TableChase Clubs

DKSC WHITE NTX

ECNL Regional League Boys · North Texas BU18/19 · 16 teams · DKSC (all teams)

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14th
1-0-7 record · 8 played
0.38 points per game
-18 goal diff · 5–23
LLLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 14.1
+0.30 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:40 AM

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DKSC WHITE NTX
14th · 0.38 PPG
vs
Texas Warriors FC NTX
11th · 1.10 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 1 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–2 (expected goals 1.0 for, 2.5 against · 0.52 expected points)

Season so farDKSC WHITE NTXTexas Warriors FC NTX
Position14th11th
Record (W-D-L)1-0-73-2-5
Points per game0.381.10
Goals for / game0.62.0
Goals against / game2.91.6
Clean sheets10
Held scoreless31
Form (recent first)L L L L LL L D W W
Biggest win1–0 at Kernow Storm FC NTX Resendiz5–1 vs FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX
Worst loss0–5 vs SOLAR RED NTX2–4 at Dallas Texans Red NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.54+0.32
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.30+0.12

Common opponents: FC Dallas Youth NTX Sedeh — we 1–3; they 1–2. Dallas Texans Red NTX — we 0–1; they 2–4. Nido Dallas NTX Morales — we 1–5; they 1–2. FC Dallas Youth NTX Mbemba — we 1–6; they 1–1.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–1 vs FC Dallas Youth NTX Torres, 0–5 vs SOLAR RED NTX, 0–1 vs Dallas Texans Red NTX.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 12%; a draw (16%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    FC Dallas Youth NTX Mbemba sit 13th on 0.56 PPG; we are on 0.38.

    A point moves us above FC Dallas Youth NTX Mbemba on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Texas Warriors FC NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (DKSC WHITE NTX – Texas Warriors FC NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.33 PPG		 14th— holds 14th— holds 16th▼ down 2
Win
0.67 PPG		 13th▲ up 1 13th▲ up 1 14th— holds
Draw
0.44 PPG		 14th— holds 14th— holds 15th▼ down 1
Loss
0.33 PPG		 14th— holds 14th— holds 16th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–2 loss we stay 14th even if every rival loses, and as low as 16th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
14.1 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th 1%
  13. 13th 11%
  14. 14th 67%
  15. 15th 17%
  16. 16th 4%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 7 remaining known games (max 1.60 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 2.78 (+2.40) 1st (2.54) 39 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Dallas Texans Red NTX 2.67 (+2.29) 2nd (2.45) 38 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Nido Dallas NTX Morales 2.43 (+2.05) 4th (2.09) 34 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 FC Dallas Youth NTX Torres 2.22 (+1.84) 3rd (2.14) 31 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 2.00 (+1.62) 5th (1.88) 27 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
6 FC Dallas Youth NTX Sedeh 2.00 (+1.62) 6th (1.83) 27 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
7 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX 1.44 (+1.06) 9th (1.38) 19 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
8 SOLAR BLUE NTX 1.40 (+1.02) 7th (1.49) 18 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
9 Nido Dallas White NTX 1.25 (+0.87) 8th (1.39) 16 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
10 Sting NTX 1.11 (+0.73) 11th (1.24) 14 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection
11 Texas Warriors FC NTX 1.10 (+0.72) 10th (1.32) 14 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
12 SOLAR RED NTX 0.89 (+0.51) 12th (1.13) 11 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection
13 FC Dallas Youth NTX Mbemba 0.56 (+0.18) 13th (0.77) A point next game

How the results connect

45 chains · 11 teams

Paths of results that link DKSC WHITE NTX to Texas Warriors FC NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

9 favour us
8 even
28 favour them
-2.7 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–1 4–2 1–3 2–1 1–5 2–1 1–6 1–1 4–0 1–2 1–0 1–1 2–3 2–2 1–0 0–2 2–1 0–1 2–2 2–1 2–3 DKSC WHITE NTX 14th Dallas Texans Red N… 2nd FC Dallas Youth NTX… 6th Nido Dallas NTX Mor… 3rd FC Dallas Youth NTX… 13th FC Dallas Youth Red… 5th Kernow Storm FC NTX… 15th FC Dallas Youth NTX… 4th SOLAR BLUE NTX 8th Atletico Dallas You… 1st Texas Warriors FC N… 11th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

17 game days

1st 8th 16th Aug 21 Aug 30 Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 27 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.14 · 11th hardest of 16

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
11:40 AM		 Texas Warriors FC NTX
11th · 3-2-5 · GD +4		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
12%		 0–2 0.52 0.39 Upside
Thu Nov 5
06:30 PM		 Fever United FC NTX
16th · 0-1-7 · GD -36		 Home
Railroad Park 		●●○○○ Lean win
65%		 2–0 2.16 0.57 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
11:40 AM		 SOLAR BLUE NTX
8th · 4-2-4 · GD +1		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
9%		 0–2 0.41 0.55 Upside
Sun Apr 4
08:00 AM		 Sting NTX
10th · 3-1-5 · GD +3		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
9%		 0–2 0.43 0.54 Upside
Sun Apr 11
08:00 AM		 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX
1st · 8-1-0 · GD +16		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
3%		 0–3 0.15 0.51 Upside
Sun Apr 18
08:00 AM		 Nido Dallas White NTX
9th · 3-1-4 · GD +3		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
12%		 0–2 0.54 0.51 Upside
Sun Apr 25
05:10 PM		 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX
7th · 4-1-4 · GD -3		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
13%		 1–2 0.57 0.52 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 9810 248+16 252.78 WWWWW +0.11 -0.42 100% 1.6
2 Dallas Texans Red NTX 9801 3110+21 242.67 WLWWW -0.33 +0.16 99% 1.9
3 Nido Dallas NTX Morales 7520 218+13 172.43 WDWWD -0.55 +0.32 72% 3.8
4 FC Dallas Youth NTX Torres 9621 2711+16 202.22 WWDLW -0.11 -0.08 82% 3.5
5 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 8512 2112+9 162.00 LLWDW -0.09 -0.01 31% 5.1
6 FC Dallas Youth NTX Sedeh 9531 1611+5 182.00 WWDWD -0.03 -0.03 16% 5.6
7 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX 9414 1518-3 131.44 DWLLL +0.08 -0.02 0% 9.2
8 SOLAR BLUE NTX 10424 1918+1 141.40 DWDWW +0.10 -0.39 1% 8.0
9 Nido Dallas White NTX 8314 1512+3 101.25 DLWWL -0.08 -0.01 0% 8.8
10 Sting NTX 9315 1512+3 101.11 DLLWW -0.21 +0.20 0% 10.1
11 Texas Warriors FC NTX 10325 2016+4 111.10 WWDLL +0.12 -0.39 0% 9.4
12 SOLAR RED NTX 9225 1315-2 80.89 DLDLL +0.31 -0.46 0% 11.1
13 FC Dallas Youth NTX Mbemba 9126 1218-6 50.56 LDLLW -0.07 +0.09 0% 12.9
14 DKSC WHITE NTX 8107 523-18 30.38 LLLLL +0.30 -0.14 0% 14.1
15 Kernow Storm FC NTX Resendiz 7016 228-26 10.14 LDLLL +0.56 -0.19 0% 15.1
16 Fever United FC NTX 8017 238-36 10.13 LDLLL +0.40 -0.10 0% 15.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.85 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.