Centennial SC

ECNL Regional League Boys · Twin Cities BU13 · 16 teams · Centennial Soccer Club (all teams)

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7th

3-2-1 record · 6 played

1.83 points per game

+8 goal diff · 12–4

DWWDLlast 5

0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.8

-0.13 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game

No remaining games on the published schedule.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 0 remaining known games (max 1.83 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Tonka United SA	2.50 (+0.67)	1st (2.50)	—
2	DASC	2.25 (+0.42)	2nd (2.25)	—
3	Minnesota Rush	2.00 (+0.17)	3rd (2.00)	Win next game
4	Fusion Soccer Club	2.00 (+0.17)	4th (2.00)	Win next game
5	MN Thunder Academy	2.00 (+0.17)	5th (1.94)	Win next game
6	Boreal FC	2.00 (+0.17)	6th (1.86)	Win next game

Position over the season

15 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

No remaining games published.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Tonka United SA

+22

2.50

WWWLW

-0.38

—

100%

1.0

DASC

2.25

WWLWL

+0.22

—

100%

2.0

Minnesota Rush

2.00

WDWDW

+0.11

—

100%

3.8

Fusion Soccer Club

2.00

WWLWL

-0.16

—

19%

4.8

MN Thunder Academy

2.00

WLWDW

+0.03

+0.49

50%

5.0

W	Fri Oct 23	at	Centennial SC (7th)	3–1
D	Sun Oct 11	at	Park Valley United FC (10th)	3–3
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	Western Wisconsin Soccer (13th)	3–2
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Minnesota Rush (3rd)	0–4
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Keliix-Intra SC (15th)	7–0

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Boreal FC See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Boreal FC (6th)	2–1	48%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Boreal FC

2.00

DLWWW

-0.07

+0.79

31%

6.3

W	Sun Oct 11	vs	DASC (2nd)	4–2
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	Park Valley United FC (10th)	4–3
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Keliix-Intra SC (15th)	2–0
L	Fri Sep 18	vs	Western Wisconsin Soccer (13th)	0–1
D	Sat Sep 12	at	Minnesota Rush (3rd)	0–0

Next: Sun Oct 25 at MN Thunder Academy See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	MN Thunder Academy (5th)	1–2	33%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Centennial SC

1.83

DWWDL

-0.13

—

5.8

Salvo SC

1.67

LLWWW

-0.29

—

7.3

North Surf

1.20

LLLWW

+0.07

-0.19

9.4

W	Sun Oct 11	at	MapleBrook SC (16th)	13–0
W	Sat Oct 10	vs	Fusion Soccer Club (4th)	1–0
L	Sun Sep 27	at	Salvo SC (8th)	0–1
L	Sun Sep 20	at	DASC (2nd)	0–2
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Tonka United SA (1st)	0–5

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Wave SC See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Wave SC (11th)	2–1	65%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Park Valley United FC

1.20

WDDLD

+0.36

-0.97

9.8

D	Sun Oct 11	vs	MN Thunder Academy (5th)	3–3
L	Sun Sep 27	at	Boreal FC (6th)	3–4
D	Sat Sep 19	at	Centennial SC (7th)	1–1
D	Fri Sep 18	vs	Minnesota Rush (3rd)	0–0
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Keliix-Intra SC (15th)	4–1

Next: Sun Oct 25 at Minneapolis United See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Minneapolis United (14th)	2–1	63%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Wave SC

1.00

DDLWL

-0.65

+0.84

11.4

L	Sat Sep 26	at	DASC (2nd)	1–3
W	Sun Sep 20	at	MapleBrook SC (16th)	3–0
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Fusion Soccer Club (4th)	1–2
D	Sun Sep 13	vs	EPSC (12th)	3–3
D	Fri Sep 11	vs	Salvo SC (8th)	0–0

Next: Sun Oct 25 at North Surf See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	North Surf (9th)	1–2	18%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

EPSC

-16

0.67

DLWLL

+0.07

—

13.6

Western Wisconsin Soccer

-7

0.60

LWLLL

+0.42

-1.31

12.6

L	Sun Oct 11	vs	Minnesota Rush (3rd)	2–4
L	Sun Oct 4	at	MN Thunder Academy (5th)	2–3
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Minneapolis United (14th)	0–1
W	Fri Sep 18	at	Boreal FC (6th)	1–0
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	Centennial SC (7th)	0–4

Next: Sun Oct 25 at Keliix-Intra SC See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Keliix-Intra SC (15th)	1–1	45%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Minneapolis United

-8

0.60

LWLLL

-0.03

+0.33

13.8

L	Sun Oct 11	vs	Keliix-Intra SC (15th)	1–3
L	Fri Sep 25	at	DASC (2nd)	0–1
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Centennial SC (7th)	0–4
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Western Wisconsin Soccer (13th)	1–0
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Minnesota Rush (3rd)	0–2

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Park Valley United FC See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Park Valley United FC (10th)	1–2	17%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Keliix-Intra SC

-12

0.60

LLLLW

+0.26

-0.74

13.4

W	Sun Oct 11	at	Minneapolis United (14th)	3–1
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Centennial SC (7th)	0–2
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Boreal FC (6th)	0–2
L	Sat Sep 19	at	MN Thunder Academy (5th)	0–7
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Park Valley United FC (10th)	1–4

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Western Wisconsin Soccer See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Western Wisconsin Soccer (13th)	1–1	33%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

MapleBrook SC

-29

0.00

LLLLL

+0.40

—

16.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.80 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.