STA MOSC

ECNL Regional League Boys · Northeast BU14 · 12 teams · STA Mount Olive Soccer Club (all teams)

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3rd

4-0-2 record · 6 played

2.00 points per game

+36 goal diff · 46–10

WWWWLlast 5

98% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.6

+0.62 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 02:30 PM

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STA MOSC
3rd · 2.00 PPG

WNY Flash Binghamton
7th · 1.57 PPG

Marywood University Athletics, Grass Field ↗ · grass far trip

93%

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 6–1 (expected goals 6.2 for, 1.6 against · 2.83 expected points)

Season so far	STA MOSC	WNY Flash Binghamton
Position	3rd	7th
Record (W-D-L)	4-0-2	3-2-2
Points per game	2.00	1.57
Goals for / game	7.7	2.0
Goals against / game	1.7	3.3
Clean sheets	3	2
Held scoreless	2	3
Form (recent first)	L W W W W	W D W W D
Biggest win	15–0 at Quickstrike FC	6–0 vs PSA North
Worst loss	0–5 vs Western United Pioneers FC	0–14 at STA MOSC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+4.06	-0.95
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.62	-0.66

Already played this season: Sun Sep 13 14–0 vs WNY Flash Binghamton (W)

Game plan

Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–5 vs Western United Pioneers FC, 0–4 at Western United Pioneers FC.
Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 93% chance; likely score 6–1.
Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
Grass field
Venue listed as "Grass Field" at Marywood University Athletics.
If the team trains on turf: the ball will be slower and bounce less true. Weight passes harder, favour early crosses in the final third, and bring FG/SG cleats. Warm up on the field, not the track.
Away game
Kickoff 02:30 PM at Marywood University Athletics.
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the WNY Flash Binghamton game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (STA MOSC – WNY Flash Binghamton) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Win · 2.14 PPG	3rd— holds	3rd— holds	4th▼ down 1
Win 2.14 PPG	3rd— holds	3rd— holds	4th▼ down 1
Draw 1.86 PPG	4th▼ down 1	3rd— holds	6th▼ down 3
Loss 1.71 PPG	7th▼ down 4	5th▼ down 2	7th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? No. With a 6–1 win we stay 3rd even if every rival loses, and as low as 4th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

3% finish 1st

98% top 4

2% below the top 4

2.6 average finish

1st 3%
2nd 42%
3rd 45%
4th 8%
5th 1%
6th <1%
7th
8th
9th
10th
11th
12th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 2.73 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Western United Pioneers FC	3.00 (+1.00)	1st (2.77)	54 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 49 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2	Brentwood SC	3.00 (+1.00)	2nd (2.42)	54 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection

How the results connect

24 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link STA MOSC to WNY Flash Binghamton through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

