BWP Football Academy
ECNL Regional League Boys · Northeast BU14 · 12 teams · BWP Football Academy (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 03:00 PM
Aviator Sports & Events Center, Field 2 ↗ far trip
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.2 for, 2.9 against · 1.07 expected points)
| Season so far | BWP Football Academy | FC Copa Academy Brooklyn |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 11th | 10th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-1-4 | 0-1-4 |
| Points per game | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals for / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals against / game | 6.4 | 6.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L D L | L L L D L |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | 0–12 at STA MOSC | 0–11 at Western United Pioneers FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -3.45 | -3.08 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.83 | +0.69 |
Already played this season: Sun Sep 13 1–1 vs FC Copa Academy Brooklyn (D)
Game plan
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They struggle to score
FC Copa Academy Brooklyn average 0.6 goals/game (league avg 3.0); blanked in 3 of 5.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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They leak goals — be greedy
FC Copa Academy Brooklyn concede 6.0/game; worst result 0–11 at Western United Pioneers FC.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–10 vs Eastern FC, 0–12 at STA MOSC, 0–1 vs Long Island Slammers.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 30%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Confidence is low on their side
FC Copa Academy Brooklyn have lost 3 straight (form: LDLLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
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Away game
Kickoff 03:00 PM at Aviator Sports & Events Center.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
FC Copa Academy Brooklyn sit 10th on 0.20 PPG; we are on 0.20.A point moves us above FC Copa Academy Brooklyn on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the FC Copa Academy Brooklyn game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (BWP Football Academy – FC Copa Academy Brooklyn) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 0.33 PPG |
11th— holds | 10th▲ up 1 | 12th▼ down 1 |
| Win 0.67 PPG |
10th▲ up 1 | 10th▲ up 1 | 10th▲ up 1 |
| Draw 0.33 PPG |
11th— holds | 10th▲ up 1 | 12th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 0.17 PPG |
11th— holds | 11th— holds | 12th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 10th if every rival drops points, and as low as 12th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th <1%
- 8th 1%
- 9th 3%
- 10th 25%
- 11th 43%
- 12th 28%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.36 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Western United Pioneers FC | 3.00 (+2.80) | 1st (2.77) | 65 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 60 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Brentwood SC | 3.00 (+2.80) | 2nd (2.42) | 65 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 53 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | STA MOSC | 2.00 (+1.80) | 3rd (2.36) | 43 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection |
| 4 | Eastern FC | 2.00 (+1.80) | 4th (2.03) | 43 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection |
| 5 | Fox Soccer Academy | 1.80 (+1.60) | 5th (1.85) | 39 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection |
| 6 | FC Dutchmen Surf | 1.80 (+1.60) | 6th (1.81) | 39 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection |
| 7 | WNY Flash Binghamton | 1.57 (+1.37) | 7th (1.20) | 34 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection |
| 8 | Quickstrike FC | 1.00 (+0.80) | 9th (0.84) | 21 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection |
| 9 | Long Island Slammers | 0.80 (+0.60) | 8th (0.91) | 17 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection |
| 10 | FC Copa Academy Brooklyn | 0.20 (+0.00) | 10th (0.51) | Already ahead |
How the results connect
14 chains · 10 teams
Paths of results that link BWP Football Academy to FC Copa Academy Brooklyn through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
8 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.18 · 5th hardest of 12
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 03:00 PM |
FC Copa Academy Brooklyn 10th · 0-1-4 · GD -27 |
Away far trip
Aviator Sports & Events Center |
●●●●○ Tough | 30% |
2–2 | 1.07 | 0.34 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 04:00 PM |
STA MOSC 3rd · 4-0-2 · GD +36 |
Home Christian Brothers Academy · turf? |
●●●●● Very tough | 0% |
1–9 | 0.01 | 0.30 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 7 01:15 PM |
Eastern FC 4th · 3-1-1 · GD +15 |
Away far trip
Tibbetts Brook Park #3- 355 Midland Ave Yonkers, N |
●●●●● Very tough | 1% |
0–6 | 0.04 | 0.26 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 03:00 PM |
PSA North 12th · 0-0-6 · GD -37 |
Home Christian Brothers Academy · turf? |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 52% |
2–2 | 1.75 | 0.43 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 14 01:30 PM |
Brentwood SC 2nd · 6-0-0 · GD +26 |
Away far trip
Brentwood State Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 0% |
0–6 | 0.02 | 0.39 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 15 09:00 AM |
Long Island Slammers 9th · 1-1-3 · GD -8 |
Away far trip
Moriches Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 14% |
1–3 | 0.56 | 0.40 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 14 TBD |
Quickstrike FC 8th · 2-0-4 · GD -28 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
