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FC Copa Academy Brooklyn

ECNL Regional League Boys · Northeast BU14 · 12 teams · FC Copa Academy (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 54 minutes ago.
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10th
0-1-4 record · 5 played
0.20 points per game
-27 goal diff · 3–30
LDLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.3
+0.69 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 03:00 PM

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FC Copa Academy Brooklyn
10th · 0.20 PPG
vs
Quickstrike FC
8th · 1.00 PPG

Aviator Sports & Events Center, Field 2 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–3 (expected goals 2.9 for, 3.1 against · 1.28 expected points)

Season so farFC Copa Academy BrooklynQuickstrike FC
Position10th8th
Record (W-D-L)0-1-42-0-4
Points per game0.201.00
Goals for / game0.61.5
Goals against / game6.06.2
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless32
Form (recent first)L L L D LL W L L W
Biggest win—5–0 vs PSA North
Worst loss0–11 at Western United Pioneers FC0–15 vs STA MOSC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-3.08-2.80
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.69+0.91

Game plan

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    Quickstrike FC concede 6.2/game; worst result 0–15 vs STA MOSC.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–8 at FC Dutchmen Surf, 0–6 vs Fox Soccer Academy, 0–11 at Western United Pioneers FC.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 37%; a draw (17%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Quickstrike FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Copa Academy Brooklyn – Quickstrike FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.17 PPG
11th▼ down 1 11th▼ down 1 12th▼ down 2
Win
0.67 PPG
10th— holds 10th— holds 10th— holds
Draw
0.33 PPG
10th— holds 10th— holds 11th▼ down 1
Loss
0.17 PPG
11th▼ down 1 11th▼ down 1 12th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–3 loss we fall to at least 11th even if every rival loses, and as low as 12th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
10.3 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th 3%
  9. 9th 11%
  10. 10th 48%
  11. 11th 27%
  12. 12th 12%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.36 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Western United Pioneers FC 3.00 (+2.80) 1st (2.77) 65 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 60 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Brentwood SC 3.00 (+2.80) 2nd (2.42) 65 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 53 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 STA MOSC 2.00 (+1.80) 3rd (2.36) 43 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection
4 Eastern FC 2.00 (+1.80) 4th (2.03) 43 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection
5 Fox Soccer Academy 1.80 (+1.60) 5th (1.85) 39 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection
6 FC Dutchmen Surf 1.80 (+1.60) 6th (1.81) 39 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
7 WNY Flash Binghamton 1.57 (+1.37) 7th (1.20) 34 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
8 Quickstrike FC 1.00 (+0.80) 9th (0.84) 21 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
9 Long Island Slammers 0.80 (+0.60) 8th (0.91) 17 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection

How the results connect

26 chains · 11 teams

Paths of results that link FC Copa Academy Brooklyn to Quickstrike FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

5 favour us
2 even
19 favour them
-0.9 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–4 0–4 7–1 6–0 0–11 3–0 8–1 0–14 15–0 6–0 0–5 0–6 11–1 1–1 1–8 0–2 7–2 1–2 0–1 FC Copa Academy Bro… 10th WNY Flash Binghamton 7th Western United Pion… 1st Fox Soccer Academy 5th BWP Football Academy 11th Brentwood SC 2nd Eastern FC 4th STA MOSC 3rd PSA North 12th Long Island Slammers 9th Quickstrike FC 8th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

8 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 12 Sep 19 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.21 · 4th hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 18
03:00 PM
no score posted
FC Dutchmen Surf
6th · 3-0-2 · GD +11
Home
Aviator Sports & Events Center
●●●●● Very tough
4%
0–3 0.19 0.20 Upside
Sat Oct 24
03:00 PM
Quickstrike FC
8th · 2-0-4 · GD -28
Home
Aviator Sports & Events Center
●●●●○ Tough
37%
2–3 1.28 0.35 Upside
Sun Oct 25
03:00 PM
BWP Football Academy
11th · 0-1-4 · GD -30
Home
Aviator Sports & Events Center
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
2–2 1.76 0.53 Swing game
Sun Nov 1
01:00 PM
Fox Soccer Academy
5th · 3-0-2 · GD +15
Away far trip
Hudson Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
1%
1–7 0.05 0.48 Upside
Sun Nov 8
10:30 AM
Quickstrike FC
8th · 2-0-4 · GD -28
Away far trip
Pace University · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
26%
2–3 0.93 0.52 Upside
Sat Nov 14
TBD
WNY Flash Binghamton
7th · 3-2-2 · GD -9
Home
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–3 0.71 0.54 Upside
Sun Nov 15
03:00 PM
Western United Pioneers FC
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +36
Home
Aviator Sports & Events Center
●●●●● Very tough
0%
0–8 0.01 0.49 Upside
Sun Mar 14
TBD
Long Island Slammers
9th · 1-1-3 · GD -8
Home
●●●●● Very tough
25%
1–2 0.92 0.53 Upside
Sat Apr 3
TBD
Brentwood SC
2nd · 6-0-0 · GD +26
Home
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–5 0.05 0.49 Upside
Sat Apr 10
TBD
STA MOSC
3rd · 4-0-2 · GD +36
Home
●●●●● Very tough
0%
1–9 0.02 0.46 Upside
Sun Apr 11
TBD
Eastern FC
4th · 3-1-1 · GD +15
Home
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–5 0.10 0.44 Upside
Sat Apr 17
TBD
PSA North
12th · 0-0-6 · GD -37
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
2–2 1.61 0.51 Swing game
Sat May 1
TBD
Eastern FC
4th · 3-1-1 · GD +15
Away
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–5 0.05 0.48 Upside
Sat May 8
TBD
STA MOSC
3rd · 4-0-2 · GD +36
Away
●●●●● Very tough
0%
1–9 0.01 0.46 Upside
Sat May 15
TBD
Brentwood SC
2nd · 6-0-0 · GD +26
Away
●●●●● Very tough
0%
0–6 0.02 0.44 Upside
Sat May 22
TBD
PSA North
12th · 0-0-6 · GD -37
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
59%
3–2 1.93 0.51 Swing game
Sun May 23
TBD
Long Island Slammers
9th · 1-1-3 · GD -8
Away
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–2 0.67 0.51 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Western United Pioneers FC 5500 360+36 153.00 WWWWW +0.59 -0.67 100% 1.1
2 Brentwood SC 6600 282+26 183.00 WWWWW -1.22 +0.15 99% 2.5
3 STA MOSC 6402 4610+36 122.00 WWWWL +0.62 -0.70 98% 2.7
4 Eastern FC 5311 194+15 102.00 WWWLD -0.26 -0.09 64% 4.3
5 Fox Soccer Academy 5302 2510+15 91.80 LWWLW -0.29 -0.09 24% 5.1
6 FC Dutchmen Surf 5302 132+11 91.80 WLWWL -0.68 +0.11 14% 5.4
7 WNY Flash Binghamton 7322 1423-9 111.57 DWWDW -0.66 +0.40 0% 7.2
8 Quickstrike FC 6204 937-28 61.00 WLLWL +0.91 +0.01 0% 8.7
9 Long Island Slammers 5113 513-8 40.80 LDWLL -0.78 +0.41 0% 8.3
10 FC Copa Academy Brooklyn 5014 330-27 10.20 LDLLL +0.69 +0.21 0% 10.3
11 BWP Football Academy 5014 232-30 10.20 LDLLL +0.83 +0.18 0% 10.9
12 PSA North 6006 340-37 00.00 LLLLL +0.27 +0.35 0% 11.5

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.95 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.