FC Dallas Youth Red NTX
ECNL Regional League Boys · North Texas BU18/19 · 16 teams · FC Dallas Youth (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 08:00 AM
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 2.0 for, 1.8 against · 1.49 expected points)
| Season so far | FC Dallas Youth Red NTX | Nido Dallas White NTX |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 9th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-1-2 | 3-1-4 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| Goals for / game | 2.6 | 1.9 |
| Goals against / game | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W D W L L | L W W L D |
| Biggest win | 7–0 vs Fever United FC NTX | 4–0 vs Kernow Storm FC NTX Resendiz |
| Worst loss | 2–4 at Atletico Dallas Youth NTX | 1–3 at Texas Warriors FC NTX |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.75 | +0.29 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.09 | -0.08 |
Common opponents: SOLAR BLUE NTX — we 1–0; they 3–4. Sting NTX — we 2–0; they 0–0. FC Dallas Youth NTX Sedeh — we 2–2; they 1–2. SOLAR RED NTX — we 3–2; they 3–0.
Game plan
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Swing game — small margins
Win 42% / draw 21% / loss 36%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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Away game
Kickoff 08:00 AM at Dallas Soccer Park.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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Early kickoff
Game time 08:00 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Nido Dallas White NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Dallas Youth Red NTX – Nido Dallas White NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.89 PPG |
6th▼ down 1 | 6th▼ down 1 | 6th▼ down 1 |
| Win 2.11 PPG |
5th— holds | 4th▲ up 1 | 5th— holds |
| Draw 1.89 PPG |
6th▼ down 1 | 6th▼ down 1 | 6th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 1.78 PPG |
6th▼ down 1 | 6th▼ down 1 | 6th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 5th even if every rival loses, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st <1%
- 2nd 2%
- 3rd 8%
- 4th 21%
- 5th 33%
- 6th 24%
- 7th 8%
- 8th 3%
- 9th 2%
- 10th 1%
- 11th <1%
- 12th <1%
- 13th
- 14th
- 15th
- 16th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 7 remaining known games (max 2.47 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Dallas Youth NTX | 2.78 (+0.78) | 1st (2.54) | 26 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Dallas Texans Red NTX | 2.67 (+0.67) | 2nd (2.45) | 25 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection |
| 3 | Nido Dallas NTX Morales | 2.43 (+0.43) | 4th (2.09) | 21 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection |
| 4 | FC Dallas Youth NTX Torres | 2.22 (+0.22) | 3rd (2.14) | 18 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection |
How the results connect
38 chains · 10 teams
Paths of results that link FC Dallas Youth Red NTX to Nido Dallas White NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
17 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.01 · 6th hardest of 16
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 08:00 AM |
Nido Dallas White NTX 9th · 3-1-4 · GD +3 |
Away Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 42% |
1–1 | 1.49 | 1.94 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 7 11:40 AM |
Kernow Storm FC NTX Resendiz 15th · 0-1-6 · GD -26 |
Home Dallas Soccer Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 94% |
4–0 | 2.85 | 2.03 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 8 08:00 AM |
FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX 7th · 4-1-4 · GD -3 |
Away Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 56% |
2–1 | 1.86 | 2.02 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 4 01:30 PM |
Nido Dallas NTX Morales 3rd · 5-2-0 · GD +13 |
Away Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 28% |
1–2 | 1.03 | 1.94 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 01:30 PM |
FC Dallas Youth NTX Mbemba 13th · 1-2-6 · GD -6 |
Home Dallas Soccer Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 68% |
2–1 | 2.20 | 1.96 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 18 11:40 AM |
Texas Warriors FC NTX 11th · 3-2-5 · GD +4 |
Away Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 42% |
1–1 | 1.47 | 1.92 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 25 01:30 PM |
FC Dallas Youth NTX Torres 4th · 6-2-1 · GD +16 |
Home Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