22 favour us

2 favour them

+8.3 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

8 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.70 · 12th hardest of 12

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sun Sep 27 12:00 PM no score posted	FC Dutchmen Surf 6th · 3-0-2 · GD +11	Away far trip DiCaprio Park	●●○○○ Lean win	59%	2–1	1.93	1.99	Swing game
Sun Oct 25 02:30 PM	WNY Flash Binghamton 7th · 3-2-2 · GD -9	Away far trip Marywood University Athletics · grass	●○○○○ Favorable	93%	6–1	2.83	2.10	Bank it
Sun Nov 1 04:00 PM	BWP Football Academy 11th · 0-1-4 · GD -30	Away far trip Christian Brothers Academy · turf?	●○○○○ Favorable	99%	9–1	2.99	2.19	Bank it
Sun Nov 8 02:00 PM	FC Dutchmen Surf 6th · 3-0-2 · GD +11	Home Turkey Brook Park	●●○○○ Lean win	69%	3–1	2.22	2.20	Swing game
Sat Nov 14 TBD	Quickstrike FC 8th · 2-0-4 · GD -28	Home	●○○○○ Favorable	99%	9–1	2.99	2.27	Bank it
Sun Nov 15 TBD	Fox Soccer Academy 5th · 3-0-2 · GD +15	Home	●○○○○ Favorable	78%	5–2	2.42	2.28	Bank it
Sun Mar 14 TBD	Eastern FC 4th · 3-1-1 · GD +15	Home	●●○○○ Lean win	65%	3–2	2.10	2.27	Swing game
Sat Apr 3 TBD	PSA North 12th · 0-0-6 · GD -37	Away	●○○○○ Favorable	100%	9–0	2.99	2.32	Bank it
Sat Apr 10 TBD	FC Copa Academy Brooklyn 10th · 0-1-4 · GD -27	Away	●○○○○ Favorable	99%	9–1	2.98	2.36	Bank it
Sun Apr 11 TBD	Brentwood SC 2nd · 6-0-0 · GD +26	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	48%	2–2	1.63	2.32	Swing game
Sat Apr 17 TBD	Long Island Slammers 9th · 1-1-3 · GD -8	Away	●○○○○ Favorable	94%	5–1	2.85	2.35	Bank it
Sat May 1 TBD	Brentwood SC 2nd · 6-0-0 · GD +26	Away	●●●●○ Tough	37%	2–2	1.28	2.29	Upside
Sat May 8 TBD	FC Copa Academy Brooklyn 10th · 0-1-4 · GD -27	Home	●○○○○ Favorable	100%	9–1	2.99	2.33	Bank it
Sat May 15 TBD	PSA North 12th · 0-0-6 · GD -37	Home	●○○○○ Favorable	100%	9–0	3.00	2.36	Bank it
Sat May 22 TBD	Long Island Slammers 9th · 1-1-3 · GD -8	Home	●○○○○ Favorable	97%	6–1	2.92	2.39	Bank it
Sun May 23 TBD	Eastern FC 4th · 3-1-1 · GD +15	Away	●●●○○ Toss-up	54%	3–2	1.77	2.36	Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Western United Pioneers FC

+36

3.00

WWWWW

+0.59

-0.67

100%

1.1

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	STA MOSC (3rd)	4–0
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	FC Copa Academy Brooklyn (10th)	11–0
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	Eastern FC (4th)	3–0
W	Sun Sep 13	at	PSA North (12th)	13–0
W	Sat Sep 12	at	STA MOSC (3rd)	5–0

Next: Sat Sep 26 at Brentwood SC · Sun Oct 25 vs PSA North · Sun Nov 1 vs Brentwood SC See all 17 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Sep 26 (no score yet)	at	Brentwood SC (2nd)	2–1	55%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	PSA North (12th)	9–0	100%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Brentwood SC (2nd)	2–1	65%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Long Island Slammers (9th)	5–0	96%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Long Island Slammers (9th)	5–0	98%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Eastern FC (4th)	2–1	70%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	FC Copa Academy Brooklyn (10th)	8–0	100%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Fox Soccer Academy (5th)	4–1	88%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	BWP Football Academy (11th)	9–0	100%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	WNY Flash Binghamton (7th)	6–0	98%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	3–0	79%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Quickstrike FC (8th)	8–0	99%
·	Sat May 1	at	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	2–1	72%
·	Sat May 8	at	WNY Flash Binghamton (7th)	5–0	96%
·	Sat May 15	at	BWP Football Academy (11th)	8–0	100%
·	Sat May 22	vs	Quickstrike FC (8th)	9–0	100%
·	Sun May 23	at	Fox Soccer Academy (5th)	4–1	81%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Brentwood SC

+26

3.00

WWWWW

-1.22

+0.15

99%

2.5

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	Quickstrike FC (8th)	6–0
W	Sat Oct 17	at	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	1–0
W	Sun Oct 4	at	BWP Football Academy (11th)	8–1
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	WNY Flash Binghamton (7th)	4–0
W	Sun Sep 13	at	Fox Soccer Academy (5th)	2–0
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Quickstrike FC (8th)	7–1

