Minneapolis United
ECNL Regional League Boys · Twin Cities BU13 · 16 teams · Minneapolis United (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 11:30 AM
Neiman Sports Complex, E Soccer (full) ↗
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.0 for, 2.2 against · 0.71 expected points)
| Season so far | Minneapolis United | Park Valley United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 14th | 10th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-0-4 | 1-3-1 |
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals for / game | 0.4 | 2.2 |
| Goals against / game | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L W L | D L D D W |
| Biggest win | 1–0 at Western Wisconsin Soccer | 4–1 vs Keliix-Intra SC |
| Worst loss | 0–4 vs Centennial SC | 3–4 at Boreal FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.97 | +0.34 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.05 | +0.37 |
Common opponents: Minnesota Rush — we 0–2; they 0–0. Centennial SC — we 0–4; they 1–1. Keliix-Intra SC — we 1–3; they 4–1.
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–2 at Minnesota Rush, 0–4 vs Centennial SC, 0–1 at DASC.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 17%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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What a win does
Western Wisconsin Soccer sit 13th on 0.60 PPG; we are on 0.60.A point moves us above Western Wisconsin Soccer on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Park Valley United FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Minneapolis United – Park Valley United FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.50 PPG |
15th▼ down 1 | 15th▼ down 1 | 15th▼ down 1 |
| Win 1.00 PPG |
12th▲ up 2 | 11th▲ up 3 | 13th▲ up 1 |
| Draw 0.67 PPG |
12th▲ up 2 | 13th▲ up 1 | 14th— holds |
| Loss 0.50 PPG |
15th▼ down 1 | 15th▼ down 1 | 15th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 14th even if every rival loses, and as low as 15th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th
- 9th
- 10th
- 11th 7%
- 12th 8%
- 13th 22%
- 14th 31%
- 15th 32%
- 16th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 1 remaining known games (max 1.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tonka United SA | 2.50 (+1.90) | 1st (2.50) | 12 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | DASC | 2.25 (+1.65) | 2nd (2.25) | 11 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | Centennial SC | 2.20 (+1.60) | 3rd (2.20) | 11 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | Minnesota Rush | 2.00 (+1.40) | 4th (2.00) | 9 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 9 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 5 | Fusion Soccer Club | 2.00 (+1.40) | 5th (2.00) | 9 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 9 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 6 | Boreal FC | 2.00 (+1.40) | 6th (1.89) | 9 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 9 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 7 | MN Thunder Academy | 1.75 (+1.15) | 8th (1.52) | 8 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 7 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 8 | Salvo SC | 1.67 (+1.07) | 7th (1.67) | 8 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 7 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 9 | North Surf | 1.20 (+0.60) | 9th (1.35) | 5 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 6 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 10 | Park Valley United FC | 1.20 (+0.60) | 10th (1.35) | 5 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 6 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 11 | Wave SC | 1.00 (+0.40) | 11th (0.95) | Win next game |
| 12 | EPSC | 0.67 (+0.07) | 14th (0.67) | A point next game |
| 13 | Western Wisconsin Soccer | 0.60 (+0.00) | 12th (0.76) | Already ahead |
How the results connect
16 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link Minneapolis United to Park Valley United FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
14 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.34 · 5th hardest of 9
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 11:30 AM |
Park Valley United FC 10th · 1-3-1 · GD +2 |
Home Neiman Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 17% |
1–2 | 0.71 | 0.62 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Tonka United SA | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 5 | +22 | 15 | 2.50 | WWWLW | -0.38 | — | 100% | 1.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 2 | DASC | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 18 | 2.25 | WWLWL | +0.22 | — | 100% | 2.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 3 | Centennial SC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 1 | +10 | 11 | 2.20 | WDWWD | -0.35 | +0.52 | 83% | 2.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Fri Oct 23 vs MN Thunder Academy See all 1 future matchup ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Minnesota Rush | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 12 | 2.00 | WDWDW | +0.13 | — | 68% | 4.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 5 | Fusion Soccer Club | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 12 | 2.00 | WWLWL | -0.17 | — | 3% | 5.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 6 | Boreal FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 10 | 2.00 | DLWWW | -0.07 | +0.52 | 38% | 6.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at MN Thunder Academy See all 1 future matchup ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | MN Thunder Academy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 7 | 1.75 | WLWD | -0.20 | +0.84 | 8% | 7.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Fri Oct 23 at Centennial SC · Sun Oct 25 vs Boreal FC See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Salvo SC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 10 | 1.67 | LLWWW | -0.30 | — | 0% | 6.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 9 | North Surf | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 6 | 1.20 | LLLWW | +0.07 | -0.20 | 0% | 9.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Wave SC See all 1 future matchup ▸ |
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| 10 | Park Valley United FC | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 6 | 1.20 | WDDLD | +0.37 | -0.97 | 0% | 9.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Minneapolis United See all 1 future matchup ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Wave SC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | +0 | 5 | 1.00 | DDLWL | -0.66 | +0.85 | 0% | 11.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at North Surf See all 1 future matchup ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | EPSC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 4 | 0.67 | DLWLL | +0.07 | — | 0% | 13.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 13 | Western Wisconsin Soccer | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 3 | 0.60 | LWLLL | +0.44 | -1.32 | 0% | 12.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Keliix-Intra SC See all 1 future matchup ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | Minneapolis United | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 3 | 0.60 | LWLLL | +0.05 | +0.34 | 0% | 13.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Park Valley United FC See all 1 future matchup ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 15 | Keliix-Intra SC | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 16 | -12 | 3 | 0.60 | LLLLW | +0.29 | -0.74 | 0% | 13.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Western Wisconsin Soccer See all 1 future matchup ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 16 | MapleBrook SC | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 31 | -29 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.40 | — | 0% | 16.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.79 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.