1–2 | 1.23 | 1.88 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Atletico Dallas Youth NTX | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 8 | +16 | 25 | 2.78 | WWWWW | +0.11 | -0.42 | 100% | 1.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Fever United FC NTX · Sun Nov 8 at Sting NTX · Sun Apr 4 vs Nido Dallas White NTX See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Dallas Texans Red NTX | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 10 | +21 | 24 | 2.67 | WLWWW | -0.33 | +0.16 | 99% | 1.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 vs FC Dallas Youth NTX Sedeh · Sun Oct 25 vs SOLAR RED NTX · Sun Nov 8 at Nido Dallas White NTX See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Nido Dallas NTX Morales | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 8 | +13 | 17 | 2.43 | WDWWD | -0.55 | +0.32 | 72% | 3.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 at Nido Dallas White NTX · Mon Jan 1 vs Kernow Storm FC NTX Resendiz · Sun Oct 25 vs FC Dallas Youth NTX Torres See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | FC Dallas Youth NTX Torres | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 11 | +16 | 20 | 2.22 | WWDLW | -0.11 | -0.08 | 83% | 3.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Nido Dallas NTX Morales · Sun Nov 8 vs Texas Warriors FC NTX · Sun Apr 4 at Fever United FC NTX See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | FC Dallas Youth Red NTX | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 12 | +9 | 16 | 2.00 | LLWDW | -0.09 | -0.01 | 31% | 5.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Nido Dallas White NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs Kernow Storm FC NTX Resendiz · Sun Nov 8 at FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | FC Dallas Youth NTX Sedeh | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 11 | +5 | 18 | 2.00 | WWDWD | -0.03 | -0.03 | 15% | 5.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 at Dallas Texans Red NTX · Sat Oct 24 vs FC Dallas Youth NTX Mbemba · Sun Nov 8 vs Fever United FC NTX See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 13 | 1.44 | DWLLL | +0.08 | -0.02 | 0% | 9.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Kernow Storm FC NTX Resendiz · Sun Nov 8 vs FC Dallas Youth Red NTX · Sun Apr 4 at Dallas Texans Red NTX See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | SOLAR BLUE NTX | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 18 | +1 | 14 | 1.40 | DWDWW | +0.10 | -0.39 | 0% | 8.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Sting NTX · Sun Nov 8 vs DKSC WHITE NTX · Sun Apr 4 at FC Dallas Youth NTX Sedeh See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Nido Dallas White NTX | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 10 | 1.25 | DLWWL | -0.08 | -0.01 | 0% | 8.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 vs Nido Dallas NTX Morales · Sun Oct 25 vs FC Dallas Youth Red NTX · Sun Nov 8 vs Dallas Texans Red NTX See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Sting NTX | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 10 | 1.11 | DLLWW | -0.21 | +0.20 | 0% | 10.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at SOLAR BLUE NTX · Sun Nov 8 vs Atletico Dallas Youth NTX · Sun Apr 4 vs DKSC WHITE NTX See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Texas Warriors FC NTX | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 16 | +4 | 11 | 1.10 | WWDLL | +0.12 | -0.39 | 0% | 9.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at DKSC WHITE NTX · Sun Nov 8 at FC Dallas Youth NTX Torres · Sun Apr 4 at Kernow Storm FC NTX Resendiz See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | SOLAR RED NTX | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 8 | 0.89 | DLDLL | +0.31 | -0.46 | 0% | 11.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Dallas Texans Red NTX · Sun Nov 8 vs Nido Dallas NTX Morales · Sat Apr 3 at FC Dallas Youth NTX Mbemba See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | FC Dallas Youth NTX Mbemba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 5 | 0.56 | LDLLW | -0.07 | +0.09 | 0% | 12.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC Dallas Youth NTX Sedeh · Sun Nov 8 vs Kernow Storm FC NTX Resendiz · Sat Apr 3 vs SOLAR RED NTX See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | DKSC WHITE NTX | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 3 | 0.38 | LLLLL | +0.30 | -0.14 | 0% | 14.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Texas Warriors FC NTX · Thu Nov 5 vs Fever United FC NTX · Sun Nov 8 at SOLAR BLUE NTX See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 15 | Kernow Storm FC NTX Resendiz | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 28 | -26 | 1 | 0.14 | LDLLL | +0.56 | -0.19 | 0% | 15.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 at Nido Dallas NTX Morales · Sun Oct 25 vs FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX · Sat Nov 7 at FC Dallas Youth Red NTX See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 16 | Fever United FC NTX | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 38 | -36 | 1 | 0.13 | LDLLL | +0.40 | -0.10 | 0% | 15.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Atletico Dallas Youth NTX · Thu Nov 5 at DKSC WHITE NTX · Sun Nov 8 at FC Dallas Youth NTX Sedeh See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.85 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.