Next: Sat Sep 26 vs Western United Pioneers FC · Sun Oct 25 vs Fox Soccer Academy · Sun Nov 1 at Western United Pioneers FC See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Sep 26 (no score yet)	vs	Western United Pioneers FC (1st)	1–2	25%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Fox Soccer Academy (5th)	3–1	70%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Western United Pioneers FC (1st)	1–2	18%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	WNY Flash Binghamton (7th)	3–1	86%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	BWP Football Academy (11th)	6–0	99%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	2–1	60%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	PSA North (12th)	7–0	99%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	FC Copa Academy Brooklyn (10th)	5–0	97%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Long Island Slammers (9th)	4–0	91%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	STA MOSC (3rd)	2–2	34%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Eastern FC (4th)	2–1	57%
·	Sat May 1	vs	STA MOSC (3rd)	2–2	45%
·	Sat May 8	at	Long Island Slammers (9th)	3–0	87%
·	Sat May 15	vs	FC Copa Academy Brooklyn (10th)	6–0	98%
·	Sat May 22	at	Eastern FC (4th)	2–1	48%
·	Sun May 23	at	PSA North (12th)	6–0	99%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

STA MOSC

+36

2.00

WWWWL

+0.62

-0.70

98%

2.6

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Western United Pioneers FC (1st)	0–4
W	Sat Oct 17	at	Fox Soccer Academy (5th)	5–1
W	Sun Oct 4	at	Quickstrike FC (8th)	15–0
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	BWP Football Academy (11th)	12–0
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	WNY Flash Binghamton (7th)	14–0
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Western United Pioneers FC (1st)	0–5

Next: Sun Sep 27 at FC Dutchmen Surf · Sun Oct 25 at WNY Flash Binghamton · Sun Nov 1 at BWP Football Academy See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Sep 27 (no score yet)	at	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	2–1	59%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	WNY Flash Binghamton (7th)	6–1	93%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	BWP Football Academy (11th)	9–1	99%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	3–1	69%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Quickstrike FC (8th)	9–1	99%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Fox Soccer Academy (5th)	5–2	78%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Eastern FC (4th)	3–2	65%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	PSA North (12th)	9–0	100%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	FC Copa Academy Brooklyn (10th)	9–1	99%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Brentwood SC (2nd)	2–2	48%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Long Island Slammers (9th)	5–1	94%
·	Sat May 1	at	Brentwood SC (2nd)	2–2	37%
·	Sat May 8	vs	FC Copa Academy Brooklyn (10th)	9–1	100%
·	Sat May 15	vs	PSA North (12th)	9–0	100%
·	Sat May 22	vs	Long Island Slammers (9th)	6–1	97%
·	Sun May 23	at	Eastern FC (4th)	3–2	54%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Eastern FC

+15

2.00

WWWLD

-0.26

-0.09

64%

4.3

D	Sat Oct 17	at	WNY Flash Binghamton (7th)	0–0
L	Sun Oct 4	at	Western United Pioneers FC (1st)	0–3
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Quickstrike FC (8th)	8–1
W	Sun Sep 13	at	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	1–0
W	Sat Sep 12	at	BWP Football Academy (11th)	10–0

Next: Sun Sep 27 vs Fox Soccer Academy · Sun Oct 25 vs FC Dutchmen Surf · Sun Nov 1 at Quickstrike FC See all 17 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Sep 27 (no score yet)	vs	Fox Soccer Academy (5th)	2–2	55%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	1–1	49%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Quickstrike FC (8th)	5–1	92%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	BWP Football Academy (11th)	6–0	98%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Fox Soccer Academy (5th)	2–2	44%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Western United Pioneers FC (1st)	1–2	15%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	WNY Flash Binghamton (7th)	3–1	85%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	STA MOSC (3rd)	2–3	20%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Long Island Slammers (9th)	3–1	79%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	PSA North (12th)	5–0	97%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	FC Copa Academy Brooklyn (10th)	5–0	94%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Brentwood SC (2nd)	1–2	23%
·	Sat May 1	vs	FC Copa Academy Brooklyn (10th)	5–0	97%
·	Sat May 8	vs	PSA North (12th)	6–0	98%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Long Island Slammers (9th)	3–0	86%
·	Sat May 22	vs	Brentwood SC (2nd)	1–2	31%
·	Sun May 23	vs	STA MOSC (3rd)	2–3	30%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Fox Soccer Academy

