TableChase Clubs

Force Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Lake Michigan BU12 · 13 teams · Force Football Club (all teams)

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12th
0-1-5 record · 6 played
0.17 points per game
-18 goal diff · 5–23
LLLLDlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 11.8
+0.80 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:30 AM

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Force Pre
12th · 0.17 PPG
at
Chicago Soccer Academy Pre
10th · 0.50 PPG

East Side Sports Complex, field 11 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.5 for, 1.8 against · 1.20 expected points)

Season so farForce PreChicago Soccer Academy Pre
Position12th10th
Record (W-D-L)0-1-51-1-6
Points per game0.170.50
Goals for / game0.80.8
Goals against / game3.82.9
Clean sheets10
Held scoreless24
Form (recent first)D L L L LD L L L L
Biggest win—2–1 vs Chicago City SC Pre
Worst loss1–7 vs Bloomingdale Lightning Pre2–6 at FC Wisconsin Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.72-1.40
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.80+0.42

Common opponents: FC 1974 Libertyville Pre — we 1–5; they 0–4. Roadrunners SC Pre — we 2–4; they 0–1. Rockford Raptors FC Pre — we 0–2; they 0–2. Bloomingdale Lightning Pre — we 1–7; they 1–4.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    Chicago Soccer Academy Pre average 0.8 goals/game (league avg 2.3); blanked in 4 of 8.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–2 at Rockford Raptors FC Pre, 0–0 vs Indiana Elite FC Pre.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 33%; a draw (23%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 11:30 AM at East Side Sports Complex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    FC Wisconsin Pre sit 11th on 0.43 PPG; we are on 0.17.

    A point moves us above FC Wisconsin Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Chicago Soccer Academy Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Force Pre – Chicago Soccer Academy Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 0.29 PPG		 12th— holds 12th— holds 13th▼ down 1
Win
0.57 PPG		 10th▲ up 2 10th▲ up 2 12th— holds
Draw
0.29 PPG		 12th— holds 12th— holds 13th▼ down 1
Loss
0.14 PPG		 12th— holds 12th— holds 13th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 12th even if every rival loses, and as low as 13th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
11.8 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th 1%
  9. 9th 3%
  10. 10th 9%
  11. 11th 22%
  12. 12th 34%
  13. 13th 30%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.29 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Bloomingdale Lightning Pre 2.63 (+2.46) 1st (2.33) 63 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 55 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Roadrunners SC Pre 2.63 (+2.46) 2nd (2.29) 63 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 54 for their projection
3 Rockford Raptors FC Pre 2.20 (+2.03) 3rd (2.27) 52 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 54 for their projection
4 Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre 2.17 (+2.00) 4th (2.00) 52 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection
5 FC 1974 Libertyville Pre 2.00 (+1.83) 5th (1.82) 47 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection
6 Indiana Elite FC Pre 1.56 (+1.39) 7th (1.54) 37 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
7 Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre 1.33 (+1.16) 6th (1.74) 31 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection
8 NWI Lions United Pre 1.29 (+1.12) 9th (0.99) 30 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
9 Chicago Inter Pre 1.25 (+1.08) 8th (1.02) 29 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
10 Chicago Soccer Academy Pre 0.50 (+0.33) 11th (0.67) A point next game
11 FC Wisconsin Pre 0.43 (+0.26) 10th (0.90) A point next game

How the results connect

33 chains · 11 teams

Paths of results that link Force Pre to Chicago Soccer Academy Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

13 favour us
5 even
15 favour them
-0.2 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–2 2–0 1–5 4–0 2–4 1–0 1–7 4–1 3–1 6–2 6–0 1–1 2–3 0–0 0–2 1–5 2–1 6–0 1–2 1–0 2–4 Force Pre 12th Rockford Raptors FC… 3rd FC 1974 Libertyvill… 5th Roadrunners SC Pre 2nd Bloomingdale Lightn… 1st Indiana Elite FC Pre 6th NWI Lions United Pre 8th FC Wisconsin Pre 11th Chicago Inter Pre 9th Chicago City SC Pre 13th Chicago Soccer Acad… 10th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

16 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 21 Sep 12 Sep 20 Oct 4 Oct 14 Oct 21

