TableChase Clubs

Roadrunners SC Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Lake Michigan BU12 · 13 teams · Roadrunners SC (all teams)

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2nd
7-0-1 record · 8 played
2.63 points per game
+18 goal diff · 26–8
WWLWWlast 5
96% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.4
-0.56 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 05:30 PM

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Roadrunners SC Pre
2nd · 2.63 PPG
at
Chicago Inter Pre
9th · 1.25 PPG

Chicago Inter Complex, Field 1 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.4 for, 1.1 against · 2.51 expected points)

Season so farRoadrunners SC PreChicago Inter Pre
Position2nd9th
Record (W-D-L)7-0-13-1-4
Points per game2.631.25
Goals for / game3.31.5
Goals against / game1.03.1
Clean sheets31
Held scoreless03
Form (recent first)W W L W WD L W L W
Biggest win8–1 at Chicago City SC Pre4–2 at Indiana Elite FC Pre
Worst loss1–3 at Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre0–6 vs Bloomingdale Lightning Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.50-1.12
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.56-0.11

Common opponents: NWI Lions United Pre — we 4–0; they 0–2. Indiana Elite FC Pre — we 2–0; they 4–2. Chicago Soccer Academy Pre — we 1–0; they 1–1. Chicago City SC Pre — we 8–1; they 4–2. Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre — we 1–3; they 1–6. Rockford Raptors FC Pre — we 3–1; they 0–6. FC Wisconsin Pre — we 3–1; they 2–0.

Game plan

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 80% chance; likely score 3–1.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 05:30 PM at Chicago Inter Complex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Bloomingdale Lightning Pre sit 1st on 2.63 PPG; we are on 2.63.

    A point moves us above Bloomingdale Lightning Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Chicago Inter Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Roadrunners SC Pre – Chicago Inter Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.67 PPG		 1st▲ up 1 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Win
2.67 PPG		 1st▲ up 1 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Draw
2.44 PPG		 2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Loss
2.33 PPG		 2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–1 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 2nd if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

27% finish 1st
96% top 4
4% below the top 4
2.4 average finish
  1. 1st 27%
  2. 2nd 29%
  3. 3rd 28%
  4. 4th 12%
  5. 5th 3%
  6. 6th 1%
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 2.88 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Bloomingdale Lightning Pre 2.63 (+0.00) 1st (2.33) A point next game

How the results connect

35 chains · 11 teams

Paths of results that link Roadrunners SC Pre to Chicago Inter Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

28 favour us
5 even
2 favour them
+3.6 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–1 0–2 2–0 2–4 1–0 1–1 1–3 6–1 8–1 2–4 4–0 2–0 3–1 6–0 2–1 4–2 1–5 0–0 1–4 6–0 2–6 Roadrunners SC Pre 2nd FC Wisconsin Pre 11th Indiana Elite FC Pre 6th Chicago Soccer Acad… 10th Chicago Magic Socce… 7th Chicago City SC Pre 13th NWI Lions United Pre 8th Rockford Raptors FC… 3rd Force Pre 12th Bloomingdale Lightn… 1st Chicago Inter Pre 9th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

16 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 21 Sep 12 Sep 20 Oct 4 Oct 14 Oct 21

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.06 · 3rd hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
05:30 PM		 Chicago Inter Pre
9th · 3-1-4 · GD -13		 Away far trip
Chicago Inter Complex		 ●○○○○ Favorable
80%		 3–1 2.51 2.61 Bank it
Sun Oct 25
06:30 PM		 Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +11		 Away
Oak Brook Park District · turf		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
43%		 1–1 1.50 2.50 Swing game
Sun Nov 1
05:00 PM		 Bloomingdale Lightning Pre
1st · 7-0-1 · GD +26		 Home
Jefferson Junior High		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
44%		 2–2 1.50 2.41 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
12:00 PM		 FC 1974 Libertyville Pre
5th · 5-1-2 · GD +12		 Home
Jefferson Junior High		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
52%		 1–1 1.79 2.36 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
TBD		 FC 1974 Libertyville Pre
5th · 5-1-2 · GD +12		 Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%		 1–1 1.53 2.30 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
TBD		 Bloomingdale Lightning Pre
1st · 7-0-1 · GD +26		 Away
●●●●○ Tough
33%		 2–2 1.18 2.22 Upside
Sat Apr 3
TBD		 Chicago Inter Pre
9th · 3-1-4 · GD -13		 Home
●○○○○ Favorable
87%		 3–0 2.68 2.25 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
TBD		 NWI Lions United Pre
8th · 3-0-4 · GD -13		 Home
●○○○○ Favorable
88%		 3–0 2.71 2.28 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
TBD		 Indiana Elite FC Pre
6th · 4-2-3 · GD +0		 Home
●●○○○ Lean win
75%		 3–1 2.37 2.28 Bank it
Sat Apr 17
TBD		 Force Pre
12th · 0-1-5 · GD -18		 Away
●○○○○ Favorable
87%		 3–0 2.68 2.30 Bank it
Sun Apr 18
TBD		 Chicago Soccer Academy Pre
10th · 1-1-6 · GD -17		 Away
●○○○○ Favorable
83%		 3–0 2.59 2.32 Bank it
Sat May 8
TBD		 Chicago City SC Pre
13th · 0-0-7 · GD -23		 Home
●○○○○ Favorable
94%		 5–1 2.86 2.35 Bank it
Sun May 9
TBD		 Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre
7th · 2-2-2 · GD +1		 Home
●●○○○ Lean win
68%		 3–1 2.18 2.34 Swing game
Sat May 15
TBD		 Rockford Raptors FC Pre
3rd · 7-1-2 · GD +23		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
42%		 1–1 1.47 2.30 Upside
Sun May 16
TBD		 FC Wisconsin Pre
11th · 1-0-6 · GD -7		 Home
●○○○○ Favorable
81%		 3–1 2.55 2.31 Bank it
Sat May 29
TBD		 Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +11		 Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%		 2–1 1.79 2.29 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Bloomingdale Lightning Pre 8701 3812+26 212.63 WWWWW -0.65 -0.02 99% 1.9
2 Roadrunners SC Pre 8701 268+18 212.63 WWLWW -0.56 +0.06 96% 2.4
3 Rockford Raptors FC Pre 10712 3512+23 222.20 WWWLW +0.05 -0.36 97% 2.3
4 Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre 6411 198+11 132.17 WWWWL -0.38 -0.03 67% 4.1
5 FC 1974 Libertyville Pre 8512 208+12 162.00 WLWWD -0.61 +0.15 25% 5.1
6 Indiana Elite FC Pre 9423 2424+0 141.56 WWWLD +0.18 -0.17 2% 6.6
7 Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre 6222 1615+1 81.33 LWWLD +1.03 -0.44 14% 5.6
8 NWI Lions United Pre 7304 922-13 91.29 LLLWW +0.19 -0.00 0% 9.2
9 Chicago Inter Pre 8314 1225-13 101.25 WLWLD -0.11 +0.15 0% 9.0
10 Chicago Soccer Academy Pre 8116 623-17 40.50 LLLLD +0.42 -0.09 0% 11.1
11 FC Wisconsin Pre 7106 1118-7 30.43 LLLLL +0.10 -0.01 0% 9.5
12 Force Pre 6015 523-18 10.17 LLLLD +0.80 -0.14 0% 11.7
13 Chicago City SC Pre 7007 1134-23 00.00 LLLLL +0.50 +0.02 0% 12.3

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.30 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.