SOLAR RED NTX

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Dallas Soccer Park, Field 14 ↗

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.1 for, 2.9 against · 0.48 expected points)

Common opponents: SOLAR BLUE NTX — we 1–2; they 2–0. Sting NTX — we 2–1; they 3–1. Atletico Dallas Youth NTX — we 0–2; they 1–3. DKSC WHITE NTX — we 5–0; they 1–0. FC Dallas Youth NTX Torres — we 3–3; they 3–2. FC Dallas Youth Red NTX — we 2–3; they 3–2.

• Respect their attack
  Dallas Texans Red NTX score 3.4/game — well above the league's 1.9.

  Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

• Finishing wins the tight ones
  Held scoreless 4 time(s): 0–2 vs Atletico Dallas Youth NTX, 0–0 at FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX, 0–1 vs FC Dallas Youth NTX Sedeh, 0–3 at Nido Dallas White NTX.

  Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

• Underdog — play free, stay organised
  Model gives 11%; a draw (14%) would be a good result.

  Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

• They arrive in form
  Dallas Texans Red NTX have won 3 straight.

  Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

• Away game
  Kickoff 01:30 PM at Dallas Soccer Park.

  Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

• What a win does
  Texas Warriors FC NTX sit 11th on 1.10 PPG; we are on 0.89.

  A win moves us above Texas Warriors FC NTX on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

Where we'd sit after the Dallas Texans Red NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (SOLAR RED NTX – Dallas Texans Red NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 12th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

1. 1st
2. 2nd
3. 3rd
4. 4th <1%
5. 5th
6. 6th <1%
7. 7th 2%
8. 8th 4%
9. 9th 8%
10. 10th 12%
11. 11th 22%
12. 12th 43%
13. 13th 9%
14. 14th <1%
15. 15th
16. 16th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 6 remaining known games (max 1.73 PPG if we win out).