Bloomingdale Lightning Pre
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Lake Michigan BU12 · 13 teams · BLFC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 04:30 PM
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.6 for, 1.7 against · 1.93 expected points)
| Season so far | Bloomingdale Lightning Pre | FC 1974 Libertyville Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 7-0-1 | 5-1-2 |
| Points per game | 2.63 | 2.00 |
| Goals for / game | 4.8 | 2.5 |
| Goals against / game | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W W | D W W L W |
| Biggest win | 7–1 at Force Pre | 5–1 vs Force Pre |
| Worst loss | 5–6 vs Indiana Elite FC Pre | 1–2 vs Rockford Raptors FC Pre |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.11 | +0.84 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.65 | -0.61 |
Common opponents: FC Wisconsin Pre — we 3–1; they 1–0. Rockford Raptors FC Pre — we 3–2; they 1–2. Indiana Elite FC Pre — we 5–6; they 1–2. Chicago Soccer Academy Pre — we 4–1; they 4–0. Force Pre — we 7–1; they 5–1. Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre — we 4–1; they 1–1. Chicago City SC Pre — we 6–0; they 3–2.
Game plan
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Hard to break down
FC 1974 Libertyville Pre concede only 1.0/game with 3 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 58% / draw 18% / loss 24%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the FC 1974 Libertyville Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Bloomingdale Lightning Pre – FC 1974 Libertyville Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.67 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 2nd▼ down 1 |
| Win 2.67 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 2nd▼ down 1 |
| Draw 2.44 PPG |
2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 |
| Loss 2.33 PPG |
2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–1 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, and as low as 2nd if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 45%
- 2nd 26%
- 3rd 19%
- 4th 8%
- 5th 2%
- 6th <1%
- 7th <1%
- 8th
- 9th
- 10th
- 11th
- 12th
- 13th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.
How the results connect
35 chains · 11 teams
Paths of results that link Bloomingdale Lightning Pre to FC 1974 Libertyville Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
16 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.02 · 7th hardest of 13
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 04:30 PM |
FC 1974 Libertyville Pre 5th · 5-1-2 · GD +12 |
Home Springfield Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 58% |
2–1 | 1.93 | 2.55 | Swing game |
| Sat Oct 31 08:00 AM |
Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre 4th · 4-1-1 · GD +11 |
Away far trip
Oak Brook Park District · turf |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.60 | 2.45 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 1 05:00 PM |
Roadrunners SC Pre 2nd · 7-0-1 · GD +18 |
Away far trip
Jefferson Junior High |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
2–2 | 1.31 | 2.35 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 01:30 PM |
NWI Lions United Pre 8th · 3-0-4 · GD -13 |
Home Camera Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 93% |
5–1 | 2.82 | 2.39 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
Chicago Inter Pre 9th · 3-1-4 · GD -13 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 92% |
5–1 | 2.80 | 2.42 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 21 TBD |
Roadrunners SC Pre 2nd · 7-0-1 · GD +18 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 48% |
2–2 | 1.63 | 2.36 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 3 TBD |
FC 1974 Libertyville Pre 5th · 5-1-2 · GD +12 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 48% |
2–1 | 1.63 | 2.32 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
FC Wisconsin Pre 11th · 1-0-6 · GD -7 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 81% |
3–1 | 2.52 | 2.33 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 11 11:30 AM |
Rockford Raptors FC Pre 3rd · 7-1-2 · GD +23 |
Away far trip
Mercyhealth Sportscore Two |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.23 | 2.26 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
Indiana Elite FC Pre 6th · 4-2-3 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 71% |
4–2 | 2.27 | 2.26 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 18 TBD |
NWI Lions United Pre 8th · 3-0-4 · GD -13 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 87% |
4–1 | 2.70 | 2.29 | Bank it |
| Sat May 8 TBD |
Chicago Soccer Academy Pre 10th · 1-1-6 · GD -17 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 93% |
4–0 | 2.84 | 2.31 | Bank it |
| Sun May 9 TBD |
Force Pre 12th · 0-1-5 · GD -18 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 95% |
5–1 | 2.89 | 2.34 | Bank it |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre 7th · 2-2-2 · GD +1 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 63% |
3–2 | 2.05 | 2.33 | Swing game |
| Sun May 16 TBD |
Chicago City SC Pre 13th · 0-0-7 · GD -23 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 94% |
6–1 | 2.85 | 2.35 | Bank it |
| Sat Jun 5 TBD |
Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre 4th · 4-1-1 · GD +11 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 59% |
3–2 | 1.93 | 2.33 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Bloomingdale Lightning Pre | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 38 | 12 | +26 | 21 | 2.63 | WWWWW | -0.65 | -0.02 | 98% | 2.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC 1974 Libertyville Pre · Sat Oct 31 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre · Sun Nov 1 at Roadrunners SC Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Roadrunners SC Pre | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 8 | +18 | 21 | 2.63 | WWLWW | -0.56 | +0.06 | 96% | 2.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Chicago Inter Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Bloomingdale Lightning Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Rockford Raptors FC Pre | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 35 | 12 | +23 | 22 | 2.20 | WWWLW | +0.05 | -0.36 | 98% | 2.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 19 vs Chicago City SC Pre · Sat Oct 24 at FC Wisconsin Pre · Sat Mar 20 at Force Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | +11 | 13 | 2.17 | WWWWL | -0.38 | -0.03 | 66% | 4.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 at Force Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs Roadrunners SC Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs Bloomingdale Lightning Pre See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | FC 1974 Libertyville Pre | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 8 | +12 | 16 | 2.00 | WLWWD | -0.61 | +0.15 | 26% | 5.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Aug 30 at Chicago Inter Pre · Sat Oct 10 at Force Pre · Sat Oct 24 at Bloomingdale Lightning Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Indiana Elite FC Pre | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 24 | +0 | 14 | 1.56 | WWWLD | +0.18 | -0.17 | 3% | 6.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 at Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs NWI Lions United Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Chicago Soccer Academy Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 8 | 1.33 | LWWLD | +1.03 | -0.44 | 14% | 5.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 vs Indiana Elite FC Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs Chicago City SC Pre · Sun Oct 25 at FC Wisconsin Pre See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | NWI Lions United Pre | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 9 | 1.29 | LLLWW | +0.19 | -0.00 | 0% | 9.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Indiana Elite FC Pre · Sat Nov 7 at Chicago Soccer Academy Pre · Sun Nov 8 at Chicago City SC Pre See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Chicago Inter Pre | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 | 1.25 | WLWLD | -0.11 | +0.15 | 0% | 9.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Aug 30 vs FC 1974 Libertyville Pre · Sun Sep 20 vs Force Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs Roadrunners SC Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Chicago Soccer Academy Pre | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 23 | -17 | 4 | 0.50 | LLLLD | +0.42 | -0.09 | 0% | 11.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Force Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs Indiana Elite FC Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | FC Wisconsin Pre | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 3 | 0.43 | LLLLL | +0.10 | -0.01 | 0% | 9.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Rockford Raptors FC Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs Force Pre See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Force Pre | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 1 | 0.17 | LLLLD | +0.80 | -0.14 | 0% | 11.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 at Chicago Inter Pre · Sun Sep 27 vs Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre · Sat Oct 10 vs FC 1974 Libertyville Pre See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | Chicago City SC Pre | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 34 | -23 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.50 | +0.02 | 0% | 12.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 19 at Rockford Raptors FC Pre · Sat Oct 24 at Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre · Sun Nov 1 at FC Wisconsin Pre See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.30 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.