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LAFC GOLD

ECNL Regional League Boys · Southern Cal BU15 · 17 teams · LAFC So Cal (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 37 minutes ago.
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15th
0-0-5 record · 5 played
0.00 points per game
-19 goal diff · 5–24
LLLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 15.1
+1.11 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 01:00 PM

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LAFC GOLD
15th · 0.00 PPG
at
LAFC WHITE
14th · 0.40 PPG

Oak Park High School, Stadium ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.7 for, 3.4 against · 0.61 expected points)

Season so farLAFC GOLDLAFC WHITE
Position15th14th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-50-2-3
Points per game0.000.40
Goals for / game1.01.4
Goals against / game4.83.0
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless12
Form (recent first)L L L L LL D L D L
Biggest win——
Worst loss1–7 at CDA Slammers FC Black2–6 vs Pateadores
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-2.05-0.59
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+1.11+1.56

Common opponents: Empire Surf — we 2–3; they 0–3. Pateadores — we 1–4; they 2–6.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–4 vs Rebels SC Blue.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 16%; a draw (14%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:00 PM at Oak Park High School.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    LAFC WHITE sit 14th on 0.40 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above LAFC WHITE on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the LAFC WHITE game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (LAFC GOLD – LAFC WHITE) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
16th▼ down 1 15th— holds 17th▼ down 2
Win
0.50 PPG
14th▲ up 1 14th▲ up 1 15th— holds
Draw
0.17 PPG
15th— holds 15th— holds 17th▼ down 2
Loss
0.00 PPG
16th▼ down 1 15th— holds 17th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we fall to at least 16th even if every rival loses, and as low as 17th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
15.1 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th 1%
  13. 13th 5%
  14. 14th 17%
  15. 15th 45%
  16. 16th 25%
  17. 17th 7%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.06 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Pateadores 3.00 (+3.00) 2nd (2.38) 48 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Legends FC - Del Mar 2.60 (+2.60) 1st (2.45) 42 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Rebels SC White 2.50 (+2.50) 4th (2.11) 40 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 CDA Slammers FC Black 2.40 (+2.40) 3rd (2.13) 39 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 Empire Surf 2.40 (+2.40) 6th (1.81) 39 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
6 West Coast FC White 2.25 (+2.25) 7th (1.67) 36 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
7 Rebels SC Blue 2.00 (+2.00) 9th (1.57) 32 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
8 LA Breakers Red 2.00 (+2.00) 5th (1.94) 32 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
9 San Diego Surf 1.67 (+1.67) 8th (1.63) 27 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
10 Sporting California USA 1.33 (+1.33) 12th (1.11) 22 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
11 Beach Futbol Club Black 1.00 (+1.00) 10th (1.30) 16 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
12 LA Breakers White 0.75 (+0.75) 14th (0.77) 12 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection
13 Legends FC 0.60 (+0.60) 11th (1.13) 10 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
14 LAFC WHITE 0.40 (+0.40) 13th (1.09) A point next game

How the results connect

6 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link LAFC GOLD to LAFC WHITE through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
1 even
3 favour them
-2.2 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–4 6–2 2–3 3–0 2–0 5–4 1–6 2–3 0–1 1–1 1–7 1–3 LAFC GOLD 15th Pateadores 1st Empire Surf 5th Legends FC 13th CDA Slammers FC Bla… 4th LA Breakers Red 8th Legends FC - Del Mar 2nd LAFC WHITE 14th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

6 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 9th 17th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.27 · 13th hardest of 17

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
01:00 PM
LAFC WHITE
14th · 0-2-3 · GD -8
Away
Oak Park High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–3 0.61 0.10 Upside
Sun Oct 25
01:00 PM
Legends FC - Del Mar
2nd · 4-1-0 · GD +21
Away far trip
Canyon Crest Academy · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
0%
0–6 0.03 0.09 Upside
Sun Nov 1
09:00 AM
West Coast FC White
6th · 3-0-1 · GD +5
Home
Oak Park High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–3 0.41 0.13 Upside
Sat Nov 7
09:00 AM
San Diego Surf
9th · 1-2-0 · GD +5
Away far trip
Surf Sports Park
●●●●● Very tough
5%
1–3 0.23 0.14 Upside
Sat Nov 14
12:45 PM
Rebels SC White
3rd · 3-1-0 · GD +16
Home
Alemany High School · turf
●●●●● Very tough
2%
1–5 0.12 0.14 Upside
Sat Nov 21
01:00 PM
LV Heat Surf
17th · 0-0-6 · GD -38
Away far trip
Heritage Park Sports Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
3–2 2.04 0.31 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
TBD
Beach Futbol Club Black
11th · 1-2-2 · GD -3
Home
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–1 0.85 0.36 Upside
Sat Apr 3
TBD
LA Breakers White
12th · 1-0-3 · GD -10
Home
●●●●○ Tough
41%
1–1 1.45 0.44 Upside
Sat Apr 24
TBD
Sporting California USA
10th · 1-1-1 · GD -8
Home
●●●●○ Tough
29%
2–3 1.04 0.48 Upside
Sat May 1
01:00 PM
FC Long Beach
16th · 0-0-5 · GD -19
Away far trip
Millikan High School · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%
2–1 1.59 0.56 Swing game
Sat May 8
TBD
LA Breakers Red
8th · 3-1-1 · GD +4
Away
●●●●● Very tough
4%
1–4 0.20 0.54 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Pateadores 5500 224+18 153.00 WWWWW -1.39 +0.29 93% 2.3
2 Legends FC - Del Mar 5410 221+21 132.60 WWWWD -0.73 -0.01 97% 1.9
3 Rebels SC White 4310 182+16 102.50 DWWW -1.99 +0.52 67% 3.9
4 CDA Slammers FC Black 5401 244+20 122.40 WWWLW -1.47 +0.52 73% 3.7
5 Empire Surf 5401 166+10 122.40 WWWLW -1.22 +0.53 18% 6.2
6 West Coast FC White 4301 105+5 92.25 WWWL -0.93 +0.33 8% 7.4
7 Rebels SC Blue 4220 83+5 82.00 WDWD -1.34 +0.44 4% 8.1
8 LA Breakers Red 5311 128+4 102.00 DLWWW +0.87 -0.43 33% 5.3
9 San Diego Surf 3120 72+5 51.67 DWD -1.11 +0.22 6% 7.7
10 Sporting California USA 3111 412-8 41.33 WLD +1.00 -0.13 0% 11.8
11 Beach Futbol Club Black 5122 25-3 51.00 LLDWD +1.23 -0.53 0% 10.3
12 LA Breakers White 4103 111-10 30.75 LLLW +0.42 -0.03 0% 13.7
13 Legends FC 5104 109+1 30.60 LWLLL +0.23 +0.11 0% 11.5
14 LAFC WHITE 5023 715-8 20.40 LDLDL +1.56 -0.61 0% 11.7
15 LAFC GOLD 5005 524-19 00.00 LLLLL +1.11 -0.27 0% 15.1
16 FC Long Beach 5005 120-19 00.00 LLLLL +0.97 -0.26 0% 15.8
17 LV Heat Surf 6006 341-38 00.00 LLLLL +1.29 -0.35 0% 16.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.05 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.