EPSC

ECNL Regional League Boys · Twin Cities BU13 · 16 teams · EPSC (all teams)

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12th

1-1-4 record · 6 played

0.67 points per game

-16 goal diff · 5–21

DLWLLlast 5

0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 13.6

+0.07 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game

No remaining games on the published schedule.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 0 remaining known games (max 0.67 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Tonka United SA	2.50 (+1.83)	1st (2.50)	—
2	DASC	2.25 (+1.58)	2nd (2.25)	—
3	Centennial SC	2.20 (+1.53)	3rd (2.20)	—
4	Minnesota Rush	2.00 (+1.33)	4th (2.00)	—
5	Fusion Soccer Club	2.00 (+1.33)	5th (2.00)	—
6	Boreal FC	2.00 (+1.33)	6th (1.89)	—
7	MN Thunder Academy	1.75 (+1.08)	8th (1.52)	—
8	Salvo SC	1.67 (+1.00)	7th (1.67)	—
9	North Surf	1.20 (+0.53)	9th (1.35)	—
10	Park Valley United FC	1.20 (+0.53)	10th (1.35)	—
11	Wave SC	1.00 (+0.33)	11th (0.95)	Win next game

Position over the season

14 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

No remaining games published.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Tonka United SA

+22

2.50

WWWLW

-0.38

—

100%

1.0

DASC

2.25

WWLWL

+0.22

—

100%

2.7

Centennial SC

+10

2.20

WDWWD

-0.35

+0.52

83%

2.9

D	Sun Sep 27	vs	Minnesota Rush (4th)	0–0
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Keliix-Intra SC (15th)	2–0
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Minneapolis United (14th)	4–0
D	Sat Sep 19	vs	Park Valley United FC (10th)	1–1
W	Sun Sep 13	at	Western Wisconsin Soccer (13th)	4–0

Next: Fri Oct 23 vs MN Thunder Academy See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Fri Oct 23	vs	MN Thunder Academy (7th)	2–1	67%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Minnesota Rush

2.00

WDWDW

+0.13

—

68%

4.3

Fusion Soccer Club

2.00

WWLWL

-0.17

—

5.3

Boreal FC

2.00

DLWWW

-0.07

+0.52

38%

6.0

W	Sun Oct 11	vs	DASC (2nd)	4–2
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	Park Valley United FC (10th)	4–3
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Keliix-Intra SC (15th)	2–0
L	Fri Sep 18	vs	Western Wisconsin Soccer (13th)	0–1
D	Sat Sep 12	at	Minnesota Rush (4th)	0–0

Next: Sun Oct 25 at MN Thunder Academy See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	MN Thunder Academy (7th)	2–2	38%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

MN Thunder Academy

1.75

WLWD

-0.20

+0.84

7.8

D	Sun Oct 11	at	Park Valley United FC (10th)	3–3
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	Western Wisconsin Soccer (13th)	3–2
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Minnesota Rush (4th)	0–4
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Keliix-Intra SC (15th)	7–0

Next: Fri Oct 23 at Centennial SC · Sun Oct 25 vs Boreal FC See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Fri Oct 23	at	Centennial SC (3rd)	1–2	16%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Boreal FC (6th)	2–2	43%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Salvo SC

1.67

LLWWW

-0.30

—

6.8

North Surf

1.20

LLLWW

+0.07

-0.20

9.1

W	Sun Oct 11	at	MapleBrook SC (16th)	13–0
W	Sat Oct 10	vs	Fusion Soccer Club (5th)	1–0
L	Sun Sep 27	at	Salvo SC (8th)	0–1
L	Sun Sep 20	at	DASC (2nd)	0–2
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Tonka United SA (1st)	0–5

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Wave SC See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Wave SC (11th)	2–1	65%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Park Valley United FC

1.20

WDDLD

+0.37

-0.97

9.5

D	Sun Oct 11	vs	MN Thunder Academy (7th)	3–3
L	Sun Sep 27	at	Boreal FC (6th)	3–4
D	Sat Sep 19	at	Centennial SC (3rd)	1–1
D	Fri Sep 18	vs	Minnesota Rush (4th)	0–0
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Keliix-Intra SC (15th)	4–1

Next: Sun Oct 25 at Minneapolis United See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Minneapolis United (14th)	2–1	63%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Wave SC

1.00

DDLWL

-0.66

+0.85

11.3

L	Sat Sep 26	at	DASC (2nd)	1–3
W	Sun Sep 20	at	MapleBrook SC (16th)	3–0
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Fusion Soccer Club (5th)	1–2
D	Sun Sep 13	vs	EPSC (12th)	3–3
D	Fri Sep 11	vs	Salvo SC (8th)	0–0

Next: Sun Oct 25 at North Surf See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	North Surf (9th)	1–2	18%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

EPSC

-16

0.67

DLWLL

+0.07

—

13.6

Western Wisconsin Soccer

-7

0.60

LWLLL

+0.44

-1.32

12.5

L	Sun Oct 11	vs	Minnesota Rush (4th)	2–4
L	Sun Oct 4	at	MN Thunder Academy (7th)	2–3
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Minneapolis United (14th)	0–1
W	Fri Sep 18	at	Boreal FC (6th)	1–0
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	Centennial SC (3rd)	0–4

Next: Sun Oct 25 at Keliix-Intra SC See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Keliix-Intra SC (15th)	1–1	45%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Minneapolis United

-8

0.60

LWLLL

+0.05

+0.34

13.7

L	Sun Oct 11	vs	Keliix-Intra SC (15th)	1–3
L	Fri Sep 25	at	DASC (2nd)	0–1
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Centennial SC (3rd)	0–4
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Western Wisconsin Soccer (13th)	1–0
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Minnesota Rush (4th)	0–2

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Park Valley United FC See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Park Valley United FC (10th)	1–2	17%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Keliix-Intra SC

-12

0.60

LLLLW

+0.29

-0.74

13.5

W	Sun Oct 11	at	Minneapolis United (14th)	3–1
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Centennial SC (3rd)	0–2
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Boreal FC (6th)	0–2
L	Sat Sep 19	at	MN Thunder Academy (7th)	0–7
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Park Valley United FC (10th)	1–4

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Western Wisconsin Soccer See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Western Wisconsin Soccer (13th)	1–1	33%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

MapleBrook SC

-29

0.00

LLLLL

+0.40

—

16.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.79 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.