TableChase Clubs

Sting NTX

ECNL Regional League Boys · North Texas BU18/19 · 16 teams · Sting Soccer Club (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
Add schedule to calendar
10th
3-1-5 record · 9 played
1.11 points per game
+3 goal diff · 15–12
DLLWWlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.1
-0.21 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 08:00 AM

Open the match preview →

Sting NTX
10th · 1.11 PPG
at
SOLAR BLUE NTX
8th · 1.40 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 3 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.5 for, 1.6 against · 1.31 expected points)

Season so farSting NTXSOLAR BLUE NTX
Position10th8th
Record (W-D-L)3-1-54-2-4
Points per game1.111.40
Goals for / game1.71.9
Goals against / game1.31.8
Clean sheets41
Held scoreless23
Form (recent first)W W L L DW W D W D
Biggest win5–0 at Kernow Storm FC NTX Resendiz4–0 at Fever United FC NTX
Worst loss0–2 at FC Dallas Youth Red NTX0–2 at Dallas Texans Red NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.22+0.15
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.21+0.10

Common opponents: SOLAR RED NTX — we 1–2; they 2–1. FC Dallas Youth Red NTX — we 0–2; they 0–1. Dallas Texans Red NTX — we 1–3; they 0–2. Nido Dallas White NTX — we 0–0; they 4–3. FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX — we 1–3; they 0–1. Nido Dallas NTX Morales — we 1–2; they 3–3. Texas Warriors FC NTX — we 1–0; they 1–1. Fever United FC NTX — we 5–0; they 4–0.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–2 at FC Dallas Youth Red NTX, 0–0 vs Nido Dallas White NTX.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 36%; a draw (24%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 08:00 AM at Dallas Soccer Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 08:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Nido Dallas White NTX sit 9th on 1.25 PPG; we are on 1.11.

    A point moves us above Nido Dallas White NTX on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the SOLAR BLUE NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sting NTX – SOLAR BLUE NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.10 PPG		 11th▼ down 1 11th▼ down 1 11th▼ down 1
Win
1.30 PPG		 8th▲ up 2 8th▲ up 2 9th▲ up 1
Draw
1.10 PPG		 11th▼ down 1 11th▼ down 1 11th▼ down 1
Loss
1.00 PPG		 11th▼ down 1 11th▼ down 1 12th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 10th even if every rival loses, and as low as 11th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
10.1 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th 2%
  7. 7th 7%
  8. 8th 11%
  9. 9th 14%
  10. 10th 18%
  11. 11th 24%
  12. 12th 20%
  13. 13th 4%
  14. 14th <1%
  15. 15th
  16. 16th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 6 remaining known games (max 1.87 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 2.78 (+1.67) 1st (2.54) 32 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Dallas Texans Red NTX 2.67 (+1.56) 2nd (2.45) 31 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Nido Dallas NTX Morales 2.43 (+1.32) 4th (2.09) 27 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 FC Dallas Youth NTX Torres 2.22 (+1.11) 3rd (2.14) 24 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 2.00 (+0.89) 5th (1.88) 20 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
6 FC Dallas Youth NTX Sedeh 2.00 (+0.89) 6th (1.83) 20 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
7 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX 1.44 (+0.33) 9th (1.38) 12 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection
8 SOLAR BLUE NTX 1.40 (+0.29) 7th (1.49) 11 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection
9 Nido Dallas White NTX 1.25 (+0.14) 8th (1.39) A point next game

How the results connect

47 chains · 11 teams

Paths of results that link Sting NTX to SOLAR BLUE NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

16 favour us
10 even
21 favour them
-0.1 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–3 2–0 5–0 0–4 1–0 1–1 1–2 3–3 1–3 1–0 0–0 3–4 0–2 1–0 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–1 2–3 3–2 Sting NTX 10th Dallas Texans Red N… 2nd Fever United FC NTX 16th Texas Warriors FC N… 11th Nido Dallas NTX Mor… 3rd FC Dallas Youth Nav… 7th Nido Dallas White N… 9th FC Dallas Youth Red… 5th SOLAR RED NTX 12th FC Dallas Youth NTX… 13th SOLAR BLUE NTX 8th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

17 game days

1st 8th 16th Aug 21 Aug 30 Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 27 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.20 · 2nd hardest of 16

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
08:00 AM		 SOLAR BLUE NTX
8th · 4-2-4 · GD +1		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
36%		 1–1 1.31 1.13 Upside
Sun Nov 8
08:00 AM		 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX
1st · 8-1-0 · GD +16		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
23%		 1–1 0.90 1.11 Upside
Sun Apr 4
08:00 AM		 DKSC WHITE NTX
14th · 1-0-7 · GD -18		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●○○○○ Favorable
75%		 2–0 2.41 1.22 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
01:30 PM		 FC Dallas Youth NTX Sedeh
6th · 5-3-1 · GD +5		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
37%		 1–1 1.37 1.23 Upside
Sun Apr 18
11:40 AM		 FC Dallas Youth NTX Torres
4th · 6-2-1 · GD +16		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
19%		 1–2 0.76 1.20 Upside
Sun Apr 25
08:00 AM		 FC Dallas Youth NTX Mbemba
13th · 1-2-6 · GD -6		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
55%		 1–1 1.89 1.24 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 9810 248+16 252.78 WWWWW +0.11 -0.42 100% 1.6
2 Dallas Texans Red NTX 9801 3110+21 242.67 WLWWW -0.33 +0.16 99% 1.9
3 Nido Dallas NTX Morales 7520 218+13 172.43 WDWWD -0.55 +0.32 72% 3.8
4 FC Dallas Youth NTX Torres 9621 2711+16 202.22 WWDLW -0.11 -0.08 82% 3.5
5 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 8512 2112+9 162.00 LLWDW -0.09 -0.01 31% 5.1
6 FC Dallas Youth NTX Sedeh 9531 1611+5 182.00 WWDWD -0.03 -0.03 16% 5.6
7 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX 9414 1518-3 131.44 DWLLL +0.08 -0.02 0% 9.2
8 SOLAR BLUE NTX 10424 1918+1 141.40 DWDWW +0.10 -0.39 1% 8.0
9 Nido Dallas White NTX 8314 1512+3 101.25 DLWWL -0.08 -0.01 0% 8.8
10 Sting NTX 9315 1512+3 101.11 DLLWW -0.21 +0.20 0% 10.1
11 Texas Warriors FC NTX 10325 2016+4 111.10 WWDLL +0.12 -0.39 0% 9.4
12 SOLAR RED NTX 9225 1315-2 80.89 DLDLL +0.31 -0.46 0% 11.1
13 FC Dallas Youth NTX Mbemba 9126 1218-6 50.56 LDLLW -0.07 +0.09 0% 12.9
14 DKSC WHITE NTX 8107 523-18 30.38 LLLLL +0.30 -0.14 0% 14.1
15 Kernow Storm FC NTX Resendiz 7016 228-26 10.14 LDLLL +0.56 -0.19 0% 15.1
16 Fever United FC NTX 8017 238-36 10.13 LDLLL +0.40 -0.10 0% 15.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.85 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.