+15

1.80

LWWLW

-0.29

-0.09

23%

5.1

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Long Island Slammers (9th)	7–2
L	Sat Oct 17	vs	STA MOSC (3rd)	1–5
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	PSA North (12th)	11–1
W	Sun Sep 20	at	FC Copa Academy Brooklyn (10th)	6–0
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	Brentwood SC (2nd)	0–2

Next: Sun Sep 27 at Eastern FC · Sat Oct 24 vs Long Island Slammers · Sun Oct 25 at Brentwood SC See all 17 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Sep 27 (no score yet)	at	Eastern FC (4th)	2–2	28%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Long Island Slammers (9th)	4–1	86%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Brentwood SC (2nd)	1–3	16%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	FC Copa Academy Brooklyn (10th)	7–1	97%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Eastern FC (4th)	2–2	38%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	PSA North (12th)	7–1	97%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	STA MOSC (3rd)	2–5	13%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Western United Pioneers FC (1st)	1–4	5%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	2–2	44%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	BWP Football Academy (11th)	6–1	96%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Quickstrike FC (8th)	6–1	92%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	WNY Flash Binghamton (7th)	4–1	84%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Quickstrike FC (8th)	7–1	96%
·	Sat May 8	vs	BWP Football Academy (11th)	7–1	98%
·	Sat May 15	at	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	1–2	34%
·	Sat May 22	at	WNY Flash Binghamton (7th)	4–1	76%
·	Sun May 23	vs	Western United Pioneers FC (1st)	1–4	9%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Dutchmen Surf

+11

1.80

WLWWL

-0.68

+0.11

16%

5.3

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Brentwood SC (2nd)	0–1
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	Long Island Slammers (9th)	3–0
W	Sun Sep 20	at	PSA North (12th)	2–0
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	Eastern FC (4th)	0–1
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	FC Copa Academy Brooklyn (10th)	8–0

Next: Sun Sep 27 vs STA MOSC · Sun Oct 18 at FC Copa Academy Brooklyn · Sun Oct 25 at Eastern FC See all 17 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Sep 27 (no score yet)	vs	STA MOSC (3rd)	1–2	24%
·	Sun Oct 18 (no score yet)	at	FC Copa Academy Brooklyn (10th)	3–0	89%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Eastern FC (4th)	1–1	29%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	PSA North (12th)	5–0	96%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	STA MOSC (3rd)	1–3	16%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Long Island Slammers (9th)	2–0	71%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Brentwood SC (2nd)	1–2	19%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	WNY Flash Binghamton (7th)	2–1	68%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Fox Soccer Academy (5th)	2–2	36%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Quickstrike FC (8th)	4–1	87%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Western United Pioneers FC (1st)	0–3	8%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	BWP Football Academy (11th)	4–0	91%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Western United Pioneers FC (1st)	1–2	12%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Quickstrike FC (8th)	4–1	92%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Fox Soccer Academy (5th)	2–1	47%
·	Sat May 22	vs	BWP Football Academy (11th)	4–0	95%
·	Sun May 23	vs	WNY Flash Binghamton (7th)	3–1	77%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

WNY Flash Binghamton

-9

1.57

DWWDW

-0.66

+0.40

7.2

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	PSA North (12th)	6–0
D	Sat Oct 17	vs	Eastern FC (4th)	0–0
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	FC Copa Academy Brooklyn (10th)	4–2
W	Sat Oct 3	at	PSA North (12th)	3–2
D	Sun Sep 20	at	Long Island Slammers (9th)	1–1
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Brentwood SC (2nd)	0–4
L	Sun Sep 13	at	STA MOSC (3rd)	0–14

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs STA MOSC · Sun Nov 1 vs Long Island Slammers · Sun Nov 8 vs Brentwood SC See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	STA MOSC (3rd)	1–6	3%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Long Island Slammers (9th)	2–1	52%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Brentwood SC (2nd)	1–3	6%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	FC Copa Academy Brooklyn (10th)	3–1	66%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Eastern FC (4th)	1–3	6%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	1–2	15%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Western United Pioneers FC (1st)	0–6	1%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	BWP Football Academy (11th)	3–1	81%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Fox Soccer Academy (5th)	1–4	8%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Quickstrike FC (8th)	3–2	59%
·	Sat May 1	at	BWP Football Academy (11th)	3–1	72%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Western United Pioneers FC (1st)	0–5	1%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Quickstrike FC (8th)	3–2	70%
·	Sat May 22	vs	Fox Soccer Academy (5th)	1–4	13%
·	Sun May 23	at	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	1–3	10%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Quickstrike FC