2–3 | 1.09 | 0.46 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 21 TBD |
PSA North 12th · 0-0-6 · GD -37 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
2–2 | 1.42 | 0.53 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 TBD |
Western United Pioneers FC 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +36 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 0% |
0–9 | 0.00 | 0.50 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
Fox Soccer Academy 5th · 3-0-2 · GD +15 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 2% |
1–6 | 0.07 | 0.47 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 TBD |
WNY Flash Binghamton 7th · 3-2-2 · GD -9 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 9% |
1–3 | 0.38 | 0.46 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
FC Dutchmen Surf 6th · 3-0-2 · GD +11 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 3% |
0–4 | 0.15 | 0.44 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 TBD |
WNY Flash Binghamton 7th · 3-2-2 · GD -9 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 15% |
1–3 | 0.58 | 0.45 | Upside |
| Sat May 8 TBD |
Fox Soccer Academy 5th · 3-0-2 · GD +15 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 1% |
1–7 | 0.04 | 0.43 | Upside |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
Western United Pioneers FC 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +36 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 0% |
0–8 | 0.00 | 0.41 | Upside |
| Sat May 22 11:30 AM |
FC Dutchmen Surf 6th · 3-0-2 · GD +11 |
Away far trip
DiCaprio Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 2% |
0–4 | 0.09 | 0.39 | Upside |
| Sun May 23 TBD |
Quickstrike FC 8th · 2-0-4 · GD -28 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 21% |
2–3 | 0.77 | 0.41 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Western United Pioneers FC | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | +36 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | +0.59 | -0.67 | 100% | 1.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 at Brentwood SC · Sun Oct 25 vs PSA North · Sun Nov 1 vs Brentwood SC See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Brentwood SC | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 2 | +26 | 18 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -1.22 | +0.15 | 99% | 2.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 vs Western United Pioneers FC · Sun Oct 25 vs Fox Soccer Academy · Sun Nov 1 at Western United Pioneers FC See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | STA MOSC | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 46 | 10 | +36 | 12 | 2.00 | WWWWL | +0.62 | -0.70 | 98% | 2.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 at FC Dutchmen Surf · Sun Oct 25 at WNY Flash Binghamton · Sun Nov 1 at BWP Football Academy See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Eastern FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 4 | +15 | 10 | 2.00 | WWWLD | -0.26 | -0.09 | 64% | 4.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 vs Fox Soccer Academy · Sun Oct 25 vs FC Dutchmen Surf · Sun Nov 1 at Quickstrike FC See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Fox Soccer Academy | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 10 | +15 | 9 | 1.80 | LWWLW | -0.29 | -0.09 | 23% | 5.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 at Eastern FC · Sat Oct 24 vs Long Island Slammers · Sun Oct 25 at Brentwood SC See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | FC Dutchmen Surf | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2 | +11 | 9 | 1.80 | WLWWL | -0.68 | +0.11 | 16% | 5.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 vs STA MOSC · Sun Oct 18 at FC Copa Academy Brooklyn · Sun Oct 25 at Eastern FC See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | WNY Flash Binghamton | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 11 | 1.57 | DWWDW | -0.66 | +0.40 | 0% | 7.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs STA MOSC · Sun Nov 1 vs Long Island Slammers · Sun Nov 8 vs Brentwood SC See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Quickstrike FC | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 37 | -28 | 6 | 1.00 | WLLWL | +0.91 | +0.01 | 0% | 8.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC Copa Academy Brooklyn · Sun Oct 25 at Long Island Slammers · Sun Nov 1 vs Eastern FC See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Long Island Slammers | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 4 | 0.80 | LDWLL | -0.78 | +0.41 | 0% | 8.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Fox Soccer Academy · Sun Oct 25 vs Quickstrike FC · Sun Nov 1 at WNY Flash Binghamton See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | FC Copa Academy Brooklyn | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 30 | -27 | 1 | 0.20 | LDLLL | +0.69 | +0.21 | 0% | 10.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 18 vs FC Dutchmen Surf · Sat Oct 24 vs Quickstrike FC · Sun Oct 25 vs BWP Football Academy See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | BWP Football Academy | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 32 | -30 | 1 | 0.20 | LDLLL | +0.83 | +0.18 | 0% | 10.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at FC Copa Academy Brooklyn · Sun Nov 1 vs STA MOSC · Sat Nov 7 at Eastern FC See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | PSA North | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 40 | -37 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.27 | +0.35 | 0% | 11.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Western United Pioneers FC · Sun Nov 1 at FC Dutchmen Surf · Sun Nov 8 at BWP Football Academy See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.95 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.