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.14 · 10th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Sep 20
05:30 PM
no score posted		 Chicago Inter Pre
9th · 3-1-4 · GD -13		 Away far trip
Chicago Inter Complex		 ●●●●● Very tough
25%		 1–2 0.93 0.28 Upside
Sun Sep 27
TBD
no score posted		 Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +11		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
7%		 1–3 0.32 0.28 Upside
Sat Oct 10
TBD
no score posted		 FC 1974 Libertyville Pre
5th · 5-1-2 · GD +12		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
9%		 0–2 0.40 0.29 Upside
Sat Oct 24
11:30 AM		 Chicago Soccer Academy Pre
10th · 1-1-6 · GD -17		 Away far trip
East Side Sports Complex		 ●●●●○ Tough
33%		 1–1 1.20 0.39 Upside
Sat Oct 31
10:30 AM		 FC Wisconsin Pre
11th · 1-0-6 · GD -7		 Away far trip
FC Wisconsin Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
19%		 1–2 0.76 0.42 Upside
Sat Nov 7
03:00 PM		 Chicago City SC Pre
13th · 0-0-7 · GD -23		 Home
Lippold Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
44%		 2–2 1.50 0.51 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
12:00 PM		 Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre
7th · 2-2-2 · GD +1		 Home
Lippold Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
12%		 1–3 0.48 0.51 Upside
Sat Mar 20
TBD		 Rockford Raptors FC Pre
3rd · 7-1-2 · GD +23		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
4%		 0–4 0.19 0.48 Upside
Sun Mar 21
TBD		 FC Wisconsin Pre
11th · 1-0-6 · GD -7		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
27%		 1–2 1.01 0.52 Upside
Sat Apr 3
TBD		 Chicago Soccer Academy Pre
10th · 1-1-6 · GD -17		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
41%		 1–1 1.47 0.58 Upside
Sat Apr 10
TBD		 Chicago City SC Pre
13th · 0-0-7 · GD -23		 Away
●●●●○ Tough
33%		 2–2 1.17 0.61 Upside
Sun Apr 11
TBD		 Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre
7th · 2-2-2 · GD +1		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
7%		 1–3 0.31 0.60 Upside
Sat Apr 17
TBD		 Roadrunners SC Pre
2nd · 7-0-1 · GD +18		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
5%		 0–3 0.23 0.58 Upside
Sun Apr 18
TBD		 Chicago Inter Pre
9th · 3-1-4 · GD -13		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
33%		 1–2 1.20 0.61 Upside
Sun Apr 25
TBD		 Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +11		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
4%		 0–4 0.20 0.59 Upside
Sun May 9
TBD		 Bloomingdale Lightning Pre
1st · 7-0-1 · GD +26		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
2%		 1–5 0.08 0.57 Upside
Sat May 15
TBD		 NWI Lions United Pre
8th · 3-0-4 · GD -13		 Away
●●●●○ Tough
26%		 1–2 0.97 0.58 Upside
Sun May 16
TBD		 Indiana Elite FC Pre
6th · 4-2-3 · GD +0		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
10%		 1–3 0.42 0.58 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Bloomingdale Lightning Pre 8701 3812+26 212.63 WWWWW -0.65 -0.02 98% 2.0
2 Roadrunners SC Pre 8701 268+18 212.63 WWLWW -0.56 +0.06 96% 2.3
3 Rockford Raptors FC Pre 10712 3512+23 222.20 WWWLW +0.05 -0.36 97% 2.3
4 Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre 6411 198+11 132.17 WWWWL -0.38 -0.03 66% 4.1
5 FC 1974 Libertyville Pre 8512 208+12 162.00 WLWWD -0.61 +0.15 26% 5.1
6 Indiana Elite FC Pre 9423 2424+0 141.56 WWWLD +0.18 -0.17 2% 6.6
7 Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre 6222 1615+1 81.33 LWWLD +1.03 -0.44 14% 5.6
8 NWI Lions United Pre 7304 922-13 91.29 LLLWW +0.19 -0.00 0% 9.1
9 Chicago Inter Pre 8314 1225-13 101.25 WLWLD -0.11 +0.15 0% 9.0
10 Chicago Soccer Academy Pre 8116 623-17 40.50 LLLLD +0.42 -0.09 0% 11.1
11 FC Wisconsin Pre 7106 1118-7 30.43 LLLLL +0.10 -0.01 0% 9.6
12 Force Pre 6015 523-18 10.17 LLLLD +0.80 -0.14 0% 11.8
13 Chicago City SC Pre 7007 1134-23 00.00 LLLLL +0.50 +0.02 0% 12.3

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.30 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.