-28

1.00

WLLWL

+0.91

+0.01

8.8

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Brentwood SC (2nd)	0–6
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	PSA North (12th)	5–0
L	Sun Oct 4	vs	STA MOSC (3rd)	0–15
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Eastern FC (4th)	1–8
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	Long Island Slammers (9th)	2–1
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Brentwood SC (2nd)	1–7

Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC Copa Academy Brooklyn · Sun Oct 25 at Long Island Slammers · Sun Nov 1 vs Eastern FC See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	FC Copa Academy Brooklyn (10th)	3–2	46%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Long Island Slammers (9th)	1–3	23%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Eastern FC (4th)	1–5	3%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	FC Copa Academy Brooklyn (10th)	3–2	59%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	STA MOSC (3rd)	1–9	0%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	PSA North (12th)	3–2	60%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	BWP Football Academy (11th)	3–2	53%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	1–4	5%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Fox Soccer Academy (5th)	1–6	4%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Western United Pioneers FC (1st)	0–8	0%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	WNY Flash Binghamton (7th)	2–3	26%
·	Sat May 1	at	Fox Soccer Academy (5th)	1–7	2%
·	Sat May 8	at	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	1–4	3%
·	Sat May 15	at	WNY Flash Binghamton (7th)	2–3	17%
·	Sat May 22	at	Western United Pioneers FC (1st)	0–9	0%
·	Sun May 23	vs	BWP Football Academy (11th)	3–2	65%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Long Island Slammers

-8

0.80

LDWLL

-0.78

+0.41

8.3

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Fox Soccer Academy (5th)	2–7
L	Sun Oct 4	at	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	0–3
W	Sat Oct 3	at	BWP Football Academy (11th)	1–0
D	Sun Sep 20	vs	WNY Flash Binghamton (7th)	1–1
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Quickstrike FC (8th)	1–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Fox Soccer Academy · Sun Oct 25 vs Quickstrike FC · Sun Nov 1 at WNY Flash Binghamton See all 17 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Fox Soccer Academy (5th)	1–4	6%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Quickstrike FC (8th)	3–1	60%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	WNY Flash Binghamton (7th)	1–2	29%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Western United Pioneers FC (1st)	0–5	1%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Western United Pioneers FC (1st)	0–5	1%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	0–2	13%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	BWP Football Academy (11th)	3–1	72%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	FC Copa Academy Brooklyn (10th)	2–1	57%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Eastern FC (4th)	1–3	9%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Brentwood SC (2nd)	0–4	3%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	PSA North (12th)	2–1	68%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	STA MOSC (3rd)	1–5	2%
·	Sat May 1	vs	PSA North (12th)	3–1	76%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Brentwood SC (2nd)	0–3	5%
·	Sat May 15	at	Eastern FC (4th)	0–3	5%
·	Sat May 22	at	STA MOSC (3rd)	1–6	1%
·	Sun May 23	vs	FC Copa Academy Brooklyn (10th)	2–1	67%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Copa Academy Brooklyn

-27

0.20

LDLLL

+0.69

+0.21

10.3

L	Sat Oct 17	at	Western United Pioneers FC (1st)	0–11
L	Sun Oct 4	at	WNY Flash Binghamton (7th)	2–4
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Fox Soccer Academy (5th)	0–6
D	Sun Sep 13	at	BWP Football Academy (11th)	1–1
L	Sat Sep 12	at	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	0–8

