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Legends FC

ECNL Regional League Boys · Southern Cal BU15 · 17 teams · Legends FC (CA) (all teams)

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13th
1-0-4 record · 5 played
0.60 points per game
+1 goal diff · 10–9
LWLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 11.5
+0.23 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 31, 11:00 AM

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Legends FC
13th · 0.60 PPG
vs
Pateadores
1st · 3.00 PPG

Silverlakes Complex, Field 20 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.4 for, 2.7 against · 0.71 expected points)

Season so farLegends FCPateadores
Position13th1st
Record (W-D-L)1-0-45-0-0
Points per game0.603.00
Goals for / game2.04.4
Goals against / game1.80.8
Clean sheets02
Held scoreless20
Form (recent first)L L L W LW W W W W
Biggest win6–1 at LAFC GOLD7–1 vs LV Heat Surf
Worst loss0–1 vs Sporting California USA—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.14+1.82
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.23-1.39

Common opponents: LAFC GOLD — we 6–1; they 4–1.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Pateadores score 4.4/game — well above the league's 2.0.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    Pateadores concede only 0.8/game with 2 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–1 vs Sporting California USA, 0–1 vs Legends FC - Del Mar.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 18%; a draw (17%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    Pateadores have won 5 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • What a win does
    LA Breakers White sit 12th on 0.75 PPG; we are on 0.60.

    A point moves us above LA Breakers White on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Pateadores game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Legends FC – Pateadores) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.50 PPG
13th— holds 13th— holds 14th▼ down 1
Win
1.00 PPG
11th▲ up 2 10th▲ up 3 12th▲ up 1
Draw
0.67 PPG
13th— holds 13th— holds 14th▼ down 1
Loss
0.50 PPG
13th— holds 13th— holds 14th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 13th even if every rival loses, and as low as 14th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
11.5 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th 1%
  8. 8th 3%
  9. 9th 7%
  10. 10th 11%
  11. 11th 19%
  12. 12th 29%
  13. 13th 21%
  14. 14th 7%
  15. 15th 1%
  16. 16th <1%
  17. 17th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.29 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Pateadores 3.00 (+2.40) 2nd (2.38) 48 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Legends FC - Del Mar 2.60 (+2.00) 1st (2.45) 42 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Rebels SC White 2.50 (+1.90) 4th (2.11) 40 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
4 CDA Slammers FC Black 2.40 (+1.80) 3rd (2.13) 38 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
5 Empire Surf 2.40 (+1.80) 6th (1.81) 38 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
6 West Coast FC White 2.25 (+1.65) 7th (1.67) 36 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
7 Rebels SC Blue 2.00 (+1.40) 9th (1.57) 31 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
8 LA Breakers Red 2.00 (+1.40) 5th (1.94) 31 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
9 San Diego Surf 1.67 (+1.07) 8th (1.63) 26 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
10 Sporting California USA 1.33 (+0.73) 12th (1.11) 20 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection
11 Beach Futbol Club Black 1.00 (+0.40) 10th (1.30) Win next game
12 LA Breakers White 0.75 (+0.15) 14th (0.77) A point next game

How the results connect

8 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link Legends FC to Pateadores through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
1 even
6 favour them
-2.4 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
6–1 1–4 2–3 4–0 0–3 2–3 7–1 1–7 3–0 2–6 3–2 3–0 0–1 1–1 0–3 0–2 Legends FC 13th LAFC GOLD 15th West Coast FC White 6th Empire Surf 5th Legends FC - Del Mar 2nd LA Breakers White 12th LV Heat Surf 17th LAFC WHITE 14th LA Breakers Red 8th Pateadores 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

8 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 9th 17th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.11 · 8th hardest of 17

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 3
10:45 AM
no score posted
Rebels SC Blue
7th · 2-2-0 · GD +5
Away far trip
Monte Vista High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
27%
1–1 1.04 0.67 Upside
Sat Oct 31
11:00 AM
Pateadores
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +18
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●● Very tough
18%
1–2 0.71 0.68 Upside
Sat Nov 7
12:15 PM
Rebels SC White
3rd · 3-1-0 · GD +16
Away far trip
Monte Vista High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
12%
1–3 0.50 0.66 Upside
Sat Nov 14
01:00 PM
CDA Slammers FC Black
4th · 4-0-1 · GD +20
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–2 0.68 0.66 Upside
Sat Nov 21
09:00 AM
San Diego Surf
9th · 1-2-0 · GD +5
Away far trip
Surf Sports Park
●●●●● Very tough
25%
1–2 0.96 0.69 Upside
Sat Mar 13
TBD
LA Breakers Red
8th · 3-1-1 · GD +4
Away
●●●●● Very tough
25%
1–2 0.94 0.71 Upside
Sat Apr 3
09:00 AM
FC Long Beach
16th · 0-0-5 · GD -19
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
83%
3–0 2.60 0.87 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
TBD
LA Breakers White
12th · 1-0-3 · GD -10
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
2–1 2.09 0.96 Swing game
Sat Apr 17
TBD
LV Heat Surf
17th · 0-0-6 · GD -38
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
90%
4–1 2.76 1.09 Bank it
Sat Apr 17
TBD
Pateadores
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +18
Away
●●●●● Very tough
12%
1–3 0.50 1.05 Upside
Sat Apr 24
01:00 PM
LAFC WHITE
14th · 0-2-3 · GD -8
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
59%
2–1 1.94 1.11 Swing game
Sat May 8
TBD
Beach Futbol Club Black
11th · 1-2-2 · GD -3
Away
●●●●○ Tough
39%
1–1 1.44 1.13 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Pateadores 5500 224+18 153.00 WWWWW -1.39 +0.29 92% 2.3
2 Legends FC - Del Mar 5410 221+21 132.60 WWWWD -0.73 -0.01 97% 1.9
3 Rebels SC White 4310 182+16 102.50 DWWW -1.99 +0.52 68% 3.9
4 CDA Slammers FC Black 5401 244+20 122.40 WWWLW -1.47 +0.52 71% 3.8
5 Empire Surf 5401 166+10 122.40 WWWLW -1.22 +0.53 19% 6.3
6 West Coast FC White 4301 105+5 92.25 WWWL -0.93 +0.33 8% 7.4
7 Rebels SC Blue 4220 83+5 82.00 WDWD -1.34 +0.44 4% 8.1
8 LA Breakers Red 5311 128+4 102.00 DLWWW +0.87 -0.43 34% 5.2
9 San Diego Surf 3120 72+5 51.67 DWD -1.11 +0.22 7% 7.7
10 Sporting California USA 3111 412-8 41.33 WLD +1.00 -0.13 0% 11.8
11 Beach Futbol Club Black 5122 25-3 51.00 LLDWD +1.23 -0.53 0% 10.3
12 LA Breakers White 4103 111-10 30.75 LLLW +0.42 -0.03 0% 13.8
13 Legends FC 5104 109+1 30.60 LWLLL +0.23 +0.11 0% 11.5
14 LAFC WHITE 5023 715-8 20.40 LDLDL +1.56 -0.61 0% 11.7
15 LAFC GOLD 5005 524-19 00.00 LLLLL +1.11 -0.27 0% 15.1
16 FC Long Beach 5005 120-19 00.00 LLLLL +0.97 -0.26 0% 15.8
17 LV Heat Surf 6006 341-38 00.00 LLLLL +1.29 -0.35 0% 16.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.05 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.