadrunners SC Pre — we 0–1; they 2–4. Bloomingdale Lightning Pre — we 1–4; they 1–7. FC 1974 Libertyville Pre — we 0–4; they 1–5.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    Force Pre average 0.8 goals/game (league avg 2.3); blanked in 2 of 6.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    Force Pre concede 3.8/game; worst result 1–7 vs Bloomingdale Lightning Pre.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 4 time(s): 0–2 at Rockford Raptors FC Pre, 0–1 at Roadrunners SC Pre, 0–4 vs Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre, 0–4 vs FC 1974 Libertyville Pre.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 45% / draw 23% / loss 33%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Force Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Chicago Soccer Academy Pre – Force Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 0.56 PPG		 10th— holds 10th— holds 11th▼ down 1
Win
0.78 PPG		 10th— holds 10th— holds 11th▼ down 1
Draw
0.56 PPG		 10th— holds 10th— holds 11th▼ down 1
Loss
0.44 PPG		 11th▼ down 1 11th▼ down 1 12th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 10th even if every rival loses, and as low as 11th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
11.2 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th 3%
  9. 9th 7%
  10. 10th 15%
  11. 11th 35%
  12. 12th 26%
  13. 13th 13%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 2.17 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Bloomingdale Lightning Pre 2.63 (+2.13) 1st (2.33) 60 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 52 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Roadrunners SC Pre 2.63 (+2.13) 2nd (2.29) 60 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Rockford Raptors FC Pre 2.20 (+1.70) 3rd (2.27) 49 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre 2.17 (+1.67) 4th (2.00) 49 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection
5 FC 1974 Libertyville Pre 2.00 (+1.50) 5th (1.82) 44 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection
6 Indiana Elite FC Pre 1.56 (+1.06) 7th (1.54) 34 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
7 Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre 1.33 (+0.83) 6th (1.74) 28 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection
8 NWI Lions United Pre 1.29 (+0.79) 9th (0.99) 27 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
9 Chicago Inter Pre 1.25 (+0.75) 8th (1.02) 26 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection

How the results connect

33 chains · 11 teams

Paths of results that link Chicago Soccer Academy Pre to Force Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

15 favour us
5 even
13 favour them
+0.2 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–4 5–1 0–2 2–0 0–1 4–2 1–4 7–1 1–1 0–6 3–2 2–6 1–3 2–0 0–0 2–1 0–6 0–1 1–2 5–1 4–2 Chicago Soccer Acad… 10th FC 1974 Libertyvill… 5th Rockford Raptors FC… 3rd Roadrunners SC Pre 2nd Bloomingdale Lightn… 1st Chicago Inter Pre 9th FC Wisconsin Pre 11th Chicago City SC Pre 13th Indiana Elite FC Pre 6th NWI Lions United Pre 8th Force Pre 12th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

16 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 21 Sep 12 Sep 20 Oct 4 Oct 14 Oct 21

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.09 · 9th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
11:30 AM		 Force Pre
12th · 0-1-5 · GD -18		 Home
East Side Sports Complex		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
45%		 1–1 1.57 0.62 Swing game
Sun Oct 25
03:00 PM		 Indiana Elite FC Pre
6th · 4-2-3 · GD +0		 Home
East Side Sports Complex		 ●●●●● Very tough
18%		 1–2 0.71 0.63 Upside
Sun Nov 1
03:30 PM		 Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre
7th · 2-2-2 · GD +1		 Home
East Side Sports Complex		 ●●●●● Very tough
14%		 1–2 0.56 0.62 Upside
Sat Nov 7
03:30 PM		 NWI Lions United Pre
8th · 3-0-4 · GD -13		 Home
East Side Sports Complex		 ●●●●○ Tough
36%		 1–1 1.30 0.68 Upside
Sat Mar 20
TBD		 FC Wisconsin Pre
11th · 1-0-6 · GD -7		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
29%		 1–1 1.08 0.71 Upside
Sun Mar 21
TBD		 Rockford Raptors FC Pre
3rd · 7-1-2 · GD +23		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
5%		 0–3 0.24 0.68 Upside
Sat Apr 3
TBD		 Force Pre
12th · 0-1-5 · GD -18		 Away
●●●●○ Tough
36%		 1–1 1.30 0.72 Upside
Sun Apr 4
03:00 PM		 NWI Lions United Pre
8th · 3-0-4 · GD -13		 Away far trip
NWI Clinic Field		 ●●●●○ Tough
27%		 1–2 1.03 0.74 Upside
Sat Apr 10
TBD		 Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre
7th · 2-2-2 · GD +1		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
9%		 1–3 0.38 0.72 Upside
Sun Apr 11
TBD		 Chicago City SC Pre
13th · 0-0-7 · GD -23		 Away
●●●●○ Tough
34%		 1–2 1.23 0.74 Upside
Sat Apr 17
TBD		 Chicago Inter Pre
9th · 3-1-4 · GD -13		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
34%		 1–1 1.26 0.77 Upside
Sun Apr 18
TBD		 Roadrunners SC Pre
2nd · 7-0-1 · GD +18		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
6%		 0–3 0.30 0.75 Upside
Sat Apr 24
TBD		 Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +11		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
6%		 0–3 0.26 0.72 Upside
Sat May 8
TBD		 Bloomingdale Lightning Pre
1st · 7-0-1 · GD +26		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
2%		 0–4 0.11 0.70 Upside
Sun May 9
TBD		 FC 1974 Libertyville Pre
5th · 5-1-2 · GD +12		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
7%		 0–2 0.34 0.68 Upside
Sat May 15
TBD		 Indiana Elite FC Pre
6th · 4-2-3 · GD +0		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
12%		 1–3 0.49 0.67 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Bloomingdale Lightning Pre 8701 3812+26 212.63 WWWWW -0.65 -0.02 98% 2.0
2 Roadrunners SC Pre 8701 268+18 212.63 WWLWW -0.56 +0.06 97% 2.3
3 Rockford Raptors FC Pre 10712 3512+23 222.20 WWWLW +0.05 -0.36 98% 2.3
4 Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre 6411 198+11 132.17 WWWWL -0.38 -0.03 66% 4.1
5 FC 1974 Libertyville Pre 8512 208+12 162.00 WLWWD -0.61 +0.15 26% 5.1
6 Indiana Elite FC Pre 9423 2424+0 141.56 WWWLD +0.18 -0.17 2% 6.6
7 Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre 6222 1615+1 81.33 LWWLD +1.03 -0.44 13% 5.6
8 NWI Lions United Pre 7304 922-13 91.29 LLLWW +0.19 -0.00 0% 9.2
9 Chicago Inter Pre 8314 1225-13 101.25 WLWLD -0.11 +0.15 0% 9.0
10 Chicago Soccer Academy Pre 8116 623-17 40.50 LLLLD +0.42 -0.09 0% 11.2
11 FC Wisconsin Pre 7106 1118-7 30.43 LLLLL +0.10 -0.01 0% 9.6
12 Force Pre 6015 523-18 10.17 LLLLD +0.80 -0.14 0% 11.8
13 Chicago City SC Pre 7007 1134-23 00.00 LLLLL +0.50 +0.02 0% 12.2

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.30 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.