Next: Sun Oct 18 vs FC Dutchmen Surf · Sat Oct 24 vs Quickstrike FC · Sun Oct 25 vs BWP Football Academy See all 17 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 18 (no score yet)	vs	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	0–3	4%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Quickstrike FC (8th)	2–3	37%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	BWP Football Academy (11th)	2–2	53%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Fox Soccer Academy (5th)	1–7	1%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Quickstrike FC (8th)	2–3	26%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	WNY Flash Binghamton (7th)	1–3	19%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Western United Pioneers FC (1st)	0–8	0%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Long Island Slammers (9th)	1–2	25%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Brentwood SC (2nd)	0–5	1%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	STA MOSC (3rd)	1–9	0%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Eastern FC (4th)	0–5	2%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	PSA North (12th)	2–2	48%
·	Sat May 1	at	Eastern FC (4th)	0–5	1%
·	Sat May 8	at	STA MOSC (3rd)	1–9	0%
·	Sat May 15	at	Brentwood SC (2nd)	0–6	0%
·	Sat May 22	vs	PSA North (12th)	3–2	59%
·	Sun May 23	at	Long Island Slammers (9th)	1–2	17%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

BWP Football Academy

-30

0.20

LDLLL

+0.83

+0.18

11.0

L	Sun Oct 4	vs	Brentwood SC (2nd)	1–8
L	Sat Oct 3	vs	Long Island Slammers (9th)	0–1
L	Sun Sep 20	at	STA MOSC (3rd)	0–12
D	Sun Sep 13	vs	FC Copa Academy Brooklyn (10th)	1–1
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Eastern FC (4th)	0–10

Next: Sun Oct 25 at FC Copa Academy Brooklyn · Sun Nov 1 vs STA MOSC · Sat Nov 7 at Eastern FC See all 17 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	FC Copa Academy Brooklyn (10th)	2–2	30%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	STA MOSC (3rd)	1–9	0%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Eastern FC (4th)	0–6	1%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	PSA North (12th)	2–2	52%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Brentwood SC (2nd)	0–6	0%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Long Island Slammers (9th)	1–3	14%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Quickstrike FC (8th)	2–3	31%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	PSA North (12th)	2–2	41%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Western United Pioneers FC (1st)	0–9	0%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Fox Soccer Academy (5th)	1–6	2%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	WNY Flash Binghamton (7th)	1–3	9%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	0–4	3%
·	Sat May 1	vs	WNY Flash Binghamton (7th)	1–3	15%
·	Sat May 8	at	Fox Soccer Academy (5th)	1–7	1%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Western United Pioneers FC (1st)	0–8	0%
·	Sat May 22	at	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	0–4	2%
·	Sun May 23	at	Quickstrike FC (8th)	2–3	21%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

PSA North

-37

0.00

LLLLL

+0.27

+0.35

11.4

L	Sun Oct 18	at	WNY Flash Binghamton (7th)	0–6
L	Sat Oct 17	at	Quickstrike FC (8th)	0–5
L	Sun Oct 4	at	Fox Soccer Academy (5th)	1–11
L	Sat Oct 3	vs	WNY Flash Binghamton (7th)	2–3
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	0–2
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	Western United Pioneers FC (1st)	0–13

Next: Sun Oct 25 at Western United Pioneers FC · Sun Nov 1 at FC Dutchmen Surf · Sun Nov 8 at BWP Football Academy See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Western United Pioneers FC (1st)	0–9	0%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	0–5	1%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	BWP Football Academy (11th)	2–2	30%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Fox Soccer Academy (5th)	1–7	1%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Quickstrike FC (8th)	2–3	25%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Brentwood SC (2nd)	0–7	0%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	BWP Football Academy (11th)	2–2	40%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	STA MOSC (3rd)	0–9	0%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Eastern FC (4th)	0–5	1%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Long Island Slammers (9th)	1–2	17%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	FC Copa Academy Brooklyn (10th)	2–2	34%
·	Sat May 1	at	Long Island Slammers (9th)	1–3	11%
·	Sat May 8	at	Eastern FC (4th)	0–6	0%
·	Sat May 15	at	STA MOSC (3rd)	0–9	0%
·	Sat May 22	at	FC Copa Academy Brooklyn (10th)	2–3	25%
·	Sun May 23	vs	Brentwood SC (2nd)	0–6	0%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.95 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.